TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE...

22
THE QUÉBEC ECONOMIC PLAN NOVEMBER 2017 UPDATE TABLES AND CHARTS

Transcript of TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE...

Page 1: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

THE QUÉBEC ECONOMIC PLANNOVEMBER 2017 UPDATE

TABLES AND CHARTS

Page 2: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH

1

Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty

TAX REDUCTION$1 000 more for families

$100 per child per year+

REDUCTION OF POVERTY

$105 million more per year for the support of seniors,

mental health and addiction prevention

ACCESS TO HEALTH CARE

500 additional specialists to assist studentsEDUCATIONAL

SUCCESS

Over 90% of Quebecers will have access to ultra-high-speed Internet

100% of Quebecers will have access to high-speed Internet

INTERNET IN THE REGIONS

Page 3: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

ADDITIONAL INVESTMENTS OF $11.1 BILLION

Additional investments announced in the November 2017 update (millions of dollars)

2

2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023 Total

Easing of the tax burden on individuals 1 082.6 1 066.5 1 000.9 1 020.6 1 040.5 1 060.8 6 271.9

Reduction of poverty 41.3 253.6 405.4 532.0 625.8 701.6 2 559.7

Investments for educational success and health

– Education and childhood: strategy for children aged 0 to 8

17.0 60.0 65.0 65.0 65.0 65.0 337.0

– Higher education 7.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 107.0

– Health and social services 105.0 105.0 105.0 105.0 105.0 105.0 630.0

Subtotal 129.0 185.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 1 074.0

Support for regional economies 86.2 138.0 138.8 113.9 114.7 75.0 666.6

Ensuring a higher income in retirement — 12.8 53.5 97.9 155.9 223.9 544.0

TOTAL 1 339.1 1 655.9 1 788.6 1 954.4 2 126.9 2 251.3 11 116.2

Page 4: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

THE GOVERNMENT IS SHARING THE BUDGETARY SURPLUSES: 50% GIVEN BACK TO QUEBECERS

AS A TAX REDUCTION

Use of the budgetary reserve(millions of dollars)

3

2017-2018

Reduction of the tax burden as of 2017-2018 2 273

Accumulated surpluses in the reserve as at March 31, 2017 4 552

% SHARE 49.9

Page 5: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

DECREASE IN THE TAX RATE APPLICABLE TO THE FIRST DOLLARS OF EARNED INCOME,

FROM 16% TO 15%: A HISTORICALLY LOW RATE

The bottom tax rate (per cent)

4

1516

2017 After

2017 Before

2002 to 2016

200120001998 and 1999

1988 to 1997

1716

19

16

20

Page 6: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

DECREASE IN THE TAX RATE: A MEASURE THAT WILL BENEFIT PRIMARILY THE MIDDLE CLASS

Gain from the decrease in the bottom tax rate to 15%

5

Tax bracketNumber of recipient

taxpayers

Maximum tax cut Total gain in 2017-2018

($) ($ million) (%)

$42 705 or less2 011 459 278 or less 300.7 31

Over $42 705 to $85 405 1 706 804 278 516.7 53

Over $85 405 up to $103 915 216 876 278 65.6 7

Over $103 915 296 731 278 88.4 9

TOTAL 4 231 870 278 971.4 100

84%

Page 7: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

MORE MONEY FOR TAXPAYERS

Illustration of the tax relief for a couple(dollars)

6

2016 2017 2018

Couple with two equal work incomes of $22 500 (total income of $45 000)

– Decrease in the bottom tax rate from 16% to 15% announced in the fall 2017 update — 129 129

– Increase in the basic personal amount announced in the March 2017 Québec Economic Plan — 110 110

– Elimination of the health contribution 200 200 200

REDUCTION IN THE TAX BURDEN 200 439 439

Couple with two equal work incomes of $44 050 (total income of $88 100)

– Decrease in the bottom tax rate from 16% to 15% announced in the fall 2017 update — 556 556

– Increase in the basic personal amount announced in the March 2017 Québec Economic Plan — 110 110

– Elimination of the health contribution 334 334 334

REDUCTION IN THE TAX BURDEN 334 1 000 1 000

Couple with two equal work incomes of $62 500 (total income of $125 000)

– Decrease in the bottom tax rate from 16% to 15% announced in the fall 2017 update — 556 556

– Increase in the basic personal amount announced in the March 2017 Québec Economic Plan — 110 110

– Elimination of the health contribution 400 400 400

REDUCTION IN THE TAX BURDEN 400 1 066 1 066

$1 078

$2 334

$2 532Note: These amounts exclude the impact of annual indexation of the tax system. Totals may not add due to rounding.

Page 8: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

A SUPPLEMENT OF $100 PER CHILD PER YEAR FOR THE PURCHASE OF SCHOOL SUPPLIES

Supplement for the purchase of school supplies by number of children of school age (millions of dollars, unless otherwise indicated)

7

Number of eligible children of school age Assistance granted

Number Cost in 2018-2019

Families Children Amount %

One child $100 354 881 354 881 35.5 32

Two children $200 256 820 513 640 51.4 46

Three or more children $300 or more 77 368 251 894 25.2 22

TOTAL —― 689 069 1 120 415 112.0 100

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

Page 9: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

A PLAN TO LIFT MORE THAN 100 000 PEOPLE OUT OF POVERTY

Additional investments for the third Plan to Combat Poverty and Social Exclusion (millions of dollars)

8

2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023 Total

Increase the disposable income of persons living in poverty

– Increase benefits paid under the last resort financial assistance and Objectif emploi programs 39.7 189.3 293.1 387.4 472.9 539.2 1 921.6

– Encourage labour market participation 0.6 13.8 22.1 30.9 42.6 54.8 164.8

– Other measures to increase disposable income 0.5 18.2 44.8 63.2 63.2 63.2 253.1

Subtotal 40.8 221.3 360.0 481.5 578.7 657.2 2 339.5

Social inclusion measures 0.5 32.3 45.4 50.5 47.1 44.4 220.2

TOTAL 41.3 253.6 405.4 532.0 625.8 701.6 2 559.7

Page 10: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

STRATEGY FOR CHILDREN AGED 0 TO 8: INVESTING MORE IN EDUCATION AND CHILDHOOD

Enhancement of the measures in respect of the strategy 0-8 years targeting young children (millions of dollars)

9

2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023

Childhood

– Foster equal opportunity (support adapted to children’s needs) 0.5 6.3 6.3 6.4 7.7 7.7

– Ensure a continuity of educational services and a smooth transition (from childcare to school) 3.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

– Consolidate and support the quality of education (in childcare services) 1.0 8.0 6.3 7.6 6.7 6.7

– Enable all children to develop essential competencies (in reading, writing and mathematics) 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7

– Help equip parents and foster mobilization and concerted action 0.4 2.0 7.7 7.3 6.9 6.9

Subtotal 5.0 20.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0

Education

– Add professional resources (such as speech therapists and ortho-pedagogists) to assist students

12.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0

TOTAL 17.0 60.0 65.0 65.0 65.0 65.0

Page 11: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

ADDITIONAL RESOURCES IN HEALTH TO MEET QUEBECERS NEEDS

New initiatives for health and social services(millions of dollars)

10

2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020

Improve residential care services for seniors (hospitals and CHSLDs) 18 18 18

Services for vulnerable clienteles (counselling) 17 51 51

Drug addiction prevention, including:

– $5 million per year for prevention of cannabis use 11 20 20

Youth runaway prevention (youth centres and group homes) 5 11 11

Stepping up of institution-based services 46 5 5

Home support: digital equipment for professionals 8 — —

TOTAL 105 105 105

Page 12: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

SUPPORTING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN ALL REGIONS OF QUÉBEC

Initiatives for all regions of Québec(millions of dollars)

11

2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023 Total

Ensuring access to a high-performance digital network in all regions of Québec 25.0 75.0 75.0 50.0 50.0 25.0 300.0

Developing next-generation technologies in Québec (including 5G technology) 11.2 13.0 13.8 13.9 14.7 — 66.6

Support for economic development in all regions 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 300.0

TOTAL 86.2 138.0 138.8 113.9 114.7 75.0 666.6

OVER 90% OF QUEBECERS WILL HAVE ACCESS TO ULTRA-HIGH-SPEED INTERNET

100% OF QUEBECERS WILL HAVE ACCESS TO HIGH-SPEED INTERNET

Page 13: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

PUBLIC ACCOUNTS 2016-2017 CONFIRM A SURPLUS OF $2.4 BILLION, ENABLING THE GOVERNMENT’S ACTIONS

TO BE STRENGTHENED

Budgetary balance,(1) 2012-2013 to 2019-2020(millions of dollars)

12

(1) Budgetary balance within the meaning of the Balanced Budget Act after use of the stabilization reserve.

2012-2013

–1 600

2013-2014

–2 824

2014-2015

–725

2015-2016

2 191

2016-2017

2 361

2017-2018

0

2018-2019

0

2019-2020

0

Page 14: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

THE GOVERNMENT IS BOOSTING ITS INVESTMENTS IN PUBLIC SERVICES

Program spending, by major portfolio(millions of dollars)

13

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. (1) To assess growth in 2017-2018 based on comparable spending levels, the percent changes for that year were calculated by excluding, from 2016-2017 expenditures, transfers from the provision for francization attributed to the Santé et Services sociaux porfolio ($12 million) and the Éducation et Enseignement supérieur portfolio ($79 million) and including them in the 2016-2017 expenditures of the other portfolios

2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019

Santé et Services sociaux 35 388 36 869 38 274

% change 3.3 4.2 3.8

Éducation et Enseignement supérieur 17 061 17 901 18 619

% change 2.8 5.4 4.0

Other portfolios 16 927 17 199 17 900

% change 3.7 1.1 4.1

Contingency Fund — 623 536

Fiscal room — — 250

PROGRAM SPENDING 69 376 72 591 75 579

% change 3.3 4.6 4.1

(1)

(1)

(1)

Page 15: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

A SHARP ACCELERATION IN THE QUÉBEC ECONOMY

Economic growth in Québec(real GDP, percentage change)

14

2.6

1.4

2017(1)2016

1.0

2015

(1) Average for the first two quarters of 2017, compared to the same period in 2016.

Sources: Institut de la statistique du Québec and Statistics Canada.

Page 16: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

AN UNPRECEDENTEDLY VIBRANT LABOUR MARKET

Trend in employment in Québec since 2014(thousands of jobs)

15

Source: Statistics Canada.

4 242.8 jobs in October 2017

2017201620152014

4 041.0 jobs in April 2014

201 800 jobs created, including 197 300 full-time jobs

Page 17: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

QUÉBEC CREATED NEARLY 30% OF JOBS IN CANADA, ANDTHE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE FELL TO HISTORIC LOWS

Share of total job creation in Canada, 2017(1)

(per cent)

16

Unemployment rate(per cent)

28.6

Qué.Ont. Alta.B.C.

36.0

27.1

6.13.0

1.0 0.6 0.5 0.0

–3.0N.S.Man. N.B.P.E.I. Sask. N.L.

(1) Average for available ten months in 2017, compared to the same period in 2016.

Source: Statistics Canada.

7.9

2007 2009

6.8

8.9 8.8

2011 2013

8.1

6.1

5.82015 2017

Source: Statistics Canada.

Page 18: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

EMPLOYEES BENEFIT FROM THE STRONG ECONOMIC GROWTH

Average hourly wage(1)

(percentage change, in nominal terms)

17

Purchasing power of workers(1)

(percentage change, in real terms)

(1) Average hourly wage for all employees. (2) Average for the first nine months of 2017 compared to the same period in 2016.

Source: Statistics Canada.

(1) Average hourly wage for all employees relative to the cost of living measured by the CPI. (2) Average for the first nine months of 2017 compared to the same period in 2016.

Source: Statistics Canada.

2.8

2.2

2015

2.8

2.1

2016

3.0

1.3

2017(2)

Québec

Canada

1.61.1

2015

2.1

0.7

2016

2.1

–0.22017(2)

Québec

Canada

Page 19: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

QUÉBEC CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AT AN ALL-TIME HIGH

Change in the index of consumer confidence(points, 2014=100)

18

Québec: 144.5

201720162015201420132012

Canada: 116.6

Québec: 85.5

Québec

Canada

Source: Conference Board of Canada.

Page 20: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

A RETURN TO INVESTMENT GROWTH IN QUÉBEC

Total non-residential business investment in Québec(percentage change, in real terms)

19

Sources: Institut de la statistique du Québec, Statistics Canada and Ministère des Finances du Québec.

3.8

–3.8

20182015

2.9

2017

1.2

2016

–10.6

2014

–1.1

2013

9.1

2012

Page 21: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

$467-MILLION DECREASE IN THE GROSS DEBT OVER TWO YEARS

Annual change in Québec’s gross debt as at March 31(millions of dollars)

20

4 777

2007

4 720

2008

3 289

2009

5 688

2010

10 118

2011

9 948

2012

8 482

2013

5 941

2014

6 150

2015

–610

2016

143

2017

Over two years, the gross debt has decreased by $467 million

Page 22: TABLES AND CHARTS - Quebec · 2017-11-21 · TABLES AND CHARTS. ENABLING QUEBECERS TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH 1 Lift more than 100 000 people out of poverty TAX REDUCTION $1 000

MAINTENANCE OF COMMITMENTS TO REDUCE THE DEBT

Gross debt as at March 31(percentage of GDP)

21

2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026

Objective

54.9

51.9

53.4

50.950.7

49.2

47.9

46.746.3

45.945.445.0