Marine Corps Combat Development CommandMarine Corps Combat Development Command3300 Russell Road Quantico, VA 22134-51303300 Russell Road Quantico, VA 22134-5130

114 Jul 2011

Supporting Operations Research in the USMC using M&S

Major Christian Fitzpatrick, USMC

Mission Area Analysis Branch, OAD, MCCDC

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Agenda

BackgroundCurrent BilletCritical SkillsFuture PlansThesis Opportunities at OAD

14 Jul 2011

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Background

Graduated from the USAF Academy in 1995 with a BS in Geography (No Computer Science experience)

US Marine Corps (MOS Experience) Air Support Control Officer (Okinawa, 29 Palms) KC-130 Pilot (San Diego)

Applied for MOVES degree at Naval Postgraduate School during a deployment aboard the USS Peleliu in the summer of 2006

Started degree completion in July 2007 and graduated in September 2009

Thesis: Applying Robotics and 3D Visualization to Modernize the Expeditionary Warfare Demonstrator (EWD)

Upon graduation, assigned to Mission Area Analysis Branch, Operations Analysis Division, MCCDC in Quantico, VA

MAA began request process to request a MOVES graduate in 2006. Request was made through Total Force Structure Division at MCCDC

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Agenda

BackgroundCurrent BilletCritical Skills Future PlansThesis Opportunities at OAD

14 Jul 2011

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Mission Area Analysis (MAA) Branch

Mission: To conduct formal and quick response MAAs What are MAAs? They are capabilities-based analyses

of future warfighting requirements in the context of approved scenarios, primarily using M&S

Objectives Evaluate Marine Corps warfighting capabilities Identify operational deficiencies Explore potential opportunities

Uses Refine future concepts Identify/validate requirements Support resource allocation

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Provide analytic insight to decision makers

USMC - EFDS

Navy - NCDP

Joint - JCIDS

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Recent MAA Studies

Joint Light Tactical Vehicle AoA – 2010 Surface/Vertical assault modeling across 3 operational vignettes to analyze

impact of JLTV alternatives on MAGTF operations

Lethality Analysis of 30mm Programmable Air Burst Munitions (PABM) – 2011 (PM, AAAV)

Examine the cost effectiveness of procuring PABM compared to conventional 30mm munitions

Infantry Battalion Mobile Ad Hoc Network (MANET) Study – 2010 (Tech Dir, MCTSSA)

Develop metrics and modeling to determine most promising technologies for providing tactical communications within the Infantry Bn (Rein) in 2011-2020

Counterbattery Radar (CBR) Capabilities Study – 2010 (Dir, CDD) Examine CBR warfighting requirements in both MCO, JFEO and Irregular

Warfare scenarios to determine required CBR capabilities

Airborne Command and Control AoA – 2011 (DC AVN) Analysis of Alternatives to determine most promising material solutions for

current airborne C2 gaps

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Models used in MAA Lab

Combat XXI Ship to Objective Maneuver Model – Vertical (STOMM-V) Ship to Objective Maneuver Model – Surface (STOMM-S) MAA Analytic Sustainment Suite (MASS) Satellite Toolkit (STK) Assignment Scheduling Capabilities for UAVs (ASC-U) Advanced Warfighting Simulation (AWARS)

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Mix of GOTS, COTS and “Home Grown” applications

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Combat XXI

Closed-form, high resolution combat simulation for analysis of the Joint Battlespace

Developed at TRAC-WSMR New development - study ready in FY09

Stochastic, entity-level model written in JavaRepresents individual Marines & equipmentScripting language for detailed behavior developmentUsed for MEU and below analysisScenarios portray battles lasting

hours or days

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Joint development between MCCDC and TRAC

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STOMM-V

Models movement of forces and supplies via assault support lift

Ship to Objective Between Objectives ashore

Deterministic ModelDeveloped using standard MS Office products

Excel Access Visual Basic for Applications (VBA)

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STOMM-S

Models movement of forces via landing craft Ship to Shore movement of forces using landing craft Employs landing craft loading LP to determine loads based on landing

craft capacities

Deterministic model Developed using standard MS Office products

Excel Access Visual Basic for Application (VBA) Solver Add-in Excel

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Satellite Toolkit

AGI product written in C, C++ and C#

Deterministic Physics-based model with

extensive 3D visualization Strength in sensors and

communications Very strong capability in

sensors and line of sight (LOS)

Air, land, sea, and space domains

Supports study metrics through meaningful C4ISR data

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JLTV Analysis of Alternatives

AoA was conducted prior to the Milestone B decision within the JCIDS process

MAA analyzed the embarkation and air/sea transportability of each of the four proposed vehicle alternatives to replace the aging HMMWV

Models Utilized: STOMM-V and STOMM-S Analysis provided changed the air transportability KPP in the

Capabilities Development Document

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JLTV AoA Brief to OSD CAPE

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Company Landing Team (CLT) Construct Analysis

MAA is providing analytic support for the Marine Corps Warfighting Lab (MCWL) as they develop a proposed CLT

We are looking closely at transportability ashore and sustainment Study sponsor is Major Brandy Thomas (MOVES, 2008) Models: STOMM-V & STOMM-S This analysis is on-going

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Lighten the MAGTF

CMC Directed Study MAGTF Integration Division (MID) is the designated Study Lead at

MCCDC MAA developing tools to visualize the MEB and MEU Data

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ACV Analysis

Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle was cancelled in Jan 2010 This was an ACAT 1 program for the USMC

PM, AAA working closely with MAA to analyze to requirements for the next Amphibious Combat Vehicle

Recently, we completed an in-depth analysis examining potential weapons options for this vehicle

On the horizon for MAA MAA is getting ready to support the ACV AoA (if assigned) This week I am visiting with Dr. Imre Balogh to coordinate MOVES support for

the AoA

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Agenda

BackgroundCurrent BilletCritical SkillsFuture PlansThesis Opportunities at OAD

20 May 2010

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Core Skills Required at MAA

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Data Validation

Data Visualization

Study Management

Excel VBA

Access VBA

Java Programming (Simkit)

Python Programming

IDE Usage (Netbeans)

Study Management

Data Structures

Python Programming Certification*

MOVES (Jul 07 – Sep 09) MAA (Oct 09 – Jul 11)

Off-Duty Education * Python Programming Certificate taken online

through University of Illinois

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Key MOVES Courses for MAA

MV 3302 Simulation Modeling & MV4302 Advanced Discrete Event Simulation

Introduction to Simkit and Arena

MV3204 Introduction to 3D Modeling in X3D Extensive use of Netbeans IDE

MV4025 Cognitive and Behavior Modeling for Simulations & MV4100 Cognitive Engineering

Python overview Behavior development in CXXI

CS3310 Artificial Intelligence Behavior development in CXXI

MV4460 Management of Modeling & Simulation Development Great overview of the JCIDS process and key organizations within DoD

OA4604 Wargaming Applications Did not take this course, but I receive questions weekly on how to best integrate

M&S tools into wargames

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Agenda

BackgroundCurrent BilletCritical SkillsFuture PlansThesis Opportunities at OAD

20 May 2010

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Future Plans

Completed two years at MAA and projected to move in the summer of 2012

Options Office of Naval Research (ONR) in Arlington, VA Continue at OAD, since billet will most likely be “gapped” in 2012 Return to primary MOS

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Agenda

BackgroundCurrent BilletCritical SkillsFuture PlansThesis Opportunities at OAD

20 May 2010

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Thesis Opportunities

ACV AoA Scenario and behavior development Data Post-Processing HLA/DIS Viewer

MAA has VR Vantage Stealth Viewer which could be used to visualize developed scenarios

Future Research Urban Warfare Enhanced Observation

Marine Corps Study System Board meets quarterly and potential studies are selected for completion. OAD

has sponsored numerous theses for Operations Research department

14 Jul 2011