Sustainable)Air)Transport) Alex%de%Gunten% ALTA% · 2012. 4. 20. · *excludes the USD 2B Volaris...
Transcript of Sustainable)Air)Transport) Alex%de%Gunten% ALTA% · 2012. 4. 20. · *excludes the USD 2B Volaris...
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Strategies)and)Tools)for))Sustainable)Air)Transport)
Alex%de%Gunten%ALTA%
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ALTA
• Industry trade association representing LATAM and Caribbean carriers
• Founded in 1980
• Committed to promoting a safer, more efficient and environmentally-friendly commercial airline industry in Latin America & the Caribbean
• IOSA Driven
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ALTA
• Over 40 airlines
• 90% of traffic in the region
• Aggregated revenue of over USD 24B/year
• Combined fleet of over 950 aircraft
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LATAM Region
• Air Transport is the most efficient and reliable mode of transportation
• Few trans-border rail connections
• 1,925 aircraft in service
• 2 million flights per year
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Engine of Development
• 524,000 direct jobs
• 5.4 million jobs considering indirect, induced and catalytic (tourism) effects
• USD 125B of the region’s GDP
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0
30
60
90
120
150U
SD Billions
19.9 42.6 53.1
124.9
Direct Effects+ Indirect
+ Induced+ Tourism catalytic
Aviation Industry GDP
Bolivia Guatemala DominicanRepublic
CARICOM+ Ecuador
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0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
2011-2030 Traffic Grow
th Rate
7.6%6.9% 6.7% 6.6%
5.1% 5.1%4.3%
2.9%China LATAM APAC M. East World Africa Europe NAM
Encouraging Long-Term Forecasts
Source: Boeing
6.9%
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0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
2011-2030 Traffic Grow
th Rate
7.6%6.9% 6.7% 6.6%
5.1% 5.1%4.3%
2.9%China LATAM APAC M. East World Africa Europe NAM
Encouraging Long-Term Forecasts
Source: Boeing
6.9% !
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35 BillionAircraft orders value in 2006-2010
Source: Ascend
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2011 orders: 11.8 Billion
*excludes the USD 2B Volaris order finalized in 2012
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USD 4BIn fees and charges
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Governments have not kept pace with
Industry’s efforts
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Congested Airports
Highly CongestedCongested
One of every three flights in the region departs from a congested airport
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Airport Passengers 2010 Passengers 2014
Sao Paulo (GRU) 26,774,546 37,181,170
Sao Paulo (CGH) 15,481,370 20,517,314
Brasilia 14,149,306 21,176,666
Rio de Janeiro (GIG) 12,229,513 21,150,373
Rio de Janeiro (SDU) 7,805,387 8,723,403
Salvador 7,540,298 10,979,630
Belo Horizonte (CNF) 7,261,041 11,250,620
Porto Alegre 6,676,216 9,822,394
Recife 5,933,137 8,931,867
Curitiba 5,769,712 8,534,465
Fortaleza 5,072,786 7,502,377
Sao Paulo (VCP) 5,021,939 9,584,419
Manaus 2,705,131 3,985,265
Cuiaba 2,134,267 3,251,185
Brazil
Source: SNEA
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Brazil
• Three airports concessioned to private sector in early 2012
• But infrastructure might not be ready for 2014 FIFA World Cup
“The concern is that nothing is made or prepared to receive so many people, because the world wants to go to Brazil. I am sorry to say but things are not working in Brazil” (FIFA’s Secretary General Jerome Valcke)
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Mexico
• MEX saturation is hampering the country’s air connectivity
• The airport reached its historical peak; there are even more operations than when Mexicana was flying
• Slot regulation do not provide a long-term solution
• A new airport is needed to accommodate growing traffic and new aircraft ordered by Mexican Carriers
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Colombia
• New operations in Bogota's El Dorado can only be scheduled between 11:45pm and 5:00am
• Airlines looking for alternatives to base their operation and avoid congestion
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Argentina
• Buenos Aires’ airports are highly congested
• Lack of aircraft stands at Aeroparque
• Ezeiza’s security checkpoints, immigration and customs are saturated at peak hours
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Quality of Air Transport Infrastructure
Ranking 2007 Ranking 2011
Argentina 84 115
Brazil 57 93
Colombia 53 89
Costa Rica 68 80
Ecuador 71 73
El Salvador 25 33
Mexico 55 65
Source: World Economic Forum
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Reinvestment in Air Transport
Infrastructure
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Brazilian Airports Privatizations
• Government raised a 348% premium over minimum bid
• In GRU, committed payments to the Government amount to 90% of 2011 gross revenues
• Worries that ANAC does not have expertise or budgte to monitor contracts effectively
• Concerns that the National Aviation Fund will not be reinvested in the industry
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PrivatizationsDo Don’t
Have a consultation process with the users
Stimulate the efficiency of the operator and have competitive prices
Ensure complete independence between the operator and the regulator
Make the users pre-finance the investments
Allow the operator to extend its monopoly to ancillary services
Award the contracts with direct cash generation goals
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Improve and review both the concession and privatization
processes in the Region
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Besides congested, and poorly privatized.......
airports in the region are expensive
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-43%Decrease of airline unit costs in real terms since 1980
Source: ICAO
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-45%Decrease of average domestic fare in Brazil (in real
terms)
Source: ANAC
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Airport charges have increased in real terms between 2003 and 2009
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Contributing Factors to High Airport Charges
• Contracts stipulate elevated payments to governments
• In some cases over 50% of gross revenues
• Inflexible investment requirements that might not reflect market realities
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Ensure airports are efficient and have
competitive charges
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Fragmented and Inefficient ATC
• Airspace fragmentation
• Outdated equipment
• Shortage of controllers
• Approval of new, direct routes takes too long
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RNP on the Lima-Cuzco Route
• Industry-wide effort involving LAN, GE Aviation, CORPAC, and the DGAC of Peru
• Route shortened by 30.5 km; 6.5 mins of flight time
• Savings of 67.5 gallons of fuel and 644 kg of CO2 per flight
• Annual savings of 1,700 flight hours and 11,000 tons of CO2 when fully implemented
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Promote investment and use of technologies,
integrate ATC
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Harmonization
• Heavy fragmentation of technical regulations
• Crew licensing
• Airworthiness
• Maintenance facilities
• Proliferation of measures under the excuse of protecting the environment
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Some Positive Steps
• SRVSOP: regional project created by ICAO for the CAR/SAM region
• Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, and Peru already agreed on the mutual recognition of MRO shops based in those 6 countries
• We encourage the remaining countries to join in this initiative
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Better integration and coordination of technical and
environmental regulations
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Thank you