SWG Program Update

DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.

SWG Program Update

21 February 2013

Lieutenant General Chris Bogdan, USAF

Program Executive Officer

F-35 Lightning II Program

2 DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.

F-35 Program Status Bottom Line Up Front

• F-35 Program on Realistic Baseline and Stable for past 2.5 years

– Slow but Steady progress being made

• Program Executive Officer Assessment

– Affordability is #1 concern

• Development: No more money, no more time

• Production: Prices coming down slowly

• Operations and Sustainment: MUST reduce life cycle costs

– Schedule

• 90% remaining in Production – Delivery Schedule is stable

• 10% remaining in SDD

– Moderate Confidence we will meet our 2015 capabilities (Block 2B)

– Some risk to delivering 2018 capabilities (Block 3F)

– NO showstoppers for known Technical Issues

• Systems Engineering process/discipline producing better results

• Technical Solutions in Work

• Transparency, Accountability, Discipline

• Too Many Opinions, Not Enough Facts


F-35 Program Status (PEO Assessment)

• Development

– SDD Cost: $55.2B (TY$) SDD Cost to Go: $5.8B Schedule: No Major Slips since 2011

– Testing: Efficiency: Effectiveness:

– Software:

– Other Technical Issues:

• Production

– A/C Cost: 4% Reduction from LRIP 4 to 5 A/C Schedule: Tracking to Post Strike Plan

– A/C Quality: Improving

– A/C Concurrency: Projected costs reduced ~30%; Actual costs well below projected

– Engine Cost: 4% (CTOVL/CV) / 18% (STOVL) Reduction from LRIP 4 to 5

– Engine Schedule: Average 60 days ahead of need

– Engine Quality: Quality escapes a concern

• Sustainment

– O&S Costs (20 yrs production, 30 yrs sustainment):

2011 OSD Estimate: $617B 2012 Program Office Estimate: $549B

– A/C Availability: Readiness drivers identified with corrective actions

– ALIS: 1.0.3 delivered to Edwards, Eglin, Nellis, Yuma; still too many workarounds

– Site Activations: 4 sites to 17 sites in 5 years

(BY12$)

G

R

Y

Y

Y

Y


F-35 Basics

CY2012 CY2013 CY2014 CY2015 CY2016 CY2017 CY2018

3i

2A 2B 3F Fleet Release Fleet Release Fleet Release

Fleet Release

Development

Schedule

Delivery

Schedule

Base Stand Up Eglin

Yuma

Nellis

Edwards

Luke

Beaufort

A= 18

B= 16

C= 8

A= 54

B= 13

C= 6

A= 23

B= 6

C= 4

A= 11

B= 17

C= 1

A= 134

B= 29

C= 20

A= 106

B= 19

C= 14

A= 93

B= 16

C= 9

LHA-6

Cherry Point

Ogden

Iwakuni

CVN-72

LHD-8

Hill

Italian AF Main

Operating Base (MOB)

Israeli Main

Operating Base

Misawa JP Grottaglia

LHD-1

LHD-2

Block 1 A/B -Initial Simulated Air-to-Air

-Initial Simulated Air-to-

Ground

-Air Refueling

Block 2 A/B -Initial Warfighting Capability

-Initial Deployment

- Initial Weapons Employment

Block 3 I/F -Exportability

-Full Warfighting Capability

-Internal/External Weapons

Block 4 A/B -Follow-On-Development

-Added Weapons

-Improved Capability

-Enhanced Reliability &

Maintainability

F-35 Weapon System Capabilities:

• Development Schedule: .99 Earned Value “SPI” (Steady)

• Development Cost: .99 Earned Value “CPI” (Steady)

Norway

MOB


2056

2247

2443

2573

1971

2138

2482

2870

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500

Mission System

F-35C Flight Science

F-35B Flight Science

F-35A Flight Science

CY 12 Test Efficiency

12/31/2012

Planned Test Points

Actual Test Points

Planned Test Points

Actual Test Points

Planned Test Points

Actual Test Points

Planned Test Points

Actual Test Points

Developmental Flight Test

Efficiency

• Facts About 2012:

– 1,167 Test Flights, 18% more than planned

– 9,319 Test Points, 10% more than planned

• Successes:

– High AoA including first Intentional Departure and Attained 75 deg AoA

– First Airborne Separation of GBU-12, GBU-31, AIM-120, Paveway IV training mode, AIM-120 sim

launch against tracked target

– First Flight with Live Countermeasures

– 100% Complete Clean Wing Flutter

– First Night Refueling

– Air Start Testing Complete

• …But, Issues:

• Weapons Bay Flipper Door

• STOVL Operations Due to

Aux Air Doors

• Spin Chute Modification Delays

• CTOL Air-Refueling Stop

CY2012 Flight Test Efficiency


Developmental Flight Test

Effectiveness

Durability Test Status

Hours Major Finding Corrective Action

1474 Hours FS496 Bulkhead

Cracking (B Model)

Redesign / Retrofit

Cut In BF24

2117 Hours Fwd Root Rib

(A Model)

Redesign / Retrofit

Cut In AF31

7000 Hours FS472 Bulkhead

Cracking (B Model)

Redesign / Retrofit

Cut In LRIP7

5830 hours Avionics Bay Floor

Cracking (C Model)

Redesign / Retrofit

Cut In TBD

Blk 1B

Blk 2A

Blk 2B

Blk 3F

500 KCAS / 0.9M

39k ft

18 deg AoA / 5.5g

400 KCAS / 0.8M

39k ft

18 deg AoA / 4.5g

550 KCAS / 0.9M

40k ft

18 deg AoA / 5.5g

450 KCAS / 0.9M

40k ft

18 deg AoA / 4.5g

450 KCAS / 0.9M

40k ft

18 deg AoA / 4.5g

700 KCAS / 1.6M

40k ft

50 deg AoA / 7.0g

550 KCAS / 1.2M

40k ft

50 deg AoA / 5.5g

550 KCAS / 1.2M

40k ft

50 deg AoA / 6.0g

700 KCAS / 1.6M

50k ft

50 deg AoA / 9.0g

630 KCAS / 1.6M

50k ft

50 deg AoA / 7.0g

700 KCAS / 1.6M

50k ft

50 deg AoA / 7.5g

Plan: 73%

Act: 68% Plan: 64%

Act: 64%

Plan: 65%

Act: 62%

F-35A

Envelope

F-35B

Envelope

F-35C

Envelope

AIM-120

GBU-12

GBU-31 / GBU-32

AIM-9X

SDB-I

JSOW

Gun

Paveway IV

Flight Science

N/A

Y G Y


F-35 Technical Issues

Issue Key Accomplishments Next Key Milestone Status /

Trend

BK-1 Fueldraulic Line Failure • All F-35B cleared to fly after mod

• Flights resumed on 14 Feb

Return to production

effort ongoing

Gen II Helmet (Jitter, Green Glow, DAS, Acuity, Schedule,

Export)

• 19 of 38 Test Flights Complete

• Green Glow and DAS Latency DONE

• DoD/Service Review of Suitability 6 March

CDR: 16 Apr 13

F-35C Arresting Hook (Prob of Engagem’t, Loads, Landing Spot - SW)

• Redesign Ongoing

• Ground Test at Lakehurst 4Q2013

• Carrier Qualification 3Q2014

AS Block 3 CDR:

30 April 13

Software (Delivery Timeline, Management of Capability

Content)

• New systems engineering rigor to manage SW

build

• Block 2B Mission Systems SW Build Plan

developed

AS Block 3 CDR:

30 April 13

ALIS Maturity (Unreliable health management, immature ALIS

software)

• New systems engineering rigor

• Incremental software fixes

• End-to-End Testing

AS Block 3 CDR:

30 April 13

Lightning Protection (Can’t operate near thunderstorms)

• Conducted Pre-CDR TIM, 23-24 Jan 13 CDR: 26-28 Feb 13

F-35B STOVL Ops (Clear fleet for vertical takeoff/landing)

• BF-19 mod finished

• FRR completed: 24 Jan 13

Interim Flight

Clearance with

NAVAIR Leadership

Fuel Dump (Airframe wetting)

• Flight test: trade study design

solution review

Design downselect:

Mar 2013

Acronyms:; SW: software; CDR: critical design review; TIM: technical interchange meeting; FRR: flight readiness review

As of 14 Feb 13

G

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

G

Y


0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

2011 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12

Perc

en

tag

e o

f T

ota

l A

ssem

bly

Ho

urs

LM Ft Worth SRR

Suppliers to LM FW SRR

LMFW

Strike

AF

-06

AF

-07

AF

-08

AF

-09

AF

-10

AF

-11

AF

-12

AF

-13

BF

-06

BF

-07

BF

-08

BF

-09

BF

-10

BF

-11

BF

-12

AF

-14

BF

-13

AF

-15

BF

-14

AF

-16

BK

-01

AF

-17

AF

-18

BK

-02

AF

-19

BF

-15

AF

-20

BF

-16

AN

-01

BF

-17

BF

-18

BF

-19

CF

-05

BF

-20

AF

-21

AF

-22

BF

-21

AF

-23

AF

-24

BF

-22

AF

-25

LRIP 1 LRIP 2 LRIP 3 LRIP 4

Ho

urs

TVE

F-35 Nonconformance Hours by TVE(Excludes Fab)

Data as of: 12-10-12

Delivered Aircraft Quality (60 days after First Flight)

Scrap, Rework, Repair Hours

Hours Expended On Quality Defects

F-35 Production Quality (Thru December 2012)

Aircraft

Ho

urs

D

efe

cts

LMFW

Strike

Aircraft

La

bo

r H

ou

rs

F-35 LM touch Labor Hours

Perc

en

tag

e o

f T

ota

l A

ssem

bly

Ho

urs

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

AF

-9

AF

-8

A…

A…

A…

A…

BF

-6

BF

-8

BF

-7

BF

-9

B…

B…

B…

A…

A…

A…

BK

-1

B…

B…

B…

B…

BK

-2

B…

B…

B…

AF-9 AF-8 AF-10 AF-11 AF-12 AF-13 BF-6 BF-8 BF-7 BF-9 BF-10 BF-11 BF-12 AF-14 AF-15 AF-16 BK-1 BF-13 BF-14 BF-15 BF-16 BK-2 BF-19 BF-20 BF-21

OQPL 23 24 24 31 29 18 27 25 22 11 11 7 4 4 6 5 9 9 7 6 1 2 1 3 1

Actual Projected CTOL STOVL CV


F-35 Production Line Status (As of 14 February 2013)

Mate

Final Finishes

Flight line / Field Ops

Aft Fuselage (BAE)

Roll-out

DD250

Forward Fuselage LM Ft Worth

Weight on

Wheels

Alenia

LM Marietta

LM Ft Worth

Wing

Center Fuselage NGC

Tails (BAE)

Ahead of Schedule

1 day ahead

1 day

behind

16 days behind

7 days behind

2 days ahead

Total Assembly ~1 day behind

Field Ops ~16 days behind

*20 M days margin not included

Ahead of Schedule

Total Assembly: 500 Manufacturing Days


ContractIncrease

Over Target cost

F-35 LRIP 1 (Cost Plus) 11.8%



F-35 LRIP 4 (FPIF) 8.7% (50/50)

F-35 LRIP 5 (FPIF) 45/55 over target share ratio

F-35 LRIP 6 (FPIF) 0/100 over target share ratio

Airframe Production Costs

- Month-end December 2012 CPR

- Production Basic Build Effort Only

UR

F T

Y$M

$220

$171

$141 $131

$123

$215

$159

$127

$110 $106

$122

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

FY07 LRIP 1 2 CTOL

FY08 LRIP 2 6 CTOL

FY09 LRIP 3 7 CTOL

FY10 LRIP 4

10 CTOL

FY11 LRIP 5

22 CTOL

FY12 LRIP 6

18 CTOL

FY13 LRIP 7

19 CTOL

FY14 LRIP 8

19 CTOL

FY15 LRIP 9

32 CTOL

FY16 LRIP 10 48 CTOL

FY17 LRIP 11 48 CTOL

CTOL SAR 11

CTOL Settlement

CTOL EAC

CTOL

Target

$77

$161

$135 $131 $130

$87

$158

$127

$108 $113

$118

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

FY07 LRIP 1

FY08 LRIP 2

6 STOVL

FY09 LRIP 3

7 STOVL

FY10 LRIP 4

16 STOVL

FY11 LRIP 5

3 STOVL

FY12 LRIP 6

6 STOVL

FY13 LRIP 7

6 STOVL

FY14 LRIP 8

6 STOVL

FY15 LRIP 9

6 STOVL

FY16 LRIP 10 9 STOVL

FY17 LRIP 11

14 STOVL

STOVL SAR 11

STOVL Settlement

STOVL EAC

UR

F T

Y$M

Target

STOVL

$176

$155

$91

$141 $126

$155

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

FY07 LRIP 1

FY08 LRIP 2

FY09 LRIP 3

FY10 LRIP 4 4 CV

FY11 LRIP 5 7 CV

FY12 LRIP 6 7 CV

FY13 LRIP 7 4 CV

FY14 LRIP 8 4 CV

FY15 LRIP 9 6 CV

FY16 LRIP 10

9 CV

FY17 LRIP 11 14 CV

CV SAR 11

CV Settlement

CV EAC

UR

F T

Y$M

Target

CV

Cost Performance


Engine Production Costs

Cost Performance

- Month-end December 2012 CPR, with JPO VACs ($ M)

- Production Effort Only

$25

$22

$20

$20 $19

$18 $15

$12

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

LRIP 1 FY07

LRIP 2 FY08

LRIP 3 FY09

LRIP 4 FY10

LRIP 5 FY11

LRIP 6 FY12

LRIP 7 FY13

LRIP 8 FY14

LRIP 9 FY15

LRIP 10 FY16

LRIP 11 FY17

U

R

F

T

Y

$

M

CTOL Engine EAC CTOL/CV

Settlement CTOL/CV

$25

$22

$20

$20 $19

$18 $15

$12

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

LRIP 1 FY07

LRIP 2 FY08

LRIP 3 FY09

LRIP 4 FY10

LRIP 5 FY11

LRIP 6 FY12

LRIP 7 FY13

LRIP 8 FY14

LRIP 9 FY15

LRIP 10 FY16

LRIP 11 FY17

U

R

F

T

Y

$

M

CV Engine EAC CTOL/CV

Settlement CTOL/CV

SAR 12 CTOL/CV

$46

$39

$32

$37

$33 $31 $30

$30

$35

$40

$45

$50

LRIP 1 FY07

LRIP 2 FY08

LRIP 3 FY09

LRIP 4 FY10

LRIP 5 FY11

LRIP 6 FY12

LRIP 7 FY13

LRIP 8 FY14

LRIP 9 FY15

LRIP 10 FY16

LRIP 11 FY17

U

R

F

T

Y

$

M

STOVL Engine EAC STOVL

Settlement STOVL

SAR 12 STOVL

CTOL

STOVL

CV

Target

Target

Target

$25

$22

$20

$20 $19

$18 $15

$12

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

LRIP 1 FY07

LRIP 2 FY08

LRIP 3 FY09

LRIP 4 FY10

LRIP 5 FY11

LRIP 6 FY12

LRIP 7 FY13

LRIP 8 FY14

LRIP 9 FY15

LRIP 10 FY16

LRIP 11 FY17

U

R

F

T

Y

$

M

CV Engine EAC CTOL/CV

Settlement CTOL/CV

SAR 12 CTOL/CV

ContractIncrease

Over Target cost

F135 LRIP 1 (Cost Plus) 4%



F135 LRIP 4 (FPIF) 3% (50/50)

F135 LRIP 5 (FPIF) 0/100 over target share ratio

F135 LRIP 6 (FPIF) 0/100 over target share ratio


Concurrency

• Concurrency is defined as the overlap of the development, test, production, fielding, operations

and sustainment phases of an acquisition program

• Concurrency introduces risk of discoveries during production – requiring retrofit of delivered a/c

– Fixes rolled into Production line – Timelines decreasing (18 mos to 13 mos)

– Retrofit aircraft already produced – requires modifications (Mod plan created and regularly updated)

– Lockheed Martin sharing in Concurrency costs (LRIP 5 and beyond)

• Concurrency Changes are identified during Flight Test, Qualification Test, Ground Test

Increased Discipline in Estimating & Controlling Concurrency Costs

High-Level Mod Schedule Projected Concurrency Cost by LRIP Lot

• Group 1 Mod Examples:

– Forward Root Rib (STOVL/CTOL)

– Station 3/9 Aft Rib (STOVL/CTOL)

– FS 496 Bulkhead (STOVL)


F-35 Sustainment

Metric Requirement

By Variant

(CTOL/STOVL/CV)

Current Actual By Variant

(CTOL/STOVL/CV)

Status Against the

Plan By Variant

(CTOL/STOVL/CV)

Reliability & Maintainability

MFHBFDC (Airframe) (6.0/4.0/4.0) (1.66/1.44/1.53)

MFHBFDC (Engine) (290/220/250) (45.1/21.0/22.7)

Prognostic / Health Monitoring

Fault Detection Rate (%) 98 79.80

Electronic Fault Isolation (%) 90 70.00

False Alarms (MFHBFA) 50 .45

Mean Downtime (Supply and Maint)

Maintenance Man-Hours / Flight Hour Unsch. (MMH/FH(U)) (6.0/6.0/6.0) (6.10/4.09/3.77)

Elapsed Maintenance Time (MTTR) (2.5/3.0/2.5) (12.97/11.97/5.21)

MFHBFDC = Maintenance flight hours between failure


F-35 Sustainment

Non-Mission Capable - Supply Non-Mission Capable - Maintenance

Go

od

Go

od

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50% CTOL NMC-S STOVL NMC-S FLEET NMC-S

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100% CTOL NMC-M STOVL NMC-M FLEET NMC-M

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100% Eglin CTOL AVA Eglin STOVL AVA Eglin FLEET AVA

Go

od

Air Vehicle Availability


0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13

F-35 Operational Training ATC Student Throughput

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Apr-

12

May-1

2

Jun-1

2

Jul-

12

Aug-1

2

Sep-1

2

Oct-

12

Nov-1

2

Dec-1

2

Jan-1

3

Feb-1

3

Mar-

13

Apr-

13

May-1

3

Jun-1

3

Jul-

13

Aug-1

3

Sep-1

3

Oct-

13

Nov-1

3

Dec-1

3

Jan-1

4

Feb-1

4

Mar-

14

Ap

r-14

May-1

4

Jun-1

4

Jul-

14

Aug-1

4

Sep-1

4

Oct-

14

Pilots Planned

Pilots Graduated

(End of Month)

(End of Month)

Maintainers

Planned

Maintainers

Graduated

Maintenance Training

Pilot Training

Missed planned target due to: 1) IATO security shutdown in Dec 2011

2) ~60 % Services seat fill rate


F-35 Sustainment Strategy

• F-35 Program Office will be Product Support Manager

• Product Support Integrator – Not Yet Determined

– LM and P&W have not earned right yet

• Inject Competition where Feasible – Industry Day Results

– Support Equipment

– ALIS Administration

• Improve Reliability and Maintainability of Weapon System

– Repair Contracts

– Robust R&M Team

– Deep Dive of top 20 Air Vehicle Depot Level Reparable (AVDLR) Costs

– R&M Sensitivity analysis of top 50 AVDLR

• Cost per Flying Hour Estimating

• ALIS Improvements

– Global Supply Chain

– Training Center Operations


F-35 PEO Planning Priorities Year Long Continuing Resolution/Sequestration

• Preserve System Design and Development to the maximum extent possible

• Keep Initial Operational Capability Options open with Block 2B

• Wholeness: Support and sustain all delivered aircraft

• Preserve efficiencies in production to the maximum extent possible. – Reductions will decrease LRIP 7 quantities, increasing unit

recurring flyaway cost

• Maintain production capacity to the maximum extent possible. – Reductions will decrease investments in tooling, redesigns for

obsolete parts, and cost reduction initiatives


Partner Challenges

• Cost Visibility

– JPO directing LM/PW to adjust Cost Reporting

• Reprogramming Labs

– Partner/FMS Reprogramming Labs late to need; working to recover schedule

• Airworthiness Requirements

– Single Airworthiness Process / Data for all Partners

• Partner unique needs accommodated (funded) on a case-by-case basis

• Transition to pooled training (2013-2014)

– Pooling Implementation Agreements and Contract signatures pending

• Long-Term Training and infrastructure for CONUS-based

international training and basing

– Working with Partners on requests for long-term support and U.S. military

construction projects


Summary

• Program Making Steady Progress – Realistic Plan

– Driving Stability into the Program

– Schedule/Capabilities Holding Steady

• Affordability is Critical for US and Partners

• Technical Issues are being worked

• New Culture for Industry, Program Office, DoD

Enterprise – Look Forward, Not Back

– Transparency, Accountability, Discipline

– Too many opinions, not enough facts

• F-35 Program MUST deliver on its Promises – Hold ME accountable

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