SWS Survey Review - Ateneo de Manila University...The 2015 SWS Survey Review 3 Mar 27-30 National...

13 March 2015

Ateneo School of Government

Quezon City

The 2015

SWS Survey Review

Mahar Mangahas

The 2015 SWS Survey Review2

The 2015 Survey Review is based on the regular quarterly national SWS Surveys in March, June,

September, and December 2014.

SWS gratefully acknowledges its sponsors and subscribers, and its media partner BusinessWorld, who believe in the importance of openly-disclosed

social surveys in a democratic society.


Mar 27-30 National 1,200 Adults

Jun 27-30 National 1,200 Adults

Sep 26-29 National 1,200 Adults

Nov 27-Dec 1 National 1,800 Adults

Date Coverage Sample size Population

The Social Weather

Surveys of 2014


Outline – 1 of 2

•Pope Francis

•National officials and institutions

•The Governance Report Card

•Super-typhoon Yolanda

•Scarborough Shoal

•Poverty

•Peace agreement with the MILF


Outline – 2 of 2

•The pork barrel scam

•Public safety

•Hunger

•The Ebola virus

•Public morale

•2016 Watch

•SUMMARY


By long tradition, the Pope

of Rome is highly trusted

by Filipinos – and more so

after visiting the Philippines


TRUST IN POPE FRANCIS, SEP 2013 AND DEC 2014

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Don’t Know and

Refused responses.

Q. Maaari po bang sabihin ninyo kung ang pagtitiwala ninyo kay POPE FRANCIS ay NAPAKALAKI,

MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA

KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN tungkol kay POPE FRANCIS?

40 46

31 26

12 136 76 6

10

30

50

70

Sep 2013 Dec 2014

71 72

1212

Very much

Somewhat much

Undecided

Somewhat littleVery little

% of adults

+59 +59 Net *


NET TRUST RATING* OF POPE JOHN PAUL II, POPE

BENEDICT AND POPE FRANCIS, DEC 1994 TO DEC 2014

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Don’t Know and

Refused responses.

Q. Maaari po bang sabihin ninyo kung ang pagtitiwala ninyo kay (name) ay NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO

MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG

NARINIG O NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN tungkol kay (name)?

Pope John Paul II

Pope Benedict

+65+72

+58 +62 +58 +59 +59

Dec 1994 Apr 1995 Dec 2003 Mar 2005 May 2005 Sep 2013 Dec 2014

+10

+30

+50

+70

+90

Pope Francis


The quality of national

governance in 2014 was

quite decent.


NATIONAL GOVERNANCE

+70 AND UP = EX for EXCELLENT

+50 TO +69 = VG for VERY GOOD

+30 TO +49 = G for GOOD

+10 TO +29 = M for MODERATE

-9 TO +9 = N for NEUTRAL

-10 TO -29 = P for POOR

-30 TO -49 = B for BAD

-50 TO -69 = VB for VERY BAD

-70 AND BELOW = EXECRABLE


The people’s satisfaction with

the performance of key

officials ranges from Good to

Moderate


1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30

-50

C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS,

PHILIPPINES, MAY 1986 TO DEC 2014

* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded.Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys.

+39

G

Net Satisfaction


1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF VICE-PRESIDENTS,

OCT 1986 – DEC 2014


+44

Estrada

Arroyo

GuingonaDe Castro

Binay

Laurel

G

Net Satisfaction


1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SENATE PRESIDENTS,

APR 1990 TO DEC 2014

+28



Drilon

Salonga

Gonzales

Angara

GonzalesGonzales

Maceda Drilon

Ople

Pimentel

DrilonVillar

Enrile

Fernan

M

Net Satisfaction


1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

0

+20

+40

+60

+80

-20

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SPEAKERS OF

THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, FEB 1990 TO DEC 2014

+11



Nograles

Mitra

De Venecia Villar

Fuentebella

BelmonteDe Venecia

M

Net Satisfaction



** As Acting Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of the Philippines.

+11


NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF CHIEF JUSTICES

OF THE SUPREME COURT, OCT 1986 TO DEC 2014

Carpio**

SerenoPanganiban

Teehankee

Fernan Narvasa Davide

Puno

Corona

1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30

-50

M

Net Satisfaction


The people’s satisfaction with

the performance of key

institutions is Moderate


1988 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SENATE

AND HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2014

* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. (Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys).

+26

+20


Senate

House of Rep.

M

M

Net Satisfaction


1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys.

NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SUPREME COURT

AND THE CABINET AS A WHOLE, NOV 1990 TO DEC 2014

SupremeCourt

+26

+ 9Cabinet


Net Satisfaction

M

N


1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30

-50


NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE

OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, FEB 1989 – DEC 2014


+34

Net*

Satisfaction

G


Governance Report Card:

The overall grade, and the

grades in the great majority

of subjects rated in 2014 are

Good

Overall performance rating +45 +29 +35 +34

Providing basic elem. and HS education +63

Helping victims of disasters +60 +52 +42

Protecting the environment +46

Transparency in govt. activities +43

Developing science and technology +42

Defending the country's territorial rights +44 +43 +42 +40

Providing enough supply of electricity +45 +41 +38

Promoting the welfare of OFWs +44 +42 +39 +38

Ensuring an efficient transportation system +36

Foreign relations +44 +41 +43 +33

Helping the poor +55 +39 +44 +33

Preparing for climate change +41 +31


Mar Jun Sep Dec

NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON

SPECIFIC ISSUES, MAR 2014 – DEC 2014 (Page 1 of 2)

Good (11)

Very Good

Good


Eradicating graft and corruption +14 +12 +14 +6Fighting crimes +22 +13 +14 +5Ensuring oil firms don’t take advantage of oil prices -3 -19 -7 -8Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry +7 -9 -5 -9

Fighting inflation 4 -18 -7 -12

Resolving the Maguindanao massacre case with justice -41 -44 -36 -41


SPECIFIC ISSUES, MAR 2014 – DEC 2014 (Page 2 of 2)

Neu-tral (4)

Bad (1)

Poor (1)

Reconciliation with Communist rebels +34 +17 +28 +17

Providing jobs +30 +20 +21 +17

Reconciliation with Muslim rebels +38 +22 +27 +15

Fighting terrorism +27 +21 +23 +15

Tax collection +13

Mode-rate (5)

Mar Jun Sep Dec


The best subject in the Report

Card is “helping victims of

disasters”


1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30


RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO

NET SATISFACTION* WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON

HELPING VICTIMS OF DISASTERS, DEC 1992 – DEC 2014

+42

Net*

Satisfaction

G


Hope for recovery from

Yolanda remains high;

confidence in governmental

ability to cope with another

super-typhoon is strong


68

60

64

57

67

54

69

74

72

62

27

33

28

35

28

39

26

19

25

31

3

6

6

5

3

7

2

4

2

4

2

1

2

3

1

0.3

3

3

2

2

Very Somewhat Somewhat Not hopeful

hopeful hopeful not hopeful at all

*Net figures (% Hopeful minus % Not hopeful) correctly rounded.

Q: Kayo po ba ay (TALAGANG UMAASA, MEDYO UMAASA, MEDYO HINDI UMAASA, TALAGANG HINDI UMAASA)

na lubusang makakabangon ang mga lugar na nasalanta ng Bagyong Yolanda sa trahedya na kanilang sinapit?

HOPE THAT AREAS DAMAGED BY TYPHOON YOLANDA CAN FULLY

RECOVER, BY AREA, DEC 2013 AND SEP 2014

PH

NCR

Luzon

Visayas

Mindanao

Dec 2013

Dec 2013

Dec 2013

Dec 2013

Sep 2014

Sep 2014

Sep 2014

Sep 2014

Dec 2013

Sep 2014


36

20

44

18

36

20

40

20

30

22

30

38

28

46

29

37

30

42

35

33

20

26

20

21

17

28

20

23

25

26

12

16

8

15

16

14

10

15

9

19

1-2 yrs 3-4 yrs 5-6 yrs 7+ yrs

Q: Sa inyong palagay, mga gaano katagal pa bago lubusang makabangon ang mga lugar na nasalanta ng

Bagyong Yolanda? (1-2 taon pagkalipas ng bagyo, 3-4 taon pagkalipas ng bagyo, 5-6 taon pagkalipas ng bagyo,

7 taon o higit pa pagkalipas ng bagyo)

NUMBER OF YEARS BEFORE AREAS DAMAGED BY TYPHOON

YOLANDA CAN FULLY RECOVER, BY AREA, DEC 2013 AND SEP 2014

PH

NCR

Luzon

Visayas

Mindanao

Dec 2013

Dec 2013

Dec 2013

Dec 2013

Sep 2014

Sep 2014

Sep 2014

Sep 2014

Dec 2013

Sep 2014


19

20

17

16

44

41

44

42

26

24

27

29

11

14

12

13

10 30 50 70 90

CONFIDENCE IN GOVERNMENT’S ABILITY TO RESPOND

IN CASE OF A TYPHOON AS STRONG AS YOLANDA,

TOTAL PH, DEC 2014

Q78-81. Gaano kalaki o kaliit ang kumpiyansa ninyo sa kakayahan ng (institusyon) na tumugon sapangangailangan ng mga mamamayan kung sakaling magkaroon muli ng isang bagyong kasing-lakas ng Yolanda? Kayo ba ay may NAPAKALAKING KUMPIYANSA, MEDYO MALAKINGKUMPIYANSA, MEDYO MALIIT NA KUMPIYANSA O NAPAKALIIT NA KUMPIYANSA?

Somewhat SomewhatVery much much little Very littleconfidence confidence confidence confidence

% of adults

City/Municipal Government

Barangay Government

National Government

Provincial Government


Satisfaction with national

administration performance in

foreign relations and in

defending the country’s

territorial rights is Good


1992 1998 .2001 2004 .2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION

ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, SEP 1992 – DEC 2014

+33



Net*

Satisfaction

G


ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO


ON DEFENDING THE COUNTRY’S TERRITORIAL RIGHTS,

MAR 1999 – DEC 2014


+40

G

1999 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

Net*

Satisfaction


The public supports

government moves regarding

China in the Scarborough

Shoal, despite many worried

about armed conflict


512

21

40

22

OPINION ON GOVERNMENT’S ACTIONS REGARDING THE

TENSION IN THE SCARBOROUGH SHOAL, JUN 2014

Q119. Sa pangkalahatan, sumasang-ayon po ba kayo o hindi sumasang-ayon sa ikinikilos ng ating gobyerno ukol sa

tensyon sa pagitan ng China at Pilipinas sa Scarborough Shoal? (SHOWCARD) (LUBOS NA SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO

SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI SUMASANG-AYON, LUBOS NA HINDI SUMASANG-AYON)

% o

f a

du

lts

Not enough knowledge

Strongly disapprove

Somewhat

disapprove

Somewhat approve

Strongly approve


Q120. Gaano po kayo nababahala na magkaroon ng armadong labanan sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at China dahil sa mga pinag-

aawayang mga islang ito sa Scarborough Shoal? Kayo po ba ay… (SHOWCARD) (TALAGANG NABABAHALA, MEDYO

NABABAHALA, MEDYO HINDI NABABAHALA, TALAGANG HINDI NABABAHALA)?

WORRY ABOUT ARMED CONFLICT WITH CHINA IN

DISPUTED ISLANDS IN SCARBOROUGH SHOAL, JUN 2014

% o

f a

du

lts

Not too worried

Somewhat worried

Worried a great deal

49

35

52

Not worried at all


The people’s grade for

promoting the welfare of

OFWs is Good


2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30



PROMOTING WELFARE OF OFW’S, MAR 2000 – DEC 2014


+39

Net*

Satisfaction

G


The people’s grade for helping

the poor is still Good, though

not as high as at the start of

the honeymoon


1993 .1998 .2001 2004 ..2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30



ON HELPING THE POOR, DEC 1993 – DEC 2014


+33

Net*

Satisfaction

G


After falling (bumpily) in 1990-

2003, Self-rated Poverty (SRP)

fluctuated, and now is about

the same as in 2004.

It anticipated the official

downward trend in 2012S1-

2013S1 and upward trend in

2013S1-2014S1


Self-Rated Poverty

SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES WHO ARE “MAHIRAP”,

PHILIPPINES, APR 1983 TO DEC 2014

Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor)

*Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official poverty line, are plotted in June of the year.

MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO

% o

f fa

milie

s

Yolanda

“Unrefined” pre-2011

“Refined” in 2011

“Refined” w/o Leyte and Batanes

PSA-NSCB:

18.8%

20.0%

52%

50.5%

2013

Q1-Q2

54.0%

2014

Q1-Q2

1983 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

10

30

50

7053.0%

2012

Q1-Q2

22.3%


1983 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

10

30

50

70

SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES WHO ARE “MAHIRAP”,

PHILIPPINES, APR 1983 TO DEC 2014


*Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official poverty line, are plotted in June of the year.

Yolanda

“Unrefined” pre-2011

“Refined” in 2011

“Refined” w/o Leyte and Batanes

PSA-NSCB:

Self-Rated Poverty

18.8%

20.0%22.3%

52%

50.5%

2013

Q1-Q2

54.0%

2014

Q1-Q2

53.0%

2012

Q1-Q2


1988 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

10

30

50

70

% o

f fa

milie

sSELF-RATED FOOD POVERTY: FAMILIES WHOSE FOOD IS

“MAHIRAP”, PHILIPPINES, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2014


Food Poverty Question: Based on the type of food eaten by your family, where would you place your family on this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor).

Hunger Question: In the last three months, did it happen even once that your family experienced hunger and not have anything to eat? (Yes, No).*Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official food poverty line, are plotted in June of the year.

41%

Official (NSCB) Food

Poverty Incidence*, 2009

11%

Self-Rated Food Poverty


1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

10

30

50

70

90

SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES “MAHIRAP”,

BY AREA, JUL 1985 TO DEC 2014



NCR 43%

Visayas 65% Mindanao 60%

Bal. Luzon 45%

% o

f fa

milie

s


1988 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

10

30

50

70

90

Visayas 51%Mindanao 52%

Bal. Luzon 37%

NCR 24%

SELF-RATED FOOD POVERTY: FAMILIES WHOSE

FOOD IS “MAHIRAP”, BY AREA, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2014

Food Poverty Question: Based on the type of food eaten by your family, where would you place your family

on this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor).


% o

f fa

milie

s


The people’s grades for admin

performance in providing jobs,

reconciling with Muslim and

Communist rebel groups, and

fighting terrorism are

Moderate


1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

NET SATISFACTION* WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION

ON PROVIDING JOBS, NOV 1998 – DEC 2014


+17


Net*

Satisfaction

M


1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30


NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL

ADMINISTRATION ON RECONCILIATION WITH

MUSLIM REBELS, SEP 1998 – DEC 2014


+15

M

Net*

Satisfaction


1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30



RECONCILIATION WITH COMMUNIST REBELS,

SEP 1998 – DEC 2014

+17


Net*

Satisfaction

M


2002 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

ARROYO B. AQUINO


ON FIGHTING TERRORISM, NOV 2002 – DEC 2014


+15

Net*

Satisfaction

M


Hope of a peace agreement

between the GPH and the MILF

is strong, though many expect it

after 2016.

Most approve the Framework

Agreement on the Bangsamoro,

despite knowing little about it


STEADY HOPE FOR A PEACE AGREEMENT BETWEEN GOP

AND MILF, PHILIPPINES, JUN 2011 – MAR 2014

Q. Kayo po ba ay… (TALAGANG UMAASA, MEDYO UMAASA, MEDYO HINDI UMAASA, TALAGANG HINDI

UMAASA) na magkakaroon pa ng kasunduang pang-kapayapaan sa pagitan ng pamahalaan at ng mga rebeldeng

Moro Islamic Liberation Front o MILF?

Not

Somewhat Somewhat Hopeful

Very hopeful hopeful not hopeful at all

Jun 2011

Sep 2011

Dec 2011

Aug 2012

Mar 2012

May 2012

Dec 2012

Mar 2013

Jun 2013

Sep 2013

38

26

29

26

21

26

39

41

28

42

32

45

45

33

37

37

38

39

38

42

36

43

8

15

15

14

17

14

11

10

14

10

13

9

14

24

23

23

22

11

11

16

12

12Mar 2014


EXPECTED YEAR OF REACHING A PEACE AGREEMENT

BETWEEN GOP AND MILF, BY AREA, MAR 2014

Q. Sa inyong palagay, kailan kaya magkakaroon ng kasunduang pangkapayapaan ang Moro Islamic Liberation

Front o MILF at ang gobyerno? (SHOWCARD) SA 2014-2016 HABANG PANGULO PA SI PANG. NOYNOY AQUINO,

SA PANAHON NG SUSUNOD NA ADMINISTRASYON, 2016-2022, SA NALALAPIT NA HINAHARAP, HINDI

KAILANMAN

Philippines 27 27 25 20

Mindanao 34 22 24 20

In 2014- In 2016- In the near Not2016 2022 future ever


NATIONWIDE APPROVAL OF THE FRAMEWORK

AGREEMENT ON THE BANGSAMORO (FAB), 2012 AND 2014

*Net figures (% Approve minus % Disapprove) correctly rounded.

Q: Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon sa pinirmahang paunang kasunduan o Framework Agreement on the

Bangsamoro sa pagitan ng gobyerno at ng Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF)? (SHOWCARD)

Approve Undecided Disapprove Net*

45

49

30

28

23

23

Philippines

Dec 12

Mar 14

+22

+26

53

56

18

18

29

26

MindanaoDec 12

Mar 14

+24

+30


THE LIMITED KNOWLEDGE OF THE FRAMEWORK

AGREEMENT ON THE BANGSAMORO (FAB), 2012 AND 2014

Partial butExtensive sufficient Only a little Almost none

Q: Noong nakaraang Oktubre 15, 2012 pinirmahan ng gobyerno ng Pilipinas at ng Moro Islamic Liberation Front o MILF ang

paunang kasundang pangkapayapaan o ang Framework Agreement on the Bangsamoro na kung saan naglalayon ng isang mas

pinalawak na lugar ng awtonomiya na tatawaging Bangsamoro. Paano po ninyo ilalarawan ang inyong kaalaman tungkol sa

paunang kasundang ito o ang Framework Agreement on the Bangsamoro? Kayo po ba ay may… (SHOWCARD) na kaalaman?

Philippines

5

6

20

21

42

45

32

27

Dec 12

Mar 14

4

9

19

29

52

44

24

18

Mindanao

Dec 12

Mar 14


The people’s grade for fighting

corruption (Neutral +6) has

stayed positive since 2010


1987 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30




ADMINISTRATION ON ERADICATING GRAFT AND

CORRUPTION, MAR 1987 – DEC 2014

+ 6

Net*

Satisfaction

N


THE PORK BARREL SCAM:

Two-thirds believe the

allegations against the three

detained Senators; opinions

about the handling of the

Napoles case range from

favorable to neutral


BELIEVABILITY OF ALLEGATIONS AGAINST PERSONS IN

THE PORK BARREL SCAM, JUN 2014

* Net figures (% Definitely/ somewhat true minus % Somewhat/ definitely not true) correctly rounded.No Answer and Refused responses are not shown.Narito po ang ilang mga personalidad na di-umano’y nakinabang sa “pork barrel scam” ni Janet Lim Napoles. Sa inyong palagay, ang mga akusasyon po bang ito ay TALAGANG TOTOO, MALAMANG NA TOTOO, HINDI TIYAK KUNG

TOTOO O HINDI, MALAMANG NA HINDI TOTOO, TALAGANG HINDI TOTOO, O WALA PO KAYONG SAPAT NA KAALAMAN UPANG MAKAPAGBIGAY NG OPINYON TUNGKOL DITO?

Definitely True

Und.

Definitely/Somewhat

not true Net*

Don’t know

+57

+61

+56

+9

+8

0

+5

-4

-6

-16

-13

Somewhat True


1. 64% say the case is moving too slowly

2. 66% say the govt. is treating the case fairly,

neither pro- nor anti-Napoles

3. 74% want Napoles put in a regular prison

4. 40% are satisfied, 44% are dissatisfied with

govt. actions to resolve the case

5. 65% are hopeful that all those involved in the

case will be punished

6. 52% believe, but 26% do not believe, that the

P-Noy admin will file charges against allies

involved

Opinions about the Janet Lim Napoles case:


The grade on fighting crime

has stayed positive (now at

Neutral +5) since 2010, but

is flagging


1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

+-10

+-30



ON FIGHTING CRIMES, NOV 1990 – DEC 2014


+ 5

Net*

Satisfaction

N


PUBLIC SAFETY: Victimization

by crime is declining slightly,

but feelings of neighborhood-

insecurity are rising


CRIME VICTIMIZATION OF ANY FAMILY MEMBER WITHIN THE

PAST 6 MONTHS: PHILIPPINES, 1989 TO 2014


*'89*'90*'91*'92*'93*'94*'95*'96*'97*'98*'99*'00*'01*'02*'03*'04*'05*'06*'07*'08*'09*'10*'11*'12*'13*'14*'15*0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

Question. Nais po naming malaman ang karanasan ninyo at ng iba pang miyembro ng inyong pamilyang nakatira dito, tungkol sa krimen. Kayo po ba o kahit na sinong miyembro ng inyong pamilya ay naging biktima ng… (SHUFFLE CARDS)?

Break-in, 2.6%

Physicalviolence, 1.2%

Carnap, 0.9%

Pickpocket/Robbery,5.5%


Streets unsafe at night

Fear of burglary

Many drug addicts

INSECURITY IN NEIGHBORHOODS, 1985 TO 2014


% F

EA

RF

UL

Percentage of those who agree with the statement "In this neighborhood, ... * “people are usually afraid that robbers might break into their houses.”; ** “people are usually afraid to walk in the streets at night because it is not safe.”; *** “there are already very many people addicted to banned drugs.”

52%

60%

51%

'85*'86*'87*'88*'89*'90*'91*'92*'93*'94*'95*'96*'97*'98*'99*'00*'01*'02*'03*'04*'05*'06*'07*'08*'09*'10*'11*'12*'13*'14*'15*

20

30

40

50

60

70


There has been weakening of

grades on fighting oil prices

(Neutral -8) and fighting

inflation (Poor -12)


* 2011 * 2012 * 2013 * 2014 *

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

B. AQUINO


ON ENSURING THAT OIL FIRMS DON'T TAKE ADVANTAGE OF

OIL PRICES, JUN 2011 – DEC 2014


- 8

Net*

Satisfaction

N


1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

-50



ON FIGHTING INFLATION, NOV 1991 – DEC 2014


-12

Net*

Satisfaction

P


The grade on fighting hunger

is weak (Neutral -9).

But Self-reported Hunger

might be getting over the

hump


2004 * 2005 * 2006 * 2007 * 2008 * 2009 * 2010 * 2011 * 2012 * 2013 * 2014 *

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

ARROYO B. AQUINO


ADMINISTRATION ON ENSURING THAT NO FAMILY

WILL BE HUNGRY, DEC 2004 – DEC 2014

- 9

Net*

Satisfaction


N


1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

5

10

15

20

Note: Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba ‘yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI?

DEGREE OF HUNGER IN HOUSEHOLDS,

PHILIPPINES: JUL 1998 TO DEC 2014

17.2%

13.2%

4.1%

% o

f h

ou

seh

old

s

Total Hunger

Severe

Moderate

ESTRADA ARROYO AQUINO


11.0

8.3

10.811.410.1

7.0

11.8

14.3

16.717.918.5

19.119.119.919.919.5

18.3

4.12.6

4.6 4.2

2.51.5

3.0 3.04.0 3.4 4.0 4.0 3.3 3.7

4.33.6 3.5

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

5

10

15

20

7.0

5.8

6.2 7.37.6

5.5

8.711.0

12.6 14.414.6 15.1

15.816.115.6 15.914.8

Note: Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba ‘yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI?

IS HUNGER GETTING OVER THE HUMP?

Moderate

Hunger

Severe

Hunger

TotalHunger

Annual average %

of households


The grade on resolving the

Maguindanao massacre

remains Bad


* 2009 * 2010 * 2011 * 2012 * 2013 * 2014 *

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

-50

ARROYO B. AQUINO

NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NAT. ADMINISTRATION ON RESOLVING THE MAGUINDANAO MASSACRE WITH JUSTICE,

DEC 2009 – DEC 2014


Net*

Satisfaction

-41

B


The Ebola virus: Public

feelings are similar to those in

previous scares of viral

infection


EXTENT OF KNOWLEDGE OF THE EBOLA VIRUS,

PHILIPPINES, SEP 2014

Q: Paano po ninyo ilalarawan ang inyong kaalaman tungkol sa Ebola Virus? (SHOWCARD) [Malawak ang kaalaman , Sapat ang kaalaman, Bahagya

ang kaalaman, Walang kaalaman ]

No knowledge

“Walang kaalaman”

A little knowledge

“Bahagya ang

kaalaman”

Adequate knowledge

“Sapat ang kaalaman”

Extensive knowledge

“Malawak ang kaalaman”

23%

44%

27%

6%


“HOW WORRIED ARE YOU THAT YOU OR SOMEONE IN

YOUR IMMEDIATE FAMILY MIGHT CATCH THE EBOLA

VIRUS?” SEP 2014

Base: Total Aware of Ebola Virus, 73%Not worried at all

“Talagang hindi nababahala”

Not worried too much

“Medyo hindi nababahala”

Somewhat worried

“Medyo nababahala “

Worried a great deal

“Lubos na nababahala”49%

33%

13%

5%

Q:Gaano po kayo nababahala na kayo o sino man sa inyong pamilya ay makakuha ng Ebola virus? Kayo po ba ay (SHOWCARD)? [Lubos na

nababahala, Medyo nababahala , Medyo hindi nababahala , Talagang hindi nababahala ]


WORRY OF CATCHING VIRAL INFECTIONS, 2003 - 2014

a Among the 73% with at least Little knowledge of the Ebola virusb Among all adults

Worried Somewhat Not worried Not at alla great deal worried too much worried

Ebola virus (2014)a

A(H1N1) swine flu

(2009)b

Bird flu (2006)b

SARS (2003)b

49

56

48

54

33

26

35

24

13

10

11

10

5

8

6

4


PUBLIC MORALE

CONTINUES TO BE

VERY HIGH


1983 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

10

30

50

70


Kung ikukumpara ang uri ng inyong kasalukuyang pamumuhay sa nakaraang 12 buwan, masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [MAS MABUTI NGAYON KAYSA NOON, KAPAREHO NG DATI, MAS MASAMA NGAYON KAYSA NOON]Gainers : “Mas mabuti ngayon kaysa noon” Losers: “Mas masama ngayon kaysa noon”

CHANGE IN QUALITY OF LIFE OVER PAST 12 MONTHS,


% of adults

29%30%

GAINERS

LOSERS

First Quarter 2014 Social Weather ReportMarch 27-30, 2014 National Survey

1984 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

10

30

50

70

EXPECTED CHANGE IN QUALITY OF LIFE IN NEXT 12 MONTHS,


MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO III

Question. Sa inyong opinyon, ano ang magiging uri ng inyong pamumuhay sa darating na 12 buwan?Masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]?Optimists : “Bubuti” Pessimists: “Sasama”

41%

6%

% of adults

OPTIMISTS

PESSIMISTS


1998 2001 2004 2010 2014

10

30

50

ESTRADA ARROYO AQUINO

EXPECTED CHANGE IN THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY,

SEP 1998 TO DEC 2014

% of adults

Question. Sa darating na 12 buwan, ano sa palagay ninyo ang mangyayari sa ekonomiya ng Pilipinas?Masasabi ba ninyo na ito ay... [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]?

15% it will

deteriorate

31% it will

improve


“UP TO 3 BEST LEADERS

TO SUCCEED P-NOY” –

the SWS 2016 election-

race watch starts


BEST LEADERS TO SUCCEED PRES. NOYNOY AQUINO

IN 2016, PH, DEC 2014 (Open-ended; up to 3 names allowed)

Note: Responses below 0.5% are not shown.

Q15. Ayon sa Konstitusyon, ang termino ni Pang. Noynoy Aquino ay hanggang sa taong 2016 lamang at

magkakaroon ng halalan para sa pagka-pangulo sa Mayo 2016. Sinu-sino sa palagay ninyo ang mga

magagaling na lider na dapat pumalit kay Pang. Aquino bilang Presidente? Maaari po kayong magbanggit

ng hanggang tatlong sagot.

Jejomar Binay 37%

Grace Poe 21

Mar Roxas 19

Miriam Defensor-Santiago 10

Chiz Escudero 9

Joseph Estrada 9

Rodrigo Duterte 5

Antonio Trillanes IV 5

Bongbong Marcos 3

Alan Peter Cayetano 3

Manny Villar 2

Bong Revilla Jr. 2

Panfilo 'Ping' Lacson 2

Loren Legarda 1%

Franklin Drilon 1

Francis 'Kiko' Pangilinan 1

Manny Pacquiao 1

Others (below 0.5%) 5

None 8

Don't know/Refused 15


But bear in mind the

experience of 2007-09 --

many changes can happen


4. Aquino III

3. Villar 2. De Castro

1. Legarda

Escudero

Lacson

BinayFernando Gordon

Roxas

Estrada

Teodoro

FLASHBACK, 2007-2009: (OPEN-ENDED) NAME UP TO

THREE BEST SUCCESSORS OF PRES. ARROYO IN 2010


SUMMARY-1

• Pope Francis is highly trusted, like earlier

Popes.

• The quality of national governance has been

quite decent.

• Grades of the admin are Good in most subjects,

especially “helping victims of disasters.”

• The government has strong public support on

its policies relating to China.

• Poverty, having lost some ground to Yolanda, is

still roughly the same as in 2004; hunger may

be getting over the hump.


SUMMARY-2

• The admin’s grade for fighting corruption has

been consistently positive since 2010; this rarely

happened in previous admins.

• The pork barrel scam: two-thirds believe the

allegations against the detained Senators.

• Believers that the admin. will file pork barrel

charges against its allies are 2X the unbelievers.

• The admin’s worst grade is in resolving the

Maguindanao massacre case: Bad.

• Crime victimization is declining slightly; but

feelings of neighborhood insecurity are rising.


SUMMARY-3• Most people approve the Framework Agreement

on the Bangsamoro; optimism for peace is

strong.

• Ebola is like earlier health scares – 1/2 are very

worried; but 3/4 know hardly anything about it.

• Public morale is very high, like it has been ever

since 2010.

• The SWS 2016 election-watch is newly started;

the lesson from the 2010 election-watch is that

many changes can still happen.

www.sws.org.ph#52 Malingap Street, Sikatuna Village, Quezon CityTels: 926-4308, 924-4456, 924-4458, 924-4465 E-mail: [email protected]

The SWS

Annual Survey

Reviews

2015 Edition

containing the full presentations of

the SWS Survey Reviews from

2001 to 2015 is available in CD-

ROM at the SWS Survey Data

Archives and Library.

Inquire with Leo Laroza

at 924-4456 or 924-4458.

As of

today…

Photo credits: Mae Labucay

SWS Survey Review - Ateneo de Manila University...The 2015 SWS Survey Review 3 Mar 27-30 National...

Documents

Transcript of SWS Survey Review - Ateneo de Manila University...The 2015 SWS Survey Review 3 Mar 27-30 National...