System of indicators for monitoring of MDG’s achievement in Uzbekistan
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Transcript of System of indicators for monitoring of MDG’s achievement in Uzbekistan
System of indicators for monitoring of MDG’s achievement in Uzbekistan
Ulugbek OlimovMDG Statistics ProjectUNDP Uzbekistan
Presentation at theExpert Group Meeting on MDG Indicators in Central Asia Astana, Kazakhstan, 5–8 October 2009
Outline of presentation
1. Millennium goals: national context
2. Statistical data availability: selected issues
3. MDG indicators matrix for Uzbekistan
MDGS: NATIONAL CONTEXT The Government of Uzbekistan, in collaboration with donor organizations (incl. ADB,
UNDP, WB) and civil society, has embarked on the process of formulating its own national MDG targets and indicators.
“Linking Macroeconomic Policy to Poverty Reduction” (2003), “Living Standards Strategy” (2004), and the Welfare Improvement Strategy document (2007) contributed to the definition of the national goals, objectives and indicators.
The National MDG Report (2006), prepared jointly with the Government and the UN’s Resident Office in Uzbekistan, reflects the principal MDG goals and targets adapted to local conditions and the country’s requirements.
“System of Indicators for M&E of MDGs Achievement in Uzbekistan” (2007), developed within the UNDP-funded MDG Statistics Project, report attempts to evaluate the quality and availability of statistical data that can be to develop quantitative indicators of global and national MDGs and to identify problems and shortcomings in the process of data collection.
MDGs:
National goals and targets
Goals Targets1. Improve living standards and reduce malnutrition
1. Tohalve poverty by the year 2015
2. Improve the quality of primary and general secondary education while maintaining universal access
2. To improve the quality of primary and general secondary education while maintaining universal access by 2015
3. Promote gender equality and empower women
3. To achieve gender equality in primary, general secondary and vocational education by 2015 4. To improve the gender balance in higher education by 2015
4. Reduce child mortality 5. To reduction of the under-five mortality rate by two thirds by 2015
5. Improve maternal health 6. To reduce the maternal mortality rate by one third by 2015
6. Combat HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria
7: To halt and begin to reverse, the spread of HIV/AIDS by 20158: To halt and begin to reverse, the incidence of tuberculosis and malaria by 2015
7. Ensure environmental sustainability
9: To integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programs and reverse the loss of environmental resources by 2015 10: To increase the share of urban and rural Population with access to an iImproved water source and sanitation by 2015
8. and global partnership for development This goal assumes that will receive official development assistance from developed countries to help it achieve the MDGs
REPORT ON “SYSTEM OF INDICATORS FOR M&E OF MDGS ACHIEVEMENT IN UZBEKISTAN”
Research objectives:
overall analysis aimed at identification of existing
problems (gaps); incompatibilities and shortcomings in the process of
collection of data related to MDGs/WIS; analysis of data sources in order to identify and
rectify duplication or lack of indicators while
considering their compliance with international
standards; conclusions & recommendations
Involved partners: Ministry of Economy State Committee on Statistics Ministry of Public Education Ministry of Healthcare Ministry of Labour and Social Protection of the
Population State Committee for Nature Protection
DATA AVAILABILITY: SELECTED ISSUES (1) The calories based poverty threshold (2,100 kcal) is calculated based on HBS data.
Use of HBS data in this regard does not reflect directly the actual nutritional status of the population and cannot contain accurate data on the calorific value of food based on the underestimated indicators of consumption. This poverty indicator also does not allow adequate evaluation of extent and acuteness of poverty.
There is an urgent need to develop new methodologies to design a system of indicators aimed at the indicator based assessment of quality of education (measuring the quality of education) and its accessibility at any educational levels.
The existing informational database does not provide for detailed and complex gender analysis in many areas of social and economic life (low income level; time management; access to financial/material resources; salaries/wages; access/use of ICT; labor migration; etc.)
Analysis of the monitoring and reporting system concerning child mortality has identified the following issues: a) weaknesses in statistical accounting, reporting and registration forms; b) non-compliance of specific national indicators with the WHO criteria that leads to distortion of statistical data.
DATA AVAILABILITY: SELECTED ISSUES (2) Taking into consideration the high rate of extra-genital pathology and widespread of
anemia in Uzbekistan a number of additional indicators are needed to be introduced for improving the monitoring of maternal mortality.
Despite ongoing initiatives, still there is a weak monitoring and reporting system of the programs countering HIV/ AIDS epidemics, in such areas, as data collection, information quality, statistical analysis and the application of statistics in developing policy measures.
There is an informational system for data collection that allows monitoring and assessment of the prevalence of malaria in absolute indicators. At the same time, it is desirable to add a number of indicators being used in international practice in order to assess the level of accessibility of the anti-mosquito interventions.
The existing informational and reporting system does not fully provide the quantitative data required for comprehensive monitoring environmental situation in the country. In recent years the decline in reports on protection of the environment and natural resources resulted in deterioration of the quality and reliability of information contained in the reports submitted by the enterprises.
EXAMPLE 1: MDG 1 MONITORING APPROACH
EXAMPLE 2: MDG 2 MONITORING APPROACH
MDG MATRIX OF INDICATORS FOR UZBEKISTAN
1. Algorithm for selection and development of an indicator
2. Matrix of indicators:• Living standards & nutrition indicators• Education indicators• Gender equality indicators• Healthcare indicators• Indicators of monitoring environmental situation
Algorithm for selection and development of an indicator
Indicator “Х”
Is the indicator approved for use in
the international MDG monitoring?
Is the indicator related to local informational
needs?
Yes No
Include indicator into the list
Is there information on current indicator?
Yes
No
Exclude indicator
Elaboration of metadata and other
methodological remarks
Yes
Methodology development or
proposal of a set of questions that might be integrated into present
study and be used during development of
indicator
No
Data collection and calculation of indicator
Development of schemes, tables, charts and diagrams
MD
G IN
DIC
AT
OR
S M
AT
RIX
FO
R U
ZB
EK
ISTA
N
MDG 1:
Improve living standards and malnutrition
Indicators Agency in ChargeCoverage / Frequency
Desegregation
Data Sources
1: Share of people living on less than… soum per month (as per expenses from the households budget), in %
SCSME
2001-2006 annually
region, gender, age
HBS
2: Poverty gap ratio, in %SCSME
2001-2006 annually
region, gender, age
HBS
3: Share of the poorest quintile in national income or consumption, in %
SCSME
2001-2006 annually
region, gender, age
HBS
4: Prevalence of underweight/stunting among children under five
MHSCS
1995-2006annually
--MH
Institutions, UNICEF
5а: Number of children under five with iodine deficiency
MHSCS
1995-2006 annually
--MH
Institutions, UNICEF
5b: Number of children under five with apparent vitamin deficiency
MHSCS
1995-2006 annually
--
MH Institutions, UNICEF
5c: Number of children under five with iron deficiency
MHSCS
1995-2006annually
--
MH Institutions, UNICEF
MD
G IN
DIC
AT
OR
S M
AT
RIX
FO
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ZB
EK
ISTA
N
MDG 2:
Achievement of the universal quality education
Indicators Agency in ChargeCoverage /
Frequency
Desegrega
tion
Data
Sources
6: Net enrollment in primary and secondary education, in %
SCS1997-2006
annually
region, gender,
age
Compiled Statistics
7: Ratio of schoolchildren reaching the next educational stage, in %
SCS1997-2006
annually
region, gender,
age
Compiled
Statistics
7а: Ratio of educational progress based on the results of graduation exams in schools, in %
MPE2001-2006
annuallyregion
Sectoral Statistics
7b: School graduates enrolled into higher educational institutions, in %
SCS1997-2006
annually
region, gender
Compiled
Statistics
8: Literacy rate of 15-24 years old
SCS1997-2006
annually
region, gender,
age
Compiled
Statistics
MD
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DIC
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OR
S M
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ISTA
N
MDG 3:
Promotion of gender equality and empowering women
Indicators Agency in ChargeCoverage /
Frequency
Desegrega
tion
Data
Sources
9: Proportion of females and males in primary, secondary and higher education, in %
SCS1998-2006
annuallyregion
Compiled Statistics
10: Proportion of “literate females/ males” among 15-24 years old, in %
SCS1998-2006
annually
region Compiled
Statistics
11: Share of women engaged in paid, non-agriculture sectors, in %
MLSS2000-2006
annually
region Compiled Statistics
12: Share of seats held by women in the National Parliament, in %
SCS
WC
1998-2006
annually
region Compiled Statistics
MD
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N
MDG 4:
Reduction of child mortality
Indicators Agency in ChargeCoverage /
Frequency
Desegrega
tion
Data
Sources
13: “Under- five mortality rate (UNICEF)”, per one thousand children
SCS
MH1996-2006
region, gender, age
1996, 2002 surveys, HDR,
Civil Registry Office
13а: “Under- five mortality rate (WHO)», per one thousand children
SCS
MH
Starting from 2008
region, gender, age
14: “Infant mortality rate (UNICEF)”, per one thousand babies
SCS
MH1996-2006
region, gender, age
1996, 2002 surveys,
HDR,
Civil Registry Office
14а: “Infant mortality rate (WHO)”, per one thousand babies
SCS
MH
Starting from 2008
region, gender, age
15: “Proportion of 1-year-old children immunized against measles”, in %
SCS
MH1996-2006 region
Institutions of the MOH
15а: “Share of children on exclusive breast feeding until the age of six months”, in %
SCS
MH1996-2006 region
Compiled Statistics
MD
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DIC
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N
MDG 5:
Improvement of maternal health
Indicators Agency in ChargeCoverage /
Frequency
Desegrega
tion
Data
Sources
16: “Maternal mortality rate (WHO)”, per one thousand of women
SCS
MH1996-2006
age , region, district
Primary healthcare institutions
16а: “Proportion of women of fertile age suffering from anemia and extra-genital diseases”, in %
SCS
MH1996-2006
age , region, district
Primary healthcare institutions
Civilian Registry Office
16b: “Proportion of women under medical supervision during first three months of pregnancy”,
in %
SCS
MH1996-2006
age , region, district
Primary healthcare institutions
16c: “Number of abortions per 1000 women”, in units
SCS
MH1996-2006
age , region, district
Primary healthcare institutions
17: “Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel”, in %
SCS
MH1996-2006
age , region, district
Primary healthcare institutions
MD
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FO
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N
MDG 6:
Combat HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria
Have halted and begun to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS
Indicators Agency in ChargeCoverage /
Frequency
Desegrega
tion
Data
Sources
18: “HIV prevalence among 15 to 24 years old pregnant women”, in %
MH
1999-2006
monthly and quarterly
age, region, district
Primary healthcare institutions
18а: “Share of HIV-infected children over 18 months of age, born from HIV-infected mothers”, in %
MH1999-2006
annually
age, region, district
Primary healthcare institutions
18b: “HIV prevalence rate among the vulnerable groups of the population”, in %
MH
NGO
1999-2006
annually
age, region, district
Primary healthcare institutions
19: “Awareness of young people in the age of 15-24 about HIV/AIDS related issues”, in %
MH
NGO-- -- --
20а: “Share of drug users having access to the harm reduction programs (exchange of syringes, distribution of condoms, etc.)”, in %
MH
NGO
1999-2006
annually
age, region, district
Primary healthcare institutions
20b: “Distribution of prevention means (condoms, disposable syringes)”, in units
MH
NGO
1999-2006
annually
age, region, district
Primary healthcare institutions
MD
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MDG 6:
Combat HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria
Combating malaria and tuberculosis
IndicatorsAgency in
Charge
Coverage /
Frequency Desegregation Data Sources
21: “Number of malaria cases”, in cases
MH1999-2006
annuallyage, region,
district
Primary healthcare institutions
Compiled Statistics
22: “Prevalence and death rates associated with Tuberculosis (WHO)”, per one thousand
MH
SCS
MI
1999-2006
annually
gender,region, districts (tuberculosis prophylactic
centers)
Medical institutions (tuberculosis dispensaries)
Penitentiary institutions
Compiled Statistics
23: “Proportion of tuberculosis cases detected and treated under directly observed treatment short course”, in %
MH
(DOTS Program)
2001-2006
annually
by gender gender,
region, districts (tuberculosis prophylactic
centers)
Medical institutions (tuberculosis dispensaries)
Penitentiary institutions
Compiled Statistics
MD
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DIC
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FO
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N
MDG 7:
Integration of sustainable development principles into the country’s policy and program
Indicators Agency in ChargeCoverage /
Frequency Desegregation
Data
Sources
24: “Irrigated lands salinity ratio”, in %SCLGC
MAWR, SCS
Every fifth year
region Compiled Statistics
25: “Quality of irrigated arable land”, yield class
SCLGCEvery fifth
yearregion
Sectoral reports
26: “Share of agricultural lands exposed to wind and water erosion”, in % and thousand hectares
SCLGCEvery fifth
yearregion
Sectoral reports
27: “Protected wildlife territories”, in % and thousand hectares
SCLGC, SCNP,
SDF, SCGAnnually region
Sectoral reports
28: “ Energy use (kg oil equivalent) per $1 gross domestic product “
ME, SCS, SCNP Annually regionSectoral reports
29: “ Usage of ozone-depleting substances in tons in ozone-depleting capacity”, in tons
SCNP Annually regionSectoral reports
30: “ Per capita Carbon dioxide emissions”, in tons
UzHM Annually region
National programs on greenhouse
gases
31: “Total emissions of acidifying SО2
and NОх pollutants by stationary and
mobile emitters”, in thousand tons
SCNP
SCSAnnually region
Compiled Statistics
32: “Share of population using solid fuel”, in %
SCS Annually by regionWorld Bank
survey
CONCLUDING REMARKS Improvement of the information exchange system among statistical agencies (ensure the
harmonization and coordination of activities of statistical bodies at all stages of data collection and distribution in order to achieve consistency and authenticity of statistical information acquired from different sources)
Establishment of the monitoring on school education (ensure maximum reliable information and unbiased outcomes, continuity and regularity of monitoring, as well as a regular renewal of themes and toolkits)
Measures on enhancing access to data in the field of gender equality (develop a methodology of selective surveys and a special program to carry out such surveys by state institutions dealing with gender issues and to involve the stake-holding public organizations and consultants from the international organizations)
Database on child health (a single statistical database on child health should be created by SCS with desegregation by major patterns through unification of data from institutions regardless of their ownership forms and institutional subordination)
Use of additional indicators for monitoring the prevalence of diseases (HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases)
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!