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©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
CEO Strategies WorkshopsSupporting Slides
Raddon Financial GroupSeptember 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Industry & Economic Overview
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Key Industry Challenges1. The economic environment continues to present challenges for consumers
and for financial institutions.• The decline in loan volume is not just an “economic cycle” issue; it represents a significant
consumer behavior change.
2. Capital preservation results in a focus on managed growth.• Meanwhile, industry consolidation continues to accelerate; mergers and acquisitions will
become a bigger priority.
3. Net interest margin compression continues to hamper financial institutions and will be even more important in 2011.• However, a high percentage of credit union members say the predominant factor in decision to
select a credit union was price.
4. Demographic shifts will impact the industry in the long-term and present a significant opportunity and threat for credit unions. • Credit unions are at a perceptual disadvantage with the Gen Y segment.
5. Escalating threats to non-interest income are fundamentally altering the competitive landscape. • Has free checking run its course?
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Current ResultsLonger Term
Outlook RFG PerspectiveGross Domestic Product (GDP)
Up 1.6% (2nd qtr 2010)
Projected 2% to 3% growth for 2010
Positive growth for last three quarters; however, growth will remain modest at best
Unemployment 9.6%(August 2010)
Likely to remain in 10% range for 2010
Tepid GDP growth will result in unemployment remaining at very high levels
Vehicle Sales Up 14.0%(seven months 2010 vs. seven
months 2009)
2010 will be lowest year since 1984, except for 2009
Improvement looks promising but coming from historically low levels
Housing Starts Up 11.0%(seven months 2010 vs. seven
months 2009)
2010 will be second lowest year in history (other than
2009)
Likely to remain low for the next several years as we work through excess housing
Foreclosures Down 3%(May 2010 from June 2010)
2010 still likely to see highest foreclosure activity in history
Subprime has spread to prime; foreclosures will remain high in 2010
Consumer Confidence(Conference Board)
50.4(July 2010;1985 = 100)
Consumer confidence has been below 100 since Sept
2007
Consumer confidence is slowly improving but not likely to exceed 100 any time soon
Positive Result Neutral Result Negative Result
Economic Overview
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Industry Consolidation ContinuesThe number of banks and credit unions have both declined by over 36% since 1994. By 2014 there is likely to be 6,500 banks and 6,100 credit unions.
Projection
Source: NCUA, FDIC, 2014 estimates by Raddon Financial Group
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
3.00%
3.20%
3.40%
3.60%
3.80%
4.00%
4.20%
4.40%
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Net I
nter
est M
argi
ns
Bank NIM Credit Union NIM
Industry Net Interest Margins Continue to DeclineMargins have declined for financial institutions over the past 15 years. This decline has occurred in both high and low rate environments.
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
2009 Reversed a Long-Term Growth Trend in Non-Interest Income
Source: Raddon Financial Group, CEO Strategies Group
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
CARDAct
The Hand You’ve Been Dealt
DebitCard
InterchangeOverdraft
Fee Income
Legislation,Legislation,Legislation
Dodd-Frank
CFPB
GreatRecession
LoanLosses
InsurancePremiums
NCUA
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Turning your Hand Around
ODP Opt-in Operational Efficiency:Revenue & Expense
Loan GrowthGen Y
Social Media
Delivery Channel
Optimization
Small Business Rational Pricing
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Reg E and Dodd-Frank:The New Reality
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The Dodd-Frank Act:Implications for the Financial Services Industry
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Major Implications of the Dodd-Frank Bill
1. Fannie and Freddie were not addressed. This leaves the mortgage market still in fundamental disarray.
2. Debit card interchange restrictions will have a significant negative impact on most community financial institutions.
3. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has the potential to become the next political playground for legislators and regulators, much as CRA is now.
4. CFPB could also become basis for ultimate “single regulator” for the financial services industry, which could be damaging for specialty industries such as credit unions.
5. An unintended consequence is likely to be lessened access to credit for consumers.
6. Much will depend upon regulatory interpretations of the bill.7. A significant impact will be a substantial increase in compliance costs for
financial institutions. This is likely to increase the consolidation of the financial services industry, especially among the smallest players.
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Provision Impact
1 Creates the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection, a New Consumer Watchdog Agency Housed within the Federal Reserve Board
High
2 Establishes a New Financial Stability Oversight Council, Charged with Identifying and Responding to Emerging Risks in the Financial System
Medium
3 Establishes New Regulation of Debit Card Interchange Fees High
4 Restructures the Federal Regulatory Jurisdiction over Banks and Their Parent Companies, and Abolishes the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS)
Low
5 Adopts New Standards and Rules for the Mortgage Industry Medium
6 Grants the Treasury, FDIC, and the Fed Broad Powers to Seize and Wind Down “Too Big to Fail” Financial Institutions (Including Non-Bank) in an Orderly Fashion
None
7 Allows Depository Institutions to begin Paying Interest on Demand Deposits (Small Business Checking)
Low
8 Tasks the Federal Banking Agencies with Adopting New and Enhanced Capital Standards for All Depository Institutions
Low
9 Permanently Increases the Deposit Insurance Limit to $250,000 per Depositor per Institution for Each Account Ownership Category
Low
The Dodd-Frank Act: Projected Impact on Credit Unions
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Durbin Amendment
Require the Federal Reserve Board to ensure debit card interchange fees are “reasonable and proportional”
Institutions with assets less than $10 Billion excluded from the interchange restriction
Allow merchants to offer discounts for a particular form of payment (cash v. debit v. credit) or for use of a particular card network (Visa v. Mastercard)
Allow merchants to set minimum debit card transaction levels
Regulating Debit Card Interchange Fees
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Reregulation: What is the appropriate response?
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Step 1: Maximize Opt-In
Step 2: Evaluate Product
Lines
Step 3: Back to Basics
What Percentage of your Members are Opting In?
Can Free Checking Survive?
Relationship Development and Operational Efficiency
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Step 1:Maximize Opt-In
What percentage of your members are opting in?
Each group warrants a unique strategy Find teachable moments (ATM, Mobile, On-line, Branch) Track opt-in rates individually for each group
• Habitual• Incidental• Non-NSFers Incidental
19.3%
Non-NSFers70.4%
Habitual10.4%
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Opt-in Success Story $750 million Financial Institution in Southeast Region 30,000 retail debit card holders Direct Mail in January yielded only 8% response
• Didn’t wait for system updates. Created temp Access db to track responses Started Teller focus end of February. By mid-May, had been in
contact with 88% of all debit card holders. Of those,
96% opted in (98.28% of habituals)
How?• Front-line incentives• Tellers were paid $1 for each “decision”
» approx. $24,000 in incentives paid• Branch FTEs also did outbound calling during
down time
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Step 2:Evaluate Product Lines
Can Free Checking Survive?
Threats of future regulations likely to continue:• Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
What types of product changes might be necessary for your institution?• Minimum Balance fees• Negative Balance Grace Zone• Limiting ATM Surcharge Rebates• Opportunity to begin offering ODP Coverage on Debit Card/ATM?
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Financial Impact of Reg E and Fee Structure Changes
OD Income per Checking Account
$84
$56 $54 $50$41
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
Current After Reg EChange
Offer OneFree OD
Reduce ODFee by $5
Reduce ODFee by $10
Based on the consumer responses for each NSF group, the average institution should realize two-thirds of their past overdraft income. Based on consumer reactions to various fee structure scenarios, the typical institution would only retain 48% of past OD income if the fee is reduced by $10.
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
REACTION TO A CHECKING ACCOUNT REQUIREMENT
52%
17%21%
32%
18%
46%
7%
67%
0%
25%
50%
75%
Direct Deposit Requirement Five Debit Card Trans. $500 Min./ $5 Fee $1K Min./ $15 Fee
Likely to Stay Likely to LeaveSource: RFG National Consumer Research (SPSG), Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Difference in Impact of an Annual Fee On Debit and Credit Rewards Programs
Source: Raddon Financial Group, National Consumer Research
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Top 10 Largest Retail Banks - Free, if…Free Checking, if…
Direct Deposit or 5+ monthly Debit Card Transactions
eBanking: Deposits & Withdrawals made electronically or at ATM; and E-Statements requiredMyAccess: Direct Deposit or $1500 min avg balance
Combined Avg Balance of $1500 in Checking or Savings
Value Checking (no bill-pay): Direct Deposit or $1500 avg daily balanceCustom Mgt Package: Checking and Savings packaged: $1,000 balance; or $25 auto transfer to Savings; or Direct Deposit
FREE (no requirements) – Includes Free Debit Card Rewards
FREE (no requirements) – Includes Free Debit & Bill-Pay Rewards; ATM rebates when Avg Monthly Balance $2,000+
Direct Deposit or $1500 Deposit Balances or $5000 Combined Balances
FREE (no requirements) – Includes Free Debit Card Rewards
$100 Min Daily Balance (waived for 1st 12 months); Includes Debit Rewards and ATM Rebates
FREE (no requirements) – Includes Free Debit Card Rewards
As-of 9/2/2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
1. Should you continue to offer free checking?
2. If “Yes”, how do you take advantage of an evolving marketplace?
3. If “No”, what changes should you make to your checking product line?
• Offer a menu of checking accounts
• Minimum Balance Fees
• Relationship Pricing
• Behavioral / Channel Pricing
4. How should the debit card change?
• Annual fees for Debit Rewards programs?
• Off-setting revenue losses with increased account activity
Checking Decisions You Need to Address
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Step 3:Back to Basics
Relationship Development
Evaluate other areas to make up the revenue:
Accounts with High Relationship Potential• Cross-sell additional products and services
Accounts with Low Relationship Potential• Consider alternative fees to off-set expense burden
Operational Efficiency
Delivery Channel Optimization:
Employee efficiency Branch optimization Electronic channels
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
How to Drive Efficiency
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
GROUP PROFILES
ASSETS
DEPOSITS PER BRANCH
HH's PER BRANCH
DESCRIPTION
CRITERIA
GROUP 'A' GROUP 'B'
$325.1M93
$30.3M28
11,26685
2,56320
$4.36BAll Institutions Exceed $1B in Assets
$375MRange from $75M to $950M in Assets
Top 10 Most Efficient CU's Overall
Top 10 Most Efficient "Branch Model" CU's
10 Best Efficiency Ratios
Deposits and HH's per Branch:Both Percentiles Below 40
Efficiency Ratio:Percentile Above 80
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
LOW INCOME DEPOSITOR
MIDDLE INCOME DEPOSITOR
UPSCALE
DEMOGRAPHICS
FEE DRIVEN
CREDIT DRIVEN
MIDDLE MARKET
11.9%46
9.1%32
10.5%
27.4%62
20.9%28
23.5%
GROUP 'A' NATIONAL AVERAGE
GROUP 'B'
14.9%49
27.2%76
21.9%
17.4%40
16.2%32
17.6%
14.5%65
8.2%34
9.4%
13.8%58
18.6%75
17.2%
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
INSTITUTION OVERVIEW
EFFICIENCY RATIO
REVENUE PER HOUSEHOLD
EXPENSE PER HOUSEHOLD
GROUP 'A' NATIONAL AVERAGE
GROUP 'B'
41.8%99
71.8% 62.8%87
$1,06386
$670 $69268
$43657
$43459
$468
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
EARNINGS FACTORS
NON-INTEREST INCOME PER HH
BALANCES PER HOUSEHOLD
NET INTEREST MARGIN
$44,23591
$22,22161
$22,210
GROUP 'A' NATIONAL AVERAGE
GROUP 'B'
2.84%20
3.89%61
3.70%
$20159
$20764
$183
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
BILL PAY PENETRATION
E-STATEMENT PENETRATION
TELLER TRANS. PER HH
TELLER TRANS. PER FTE
DELIVERY CHANNELS
35.4%71
19.3%40
26.0%
75.1%76
58.8%59
55.3%
GROUP 'A' NATIONAL AVERAGE
GROUP 'B'
1.020
5.874
2.3
2,07740
4,27865
2,922
% of Online Accts
% of Checking HH's
Per Month
Per Month
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
SERVICES PER HOUSEHOLD
RELATIONSHIP FACTORS
CHECKING PENETRATION
CROSS-SELL PERCENTAGE
PERCENT WITH LOANS
8.5%47
9.1%53
8.4%
55.1%74
51.2%62
47.0%
GROUP 'A' NATIONAL AVERAGE
GROUP 'B'
2.4275
2.1357
2.08
56.9%62
54.5%52
53.5%
Excluding CD's
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
$31,05586
73.9%59
REVENUE PER HOUSEHOLD
$1,15494
$93893
$82687
$78884
$55625
PROFILE:Top 10 “Relationship” Institutions
by Asset Size and Peer Group
CRITERIA:Ten Highest Average Percentiles in
Services and Balances per HH
$64623
2.7997
$62312
2.4988
2.4586
$49,38696
$31,86188
$57020
2.5791
$37,62991
SERVICES PER HOUSEHOLD EXPENSE PER HOUSEHOLD BALANCES PER HOUSEHOLDEFFICIENCY RATIO
59.1%86
71.6%64
61.0%85
Build Relationships to Drive Efficiency
High Asset
Low Asset
$750M
Community Non-Community
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
B of A / Merrill Wells / Wachovia Chase Citibank PNC / Nat City US Bancorp Suntrust
Depo
sits
$Bi
llion
s
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Num
ber o
f Offi
ces
US Domestic Deposits Domestic Offices
Retail Banking Space Dominated by Three Players
The U.S. banking system has become more oligopolistic – three major players dominate the US banking space.
Source: FDIC
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Bank Branch Growth Has Declined
-454-205 -147 -230 -293
943
1,750
2,443
1,379
-406-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1994-2000 2000-2006 2007 2008 2009
Annual Change in Number of Banks Annual Change in Number of Bank BranchesSource: FDIC
2007 was the heyday for bank branch expansion with the addition of 2,443 new bank branches. 2009 actually saw a shrinkage in the number of bank locations in the US.
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Credit Union Branch Growth Is Also Down
-360 -327-265 -268 -300 -258
422497
316
557 555
-62
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Change in Number of Credit Unions Change in Number of Credit Union Branches
Source: NCUA
Credit union branch locations grew steadily through the 2000s until 2009, where we saw a decline in the number of credit union locations in the US.
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Online Banking and Lobby Trends
54%
8%
78%85%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Online Banking Lobby or Drive-up
Source: RFG National Research, Fall 2009
Since 2000 we have seen the usage of online banking grow from 8% of households nationwide to 54%. In that same period, usage of lobby or drive-up facilities has declined only very slightly. Delivery channels tend to be complementary, not substitutive.
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Gen Y Usage of Lobby and Drive-up is Not Significantly Different Than Other Groups
80% 88% 80% 78%
3.4
4.34.14.0
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Traditionalist Baby Boomer Gen X Gen Y
Perc
ent U
sing
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Mon
thly
Tra
nsac
tions
% Using Lobby or Driveup Monthly Avg Monthly Lobby or Driveup Transactions
Source: RFG National Consumer Research
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Reasons for Choosing Primary FI
68%
68%
51%
47%
37%
37%
29%
19%
18%
6%
Branch Availability
Service Quality
Safety and Soundness
Checking Products
Online Banking Capability
ATMs
Array of Products and Services
Loan Rates
Deposit Rates
Mobile Banking Capability
Branch Availability and Service Quality Equally Important in Selecting Primary Institution
Source: RFG National Research, Fall 2009
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Reasons for Choosing Primary FI
70%
16%
25%
3%
69%
37% 38%
5%
68%
48% 46%
9%
60%65%
40%
10%
Branch Availability Online Banking Capability ATMs Mobile Banking Capability
Traditionalists Baby Boomers Gen X Gen Y
Electronics Important to Younger Demographics, But Branches Are Still Important
Source: RFG National Research, Fall 2009
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
1. Measure Constantly • Growth Potential – Existing HH & New HH growth
• Sales Performance Metrics New households with checking Cross-selling incidence
• Service Quality - Provide feedback loops
2. Set realistic performance goals and reward for performance• Growth goals should be specific to each branch based on demographics of members and the market
• Don’t measure on things that can’t be controlled at the branch level
• Create both individual and group goals
3. Provide the tools essential for success• Lead presentment tools
• Performance dashboards
• On-boarding programs
• Staff sales aptitude testing and training
4. Branch manager becomes the Branch CEO• More authority / more autonomy
• Greater performance accountability
• Performance incentives should be significant
Steps to Optimizing Branch Performance
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Can Gen Y Revive Us?
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
The Generational Segments
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Live
Birt
hs (0
00)
Traditionalist Baby Boomers Gen X Gen Y
2.7 million births per year (MBPY) 3.9 MBPY 3.4 MBPY 3.8 MBPY
Avg. Household Deposits:$32K $16K $11K$33K
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Generation Future Loan Demand
3%4%
5%4%
6%7%
6% 6%5%
11% 11%
6%7%
4%
13%
4%
6%
12%
10%
0.3%0%
5%
10%
15%
Used Auto Loan Mortgage Loan New Auto Loan Student Loan Credit Card
Traditionalist Baby Boomer Gen X Gen YSource: RFG National Consumer Research
Make Sure They Are Over 21
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
52%
31%
50%
66%
71%
20%
5%
21%
27%32%
Total Traditionalist Baby Boomer Gen X Gen Y
Use
Cell
Phon
e
Text Message Plan Internet Data Plan
Cell Phone Internet Data Plan Ownership
Source: RFG National Consumer Research
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Activities Conducted Online
20%
14%17%
7%
36%
28% 26%
14% 14%
51%
36%31%
18%15%
59%
53%
28%
19% 18%
9%
Checking Imaging View Statements Order Checks Fraud Alerts Balance Alerts
Traditionalist Baby Boomer Gen X Gen YSource: RFG National Consumer Research
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Delivery Channels Used78%
38%
50%
10%16%
80%
62%66%
34%
25%21%
74%67%
74%
43% 40%
22%
74%
62%
36%
13%
78%
47%
10%
Lobby orDriveup
ATM Debit Card FI OnlineBillpayment
VendorBillpayment
VoiceResponse
Traditionalist Baby Boomer Gen X Gen YSource: RFG National Consumer Research
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Social Network Sites are Used by All Generations, but Gen Y leads the way
Percent of Citing Usage of Any Tested Site
80%
72%
54%
25%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Gen Y
Gen X
Baby Boomer
Traditionalist
Source: RFG National Consumer Research, Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Aspects of a Gen Y Plan1. Trans-generational marketing efforts – use your strength with Baby-
boomers to market to their Gen Y offspring.
2. Segment the Gen Y market and develop distinct strategies for each group. Independents (22 – 30 years)
College age (18 – 22 years)
Dependents (13 – 18 years)
3. Tie product design in with delivery. E-statements and debit card usage have high value
4. Social networking should focus on information and education Social networks are a marketing channel, not a delivery channel
5. Use relationship pricing to build loyalty.
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Generating Growth:The New Reality Redux
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The Shifting Growth Paradigm
The economy is not likely to grow in any substantial fashion in 2010 …
… or 2011
… or 2012.
Organic growth will be non-existent.
Conclusion: Growth will be dependent on stealing market share from competitors
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Growth Rates in 2009
8.8%
10.5%
0.8%1.7%
6.7%
11.2%
1.0%
2.8%
Total Deposits Core Deposits Total Loans Consumer RealEstate Loans
Gro
wth
Rat
e - 2
009
Credit Unions Banks
Source: FDIC, NCUA
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
The Personal Savings Rate is Rebounding
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
1946
1949
1952
1955
1958
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
1985
= 1
00
Real Estate Wealth Impact
Consumer De-
leveraging
Baby-Boomer Impact
Personal savings rates (savings as a percent of disposable income) have fallen significantly below the long-term historical rate of 7% (from 1946 to 2008) since the early 1990s.
The personal savings rate rose in 2008 and 2009, and suggests a de-leveraging on the part of the consumer.
This is good news long-term – BUT the impact on loan growth will continue to be felt.
ActualProjected
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
The fundamental question:
HOW DO WE GROW OUR SHARE OF THE MEMBER’S WALLET?
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Why Consumers Are Loyal To Their Primary Financial Institution
Credit Union Issue: Too much of the value proposition is built on price.
We have to move beyond philosophy of “one size fits all.”
Source: Raddon Financial Group, National Consumer Research, Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Members Use Multiple Institutions
46%
25% 31%18%
25%
19% 11%
6%
11%
26%
3%
2%
Used for Deposits Used for Credit Cards Used for Loans Used for Investments
One FI Two FIs Three or More FIs
1.7 Average 2.6 Average 1.4 Average 1.4 Average
Source: Raddon Financial Group, National Consumer Research
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Primary Customers Provide A Greater Share Of Wallet
28%
35%35%
49%
Loan Balance Share of Wallet Deposit Balance Share of Wallet
Total Primary CustomerSource: Raddon Financial Group, Member Survey
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Factors Behind Designating a PFI
87%
72%
23%14%
38%
15% 14%
38%34%
10%5% 4% 3% 2%
Where I HavePrimary
CheckingAccount
Where I HaveDirect
Deposit
Where All MyAccounts
Are
Where I HaveMost
InvestmentAccounts
Where I HaveMost Deposit
Accounts
Where I HaveMost Deposit
and LoanAccounts
Where I HaveMortgage
Influence Most Important Influence
Source: Raddon Financial Group, National Consumer Research
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Credit Card Opportunity The New Reality in Credit Cards
• CARD act forcing many national card offerers to alter their account structures, potentially making them less profitable
Renewed focus on using the CC as a relationship product• Opportunity for Credit Unions to compete for the business and
steal market share
Unprofitable card portfolios and the inability to compete with the seemingly unlimited marketing dollars of the Big Banks forced many credit unions to sell their card portfolio in recent years.• Is it time to get back in?
(assuming non-compete clause time period has expired)
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Historical Look at Consumer Debt
$-
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
$1.4
$1.6
$1.819
68
1971
1974
1977
1980
1983
1986
1989
1992
1995
1998
2001
2004
2007
2010
$ Tr
illio
ns
Non-Revolving Consumer Debt Revolving Consumer Debt
Revolving Consumer Debt (majority of which is Credit Card debt) has risen consistently since the FDIC started tracking this data in 1968…until now. The recent decline in revolving consumer debt is unprecedented.
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
2.14
3.24 3.36 3.493.73
4.12 4.18
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
IndirectAuto
Direct Auto Classic CC All CC PlatinumCC
1st Mtg HELOC
Services per Household by Product Type
Source: CEO Strategies Group – National Average
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Understanding the composition of the credit card portfolio is important in identifying what drives profitability and relationships for different types of card users.
Based on data from RFG’s Credit Card Analysis program, the average percent of cardholders within each of the five Credit Card Segments is shown on this page.
Source: RFG Credit Card Analysis
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Credit Card Household RelationshipWhile the strength of the card relationship is important, it is also important to look at the total relationship of these households. In many cases, the card itself is a drain in terms of account profitability, but the overall relationship with the member is very strong.
Source: RFG Credit Card Analysis
The value of the Relationship: Only 2 of the segments are profitable at the account level, yet overall Household Profit is positive across all segments.
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Mortgage Case Study
An Incentive Compensation Plan That Works
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Background $755 Million Community CU in Midwest Most mortgages sold to secondary market, servicing retained Originate mortgages in 10 states 9 total originators, 4.5 processors Hired several established lenders when local bank sold Lenders do first mortgages only (no accounts/consumer loans/equities) Centralized underwriting process, originator attends each closing Priced to make 50bps off sale (today 100 bps) Average rates compared to competition Underwriters have discretion on matching competitive offers Compete with Wells, Associated Bank, US Bank and many CUs Survey new mortgage members to ask them about their experience
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Incentive Plans
Mortgage Originators• Established plan in 2003• $30 to $35k base, average 2009 incentive comp was $73k• Highest paid lender made $125k total in 2009• No cuts to the base pay when the plan was rolled out• 17bp on new mortgages, 13bp on construction loans, 5 bp on refis
Processors and Support Staff• If monthly volume is 90% of budget each FTE gets $1 per total loan closed• If monthly volume is 110% of budget each FTE gets $2 per total loan closed• If monthly volume is 130% of budget each FTE gets $3 per total loan closed
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Results
20 closed mortgages per originator per month (100th percentile) 11% market share in 2003, 24% in 2009 $328 million originated in 2009 ($198 mil was previous high) Highest 2009 volume per FTE = $83 mil, $69 mil, $64 mil 2010 volume expected to be $230 million Haven’t lost a lender the last 5 years Survey all mortgage members, scored 6.6 out of 7
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Small Business = Big Impact
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Small Business Remains Pessimistic
4% 4% 4%
12%12%10%
19%
24%
18%
29%
23%
27%
30%
27%
34%
6%8% 7%
Perc
ent
Citi
ng
Less Than 6Months
6 to 9 Months9 to 12 Months 12 to 18Months
More than 18Months
Do Not Know
Spring '09 Estimate Fall '09 Estimate Spring '10 Estimate
Small businesses were asked how long they predict the economic downturn will last. Their estimates have lengthened over the last 12 months.
Source: RFG Small Business National Research, Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
48%
43%
18%
13%
5% 5%3%
Credit CardCompany
NationwideBank
RegionalBank
Local-Community
Bank
Credit Union OnlineLendingBroker
OnlineLender
Institution That Denied Credit
CREDIT DENIALS EXPERIENCED IN PAST YEAR
Source: RFG Small Business National Research, Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
INDUSTRY PRICING PERCEPTIONS
1.892.452.492.54
2.662.742.76
2.852.85
3.36
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5
Credit Card Cos.
Finance Cos.
Cable TV- Satellite Cos.
Energy-Utility Cos.
Banks
Cell Phone Providers
Telecommunications Cos.
Local Phone Cos. - Land Line
Stock Broker Cos.
Credit Unions
Scale 1 to 5: 1 = Very Unreasonable - 5 = Very Reasonable
Source: RFG Small Business National Research, Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
PFI DESIGNATIONS
39%
23% 22%
7%
3% 4%
Perc
ent
Cite
d as
PFI
NationwideBank
Local Bank -Community
Bank
RegionalBank-Multi-
state But NotNationwide
Credit Union Credit CardCompany
Do Not HaveOne Primary
Provider
Institution Type Designated as Business PFI
Source: RFG Small Business National Research, Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Top Box Satisfaction Rating
25% 24%
42%
51%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Nationwide Bank Regional Bank Local/ Community Bank Credit Union
Very Satisfied
SATISFACTION LEVEL WITH PFI BY TYPE OF PFI
Source: RFG Small Business National Research, Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Pricing is #1 Reason for Dissatisfaction
19%
19%
27%
37%
43%
45%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Employee Knowledge-Expertise
Product Features-Selection
Credit Availability
Service Quality
Convenience-Location-Hours
Product Pricing-Rates-Fees
Source: RFG Small Business National Research, Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTICS FOR BUS. BANKING CONTACTS
47%
48%
54%
58%
63%
65%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Has Authority to Make Credit Decisions
Makes Suggestions for Fin. Products-ServicesAppropriate to My Needs
Understands My Financial Profile - Business andPersonal
Has Authority to Make Decisions on Fees and Rates
Understands My Business and Business Problems IMight Have
Is Knowledgeable About All Financial Products-Services
Top Two Box Extremely/ Very Important
Source: RFG Small Business National Research, Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
89%
62%
79%
30%
71%
24%
64%
19%
64%
20%
61%
27%
56%
18%
38%
17%
27%
12%
Check Acct.Bals.
OnlineStatements
TransferFunds
Print-ViewCheckImages
Receive E-mail Alerts
from FI
Bill Pay-ViaYour FI
Visit FI'sWebsite for
Info.
DownloadAcct. Info.
IntoSoftware
BillPresentment-Via Your FI
Total Usage Use At Least Weekly
FIRMS ARE ENGAGED IN ONLINE ACTIVITIES
Source: RFG Small Business National Research, Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
SMALL BUS. VS. CONSUMER MOBILE BANKING USE/LIKELIHOOD
18%
7%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Small Businesses Consumers
Current Mobile Banking Use
26%
18%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Small Businesses Consumers
Near-Term Likelihood to UseExtremely/Very/Somewhat Likely
Source: RFG Small Business National Research, Spring 2010
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Small Business Summary
Offers significant opportunity for increased NII and improved deposit margins.
Most Small Business banking relationships are based on deposit services, even though 55% of businesses utilize credit cards.
Small Business relationships fit well into a credit union’s consumer sales / service business model.• Transaction oriented• Convenience / Delivery• Savings• Basic lending services
Small Businesses are not impacted by pending new financial industry regulation and / or legislation.
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
Key Action Items
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
1. Adopt a “Back to Basics” in how you manage.
• Better margin management
• Grow alternative sources of non-interest income
• Enhance focus on member development and profitability
2. With continuing margin compression and reduced fee income, improved operational efficiency is paramount.
• Utilize technology to manage costs more effectively
• Continue to focus on improving your margin income on deposit accounts
Key Action Items
©2010 Open Solutions Inc. Raddon Financial Group (RFG) is a business unit of Open Solutions Inc. www.raddon.com | 800.827.3500
3. Impact of technology on the member continues to grow.
• Gen Y is doing their banking in fundamentally different ways
• Credit union needs to be able to deploy new technologies rapidly
4. Develop a checking account growth strategy for the new environment.
5. Create a merger strategy.
• Desired geography / markets
• Desired member profile
6. Key focus is building the Member’s Share of Wallet.• Look to create value in your services that goes beyond rate.
• Create linkages in account design between products and channels.
Key Action Items