TPP Updates-Novice

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TPP Updates Middle School Novice Topic – Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially increase its economic and/or diplomatic engagement with the People’s Republic of China.*Replace or add the following pages to your packet. Also, use this updated TOC.*

TPP Updates-Novice

Table of Contents[updated to include December 12 TPP updates]

***How To Section***...............................................................................................What Is Policy Debate?.............................................................................................Speeches and Speech Order....................................................................................The Constructive Speeches......................................................................................The Rebuttal Speeches............................................................................................How to write a block and why?..............................................................................What are blocks? Are they really, really, really important?....................................Judge Adaptation....................................................................................................Cutting Cards.........................................................................................................Using Articles.........................................................................................................***TPP 1AC and 1NC***..........................................................................................How to Use This Section.........................................................................................Intro to the topic....................................................................................................Glossary.................................................................................................................AFFIRMATIVE..........................................................................................................1 st Affirmative Constructive (1AC)- new ..................................................................Affirmative Coontainment Advantage Updates-new............................................**Affirmative extensions- Containment**..............................................................“They say: China doesn’t see TPP as containment”...............................................Extension to Solvency contention..........................................................................Answers to Appeasement DA.................................................................................**NEGATIVE arguments**.......................................................................................Negative Introduction............................................................................................Sample 1NC Appeasement Disad (1/3)..................................................................Sample 1NC Appeasement Disad (2/3)..................................................................Sample 1NC Appeasement Disad (3/3)..................................................................Sample 1NC Answer to Containment advantage...................................................Answer to Containment Advantage Updates-new................................................Answer to Containment Advantage Updates-new................................................Sample 1NC Answer to Solvency...........................................................................Extensions to 1NC Appeasement DA.....................................................................“They say: Assurance is low now”..........................................................................

TPP Updates-Novice

Key WordsRatify— Sign or give formal consent to (a treaty, contract, or agreement), making it officially valid.

Economic Interdependence— A relationship between two or more people, regions, nations or other entities in which each is dependent on the other for necessary goods or services. Economic interdependence often occurs when all parties are specialized in the fulfillment of some requirements, and must trade with others for unmet requirements.

State Consolidation- Multiple governing entities coming together; unifying.

Hegemonic- the social, cultural, ideological, or economic influence exerted by a dominant group.

Duties- a tax on certain items purchased abroad.

TPP Updates-Novice

***Affirmative-Plan and Inherency***[ Replace page 21]

(Note to debaters: You must read a plan during the 1AC—it’s the most important thing the affirmative reads! Don’t skip it!)

Plan: The United States federal government should increase diplomatic and economic engagement with The People’s Republic of China, by ratifying the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal AND invite The People's Republic of China to join the Trans-Pacific Partnership making clear to the Chinese government that they are not excluded, can meet standards, and are encouraged to apply for membership.

Contention 1 is Inherency:

Trump’s presidency means no TPP. Japan will not ratify it without the U.S. ratifying TPP.The Hill Times 11/30/16, “No Pacific trade deal without the U.S., says Japanese envoyChinese-led negotiations may be Canada’s last chance at a regional agreement.”, https://www.hilltimes.com/2016/11/30/no-pacific-trade-deal-without-u-s-says-japanese-envoy/89253

Japan’s ambassador has nixed the possibility of a trans-Pacific trade deal without the United States, scuttling the hopes of members of Canada’s official opposition and others who have called for the remaining members of the TPP to push for a new deal if U.S. president-elect Donald Trump makes good on his promise to pull out of the agreement.“If the United States is out, I think it is very difficult to strike a deal again. Because the whole background conditions are totally different, so what we have negotiated may not apply to areas,” Ambassador Kenjiro Monji told The Hill Times last week.The Trans-Pacific Partnership’s ratification formula effectively requires both Japan and the United States to implement the deal for it to come into effect. Mr. Trump has signaled that won’t happen, and Mr. Monji signalled that Japan has no interest in renegotiating the deal with the remaining 11 members.Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe also said last week the TPP would be “ meaningless ” without the U.S.

TPP Updates-Novice

*** Aff Containment Updates ***[Add as page 22a]

The plan solidifies economic interdependence which prevents conflictAcharya 16 Amitav Acharya, UNESCO chair in Transnational Challenges and Governance and professor of international relations at the School of International Service, American University, 2016 (“Building Asian security,” East Asia Forum, January 24th, Available Online at http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2016/01/24/building-asian-security/)

The architecture of security pluralism can be likened to an ecosystem. The components support each other and the loss or weakening of one would damage the others and endanger overall stability. For instance, economic interdependence acts as a check on security competition, contributes to state consolidation and regime legitimation, as well as encourages strategic and ideological accommodation. Interdependence also necessitates and supports regional institutions, which not only help to manage frictions, but also dampen great power rivalry. Contrary to a popular understanding, ecosystems are not self-sustaining. Their stability requires careful and cooperative management. The following suggestions, though not exhaustive, deserve consideration as a source of policy ideas, from which specific recommendations can be derived. First, it is essential to maintain the openness and inclusiveness of regional economic arrangements. More specifically, this means ensuring that the AIIB and TPP do not undermine economic interdependence and engender conflict. A forum of economics and security officials under the auspices of the East Asia Summit (EAS) and the Asia–Pacific Economic Cooperation — which would include the United States — could be useful for this purpose.

Anti-China trade rhetoric escalates to full blown conflictLim 15 Linda Lim, Professor of Strategy at the Stephen Ross School of Business, University of Michigan, 2015 (“The myth of US-China economic competition,” Straits Times, December 16th, Available Online at http://www.straitstimes.com/opinion/the-myth-of-us-china-economic-competition)

Market forces may be non-transparent and scary, but not any more so than government policy actions, especially when, as in China's case recently, they are accompanied by a strict clampdown on information and its purveyors. This suggests that economic problems might be worse than they appear, and that policy can aggravate them by retarding reforms, increasing uncertainty, and paralyzing both state actors and private investors. No doubt the US and China have their differences, and compete for global influence. But politicians and pundits on both sides of the Pacific should ratchet down their rhetoric that privileges domestic political myth over international economic reality. If not, a rising risk of conflict over the other's hegemonic aspirations that each rails against, might make the rest of us both poorer, and less secure.

TPP Updates-Novice

TPP Updates-Novice

*** Neg Containment Updates (1/2) ***[Add as page 33a]

China is not concerned about being excluded economically from the TPPJackson 15 (Allison, GlobalPost writer, 15 years, “Why China doesn’t mind being left out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership,” http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2015/10/09/why-china-doesnt-mind-being-left-out-trans-pacific-partnership/73640192/)

Excluding China has been widely interpreted as an attempt by the United States to curtail Beijing’s growing political and economic might in the Asia Pacific region, and some experts have described it as a “terrible mistake.” But does Beijing really care? Possibly not as much as you might think. For starters, China doesn’t need to belong to the TPP to enjoy some of the perks that come with being a member. Beijing already has free trade agreements with more than half of the TPP countries, including Australia, New Zealand, Chile, Peru, Singapore, Brunei and Vietnam, and it can exploit those arrangements to minimize or avoid import duties that would normally apply to made-in-China products. Felipe Caro and Christopher Tang of UCLA's Anderson School of Management explained in Fortune magazine this week how that could work. “To satisfy certain country-of-origin conditions stipulated in TPP, China can manage the supply chain operations of cotton shirts by importing cotton from Pakistan (via its existing free trade agreement with China) and conduct 'upstream' operations, such as fabric design, knitting and dyeing at home. "Then China can ship the fabric to Vietnam (via an existing free trade agreement with China). At the same time, Japan can ship the buttons to Vietnam (via the TPP). Vietnam can perform 'downstream' operations (sewing) and then ship the finished shirts via TPP agreement to Australia, Japan and the United States, cutting off the 5%, 10.9% and 16.5% import duties that would have applied if China had dealt directly with these countries.” And China clearly doesn’t require the TPP to enhance its already sizeable influence in the world. Beijing is a card-carrying member of the World Trade Organization, has a permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council and is the driving force behind the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), which could potentially become a rival to the World Bank and Asia Development Bank once it gets going. The China-led AIIB, which has the support of dozens of countries, aims to fund infrastructure projects in the region and could help Beijing buy the support of its neighbors. China is also on track to become one of the world’s biggest overseas investors by 2020, with outbound foreign direct investment already topping $100 billion a year. In some countries, China’s investment is actually bigger than the loans they get from the International Monetary Fund, and that gives Beijing a lot of economic and political clout. On top of that China is busy negotiating its own free-trade pact with 15 countries in the Asia Pacific region and is expected to become the world's largest economy in the next decade. “That preponderance is driven by China’s sheer size, its continued growth — which though slower than in the past is still faster than that of most other Asian

TPP Updates-Novice

economies — and its increasing centrality in global supply chains,” Arthur Kroeber, managing director of Gavekal Dragonomics and editor of China Economic Quarterly, told Foreign Policy. Missing out on a TPP membership card won't change that.

TPP Updates-Novice

*** Neg Containment Updates (2/2) ***[Add as page 33b]

TPP rules wont moderate ChinaStiglitz 16 (Joseph, Nobel prize winning economist, 2016, “Will TPP Help to Curb China’s Rise?,” March 28th, http://rooseveltinstitute.org/will-tpp-help-curb-chinas-rise/)

TPP partners may someday invite China to join the agreement. Will TPP’s rules then compel China to implement “higher standards,” say for the environment or labor? Sadly, not to the extent that one would expect from a “21st century” agreement. In addition to rolling back environmental standards found in past trade agreements and largely replicating weak labor standards, U.S. negotiators also made sure to preserve the same toothless enforcement mechanisms we have seen fail in past U.S. agreements. Worse, rather than elevating standards, TPP grants new rights for foreign investors to dispute government actions, which will effectively lock in the abysmal state of environmental, health, consumer safety, and worker protections that define today’s global economy. China is already proving adept at challenging the United States at the World Trade Organization; current bilateral negotiations for an investment treaty show that China’s companies are similarly eager to bring investor disputes against U.S. laws and regulations. TPP includes provisions to restrict state-owned enterprises (SOEs), of which China has many. These measures show little concern for the development role SOEs can play in the poorest countries and are (not surprisingly) driven more by corporate interests. Even for the United States, public enterprises have played economically important roles that have raised general welfare. Following the 2008 crash, General Motors and Chrysler were, for a while, effectively SOEs, and almost all home mortgages are underwritten by public enterprise following the breakdown of private mortgage lending. There is worry, of course, that state aid gives government enterprise an advantageous position that unfairly slants the global competitive landscape. But even TPP’s conditions on commercially oriented SOEs fail to ensure a level competitive playing field. Already Vietnam and Malaysia, countries with a fraction of China’s bargaining clout, have negotiated extensive exemptions to the measures; presumably China would achieve even greater accommodation. Even without exemptions, TPP rules would not bind on the vast majority of China’s SOEs: those controlled at the local government level, which are not only more numerous but in many cases more productive and successful at exporting than their central SOE cousins.