SWEET CORN DEEP DIVE YEAR TO 21/02/2015 VS. YEAR AGO.
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Transcript of SWEET CORN DEEP DIVE YEAR TO 21/02/2015 VS. YEAR AGO.
SWEET CORN DEEP DIVEYEAR TO 21/02/2015 VS. YEAR AGO
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1. Highlights
2. Market Overview
3. Heavy, Medium & Light Buyers
4. New, Lost & Retained Buyers
5. Drivers of Growth
6. Retail Health by Retailer & State
Agenda
This Deep Dive is part of a vegetable consumer purchase data project funded by HIA using the vegetable levy and matched funds from the Australian Government. This report captures only Fresh Vegetables and excludes processed vegetables (e.g. Fresh Sweet Corn excluding Canned Sweet Corn; Fresh Beans excluding Canned Beans)
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HIGHLIGHTS
RECOMMENDATIONS
Sweet Corn represents 2.0% of the value and 2.1% volume market share. Its buyer base has reduced this year, however, there is rise in the spend per trip compared to last year.
Heavy Sweet Corn buyers comprise less than one-third of its buyer base and they purchase the vegetable almost once a month. These buyers account for 69% of the vegetable’s total Kg volume and $ sales.
Sweet Corn has lost more households compared to the new buyers recruited. However, the $ spend and Kg consumption of the new buyers is considerably higher in comparison. The retained buyers have increased their spend compared to last year, but have decreased their shopping frequency.
Coles and ALDI posted significant growth in terms of both value and volume sales. Non-Supermarkets, account for a quarter of the Sweet Corn volume sales and have witnessed decline in both value and volume sales this year.
Almost 57% Woolworths shoppers who buy Sweet Corn, prefer to purchase it at Woolworths stores, whereas this conversion rate is 52% for Coles.
NSW, accounts for more than one-third of total $ spend on Sweet Corn, however, it lost the most number of buying households this year, driving the overall decline in household reach for Sweet Corn.
Approximately half of Australian households don’t purchase Fresh Sweet Corn which highlights a big opportunity for growth. Colmar Brunton Project Harvest Wave 18 mentions that awareness for Sweet Corn remains very low. In-store and marketing campaigns can aid in reminding shoppers including Sweet Corn in their basket.
Examine the reasons for the decline in purchase frequency of retained buyers and the decline in the number of heavy buyers. This loss of traction and loyalty among existing Sweet Corn consumers is concerning.
Leverage the position of Sweet Corn as a “family favourite” and a “healthy addition to the meals”. Introduction of more pre-packaged alternatives can yield dividends. *
Source: * http://ausfoodnews.com.au/2015/03/10/australian-consumers-embrace-corn-research.html
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Market OverviewSweet Corn
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Share of Market VolumeOver Total VegetablesAustralia
Share of Market ValueOver Total VegetablesAustralia
Source: Nielsen Homescan
Last Year This Year
21.9% 22.0%
22.8% 22.4%
10.8% 11.1%
11.0% 10.6%
10.1% 10.1%
5.6% 5.3%
5.6% 5.9%
4.9% 5.1%3.1% 3.2%2.2% 2.3%2.0% 2.1%
Last Year This Year
38.8% 39.0%
11.4% 11.5%
4.7% 4.5%
14.2% 14.0%
4.2% 4.1%3.9% 4.2%3.0% 3.0%2.4% 2.7%7.8% 7.6%7.5% 7.5%
2.0% 2.0%
Sweet Corn increased its volume sales contribution and now represents 2.1% volume market share. Value share remained stable at 2.0% of total Vegetables sales this year.
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Vegetables Sweet Corn Carrots Sweet Potato/Ku-
mara
Potatoes Pumpkin Broccoli/Broccol-ini
365.3
13.5 18.3 13.343.8
14.3 20.7
380.5
14.0 18.0 15.946.1
15.0 21.4
Vegetables Sweet Corn Carrots Sweet Potato/Ku-
mara
Potatoes Pumpkin Broccoli/Broccol-ini
88.9
3.210.1 6.6
21.2
6.6 5.2
87.4
3.310.2 6.9
20.76.7 5.1
Vegetables Sweet Corn Carrots Sweet Potato/Ku-
mara
Potatoes Pumpkin Broccoli/Broccol-ini
99.7
54.6
94.5
64.8
95.0
75.9 76.3
99.6
54.4
94.5
63.6
94.3
76.3 75.9
How many Households buy
annually?
How much (Kg) do they buy per year?
How much ($) do they spend per year?
Source: Nielsen Homescan
This YearLast year
Sweet Corn lost 20,783 buying households this year, however, this is offset by buyers spending and consuming more Sweet Corn compared to last year.
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How much ($) do they spend per occasion?
How much (Kg) do they buy per occasion?
How often do they buy annually?
Source: Nielsen Homescan
Vegetables Sweet Corn Carrots Sweet Potato/Ku-
mara
Potatoes Pumpkin Broccoli/Broccol-ini
50.4
5.211.4
5.712.2
6.49.9
50.7
5.211.2
6.011.9
6.39.8
Vegetables Sweet Corn Carrots Sweet Potato/Ku-
mara
Potatoes Pumpkin Broccoli/Broccol-ini
1.77
0.620.89
1.17
1.74
1.04
0.53
1.73
0.640.91
1.16
1.74
1.06
0.52
Vegetables Sweet Corn Carrots Sweet Potato/Ku-
mara
Potatoes Pumpkin Broccoli/Broccol-ini
7.25
2.581.61
2.33
3.59
2.24 2.08
7.51
2.671.60
2.66
3.87
2.38 2.19
This YearLast year
The rise in average spend on and consumption of Sweet Corn is driven by increased spend in each trip; shopping frequency remains stable.
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9Source: Nielsen Homescan
4 W
/E 2
3/03
/201
3
4 W
/E 2
0/04
/201
3
4 W
/E 1
8/05
/201
3
4 W
/E 1
5/06
/201
3
4 W
/E 1
3/07
/201
3
4 W
/E 1
0/08
/201
3
4 W
/E 0
7/09
/201
3
4 W
/E 0
5/10
/201
3
4 W
/E 0
2/11
/201
3
4 W
/E 3
0/11
/201
3
4 W
/E 2
8/12
/201
3
4 W
/E 2
5/01
/201
4
4 W
/E 2
2/02
/201
4
4 W
/E 2
2/03
/201
4
4 W
/E 1
9/04
/201
4
4 W
/E 1
7/05
/201
4
4 W
/E 1
4/06
/201
4
4 W
/E 1
2/07
/201
4
4 W
/E 0
9/08
/201
4
4 W
/E 0
6/09
/201
4
4 W
/E 0
4/10
/201
4
4 W
/E 0
1/11
/201
4
4 W
/E 2
9/11
/201
4
4 W
/E 2
7/12
/201
4
4 W
/E 2
4/01
/201
5
4 W
/E 2
1/02
/201
5
16.317.5
14.8
17.516.0
17.9
15.317.4
15.7
12.5 12.915.0
16.918.7 19.3
17.9
13.9 14.7
12.0
15.5 14.9
17.715.6
12.714.6
16.1
3.4 3.43.6
3.3
3.7 3.63.7
3.53.7 3.8 3.7 3.6
3.33.2 3.1
3.4
3.93.6
4.7
4.3 4.4
3.8 3.7 3.8 3.83.5
Penetration of households Average $ spend per household every 4 weeks
From a value perspective, the recent 4-week average dollar spend is $0.20 higher compared to last year.
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4 W
/E 2
3/03
/201
3
4 W
/E 2
0/04
/201
3
4 W
/E 1
8/05
/201
3
4 W
/E 1
5/06
/201
3
4 W
/E 1
3/07
/201
3
4 W
/E 1
0/08
/201
3
4 W
/E 0
7/09
/201
3
4 W
/E 0
5/10
/201
3
4 W
/E 0
2/11
/201
3
4 W
/E 3
0/11
/201
3
4 W
/E 2
8/12
/201
3
4 W
/E 2
5/01
/201
4
4 W
/E 2
2/02
/201
4
4 W
/E 2
2/03
/201
4
4 W
/E 1
9/04
/201
4
4 W
/E 1
7/05
/201
4
4 W
/E 1
4/06
/201
4
4 W
/E 1
2/07
/201
4
4 W
/E 0
9/08
/201
4
4 W
/E 0
6/09
/201
4
4 W
/E 0
4/10
/201
4
4 W
/E 0
1/11
/201
4
4 W
/E 2
9/11
/201
4
4 W
/E 2
7/12
/201
4
4 W
/E 2
4/01
/201
5
4 W
/E 2
1/02
/201
5
3.4 3.4 3.63.3
3.7 3.6 3.73.5
3.7 3.8 3.7 3.63.3 3.2 3.1
3.43.9
3.6
4.74.3 4.4
3.8 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.5
2.46 2.46 2.60 2.472.73 2.60 2.69
2.512.70 2.77 2.77 2.76
2.35 2.27 2.282.48
2.902.63
3.363.06 3.07
2.76 2.71 2.852.68 2.53
1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4
Average $ spend per household every 4 weeks $ spend per purchase occasionAverage purchase occasions every 4 weeks
Buyers are spending $0.20 more in each trip on Sweet Corn this month vs 2014, driving the rise in average monthly spend.
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Heavy, Medium & Light Buyers Sweet Corn
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Purchased Sweet Corn on 1 to 2 occasions throughout this period
Light Buyers
Medium Buyers
Heavy Buyers
Purchased Sweet Corn on 3 to 5 occasions throughout this period
Purchased Sweet Corn on more than +5 occasions throughout this period
Source: Nielsen Homescan MKS_ 806099
Heavy Buyers account for more than two-thirds of volume and value sales while representing less than 30% of Sweet Corn’s buyer base.
% Buyers % Volume % Value
43.6
11.5 11.4
26.9
19.8 19.6
29.4
68.7 69.0
Light Buyers (1-2) Medium Buyers (3-5) Heavy Buyers (+5)
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Light Sweet Corn Buyers (1-2) Medium Sweet Corn Buyers (3-5) Heavy Sweet Corn Buyers (+5)
3.7110.05
30.73
3.66 10.22
32.81
How many Households buy?
How much (Kg) do they buy per year?
How much ($) do they spend per year?
Light Buyers Medium Buyers Heavy Buyers
1-2 occasions per year
3-5 occasions per year
5+ occasions per year
Source: Nielsen Homescan MKS_ 806099
Light Sweet Corn Buyers (1-2) Medium Sweet Corn Buyers (3-5) Heavy Sweet Corn Buyers (+5)
23.8
14.4 16.423.7
14.6 16.0
Light Sweet Corn Buyers (1-2) Medium Sweet Corn Buyers (3-5) Heavy Sweet Corn Buyers (+5)
0.82.3
7.5
0.92.4
7.8
There are less heavy buyers compared to last year, however a rise in Light and Medium Buyers is witnessed. Average annual volume consumption is up across the 3 groups are up.
This YearLast Year
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Heavy Buyers5+ occasions
per year
How often do they buy?
How much do they buy per occasion?
How much do they spend per occasion?
DemographicsLife stage
(distribution of volume)Gender Incomes
Source: Nielsen Homescan BDS_ 806090
Last Year
12.0 12.3 0.6 Kg 0.6 Kg $2.56 $2.68This Year
On average, Heavy Buyers are purchasing Sweet Corn almost once a month. They have increased their purchase frequency this year. Couples (Established + Senior) and Start Up Families have gained volume importance this year.
1 2
11% 13%
16% 15%
18% 17%
5% 4%
11% 9%
18% 20%
21% 22%
21%
79%
18%
32%
49%
Last Year This Year
Last Year This Year Last Year This Year
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Medium Buyers3-5 occasions
per year
How often do they buy?
How much do they buy per occasion?
How much do they spend per occasion?
Demographics
Gender Incomes
3.8 3.8 0.6 Kg 0.6 Kg $2.62 $2.68Medium buyers purchase the same volume per trip as Heavy Buyers, however, their purchase occasions are less than one-third in comparison. Couples (Senior+Established) have gained volume share this year.
1 2
9% 7%
16% 14%
16%15%
8%8%
13%12%
20%25%
18% 20%
21%
79%
23%
32%
45%
Last Year This Year
Last Year This YearLast Year This Year Last Year This Year
Life stage(distribution of volume)
Source: Nielsen Homescan BDS_ 806090
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Light Buyers1-2 occasions
per year
How often do they buy?
How much do they buy per occasion?
How much do they spend per occasion?
Demographics
Gender Incomes
1.4 1.4 0.6 Kg 0.6 Kg $2.64 $2.65Light buyers on an average purchase Sweet Corn less than twice in a year. Their consumption and spend per occasion remained stable. Couples (Senior+ Established) and Independent Singles increased their volume representation this year.
1 2
7% 6%
10% 10%
16% 15%
10% 9%
16% 17%
24% 25%
17% 18%
25%
75%
25%
35%
40%
Last Year This Year
Last Year This YearLast Year This Year Last Year This Year
Life stage(distribution of volume)
Source: Nielsen Homescan BDS_ 806090
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Sweet Corn
Carrots
Sweet Potato
Potato
Pumpkin
Broccoli
6%
11%
5%
20%
6%
5%
Heavy Carrot buyers allocate a lower proportion of vegetable consumption to Potatoes as compared to Light and Medium buyers.
Total Sweet Corn Buyers Light Buyers Medium Buyers Heavy Buyers
1-2 occasions per year
3-5 occasions per year
5+ occasions per year
Source: Nielsen Homescan MKS_ 806099| Based on Volume | Relative to Total Vegetables | Year to 21/02/2015
Sweet Corn
Carrots
Sweet Potato
Potato
Pumpkin
Broccoli
1%
11%
5%
22%
6%
4%
Sweet Corn
Carrots
Sweet Potato
Potato
Pumpkin
Broccoli
2%
11%
5%
22%
6%
5%
Sweet Corn
Carrots
Sweet Potato
Potato
Pumpkin
Broccoli
3%
11%
5%
21%
6%
5%
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New, Lost & Retained Buyers Sweet Corn
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How many households buy Sweet Corn (%)?
How much ($) do they buy in the year?
How much (Kg) do they buy in the year?
RETAINEDSweet Corn buyers
NEWSweet Corn buyers
LOSTSweet Corn buyers
Existing Sweet Corn buyers have reduced their shopping frequency, while increasing the spend compared to last year. New Sweet Corn buyers in comparison to Lost buyers purchase the vegetable more often, have higher average spend as well as consumption.
Last Year This Year Last Year This Year
How often did they buy?
$/per trip
Kg/per trip
11.8%
1.2 Kgs
$5.42
2.1 trips
0.6 Kgs
$2.60
11.6%
1.5 Kgs
$6.35
2.3 trips
0.6 Kgs
$2.76
42.5%
3.9 Kgs
$15.85
6.2 trips
0.6 Kgs
$2.58
42.5%
3.9 Kgs
$16.15
6.1 trips
0.6 Kgs
$2.64
Source: Nielsen Homescan MKS_806094
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Where is volume going?Sweet Corn
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0%-63%
163%
Sales
WHERE IS THE SWITCHING VOLUME COMING FROM?
Sweet Corn gained volume from buyers switching out from Potatoes, Broccoli and Other Vegetables. Switching gains offset the volume loss due to the existing buyers buying less Kg volume of Sweet Corn this year.
Source: Nielsen Homescan BSF_806093 | Based on Volume | Relative to Total Vegetables | Year to 21/02/2015
A/O Vegeta-
bles
Potato
Broccoli
Pumpkin
Sweet Potato
2.3
0.7
0.3
-0.1
-0.1
Net Gain/Loss %
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Retail Healthby Retailer & StateSweet Corn
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Volu
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Valu
e
Source: Nielsen Homescan
Other Supermarkets
Non Supermarkets
The total Vegetable market has grown in terms of value over the past year driven by growth across all retailers except IGA. Woolworths, IGA and Non Supermarkets posted volume sales decline this year.
25%
4%
11%
8%28%
24%
-1%
7%8%
-8%
-3%
1%
0%
19%
4%
9%
7%
34%
27%
3%
12%
19%
-3%
4%6%5%
Share by RetailersThis yearTotal Vegetables
Sales vs. Last YearThis year vs. Last yearTotal Vegetables
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Share by RetailerThis year vs. Last yearT. Sweet Corn
Sales vs. Last yearThis year vs. Last yearT. Sweet Corn
Other Supermarkets
Non Supermarkets
Volu
me
Valu
e
Source: Nielsen Homescan
17%
3%
11%
4%
39%
26%
25%
4%
11%
4%37%
20%
-12%
0%
20%
-17%
5%
27%
4%
-3%-2%
32%
-8%
2%7%
5%
Non Supermarkets have witnessed significant drop in their sales whilst huge growth can be seen in Coles and ALDI, driving the growth for Sweet Corn in value as well as volume sales.
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Source: Nielsen Homescan Total Market: AUS Shared to: T. Fresh Frt Veg Dried Frt Nut Condition: Defined Market: AUS Defined Product: T. Fresh Frt Veg Dried Frt Nut Defined Fact: Purchase Value Defined Period: MAT TO 21/02/2015
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Homescan isights v3.0 .Dictionary v1.5
Source: Nielsen Homescan
Account Shopper ConversionYear to 21/02/2015| Woolworths (WW)
Almost 57% of Woolworths shoppers are purchasing Sweet Corn on their trips to Woolworths. This is a lower rate than that of comparable vegetables like Carrots, Potatoes and Broccoli.
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Source: Nielsen Homescan Total Market: AUS Shared to: T. Fresh Frt Veg Dried Frt Nut Condition: Defined Market: AUS Defined Product: T. Fresh Frt Veg Dried Frt Nut Defined Fact: Purchase Value Defined Period: MAT TO 21/02/2015
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Homescan isights v3.0 .Dictionary v1.5
Source: Nielsen Homescan
Account Shopper ConversionYear to 21/02/2015| Coles
Conversion rate for Coles is lower than Woolworths with less than 52% of Coles shoppers buying Sweet Corn in Coles.
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51.7 53.1
3.1 3.1
SA + NT (6%)
VIC (25%)
NSW (35%)
QLD (22%)
WA (10%)
Average KG per Buyer
Penetration This year vs. Last year
( ) State share of Sweet Corn $ sales
Is there a particular state driving the category performance?NSW and WA are the only states where the consumption of Sweet Corn increased.
NSW, accounts for more than one-third of total $ spend on Sweet Corn, and has lost the most buying households this year.
Source: Nielsen Homescan
55.6 55.2
3.03.4
50.1 51.2
3.32.9
58.7 59.7
3.1 3.1
56.5 53.1
3.43.9
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