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1
”You get what you measure” or not?
Challenges for fact-based quality management
15.3.2008
Juhani AnttilaVenture Knowledgist – Quality Integrationwww.QualityIntegration.biz , [email protected]
These pages are licensed underCreative Commons Nimeä 2.5 lisenssi
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/deed.fi
2
1. Searching a balanced position to statistical quality management
2. Factual business performance
3. Facts, data, information and knowledge for business management
4. Using measurements, analyses, and knowledge within business
management
5. Example: Using ZEF methodology for business performance evaluations
6. A topical problem: Quality of networks
7. Summary and conclusions
”You get what you measure (*)” or not?
Challenges for fact-based quality management
(*) 32500 Google hitsxxxx/2.3.2008/jan
3
What am I striving for?
3462/2.3.2008/jan
StatisticsMathematical science pertaining to the
collection, analysis, interpretation orexplanation, and presentation of data
Quality management (Quality of management)Degree to which coordinated activities of management to direct and control the organization
fulfill the needs and expectations of organization’s all stakeholders
Principles of good managementFactual approach to decision making (ISO 9000 - Quality management principles)
Management by fact (Malcolm Baldrige - Core values and concepts)Management by processes and facts (EFQM - Fundamental concepts of excellence)
Business methodology
Business performance management
Measuring business process performance
QualityDegree to which a set of inherentcharacteristics fulfils needs and
expectations
4
Positioning to statistics in quality management
3461/16.2.2008/jan
Quality managementtraditions:-Statistical processcontrol-SixSigma-Problem solving-Taguchi techniques
Constraints:- Theoretical /mathematicaldifficulties- Problems- Warnings
Walter Shewhart
1931
Darrell Huff
1954
How to find balance?
5
Information problems and danger of empirism
(Ref.. Jaana Venkula, Huff, etc.)3465/14.2.2008/jan
• Data hell – Chaotic data disturbance
• Data bulimia or data anorexia
• Data mechanization – overly emphasized
information technology and impoverished
skills
• Knowledge splintering into objective
information pieces
• Data pedantry and data naiveté
• Popularization – Complex realities overly
simplified and information contents
impoverished
• Information insecurity
• Information capitalism or information
proletariat – misuse of information power
• Information terror and data crime
6
Warning about the danger of information (*)
Information is not knowledge. Knowledge comes from theory. Without theory, there is no way
to use the information that comes to us on the instant. There is no true value of any
characteristic, state, or observation.
Warning about people rewarding based on quantitative measurements, deadly disease #3 of
leadership:
“Evaluation of performance, merit rating, or annual review nourish short-term performance,
annihilates long-term planning, builds fear, demolishes teamwork, nourishes rivalry and
politics. It leaves people bitter, crushed, bruised, battered, desolate, despondent, dejected,
feeling inferior, some even depressed, unfit for work for weeks after receipt of rating, unable
to comprehend why they are inferior. It is unfair, as it ascribes to the people in a group
differences that may be caused totally by the system that they work in.”
More important than to create scrupulous and even harmful business measurement systems,
is to get tacit knowledge of business leaders and workers effectively interact with each other
for creating extensive profound knowledge within an organization.
3466/14.2.2008/jan (*) W. Edwards Deming (e.g. in "The new economics")
7
Pragmatic (*) genuine knowledge
Pragmatism (C.S. Peirce): Action based information / knowledgeapproach:
• Genuine knowledge makes possible to act in a newmeaningful way.
• Knowledge can be genuine only if it has been tried andjustified in operation.
• Knowledge is a basis of an organization and a communityand their practical operations.
• Knowledge cannot be objective.
”The knowledge you take
is equal to the knowledge you make.” (**)
2475/4.3.2008/jan (Ref.: Jaana Venkula) (**) Lennon, McCartney
Charles Sanders Peirce
(*) Ref. the other paradigms of knowledge theories:
- Heuristic (internal comprehension based knowledge)
- Empirical (external observation and experience based knowledge)
8
Quantitative indication of performance:
- Phenomenon to be considered of a business interest
and its character – especially in business processes
- Measure / indicator, characteristic, quantity
- Metrics, unit of measure
- Numerical values and value range of the quantity
Practicalities of performance management:
- Target / required values, observed values
- Meter, gauge, means to measure / observe the quantity
- Measurement, assessment technique
- Uncertainty
- Conclusions, decisions and actions based on
measurements
- Approach and practices for performance improvement
Quantitative approach to driving business
performance
1613/10.3.2008/jan
9
Management areas:
- Operational management
- Strategic management
Scope of measurements:
- Performance of business processes
- Performance of products (goods andservices)
Related aspects:
- Measurements management
- Business performance management
3467/2.2.2008/jan
Performance measurements for businessmanagement – Need of business information
Purpose of measurements:
- Research activities for getting newknowledge
- Acquisition of information for planningbusiness or operations
- Controlling operations and processes
!Performance monitoring
!Determination measurements
!Verification measurements,hypothesis testing (AQL / LQ)
!Validation testing
- Measurements for problem solvingand performance improvement: Kaizen,breakthrough and learning
- Measurements for quality assurance
10
From business activities to overall performance of
an organization and to performance excellence
0877/22.3.2008/jan (Ref.: Malcolm Baldrige Criteria)
Financialmeasures (data)
Non-financialmeasures (data)
DOMAIN OF ACTION - BUSINESS ACTIVITY
(Operational business processes and projects)
Customer-focused
performance
Operationalperformance- processes
- workforce
Financial andmarketplaceperformance
Overall business performance
References:Competitive performance
PERFORMANCEEXCELLENCE!
Excellence is originated from the business activity not only being superficially outstanding
Productperformance
- goods - services
}
11
Interesting information on business performance
• Information available from all key business areas and processes and relatedrequirements:
– Consistent and balanced quantitative data through measures andindicators of business related facts
• Level of performance
• Rate of improvement, or slope of trends in data demonstrating developmentof business performance
– ”Three generation reporting”: Past, now, future
– Pattern of development: Linear, non-linear, spiral
• Comparisions of performance levels and their development with owntargets, competitors, and World-Class benchmarks
• Relationships of achieved quantitative business results with managementand process activities: Cause-effect linkages
3468/2.2.2008/jan (Ref.: Malcolm Baldrige Criteria)
12
Temporal dimensions of the present moment “Now”
2583/5.3.2008/jan
The present “Now” always includes the
impacts of the past events and the
challenges of the future events!
The ‘Now’ of future events and performance
The ‘Now’ of past events and performance
The ‘Now’ of present events and performance } Kairos Kronos
Time
13
What is information security all about?
2476/11.2.2008/jan
Basic concepts characterizing security of the information consist of:
• Integrity – information that one is using for his/her actions is accurate
• Availability – one has access to the relevant information when and so long it is
needed
• Confidentiality – information one is using is not manipulated by anybody else.
Additionally authenticity (information is authentic, trustworthy, or genuine) and
authority (one has right to use the information) aspects are significant especially
when using the means of electrical communication.
The most essential information security
aspect is privacy!
(Ref.: ISO/IEC 27001 / 27002)
14
You don’t get necessarily what you measure
Measurements in all kinds of business activities are important for management but in
practice:
• Measurements are often excessive, unfocused or wrong (*)
• Business results you get don’t necessarily relate to what you measure
• What you get through measurements is not necessarily meaningful or good for
organization or people being managed• Business leaders may not know what they don’t know (“Tacit ignorance”)
Measurements results represent explicit knowledge of the business performance but
business intentions and real business results are principally of tacit knowledge of
business leaders and workers in the organization.
No measurements can be objective but they are always affected by the intension and
awareness of somebody – even in physics objectivity is impossible. What is being
measured, by what kinds of means or methodology, what is obtained through
measurements, and how the measurements results are understood – they all depend on
somebody’s intention and awareness.
3469/5.3.2008/jan
(*) Dr. Juran:
“Vital few” / “Trivial many”
15
Facts & knowledge for managing business activities
Measuring
Data
Analysing
Information
Reflecting and decidingIntervention
Plan / Act
Effects
0609/25.3.2006/jan
Knowledge- explicit records- tacit knowledge(know-how, competence)
The performance reality of the company business processes
A P
DC
...
Wisdom- myths- values
”Ba”
Environments
Facts
You get what
you measure
16
2343x/15.8.2007/jan
PDCA model (*) for a good management: Coordinatedactivities to direct and control an organization (**)
ACTING:• Preventing actions• Improving actions• Re-engineering• Communicating• Recognizing andrewarding
PLANNING:• Business andmanagement models• Business plan• Approaches andmethodology
CHECKING:• Assessing theperformance• Reviewing theperformance
DOING:• Deploying the approachand achieving the results• Controlling operationalperformance• Corrective actions
A P
C D
P = Planning
D = Doing
C = Checking
A = Acting
Applying PDCA model:
• Rational control (operational)
• Continual rational small step
improvement (operational),
“Kaizen” approach
• Innovative breakthrough
changes (strategic) (***)
(*) Deming / Shewhart Cycle (**) ISO 9000 (***) Dr. Shiba
All three PDCA loops modes and
four PDCA phases are strongly
information / knowledge dependent
17
Control of the business activities
- feedback
Operations
(Business processes)
Feedback
Tfb
Top
Business
requirement
input
Business output
Notes:
• Requirements for control :
Throughput times Tfb<<Top
• ”A decision must be made
at lowest possible level in
the organization and as close
as possible to where its
outcome will be executed.”
(Peter Drucker)Target
1847/26.2.2008/jan (Ref.: Bode, Asby)
Business
control
input
18
Traditional ”quality tools” have a long history and are very strongly related with data prosessing andmanagement of business operations. Assortment of the methods may seem confusing, despite that theyhave been arranged into different groups such as Seven basic quality tools, Seven new management andplanning tools, 127 tools, Kaizen tools, SixSigma tools, etc. tools. These tools include e.g.:
Simple basic tools:•Data collection tools•Idea creation, brainstormingtools, nominal group technique•Check lists / sheets•Survey methods•Affinity diagram•Matrix diagram•Histogram / bar graph•Scatter plots•Relations diagram•Cause-effect, fishbone orIshikawa diagram•Pareto chart•Evaluation and decision-making tools, decision three,force-field diagram•Voting methods
3470/26.2.2008/jan
Process management tools:•Control charts•IDEF0•Process capability methods•Flow charts
Project management tools:•Pert / Gantt chart
Reliability (dependability) tools:•Failure mode effects andcriticality analysis (FMECA)•Fault tree analysis (FTA•Reliability prediction•Reliability testing
Inspection, testing oracceptance methods:•Attribute testing•Variable testing
Data analysis methods:•Statistical tests•Variance analysis•Regression analysis•Design of experiments•Z-score analysis•Value analysis
Traditional quality tools
Recommendation: Organizations should establish and maintaintheir tool sets for quality management, “Business excellence toolkit”, as well as the measurement and information management atlarge.
19
Enablers criteria
Category 4: Measurement, analysis, and knowledge management:
!Measurement, analysis, and improvement of organizational performance
(Assessment area 4.1)
!4.2 Management of information, information technology, and knowledge
(Assessment area 4.1)
Results criteria:
Category 7: Results
!Product outcomes (Assessment area 7.1)
!Customer-focused outcomes (Assessment area 7.2)
!Financial and market outcomes (Assessment area 7.3)
!Workforce-focused outcomes (Assessment area 7.4)
!Process effectiveness outcomes (Assessment area 7.5)
!Leadership outcomes (Assessment area 7.6)
Using measurements, analyses, and knowledge
within business management (*)
(*) Malcolm Baldrige Criteria 20083472/.20.3.2008/jan
20
Enablers criteria:
!Criterion 2: Policy and strategy
- Policy and strategy are based on information from performance measurement,
research, learning and external related activities (Criterion part 2b)
!Criterion 4: Partnership and resources
- Information and knowledge are managed (Criterion part 4c)
Results criteria:
!Customer results (Criterion 6)
!People results (Criterion 7)
!Society results (Criterion 8)
!Key performance results (Criterion 9)
Using measurements, analyses, and knowledge
within business management (*)
(*) EFQM Criteria3473/.20.3.2008/jan
21
Information technology serves our knowing and
learning as an extension of the body
Impact of technology:
The form of a medium imbeds itself in the message,
creating a symbiotic relationship by which the medium
influences how the message is perceived, creating
subtle change over time.
We shape our tools and afterwards our tools shape us.
Use of technology:
– Collecting data
– Processing data and information
– Storing data and information
– Sharing / communicating information and
knowledge
(IT = Interactive technology)
3474/2.1.2008 /jan
Marshall McLuhan 1911-1980
22
Collaborative knowledge working / learning
environment with Web 2.0 tools, “Enterprise 2.0”
3372/15.9.2007/jan
Collaborative knowledge working environment for activity XXX at organization XYZ:
Group-members
Knowledge feeds from group-members'findings, observations, and reflection,and comments(Blog)
Automatic informationfeeds from external sources, e.g. Internet (Aggregators)
Documents files
Discussion forums
Common shared knowledge-base accumulated,discussed, and updated by the group-members(Wiki)
" Links to• Other tools (calendar, to-do list, diary,Skype, virtual meeting room, etc.)• Administration of the environment
23
Web 2.0 challenges
3460/2.3.2008/jan
Web 2.0: Second-generation of Internet-based services - such as social networking sites,
wikis, communication tools, and folksonomies - that let people collaborate and share
information online in ways previously unavailable
RSS: (Rich Site Summary) Really Simple Syndication
Mashup: A website or application that combines content from more than one source into
an integrated experience
Tag cloud: A visual depiction of content tags used on a website
Facebook: a social utility that connects people with friends and others who work, study
and live around them
RTE – Real Time Economy: Speeding up information flow between companies, each
having capabilities to monitor their businesses continuously and quickly react to changes
and exceptions
(Ref.: http://www.oreilly.com/pub/a/oreilly/tim/news/2005/09/30/what-is-web-20.html )
24
Example: ZEF evaluation methodology
3336/.20.3.2008/jan
ZEF is an advanced interactive evaluation methodology and tool that is originated from strong core
competences of evaluation technique and human interface technology.
Origin:
• ZEF methodology was developed in Finland at Oulu University as Z-scored Electronic
Feedback (= ZEF) tool. Effectiveness of its two dimensional evaluation structure was
validated by University of Lapland.
• Commercial ZEF solution is a product of Oulu based company ZEF Solutions Inc.
Usage:
• ZEF is an all-purpose tool that is suitable for all kinds of organizations.
• ZEF evaluation services are web-based solutions operating as SaaS (Software as a Service).
With ZEF on-line tool one may collect, compare and evaluate data effectively and efficiently
from even a big group of people.
• ZEF tool has been used by a lot of organizations for business information and hundreds
thousands of ordinary citizens in several survey-cases of general societal interest.
(Ref.: http://zefsolutions.com/www/english , http://qiblog.blogspot.com/2007/06/carry-out-appropriate-surveys.html )
25
ZEF tool is applicable for:• All kinds of quality-related performance evaluation, feedback and surveyapplications
!E.g. 3-In-1 assessment scheme that combines Malcolm Baldrige model,EFQM model and ISO 9000 and is easy to tailor to specific business aspectsor organizational strategic priorities. Examples include modifications for
!Health services quality management (CEN/TS 15224)!Food safety management (ISO 22000)!Information technology service management (ISO/IEC 20000)
!Process performance evaluations!Customer / workforce satisfaction
• Other business related assessments needs including!Innovations evaluation!Risk, vulnerability and threat analyses!Strategy analyses!Customer lead surveys
• Other general e.g. social, entertainment, etc. applications including!National innovation policy surveys!Parliamentary / presidential election comparisons!Education and school evaluations!Idols rating
ZEF evaluations
3476/20.3.2008/jan
26
3288/20.3.2008/jan (*) ZEF Solutions Inc., Finland: www.zef.fi
Improving effectiveness / efficiency of self-assessmentswith an advanced tool (ZEF)
27
Performance evaluation for excellence
through a multi-faceted and consistent approach
1. Leadership
4. Measurement, analysis,and knowledge management
7. Businessresults
6. Processmanagement
3. Customer andmarket focus
5. Humanresource focus
2. Strategicmanagement
3325/26.3.2008/jan
Overall business performance (e.g. 3-In-1 criteria)
Board operationsStrategic performance
Corporate securityRisk management
Networking capability
Process performanceProject performance
Supplier performanceQuality Assurance:
ISO 9001, AQAPEnvironmental management
People satisfaction360 feedback
OHS assessment
Information securityInnovations
IT Governance
Customer satisfactionMarket communication
Leadership performanceSocial responsibility Product
performance
28
Category 4: Measurement, analysis, andknowledge management1. We follow up fulfilment of targets anddevelopment of performance on company andprocess levels with adequate measures andindicators.2. We follow up effectiveness and efficiency ofour business processes.3. We have easily available analyzed andcurrent information on performance of ourcompany and its development against targetsand other references.4. Our real-time internal accounting operatesin advance.5. Our employees measure, analyze andevaluate quality of their own work in order tomake decisions and initiate improvementactions for their work in line with ourcompany-wide plans. …
… Etc. other assessment items
Assessesment scheme “3in1”: EFQM, Malcom
Baldrige and ISO9000 combined in one scheme
Results of ZEF evaluations (“3-in-1”)
3475/20.3.2008/jan
29
Results of ZEF evaluations
3334/.20.8.2007/jan
30
Statistical inferences from ZEF evaluations
3471/.20.3.2008/jan
Detailed business information is obtained from ZEF raw data through statistical treatments.All individual respondent answers to the query items in the ZEF evaluations are recorded asseparate data pieces that are then used for statistical analyses as needed:
! The basic ZEF report shows the means and standard deviations of all respondents’answers per query items in one or two dimensions as needed.
! The result data may be normalized according Z-scored transformation that is useful toemphasize relative differences among query items.
! Answers from respondents may be grouped in arbitrary way or presented asindividual answers.
! Results of different ZEF evaluations, e.g. of different points in time, may be comparedby using ZEF’s “comparison engine” function.
! Raw data of evaluations may be presented in the formats of Excel (.xls) or"Concurrent Versioning System" (.cvs) in order to facilitate the use of moresophisticated statistical tools, e.g. SPSS, for data analyses.
ZEF tool’s interactive user-interface enhances user’s deliberation when he/she is respondingto the query items and also enhances understanding the relative differences among queryitems. That makes answering more motivated and justified.
31
Z-score transformation
3478/20.3.2008/jan
Z-score for an item indicates how far and in what direction that item deviates from its distribution's
mean expressed in units of its distribution's standard deviation. The z-score transformation is such
that if every item in a distribution is converted to its z score, the transformed scores will have a
mean of zero and a standard deviation of one.
Z-score transformation is especially useful when seeking to compare the relative standings of
items from distributions with different means or different standard deviations.
(Ref.: http://www.sysurvey.com/tips/statistics/zscore.htm )
32
Z-scored normalized evaluation results (ZEF)
3477/.20.3.2008/jan
33
Summary and conclusions
3479/.20.3.2008/jan
1. Competitiveness and success of all organizations are based on right business relatedinformation and knowledge on time.
2. Impressive business phenomena and their nature including stochastic features should betaken into account in planning business performance measurements.
3. Business related measurements and information may have many different purposes.4. One should recognize vital few valid subjects for business performance measurements.5. Measurements should be based on sound methodologies and effective measuring tools.6. Observed data should be understood in the business context and also data’s statistical
viewpoints should be noted.7. Tacit knowledge and explicit information should be brought together in making
conclusions and activating managerial measures.8. Interactive information technology gives remarkable advantage and serves as an
extension of our body and senses both in making observations and in using informationwithin business communities.
9. Cooperation of quality and statistics experts is obviously useful.
34
Overall quality of a network
3464/15.2.2008/jan
S
A A
Si
j
Overall quality of a network Qvm:
Degree to which the network fulfils needs andexpectations of all network members:
- m members in the network
- Each member gets benefits (Si) but alsoloses something (Ai).
Knots with
few links
Knots with
many links
Power law of a scale-free network:
Number of links (k)
Nu
mb
er o
f kn
ots
wit
h k
lin
ks
A topical problem:
How to measure in practice
the overall quality of a network?
Win / Win in network
Network
member i
Network
member j
35
xx/15.2.2008/jan
Please, evaluate my presentation
and material and
give your feedback with ZEF:
http://www.zef.fi/service/user/?q=597
Thank you!