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SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Research on Climate ChangeResearch on Climate Change
DrDr Georgios AMANATIDISGeorgios AMANATIDIS Environment DirectorateEnvironment Directorate
Research DG, European Commission Research DG, European Commission
ENSEMBLES Kick-off Meeting, Hamburg, 15-16 September 2004
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
From research on environmental protection to integration of sustainability into research
FP3 & 4: Research on ecosystem functioning, climate and environment protection technologies
FP5: Integration of the environmental dimension in research; more attention to climate change, water, coastal integration and urban
dynamics
FP6: Sustainability to be integrated in all areas of research, especially Energy, Transport and Agriculture
The Historical PerspectiveThe Historical Perspective
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Over 180 research projects funded in areas (budget: 250 M€)
Climate change prediction Climate dynamics and abrupt changes Interactions between ecosystems and carbon/nitrogen cycle Atmospheric composition Change Stratospheric ozone depletion Mitigation and adaptation European contribution to global observation systems Natural hazards research
Contribution to IGBP, WCRP, IHDP and IPCC
FP5 (1999-2002)FP5 (1999-2002)Climate ResearchClimate Research
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
EPICA: Ice coring reached a depth of 3100m. Climate history record of past 900,000 years
DEMETER: Capability demonstrated to predict seasonal/interannual climate variations – implications for energy, agriculture, tourism and health
CARBOEUROPE: Carbon absorption capacity of Europe’s terrestrial biosphere reported to be about 7-12 % of the annual anthropogenic CO2 emissions
GECS: Global scenarios analysing the impact of post-Kyoto policies under flexibility mechanisms for emission reduction
TRADEOFF: Aviation cirrus clouds impacts on climate is three times larger than that from CO2 emissions alone
Some pertinent results of FP5Some pertinent results of FP5
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Radiative forcing (RF) from air traffic in 1992 from IPCC (1999; coloured columns and bars with vertical end-lines) and revised estimates (white columns and bars with end-diamonds) based on recent research results (EU-project TRADEOFF, and papers by Marquart et al (2003), Mannstein, and others at this conference). The revised RF from
CO2 applies to the year 2000. Note that the revised total now includes the cirrus clouds.
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Sustainable energy systems (810MEuro): clean energy, energy savings, alternative motor fuels, fuel cells, energy carriers/transport/storage
Sustainable surface transport (610MEuro): environmentally friendly transport, interoperability, safety
Global change and ecosystems (700MEuro): greenhouse gas emissions, water cycle, biodiversity and ecosystems, natural disasters, land management, climate observation, complementary research, cross-cutting issues
The 3 interrelated pillars of FP6The 3 interrelated pillars of FP6Priority 6: Sustainable Development, Priority 6: Sustainable Development,
Global Change and EcosystemsGlobal Change and Ecosystems
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
FP6 (2003-2006)FP6 (2003-2006)Global Change and EcosystemsGlobal Change and Ecosystems
I. Impact and mechanisms of greenhouse gas emissions and atmospheric pollutants on climate, ozone depletion and carbon
sinks
II. Water cycle, including soil-related aspects
III. Biodiversity and ecosystems
IV. Mechanisms of desertification and natural disasters
V. Strategies for sustainable land management, including coastal
zones, agricultural land and forests
VI. Operational forecasting and modelling including global climatic
change observation systems
VII. Complementary research
VIII. Cross-cutting issue: Sustainable Development concepts and tools
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Work Programme on Area IWork Programme on Area I
Impact and mechanisms of greenhouse gas emissionsand atmospheric pollutants on climate, ozone depletion
and carbon sinks
Research priorities
I.1 Carbon and nitrogen cycles: sources and sinksI.2 Atmospheric pollutants and their regional impactsI.3 Climate dynamics and variabilityI.4 Prediction of climate change and its impactsI.5 Stratospheric ozone and climate interactionsI.6 Adaptation and mitigation strategies
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
FP6 Climate Research Projects FP6 Climate Research Projects 1st Call, 20031st Call, 2003
ENSEMBLES – IP: Ensemble-based Predictions of Climate Changes and their impacts
SCOUT-03 – IP: Stratosphere-Climate Links with emphasis on UTLS
ACCENT – NoE: Atmospheric Composition Change: A European Network
CARBOEUROPE – IP: Assessment of European Terrestrial Carbon Balance
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Specific Support ActionSpecific Support Action
A Europe-South America network
for climate change assessment and impact studies (CLARIS)
Duration: 36 months
EC support: 500 K€
Objective: to strengthen collaboration between research groups in Europe and S. America to develop common research strategies on climate change and impact issues in the subtropical region of South-America through a multi- scale integrated approach
Coordinator: J.-P. Boulanger, CNRS, France
Partners: 14 from France, Germany, Argentine, Brazil, Italy, Spain, Uruguay and the Netherlands
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
2nd Call – New Instruments2nd Call – New Instruments(NoE and IP) in Indent I(NoE and IP) in Indent I
I.1 Carbon and nitrogen cycles: sources and sinks;Assessment of marine carbon sources and sinks
I.2 Atmospheric pollutants and their regional impacts;
Atmospheric pollutants and climate forcing
I.3 Climate dynamics and variability;
Hot spots in the earth systemCoupled climate system (STREPS)Novel palaeoreconstruction methods (STREPS)
I.5 Stratospheric ozone and climate interactions;
Aviation and surface transport impacts on climate
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
2nd Call for Proposals – Selected IP2nd Call for Proposals – Selected IP
CARBO OCEAN – IP: Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment
AMMA – IP: African monsoon multidisciplinary analysis
QUANTIFY – IP: Quantifying the climate impact of global and European transport systems
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
“African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis” (AMMA)
Duration: 5 years
EC support: < 11.7 M€
Objective: to improve the ability to predict the West African monsoon (WAM) and its impact on intra-seasonal to decadal timescales as well as the consequences of climate change on WAM variability.
Coordinator: J. Polcher, CNRS, France
Partners: 40 from France, Germany, UK, Spain, Italy, Denmark, Belgium, the Netherlands, Finland, Niger and Burkina Faso
Integrated Project in I.3Integrated Project in I.3
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
“Understanding the Dynamics of the Coupled Climate System”
(DYNAMITE)
Duration: 36 months
EC support: 2M€
Objective: to explore the fundamental dynamical mechanisms of two important modes of climate variability, the NAO/AO and the ENSO
Coordinator: H. Drange, NERSC, Bergen, Norway
Partners: 13 from Norway, UK, France, Germany, Italy, Romania and China
STREPSTREP
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
3rd Call for Proposals3rd Call for Proposals Deadline October 26, 2004Deadline October 26, 2004
Climate related research topics:
1. Nitrogen cycle and its interaction with C-cycle (IP)
2. Ocean-atmosphere-chemistry interaction (STREP)
3. Adaptation and mitigation strategies (IP)
4. The past climate and its dynamics (IP)
5. Climate observations (IP): Contribution to GEO and GCOS
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Third Call for ProposalsThird Call for ProposalsDeadline October 26, 2004Deadline October 26, 2004
Earth System Observations (Integrated Project) Enhance coordinated efforts at data analysis and fill gaps
in regional observing systems Interfaces, interoperability, integration and linkages
between observing systems Improvement of monitoring technologies and standards Identification of a set of geo-observational products Observations for detection and documentation of climate
change, including extreme events (e.g. ENSO) Provide contribution to the Group on Earth Observation
(GEO) and Global Climate Observing System (GCOS)
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Third Call for ProposalsThird Call for ProposalsDeadline October 26, 2004Deadline October 26, 2004
Specific Support Actions
Enhancing co-operation between Europe and the developing countries within the context of global earth observation systems (GEO)
Exploitation of results of research projects relevant to the GEO
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
3rd Call for proposals3rd Call for proposalsNovember 2004 November 2004
Instrument Budget € (millions)
IP and NoE 150
STREP and CA 50
SSA 5
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Earth Observation Summit: Earth Observation Summit: EU contributionEU contribution
July 31, 2003, Washington D.C.July 31, 2003, Washington D.C.
Summit declaration
Coordinated Earth-Observation system or systems Reference to Jo’burg and Evian Summits EO-Summit II, Tokyo, April 25, 2004 Earth Observation Summit III, February 16, 2005,
Brussels, to discuss and approve 10-year Implementation Plan
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Earth Observation Summit: Earth Observation Summit: EU ContributionEU Contribution
Ad hoc Group on Earth-Observation (GEO):
Co-chair: Dr. A. Mitsos, Director-General, Research DG, EC
GEO II meeting, 28-29 November 2003, Baveno, Italy Participation in GEO- Sub groups and the GEO
Secretariat GEO – Governance meeting, 27-28 September 2004, EC,
Brussels Earth Observation Partnership Conference, 15 October
2004, Brussels GEO V meeting, 27-30 November 2004, Ottawa, Canada
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
AirSoil Water Land-Use Hazards/RisksHabitats Socio-Economic
Nature &Biodiversity
UrbanIndustrial Risks
Soils
Floods
FiresWater
HealthForests
Topography
Agro-environment
Meteo and climate data
Climate Change
Air
Noise
Coastal Zones
Monitoring
GMES
Global Monitoring of Global Monitoring of Environment and SecurityEnvironment and Security
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
The Six Axes of FP7The Six Axes of FP7
1. Consolidate transnational collaboration through common projects and networking in order to create European « Pôle of excellence »;
2. Launch technological initiatives, at European scale, in order to implement common research agendas in support of a European Industry Policy in key areas of technological progress;
3. Stimulate competition among individual teams, in particular in basic research, through the setting up of a European Research Agency;
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
The Six Axes of FP7The Six Axes of FP7
4. Reinforce human resources through the support of training and mobility of researchers in the perspective of enabling and developing European scientific careers;
5. Develop research infrastructure through support for the creation and for the exploitation of infrastructure of European interest as experienced with the Trans-European Networks;
6. Promote the co-ordination between national and regional research programmes.
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
To build on current EU Research:
www.cordis.lu
Information on FP6:
europa.eu.int/comm/research/nfp.html
FP6 Instruments:
europa.eu.int/comm/research/nfp/networks-ip.html
Future research:
http://europa.eu.int/comm/research/future/index_en.html
InformationInformation