TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R...

15
TAKING THE NEXT STEP Martin Atterhall

Transcript of TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R...

Page 1: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

TAKING THE NEXT STEP Martin Atterhall

Page 2: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

11 000

7

200 319

000

000

Page 3: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

Facilitates public transport

in new areas

Increased customer

appreciation Free from local

emissions

Significantly reduced noise

pollution

Energy efficient

Reposition PT trademark - increase brand

value

Attract more customers to

Public Transport

Greater acceptance for

buses in the city

Page 4: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

A CLEARLY VISIBLE TREND

Page 5: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

TECHNOLOGY HAS REACHED A THRESHOLD

...but, they didn’t count in

the drivers (or the passengers)

A BEV bus is equal or better compared to conventional in

terms of TCO

Page 6: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK

Driver

Capex

Energy

M & R

Admin

Other

Page 7: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

Station performance

drastically reduced

Page 8: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS
Page 9: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

100%

139%

121%

107%

Conventional Strategy A Strategy B Strategy C

39% increase in driver hours means > 20%

direct cost increase

Driver hours

No of buses needed

Infrastructure investments

Page 10: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

NORDIC PUBLIC BUS TRANSPORT MARKET DYNAMICS

LOCAL GOVERNMENTS

Public subsidies

CLIENTS (PTA’S)

Ticket revenue

PASSENGERS

Contract-based payment

OPERATORS (PTO’S)

PASSENGERS

Bus services

POLITICAL AGENDA

8-10 YRS

Page 11: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

Route Timetable Vehicle

schedule Driver

schedule

CHARGING STRATEGY

VEHICLE PERFORMANCE

Page 12: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRY IS DEVELOPING FAST

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Battery

technology

Supplier

base

Application competence

Today’s concepts will probably not be very

competitive after one contract

period

Page 13: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

THE FUTURE IS NOW…

From 15 to almost 100 e-buses in coming 18 months

Almost all coming tenders for urban traffic include e-buses

Page 14: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS

Current technology

concepts will likely be obsolete in one

generation contracts

Electric bus systems are

vital components in developing sustainable

cities

To minimize public spending impact, open for optimization of the complete

chain

The future is now…

Page 15: TAKING THE NEXT STEP · TYPICAL COST DISTRIBUTION FOR A CITY NETWORK Driver Capex Energy M & R Admin Other . Station performance drastically reduced . EFFECT OF NETWORK PLANNING DYNAMICS