Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during...

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Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012 MARK WEILAND, BISHES RAYAMAJHI, JINA KIM, CHRISTA WOODLEY, GENE PLOSKEY, JON RERECICH 1 AND BRAD EPPARD 1 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory 1 U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Portland District, Portland, OR

Transcript of Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during...

Page 1: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008-2012 MARK WEILAND, BISHES RAYAMAJHI, JINA KIM, CHRISTA WOODLEY, GENE PLOSKEY, JON RERECICH1 AND BRAD EPPARD1 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory 1U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Portland District, Portland, OR

Page 2: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Introduction: BON

Operation of Bonneville Dam to reduce fish injury B2 operation at low to mid range of 1% peak efficiency

Improve conditions for guided fish in the gatewell May result in unfavorable conditions for turbine passed fish

B1 increase flow to offset reduced discharge at B2

Compare survival within to above the 1% operating range Best operating point (range) as identified by TSP

Spillway survival variability

Erosion of stilling basin or ogees in several spill bays and accumulation of rock

2

Page 3: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Objectives: BON

Analyze 2008-2012 JSATS and operations data to examine survival rates for juvenile salmonids at BON

B2 Turbine Survival Comparison:

Examine survival for fish passing turbines operating across the 1% peak efficiency range

B1 Turbine Survival Comparison:

Examine survival for fish passing turbines operating within the 1% peak efficiency range and above the upper limit of the 1% operating range

Bonneville Spillway:

Examine spillway survival by spillbay with focus on those bays where erosion of the ogee or stilling basin immediately downstream had occurred

3

Page 4: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Methods: BON

B1 turbines Lower quarter of 1% efficiency (Q1) Lower middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q2) Upper middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q3) 1% of peak efficiency (Q4) Best operating point/range (BOP) Above best operating point to generator limit (ABOP)

B2 turbines Lower quarter of 1% efficiency (Q1) Lower middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q2) Upper middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q3) 1% of peak efficiency (Q4)

BON spillway By bay Group bays

4

Page 5: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Methods: B1 and B2 Binned Operating Ranges

5

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

14,000

32 37 42 47 52 57 62 67 72

Disc

harg

e (c

fs)

HEAD (ft)

B1 Turbine Operating Range Best Op PointUL_Q4 = UL_1%UL_Q3UL_Q2UL_Q1LL_Q1 = LL_1% Above BOP

Best Operating

Point

Q4

Q3

Q1

Q2

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

32 37 42 47 52 57 62 67 72

Disc

harg

e (c

fs)

HEAD (ft)

B2 Turbine Operating Range (w/STS) UL_Q4 = UL_1%UL_Q3UL_Q2UL_Q1LL_Q1 = LL_1%Q4

Q3

Q2

Q1

Page 6: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON B1 Survival By Species and Operation

6

Page 7: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B1 CH1 Passage Distribution

7

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

14,000

32 42 52 62 72

Dis

char

ge (c

fs)

HEAD (ft)

Best Op RangeUL_Q4 = UL_1%UL_Q3UL_Q2UL_Q1LL_Q1 = LL_1%

Best Op Range

Q4 Q3

Q2

Q1

Above BOR

2010 2011 2012

Page 8: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B1 CH1 Survival by Operating Condition

Surv

ival

Surv

ival

493 332 1603 1935

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

1.10

LL to UL LL to BOP UL to BOP ABOP

22 1008 215 235 145

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

1.10

<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Page 9: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B1 STH Passage Distribution

9

2010 2011 2012

7000

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

13000

14000

32 42 52 62 72

Dis

char

ge (c

fs)

HEAD (ft)

Best Op RangeUL_Q4 = UL_1%UL_Q3UL_Q2UL_Q1LL_Q1 = LL_1%

Best Op Range

Q4

Q3

Q2

Q1

Above BOR

Page 10: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B1 STH Survival by Operating Condition

Surv

ival

Surv

ival

493 334 1861 2195

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

1.10

LL to UL LL to BOP UL to BOP ABOP

21 204 1199 306 152

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

1.10

<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Page 11: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B1 CH0 Passage Distribution

11

7000

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

13000

14000

32 42 52 62 72

Dis

char

ge (c

fs)

HEAD (ft)

Best Op RangeUL_Q4 = UL_1%UL_Q3UL_Q2UL_Q1LL_Q1 = LL_1%

2010 2011 2012

Best Op Range

Q4

Q3

Q2

Q1

Above BOR

Page 12: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B1 CH0 Survival by Operating Condition

Surv

ival

Surv

ival

380 1407

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

1.10

LL to UL LL to BOP UL to BOP ABOP

1787

3 1187 116 47 57

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

1.10

<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Page 13: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON B1 Survival at Lower & Upper BOP

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Page 14: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

7000

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

13000

14000

32 42 52 62 72

VR_B1_T_CH1_UBOPVR_B1_T_CH1_LBOPBest Op PointUL_Q4 = UL_1%UL_Q3UL_Q2UL_Q1

Above BOP

Best Op Point

Q4

Q3

Q2

Q1

Analyses: BON B1 CH1 Survival within BOP

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Page 15: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B1 STH Survival within BOP

15

7000

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

13000

14000

32 42 52 62 72

VR_B1_T_STH_UBOPVR_B1_T_STH_LBOPBest Op PointUL_Q4 = UL_1%UL_Q3UL_Q2UL_Q1

Above BOP

Best Op Point

Q4

Q3

Q2

Q1

Page 16: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B1 CH0 Survival within BOP

16

7000

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

13000

14000

32 42 52 62 72

VR_B1_T_CH0_LBOPBest Op PointUL_Q4 = UL_1%UL_Q3UL_Q2UL_Q1LL_Q1 = LL_1% Above BOP

Best Op Point

Q4

Q3

Q2

Q1

Page 17: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON B2 Survival By Species and Operation

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Page 18: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B2 CH1 Passage by Quartile

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Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

9000

11000

13000

15000

17000

19000

21000

32 42 52 62 72

Dis

char

ge (c

fs)

HEAD (ft)

UL_Q4 = UL_1%UL_Q3UL_Q2UL_Q1LL_Q1 = LL_1%

Page 19: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

19

Analyses: BON B2 CH1 Survival by Operating Condition

Surv

ival

24 759 574 267

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

1.10

<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

469

Page 20: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B2 STH Passage Distribution

20

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1

9000

11000

13000

15000

17000

19000

21000

32 42 52 62 72

Dis

char

ge (c

fs)

HEAD (ft)

UL_Q4 = UL_1%UL_Q3UL_Q2UL_Q1LL_Q1 = LL_1%

Page 21: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B2 STH Survival by Operating Condition

21

14 202 541 376 146

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

1.10

1.20

<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Surv

ival

Page 22: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B2 CH0 Passage Distribution

22

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1

9000

11000

13000

15000

17000

19000

21000

32 42 52 62 72

Dis

char

ge (c

fs)

HEAD (ft)

UL_Q4 = UL_1%UL_Q3UL_Q2UL_Q1LL_Q1 = LL_1%

Page 23: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON B2 CH0 Survival by Operating Condition

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22 1444 298 501 384

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

1.10

<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Surv

ival

Page 24: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

B2: STS vs No STS, 2008 & 2011

CH1 Estimate s.e. Count

2008 With STS_Q4 0.9320 0.0414 69

Without STS_Q4 0.8299 0.0617 61

2011

With STS_Q4 0.9414 0.0495 50 Without STS_Q4 0.9369 0.0601 37 With STS_Q3_Q4 0.9511 0.0338 125

Without STS_Q3_Q4 0.9771 0.0494 50

STH Estimate s.e. Count

2008 With STS_Q4 0.9339 0.071 29

Without STS_Q4 1.0417 0.2039 24

2011

With STS_Q4 0.9000 0.0987 15 Without STS_Q4 0.9231 0.0739 13 With STS_Q3_Q4 0.8907 0.0553 45

Without STS_Q3_Q4 0.9790 0.0527 22

Page 25: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON Spillway Surival

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Page 26: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

576 791 783

650 559 385 384 387

309 320

350 317 346

385

454

600

729

351

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00Yearling Chinook

Analyses: BON Spillway CH1 and STH Survival by Bay

26

Sur

viva

l S

urvi

val

521 623

650

493 459 301

332 322 330 350 318 333

379 450

620 333

717 552

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00Steelhead

Page 27: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON Spillway CH1 and STH Survival, Grouped Bays

27

2150 1978 1683 1185 1680

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1794 1585 1653 1162 1889

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

Surv

ival

Surv

ival

Steelhead

Yearling Chinook

Page 28: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON Spillway Survival by Grouped Bays

28

371 340 242 244

319

479

365 323 260

339 776

617 641 423 712

524 656 477 258 310

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

Bay01-03 Bay04-07 Bay08-12 Bay13-15 Bay16-18

2008 2010 2011 2012

Sur

viva

l

Yearling Chinook

335 315 276 262 295

344 235 306 178 300 677 524 623 426 861 438 511 448 296

433

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

Bay01-03 Bay04-07 Bay08-12 Bay13-15 Bay16-18

2008 2010 2011 2012 Steelhead

Sur

viva

l

Page 29: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON Spillway CH0 Survival by Bay

29

Sur

viva

l

496

548 668 1021 599

503 404

322 293 357

425 326 362 310 437

574 622 331

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00Subyearling Chinook

Page 30: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON Spillway CH0 Survival, Grouped Bays

30

1712 2527 1723 1109 1527

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

Surv

ival

Page 31: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON Spillway Survival by Bays, CH0

31

509 513

493 265 499 477 422 326 204

358 726 1592 904 640 670

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

Bay01-03 Bay04-07 Bay08-12 Bay13-15 Bay16-18

2008 2010 2012 Sub-Yearling Chinook

Sur

viva

l

Page 32: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON Spillway CH1 and STH Survival by Discharge

32

808 3279

175 356 311

193 507 141

137 218 214

241 154

184 134

235 286

269 261 363

209

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

Discharge (kcfs)

Yearling Chinook

Sur

viva

l

603 2765

158 333 321 269 469

118 121

283 259

211 134 178 122 273 310 245

303 418

190

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

Discharge (kcfs)

Sur

viva

l

Steelhead

Page 33: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: BON Spillway CH0 Survival by Discharge

33

1279 873

536 495

937

457 1192 870 868

303 100

214 129

256 89

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

y = 0.0004x + 0.8979 R² = 0.6299

0.90

0.92

0.94

0.96

0.98

1.00

80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240

Surv

ival

Discharge (kcfs)

Sur

viva

l

Discharge (kcfs)

Page 34: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON Survival by Tailwater Elevation

34

Page 35: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

90 236

706 928 780

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m

92 165

623 862 708

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m

Analyses: BON B1 Survival by Tailwater Level

Yearling Chinook

Sur

viva

l

Steelhead

Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.9868 1.0378 0.9358

6m 1.0052 1.0350 0.9754

7m 0.9643 0.9800 0.9486

8m 0.9635 0.9766 0.9504

≥ 9m 0.9652 0.9915 0.9389

Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.8575 0.9408 0.7742 6m 0.9403 0.9732 0.9074 7m 0.9369 0.9551 0.9187 8m 0.9468 0.9617 0.9319

≥ 9m 0.9306 0.9559 0.9053

35

Sur

viva

l Tim

e at TWE

L

Time at TW

EL

Page 36: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

103

132 568 815

172

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m

Analyses: BON B1 Survival by Tailwater Level

Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI

≤ 5m 0.8939 0.9537 0.8341

6m 0.9811 1.0070 0.9552

7m 0.9604 0.9776 0.9432

8m 0.9517 0.9668 0.9366

≥ 9m 0.9483 0.9816 0.9150

Sur

viva

l

36

Sub-Yearling Chinook

Time at TW

EL

Page 37: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

1067 367

243

216 106

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m

Analyses: BON B2 Survival by Tailwater Level

Sur

viva

l

Sur

viva

l

37

Time at TW

EL

Time at TW

EL

Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI

≤ 5m 0.8596 0.8819 0.8373

6m 0.8955 0.9288 0.8622

7m 0.9846 1.0052 0.9640

8m 0.8953 0.9378 0.8528

≥ 9m 0.9144 0.9775 0.8513

Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI

≤ 5m 0.877 0.0089 1547

6m 0.951 0.0106 556

7m 0.958 0.0102 490

8m 0.960 0.0091 534

≥ 9m 0.917 0.0222 264

Yearling Chinook

Steelhead

1547

556 490 534

264

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

≤5m 6m 7m 8m ≥9m

Page 38: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

1227 280 398 1375 315

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m

Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.8720 0.8910 0.8530 6m 0.9440 0.9712 0.9168 7m 0.9454 0.9685 0.9223 8m 0.9522 0.9640 0.9404

≥ 9m 0.9663 0.9867 0.9459

Analyses: BON B2 Survival by Tailwater Level

Sur

viva

l

38

Time at TW

EL

Sub-Yearling Chinook

Page 39: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

1197 1678

1518 1886 2397

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m

892 1413

1385 1955

2490

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m

Analyses: BON Spillway Survival by Tailwater Level

Sur

viva

l

Sur

viva

l

Bin S. Estimate + 95 CI -95 CI

≤ 5m 0.9333 0.9482 0.9184 6m 0.9505 0.9638 0.9372 7m 0.9331 0.9460 0.9202 8m 0.9434 0.9550 0.9318

≥ 9m 0.9461 0.9624 0.9298

Bin S. Estimate + 95 CI -95 CI

≤ 5m 0.9474 0.9641 0.9307 6m 0.9543 0.9686 0.9400 7m 0.9339 0.9474 0.9204 8m 0.9378 0.9496 0.9260

≥ 9m 0.9613 0.9750 0.9476

39

Time at TW

EL

Time at TW

EL

Yearling Chinook

Steelhead

Page 40: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

996 683

2478 4031 410

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m

40

Analyses: BON Spillway Survival by Tailwater Level

Bin S. Estimate + 95 CI -95 CI

≤ 5m 0.9050 0.9234 0.8866

6m 0.9210 0.9418 0.9002

7m 0.9508 0.9598 0.9418

8m 0.9672 0.9729 0.9615

≥ 9m 0.9709 0.9872 0.9546

Sur

viva

l

Time at TW

EL

Sub-Yearling Chinook

Page 41: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON Egress

41

Page 42: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON: CH1 Tailrace Egress B1 and B2

42

BON ROUTE Treatment Mean StdErr Min Max Median N

B1

ABO 4.23 0.70 0.21 200.41 0.30 485

BOP 5.90 1.67 0.24 281.36 0.37 286

Q4 3.55 0.57 0.24 273.35 0.37 860

Q3 2.43 0.82 0.23 110.46 0.38 189

Q2 3.36 1.15 0.28 102.24 0.44 136

Q1 6.40 2.10 0.27 280.27 0.46 234

<1% 15.43 14.73 0.25 310.11 0.53 21

B2

Q4 5.92 0.29 0.25 42.82 6.79 340

Q3 3.85 0.35 0.29 14.63 0.75 166

Q2 3.52 0.26 0.25 33.28 0.71 452

Q1 4.29 0.27 0.28 61.72 0.71 685

<1% 8.92 0.79 0.58 18.77 8.45 26

Page 43: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON: STH Tailrace Egress B1 and B2

BON ROUTE Treatment Mean StdErr Min Max Median N

B1

ABO 15.11 2.21 0.20 415.51 0.42 476

BOP 23.96 3.49 0.25 404.61 0.58 282

Q4 17.14 1.39 0.24 419.08 0.52 1013

Q3 7.75 2.10 0.26 225.21 0.63 146

Q2 9.84 4.57 0.25 589.93 0.57 146

Q1 8.51 1.69 0.25 254.90 0.60 301

<1% 6.61 4.55 0.31 87.32 0.77 19

B2

Q4 5.95 0.33 0.22 21.13 6.95 165

Q3 5.08 1.13 0.21 105.44 0.83 116

Q2 3.68 0.48 0.22 138.40 0.82 333

Q1 3.40 0.24 0.26 48.20 0.79 492

<1% 5.98 0.86 0.25 10.24 6.74 14

Page 44: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON: CH0 Tailrace Egress B1 and B2

BON ROUTE Treatment Mean StdErr Min Max Median N

B1

BOP 4.33 0.68 0.27 127.56 0.40 363

Q4 3.81 0.68 0.24 622.50 0.40 1148

Q3 1.67 0.53 0.25 44.93 0.39 116

Q2 1.22 0.56 0.32 31.24 0.44 56

Q1 2.17 1.45 0.29 68.26 0.46 47

<1% 0.81 0.13 0.56 0.97 0.90 3

B2

Q4 3.62 0.13 0.19 32.29 0.72 1320

Q3 4.98 1.47 0.21 530.52 0.74 364

Q2 4.07 0.24 0.22 18.89 0.79 411

Q1 6.39 0.32 0.29 26.43 7.45 266

<1% 11.35 1.64 1.03 27.60 11.01 14

Page 45: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON: CH1 Tailrace Egress Spillway

SP10 Mean StdErr Min Max Median N 70 0.83 0.16 0.38 3.07 0.53 18 80 1.76 1.13 0.33 306.51 0.51 271 90 1.54 0.13 0.32 16.68 0.48 472

100 1.88 0.09 0.19 157.14 0.43 2992 110 0.86 0.21 0.29 26.45 0.39 146 120 1.14 0.18 0.26 38.92 0.38 288 130 0.39 0.03 0.26 6.73 0.35 251 140 0.53 0.12 0.26 12.85 0.34 126 150 1.69 0.16 0.23 18.30 0.33 352 160 0.32 0.00 0.24 0.51 0.31 113 170 3.84 0.86 0.25 68.85 0.35 84 180 2.59 0.26 0.23 17.49 0.33 176 190 6.35 0.31 0.22 42.81 6.41 175 200 4.32 0.29 0.20 16.78 5.25 199 210 5.15 0.30 0.13 16.17 6.03 119 220 6.02 0.18 0.22 20.18 6.05 154 230 3.62 0.37 0.01 12.29 5.11 89 240 2.84 0.33 0.01 12.26 0.40 105 250 0.56 0.13 0.02 11.04 0.28 125 260 0.29 0.01 0.01 0.94 0.27 136 270 0.29 0.02 0.02 2.11 0.27 110 280 0.29 0.01 0.01 1.14 0.28 129 290 0.26 0.02 0.01 0.61 0.26 39 300 0.27 0.04 0.01 0.70 0.28 16

Page 46: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON: STH Tailrace Egress Spillway

SP10 Mean StdErr Min Max Median N 70 0.50 0.08 0.39 0.65 0.47 3 80 0.66 0.05 0.35 7.76 0.47 163 90 2.21 0.34 0.31 91.65 0.45 411

100 1.97 0.28 0.28 614.65 0.42 2537 110 0.64 0.10 0.29 6.62 0.38 123 120 1.95 0.17 0.27 11.14 0.38 292 130 0.57 0.07 0.26 7.17 0.35 252 140 0.53 0.09 0.25 11.92 0.32 175 150 1.40 0.13 0.23 12.13 0.33 321 160 0.46 0.07 0.25 5.74 0.31 105 170 3.18 0.34 0.22 13.22 3.05 73 180 2.57 0.20 0.11 10.49 0.38 213 190 5.17 0.37 0.22 70.37 5.14 205 200 3.41 0.22 0.05 14.68 4.46 167 210 4.38 0.25 0.19 11.32 4.94 95 220 5.10 0.13 0.19 9.19 5.13 132 230 3.85 0.34 0.10 16.41 4.89 75 240 2.04 0.24 0.11 7.43 0.42 90 250 0.57 0.14 0.01 13.65 0.30 116 260 0.33 0.02 0.02 2.15 0.29 133 270 0.55 0.22 0.03 22.94 0.31 103 280 0.31 0.02 0.01 1.73 0.29 142 290 0.32 0.03 0.03 0.70 0.29 39 300 0.30 0.05 0.01 0.53 0.33 8

Page 47: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

BON: CH0 Tailrace Egress Spillway

SP10 v StdErr Min Max Median N

80 6.72 0.29 0.40 18.00 6.88 130

90 6.34 0.15 0.34 40.68 7.15 985

100 1.67 0.11 0.31 21.46 0.47 814

110 5.75 0.22 0.31 47.89 6.91 474

120 1.08 0.10 0.27 11.91 0.38 471

130 2.69 0.16 0.26 26.07 0.37 860

140 2.85 0.22 0.26 24.85 0.36 408

150 0.99 0.08 0.23 50.35 0.33 1130

160 1.38 0.11 0.23 23.80 0.31 801

170 1.71 0.13 0.23 23.51 0.31 744

180 1.26 0.80 0.22 217.95 0.30 275

190 0.44 0.11 0.23 10.71 0.28 99

200 3.36 0.40 0.21 22.72 0.29 205

210 0.35 0.04 0.21 4.13 0.28 126

220 0.29 0.02 0.19 4.40 0.26 242

230 0.29 0.02 0.19 1.06 0.25 78

Page 48: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Conclusions: BON

48

B1 There was not a difference in survival for salmonids passing within the 1% of peak operating efficiency and salmonids passing at operations above the upper 1% operating efficiency

B2 Lower survival for CH1 in Q4 range No difference in survival for STH across operating range No difference in survival for CH0 across operating range

Spillway No obvious bay affect Lower survival of CH1 and STH above 290 kcfs discharge Trend of lower survival for CH0 at low discharge levels

Page 49: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Introduction: TDA

Introduction High flows forced spill discharge at bays outside the new tailrace spillway wall. Concern of lower survival due to predation

Objective Examined spillway passage survival for juvenile salmonids passing on the north (spillbays 1-8) and south (spillbays 9-23) of the new spill wall at TDA

2010-2012 JSATS datasets

49

Page 50: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

6021 487

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

Bay01-08 Bay09-22

Analyses: TDA Survival Within and Outside of Spill Wall

50

Yearling Chinook

Sur

viva

l

Sur

viva

l

Steelhead

6594 666

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

Bay01-08 Bay09-22

5040 141

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

Bay01-08 Bay09-22

Subyearling Chinook

Sur

viva

l

Bay09-23

Bay09-23

Bay09-23

Page 51: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

435 231

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

Bay09-12 Bay13-22

Sur

viva

l

304 183

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

Bay09-12 Bay13-22

Analyses: TDA Survival Outside of Spill Wall, Grouped Bays

51

Yearling Chinook

Sur

viva

l

Steelhead

Subyearling Chinook

Sur

viva

l

Bay13-23

Bay13-23

Bay13-23

Page 52: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

1589 2360 1976 730 1080

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

<=72k 96k 120k 144k >=168k

1350 2523 2249 946 1320

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

<=72k 96k 120k 144k >=168k

Analyses: TDA Survival Grouped by Flow

52

Sur

viva

l %

Time at D

ischarge S

urvi

val

%Tim

e at Discharge

Steelhead

Yearling Chinook

Page 53: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

710

646 3600 915 889

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

<=72k 96k 120k 144k >=168k

Analyses: TDA Survival Grouped by Flow

53

Subyearling Chinook

Sur

viva

l %

Time at D

ischarge

Page 54: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

TDA Spillway

54

Page 55: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: TDA Survival by Bay for All Years

55

513 704 710 808 892 925 1034 2150

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

Bay 01 Bay 02 Bay 03 Bay 04 Bay 05 Bay 06 Bay 07 Bay 08

Sur

viva

l

Yearling Chinook

Steelhead

Sur

viva

l

581 727 715 787 747 980 1113 2740

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

Bay 01 Bay 02 Bay 03 Bay 04 Bay 05 Bay 06 Bay 07 Bay 08

Page 56: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: TDA Survival by Bay for All Years

56

410 654 750 787 833 901 864 1561

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

Bay 01 Bay 02 Bay 03 Bay 04 Bay 05 Bay 06 Bay 07 Bay 08

Sur

viva

l

Sub-Yearling Chinook

Page 57: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Analyses: TDA Survival by Flow, 2010, 2011, 2012

57

816 773 502 1488 890 996 563 191 335 1181

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

<=70k 80k 90k 100k 110k 120k 130k 140k 150k >=160k

Sur

viva

l %

Time at D

ischarge

769 581 507 1546 1071 1158 599 224 436 1497

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

<=70k 80k 90k 100k 110k 120k 130k 140k 150k >=160k

Sur

viva

l %

Time at D

ischarge

Steelhead

Yearling Chinook

Page 58: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

298

412

314 153 466 986 2436

562 152 981

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

<=70k 80k 90k 100k 110k 120k 130k 140k 150k >=160k

Analyses: TDA Survival by Flow, 2010, 2011, 2012

58

Sub-Yearling Chinook

Sur

viva

l %

Time at D

ischarge

Page 59: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

TDA Egress

59

Page 60: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

TDA: CH1 Tailrace Egress Spillway

60

CH1 SP24 Min Max Mean StdErr Median N

TR_EGR_TIME

48 0.28 153.02 1.69 0.83 0.47 210

72 0 367.24 1.14 0.35 0.36 1233

96 0 475.07 2.14 0.69 0.27 858

120 0.01 156.4 0.9 0.34 0.21 663

144 0.1 120.33 0.49 0.26 0.16 464

168 0.11 0.44 0.16 0 0.14 227

312 0.14 0.14 0.14 0 0.14 2

Page 61: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

TDA: STH Tailrace Egress Spillway

STH SP24 Min Max Mean StdErr Median N

TR_EGR_TIME

48 0.27 201.79 1.63 1.05 0.42 192

72 0 24.1 0.44 0.03 0.33 1060

96 0 52.84 0.43 0.08 0.25 1006

120 0 55.83 0.31 0.07 0.2 838

144 0.1 3.81 0.21 0.01 0.15 610

168 0.1 0.78 0.16 0 0.14 338

312 0.14 0.14 0.14 0 0.14 2

Page 62: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

TDA: CH0 Tailrace Egress Spillway

CH0 SP24 Mean StdErr Min Max Mean N

TR_EGR_TIME

48 5.98 5.39 0.26 194.7 5.98 36

72 0.73 0.15 0.16 65.88 0.73 560

96 0.8 0.29 0.11 145.41 0.8 586

120 0.57 0.13 0.12 324.61 0.57 3436

144 0.84 0.42 0.11 324.19 0.84 870

168 1.82 0.98 0.11 449.89 1.82 648

216 18.26 12.55 0.17 324.49 18.26 36

240 0.24 0.01 0.15 0.48 0.24 84

312 0.18 0 0.12 0.54 0.18 168

Page 63: Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

Conclusions: TDA

There was not a difference in survival of juvenile salmonids passing at spillbays 1-8 and spillbays 9-23 There was lower survival of CH0 at discharge below 72 kcfs

63