Taipei September2018 · 2018-09-30 · Bruno G. Geschier Chief Sales & Marketing Officer Chairman...
Transcript of Taipei September2018 · 2018-09-30 · Bruno G. Geschier Chief Sales & Marketing Officer Chairman...
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Floating Offshore Wind - intro and statusTaipei –September2018
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Strictly confidential - All rights reserved 2
Bruno G. Geschier
Chief Sales & Marketing Officer
Chairman – Floating Offshore Wind Taskforce
Chairman – Scientific & Technical Commitee
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TODAY’S TOPICS
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TODAY’S TOPICS
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► floating wind?► key technologies?► key geographies?► current industry status?► where is the market going?► tomorrow’s key challenges?
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FLOATING WIND?
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► evolution … not revolution► opportunity to harnass the best wind
ressources without depth constraints► lesser visual impact► lesser impact on other users of the
maritime environment► option for shallow depth sites with
challenging seabed conditions
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FLOATING WIND?
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► use of cheaper vessels► more on-shore construction and
operations► particularly suitable for tomorrow’s XXL
offshore wind turbines► only option for certain geographies
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FLOATING WIND?
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► tremendous resources … worldwide
Source: Carbon Trust
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KEY TECHNOLOGIES?
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Probable Consolidation
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PROBABLE CONSOLIDATION?
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► floating 2.0► 2023 / 2025 (commercial-scale)► new generation of turbines (12/15MW)► extended design-life (≥ 30 yrs)► larger arrays (≥ 1GW)► high local content expectations► shallow water compatibility► delivery of 50+ units in 18 months (or
less)
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PROBABLE CONSOLIDATION?
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► impact on floating structures and theirdimensions
► impact on constructability andlaunchability
► impact on temporary storage of finishedfloaters
► impact on turbine installation► impact on choice of material, O&M,
etc…
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KEY TECHNOLOGIES?
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Probable Consolidation
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KEY GEOGRAPHIES?
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► Japan
► France
► Scotland
► Portugal
► “shallow” Northern Europe
► Ireland
► Norway
► Taiwan
► South Korea
► US (CA, HI)
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KEY GEOGRAPHIES?
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► Japan
► France
►
► Portugal
►
►
► Norway
►
►
► US (CA, HI)
What do they have in common?
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KEY GEOGRAPHIES?
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► Japan
► France
►
► Portugal
►
►
► Norway
►
►
► US (CA, HI)
Leapfrogging !!
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INDUSTRY STATUS?
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► 8 full-scale demonstrators in the world in 2018▪ 5 in Japan
▪ 1 in Norway
▪ 1 in Portugal
▪ 1 in France
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INDUSTRY STATUS?
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INDUSTRY STATUS?
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Demonstrated technologies
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INDUSTRY STATUS?
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► 8 full-scale demonstrators in the world in 2018▪ 5 in Japan
▪ 1 in Norway, Portugal and France
► 1 pilot farm off Scotland operating since Sept 2017
► 5 pilot farms under development▪ 3 in France
▪ 1 in Scotland and Portugal
► world’s 1st commercial-scale wind farm
scheduled for construction in 2023 (Japan)
► commercial-scale tenders upcoming in France (2019)
and several pre-commercial and commercial-scale
farms under development worldwide
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INDUSTRY STATUS?
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INDUSTRY STATUS?
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FID2015 - 2022
FID2023 - 2028
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KEY GEOGRAPHIES?
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► Japan
► France
► Scotland
► Portugal
► “shallow” Northern Europe
► Ireland
► Norway
► Taiwan
► South Korea
► US (CA, HI)
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KEY GEOGRAPHIES?
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► Japan
► France
► Scotland
► Portugal
►
►
► Norway
►
►
►
What else do they have in common?
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KEY GEOGRAPHIES?
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► Japan
► France
► Scotland
► Portugal
►
►
► Norway
►
►
►
Valuable demonstrator and precommercial-scale exposure /experience
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KEY GEOGRAPHIES?
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► validation of contractual structure and
contractual interface between key
stakeholders, supply-chain, etc.▪ Floater movement impact on wtg
▪ Partial hand-overs between wtg mfr and floater fabricator / supplier
▪ Etc…
► endorsement by contractors of educated
liability risks / financing by lenders
► testing and validation of the supply-chain
► streamlining of the permitting / admin process
► continuous improvement implementation
► etc…
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WHERE IS THE MARKET GOING?
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► accelerating … even leapfrogging► project financing is available …
for the right technologies
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ONGOING CHALLENGES?
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► government support and adequateregulatory framework
► cost-reduction / LCOE targets► supply-chain ramp-up, harbor
infrastructure, etc…► floating sub-stations, etc…
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SAVE THE DATE
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