Urban Sustainability: Models for Better Management and Planning (Spanish) - Dario Hidalgo - EMBARQ
Sustainable Mobility Trends around the World - Dario Hidalgo - EMBARQ
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Transcript of Sustainable Mobility Trends around the World - Dario Hidalgo - EMBARQ
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Sustainable Mobility Trends around the World
Darío Hidalgo, PhD
Director Research and Practice EMBARQ
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We Insist in a Paradigm Shift
Moving Cars Moving People
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Global Report
on Human
Settlements
2013
http://www.unhabitat.
org/content.asp?type
id=19&catid=555&cid
=12336
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We think we have it clear how
Avoid Shift Improve
Quantity and length of motorized trips
To the most efficient modes
Technology and operations
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But not enough change is happening
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Why?
Dispersed single land
use
Increased urban area
Inncreased Motorization
[Predicton of Vehicular Flows]
Provision of Road
Capacity
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Soultion of Obesity
Eating
Lack of Exercise
Getting
FAT
Expanding the Size of The Pants
Lewis Mumford 1895 - 1990
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Some champions of putting cities on “diet”
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Political Will – Community Support
Technical Capacity to Plan, Implement,
Improve
Finance – Infrastructure and Operations
Capturing the Trends
Keys for a paradigm shift
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Something is already happening to our younger
genrations
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Proportion of licensed drivers by age (1998-2008)
Driving is not as cool as it used to be
Sivak and Schoettle, 2011
http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/handle/2027.42/86680/102764.pdf
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Passenger Car Travel (1990=100) Peak Travel?
Source: International Transport Forum 2012
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Photo by Alan Crawford, http://www.bikeleague.org/
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Cycling on the Rise - USA
http://www.bikeleague.org/content/acs-
bike-commuting-continues-rise
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Really shy compared with Western Europe
http://www.fietsberaad.nl/library/repository/bestanden/Fietsberaad_
publicatie7_Engels.pdf
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http://citymaus.tumblr.com/post/1986376111/cphbikehighways
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New trends picking up
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Vehicle demand management
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Congestion pricing – emerging
Year
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Received wide implementation due to EU’s health-based air
quality standard;
Additional 100 EU cities will implement LEZs
Low emission zones - tipping in European Union
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Caps the number of new vehicle registrations
Formats
Beijing, Guiyang – Lottery
Singapore, Shanghai – Auction
Guangzhou and Tianjin – Auction and Lottery
Vehicle quota system – on the rise in China
Year
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http://churumuri.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/11july07kpn78.jpg
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TransMilenio, Bogotá, 104 km 2 million pax/day
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Metro rail - tipping in China
London 1863;
189 cities - 10,500 kilometers - 112 million pax/day; 189 Cities
10,500 km
112 MM pax/day
168 Cities
4,424 km
31 MM pax/day
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Global Growth of Car Sharing 2000-2012
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Urban design for access
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Multimodal Integration
Touch and ride with the
newest innovation from
Google. Photo by yoshinari.
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The future is not what
it used to be; we see
some indications of
change, but not
enough is happening!
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Our Role
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www.bogotacomovamos.org
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Today 2041Automobility Sustainable Transport
Population (millions) 5.4 13.2 13.2
Trips (millions/yr) 5.6 39.75 39.75
Area (Sq. Km.) 1330 6484 3242
Emissions(million Tons CO2/yr) 0.33 12.32 1.97
Traffic Fatalities (per yr) 175 5,232 1,225
Ahmedabad – Future Scenarios
If all of this happens you end up with very
different cities: liveable, affordable, safe
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And a very different planet
42,971
33,194
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Ro
ad T
rave
l (B
illio
n V
eh
-Km
)
4 Degree Scenario 2 Degree Scenario
Source: IEA (2012) Energy Technology Perspectives
22,8% reduction in
vehicle-km
USD 20 Trillion Savings
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With 1.3 million people not killed in traffic
3,783,009
5,098,418
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Wo
rld
wid
e a
nn
ual
tra
ffic
fat
alit
ies
2 Degree Scenario 4 Degree Scenario
Source: EMBARQ Analysis, Duduta and Hidalgo (2013)
1.315.409 lives/year
saved due to the
reduction in VKT
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Streets for people not roads for cars
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Thank You! ¡Muchas Gracias! धन्यवाद
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http://gehlarchitects.files.wordpress.com/2012/09/header.jpg
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