Study on Water Tariff Reform and Income Impacts in China’s … · 2016-07-11 · 1 Study on Water...

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1 Study on Water Tariff Reform and Income Impacts in China’s Metropolitan Areas: The Case of Beijing Submitted to The World Bank By Zhang Shiqiu, Deng Liangchun, Yue Peng, Cui Huishan College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering Peking University July 2007 46920 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

Transcript of Study on Water Tariff Reform and Income Impacts in China’s … · 2016-07-11 · 1 Study on Water...

Page 1: Study on Water Tariff Reform and Income Impacts in China’s … · 2016-07-11 · 1 Study on Water Tariff Reform and Income Impacts in China’s Metropolitan Areas: The Case of Beijing

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Study on Water Tariff Reform and Income

Impacts in China’s Metropolitan Areas: The Case of Beijing

Submitted to

The World Bank

By

Zhang Shiqiu, Deng Liangchun, Yue Peng, Cui Huishan

College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering

Peking University

July 2007

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CHAPTER 1 BEIJING’S WATER RESOURCES STATUS AND MANAGEMENT..........................1

1.1 OVERVIEW OF WATER RESOURCES STATUS ........................................................................1 1.1.1 The precipitation is 585mm annually and is uneven in distribution.............1 1.1.2 With 300m3 water resources per capita, Beijing is a severe water shortage

city ...........................................................................................................................................2 1.1.3 Serious water resources situation in Beijing....................................................2

1.2 PROBLEMS IDENTIFIED REGARDING THE WATER SUPPLY AND IT’S UTILIZATION IN BEIJING .5 1.2.1 Problems ...............................................................................................................5 1.2.2 Main reasons ........................................................................................................6

CHAPTER 2 WATER PRICING POLICY REFORM IN BEIJING..................................................8

2.1 GENERAL SITUATION AND TREND OF RESIDENTIAL WATER USE IN BEIJING .........................8 2.1.1 General situation of residential water use .......................................................8 2.1.2 Future trend of residential water use ...............................................................9

2.2 BEIJING’S RESIDENTIAL WATER PRICING POLICY................................................................9 2.2.1 Historical changes of residential water pricing policy ....................................9 2.2.2 Other demand side management......................................................................2 2.2.3 Institutional arrangement for residential water charges ...............................3

CHAPTER 3 THE ANALYSIS OF BEHAVIOR REACTION TO PRICE POLICY OF BEIJING RESIDENTS ......................................................................................................................................5

3.1 REVIEW OF THE REACTIONS OF THE RESIDENTS TO THE WATER PRICING POLICY REFORM...5 3.1.1 Short-run reaction to water price increase ......................................................6 3.1.2 The long-term reactions to the water price increase .....................................8

3.2 THE ANALYSIS OF SURVEYS CONDUCTED FOR 200 HOUSEHOLDS........................................9 3.2.1 Residents care more about water quality ........................................................9 3.2.2 The attitude toward water price reform is closely related to the income .10 3.2.3 Water price reform improves the resident’s awareness and behaviors

regarding uses of water......................................................................................................11 3.2.4 Residents started to use water saving facilities and instruments...............16 3.2.5 Attitude toward water price policy: most residents support the blocked

pricing policy other than uniform pricing policy ..............................................................19 3.2.6 Other observation: residents support the reform that increases the levy on

the water resources fee and the sewage treatment cost ..............................................22 3.2.7 Media played an important role on improving water saving awareness ...22

3.3 OTHER FACTORS AFFECT THE BEHAVIORS OF RESIDENTS .................................................23 3.3.1 Continued growth of income............................................................................23 3.3.2 Availability of water saving facilities and policies..........................................24 3.3.3 The problems related to the use of revenues generated from the water

pricing policy ........................................................................................................................25

CHAPTER 4 ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS FOR THE DOMESTIC WATER DEMAND ...............26

4.1 THEORY AND METHODOLOGY .........................................................................................26 4.1.1 The Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) AIDS Model ...............................26 4.1.2 Policy Simulation and Welfare Analysis ..........................................................29

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4.2 DATA SOURCES AND DATA PROCESSING..........................................................................33 4.3 ESTIMATION AND RESULTS .............................................................................................37

4.3.1 Engel Curves for water .....................................................................................37 4.3.2 Household incomes impose a significant impact on water demand, the PED,

and the IED ..........................................................................................................................39 4.3.3 Welfare Effects of Introducing Increasing Block Tariff (IBT).......................40 4.3.4 Burden of Water Saving and Cost Recovery ..................................................45

CHAPTER 5 FINDINGS AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS ..............................................47

5.1 KEY FINDINGS OF THE STUDY ........................................................................................47 5.1.1 Problems identified for Beijing’s Water Pricing Reform ...............................47 5.1.2 Reaction of Beijing Residents on Pricing Policy.............................................48 5.1.3 Household income imposes significant impacts on water demand, the PED,

and the IED ..........................................................................................................................50 5.1.4 Increasing Block Tariff system will help the conservation of water and

improve the welfare and cost burden sharing.................................................................51 5.2 POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS...........................................................................................56

ANNEX 1: SUMMARY OF THE CITIES INTRODUCING THE IBT SYSTEM IN CHINA ...........62

REFERENCES: .............................................................................................................................64

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Chapter 1 Beijing’s water resources status and management

1.1 Overview of water resources status

As a capital in the world, Beijing has been suffering from a water shortage. The total

amount of water resources is 3.629 billion m3. The per-capita water resource is only 300

m3, which is 1/8 of China’s average level and 1/32 of the world’s, which is far below the

average 3000m3 /person, and even lower than the severe water shortage standards of 1000

m3 /person.

Precipitation: Beijing is one of the areas in Northern China that has a large amount of

rainfall. The average annual rainfall is about 585mm and the extreme values are 1406mm

and 272mm respectively. From June to September about 85% of the total rain falls, and

sometimes 70% of the annual total falls during the last ten days of July and the first ten

days of August. This combination of uneven distribution over time and space makes the

water situation in Beijing even worse; sometimes it results in extreme water shortage.

Surface water: About 90% of Beijing’s surface water is rooted in outer areas. The total

average amount of surface water resources is 2.178 m3. Eighty-five reservoirs and other

irrigation works have been built since the 1950s-1960s, of which, Guanting reservoir and

Miyun reservoir are the most important resources of surface water for Beijing.

Ground water: Beijing is one of the cities which mostly depends on a ground water

supply; about 60% of the total water supply is from ground water. The total amount of

ground water resources is 2.521 m3. There are seven major large water plants exploiting

the ground water in Beijing.

1.1.1 The precipitation is 585mm annually and is uneven in distribution

The average annual precipitation is 585mml. The precipitation in Beijing distributes

unevenly across space and time. First, about 85% of the annual precipitation is highly

centralized from June to September. Second, as shown in Fig1, there are great varieties

from year to year. The minimal precipitation per year is 370.4mm and the maximal is

724mm from the year 1988 to 2003. Third, the abundant and low water periods are

interlaced across time.

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590

480

667 655

491423

724

596656

410

686

373438

472.6

370.4

486539

468

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

19881989

19901991

19921993

19941995

19961997

19981999

20002001

20022003

20042005(year)

mm

precipitation average

Data sources:Yearly <Beijing water resource report>

Fig 1. Annual precipitation comparing in Beijing

1.1.2 With 300m3 water resources per capita, Beijing is a severe water shortage city

From Fig 2, the per capita water amount is about 300 m3, which is 1/8 of China’s and 1/32

of the world’s, which is far below the average 3000m3 /person, and even lower than the

severe water shortage standards of 1000 m3 /person.

36.86

42.29

22.4419.67

45.42

30.34

45.87

22.25

37.7

14.2216.8617.83 19.2 18.4

21.3 23.18

05

101520253035404550

100

mill

ion

cubi

c me

ters

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

wat er r esour ces avai l abl e mul t i pl e year aver age

Data sources:Yearly <Beijing water resource report>

Fig 2. 1990-2005 Total water resource available

1.1.3 Serious water resources situation in Beijing

1.1.3.1 Water supply and utilization

Beijing’s water is mainly supplied for agriculture, industry, and domestic uses. Table 1

shows the uses of each category of users. Agriculture is the largest user, which accounts

2

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Table 1

for 44.6% in 2002, while it was 50.6% in 1993. In the summer of 1997, Beijing banned

the use of water from resevoirs for irrigation.

Industry uses about 21.8% of water. Amongst industrial users, the chemical industry

accounts for 25%, the steel and iron industry accounts for 18.8%, the building materials

and mining industry accounts for 6.7%, the textile industry accounts for 6.5%, and the

food processing industry is 6.1%.

Municipal water users include organizations, businesses, and residents. Residential water

is mainly supplied by tap waterfrom 11 tap water plants in Beijing with a capacity of three

million m3.

Agricultural water usage is declining, while industry usage is almost unchanged; and,

there is slow growth for both domestic and municipal use.

Water usage by sector in Beijing, 2002 Agriculture 1545 millions m3(44.6%) Industry 754 millions m3(21.8%) Municipal and residents 1083 millions m3(31.3%)

Total supply

3.462 billions m3

Environment water (ecological water) 80 millions m3(2.3%)

Data sources: <Beijing water resource report> 2002

Table 2 Water usage by sector in Beijing, 2005 Agriculture 1322 millions m3(38%) Industry 680 millions m3(20%) Municipal and residents 1338 millions m3(39%)

Total supply 3.450 billions m3

Environment 80 millions m3(3%)

Data sources: <Beijing water resource report> 2005

1.1.3.2 Total water usage has been decreasing in recent 10 years

Fig. 3 shows the trend of water usage in recent years. Total water usage increased from 41.12

billion m3 in 1990 to 46.43 billion m3 in 1992 and then declined after 1992. It has declined fast

since 1999.

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41.1242.0346.4345.2245.8744.88

40.9440.2640.4741.7140.438.934.62 35 34.5534.5

0

10

20

30

40

50

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

100 million cubic meters

total water usage trends of total water usage

Data sources:Yearly <Beijing water resource report>

Fig 3. 1990-2005 water uses trend in Beijing

1.1.3.3 Domestic and municipal water use has been increasing in the most recent 10

years

Domestic and municipal water usage has been consistently increasing. As shown in Fig. 4,

it increased from 704 million m3 3 in 1990 to 13.39 hundred million m in 2000. We can

conclude from Fig. 3 and 4, that the proportion of municipal and domestic usage

increased from 17.12% in 1990 to 39.00% in 2005.

7.047.43

10.989.5910.37

11.77

9.311.1411.9712.713.39

12.410.83

12.4312.913.38

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005

100 million cubic meters

domestic water usage

trends of domestic water usage

Data sources:Yearly <Beijing water resource report>

Trend of increasing water usage in Beijing Fig 4.

1.1.3.4 The serious water resources situation faced by Beijing in the future

With social and economic development, the conflict between the supply and demand of

water has become appreciatingly more serious and the availability of water is becoming a

4

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Table 3

bottleneck in the development in Beijing.

It was projected that by 2010, the water demand in Beijing will be between 5.698 billions

m3 and 5.703 billions m3, while the surface and underground water can only supply 4.088

billions m3 per year as an average, and the lowest and lower water available a year will be

around 3.754 billions m3 and 3.399 millions m3. So the deficit will be between 1.615

billions m3 and 2.299 billions m3.

Primary water resource supply, demand and balance table for Beijing1

Unit:100 million m3

Year 2005 Year 2010 Area Item

50% 75% 95% 50% 75% 95%

Supply 41.33 37.79 34.09 40.88 37.54 33.99 Demand 49.27 50.59 50.59 57.03 56.98 56.98

Whole city

Balance result -7.94 -12.80 -16.50 -16.15 -19.44 -22.99 Supply 18.45 15.95 13.10 18.00 15.70 13.00 Demand 20.52 20.65 20.65 24.75 24.86 24.86

Urban area

Balance result -2.07 -4.70 -7.55 -6.75 -9.16 -11.86

1.2 Problems identified regarding the water supply and it’s utilization in Beijing

1.2.1 Problems

(1) Water availability is low:

There is no large river across Beijing and the water supply mainly depends on

underground water and natural precipitation. The underground water greatly decreases and

the water table declines too, due to over-exploring. There were five drought years since

1999 in Beijing, and the average annual precipitation from 1999 to 2003 was only 425mm.

(2) Over exploration of underground water

The over-exploration of underground water caused serious ecological and environmental

problems, of which the declining of water table is the most serious. Comparing 1960, the

underground water table decreases 12.17m in 2000, and decreased 8.12m comparing with

1 Beijing Municipal Government. Ministry of Water Resources. 2001. The Sustainable Uses of Water Resources Plan for the Year of 2001~2005. Beijing. China Water Resources and Electricity Press.

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late 1980s.

(3)Serious pollution of surface water

Fig. 5 shows that about 2.4 million m3

6

39.8% of the total length of the rivers being monitored.

source report> Fig 5. Sewage drainage and treatment in Beijing

1.2.2 Main reasons

d above are mainly caused by the growth of population and by

te of water charges and low price of water

1991, while it increased

e

ernment did not fully realize the shortage of water, and

of wastewater is being discharged daily, while the

treatment rate is quite low. According to the “2005 Environmental Quality Report in

Beijing,” only 19 sections of 71 sections of rivers being monitored can reach the water

quality requirement. The water quality in 588.27km of 1464.64 km of rivers being

monitored were in the fourth and fifth grade or worse than fifth, which accounts for

Data sources:Yearly <Beijing water re

0

100

200

300

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

10,0

00 c

ubic

mete

rs

020406080

%

dai l y di schar ge of domest i c sewagedai l y t r eat ment of muni ci pal wast er wat er pl antt r eat ment r at e of ur ban sewage

The problems identifie

agriculture and industrial activities. In addition, more regulatory problems can be

summarized:

(1) Low ra

The price of water in Beijing was only 0.12 RMB from 1981–

0.30 RMB in 1996and, 1.6 RMB in 1999. The price of water has increased largely sinc

2000 and it has reached 3.7 RMB since 2004. This low price of water resulted in waste.

(2) Awareness about water

For a long time, the public and gov

did not have the concept of full cost pricing. Beijing introduced the sewage treatment

charge in 1997 and the water resources fee in 2002.

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er treatment

0.2 billion tons of

By the year of 2008, water recycling would reach 50%, but that is still much lower than

(3) Inefficient use of water behaviors and low

About 22% of municipal water was being treated in 2004,and about

sewage was being directly discharged into rivers.

(4) Lower recycling rate

the 80% of the industrialized countries.

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Chapter 2

Table 4

Water Pricing Policy Reform in Beijing

2.1 General situation and trend of residential water use in Beijing

2.1.1 General situation of residential water use

Domestic residential water use is a major part of municipal water utilization. According to

the research of industrial countries (Howe and Linaweaver’s research in U.S., 1976;

Grima’s research in Canada, 1971; Hanker and Smart’s research in Australia, 1979),

residential water use can exceed more than half of the total of municipal water uses. Since

the 1980’s, residential wateruse increased. In 2003, 552.01 millions m3 of tap water was

sold in which 245.91 million m3 was for residential use and accounted for 44.55%,

according to the Beijing Waterworks Group’s news2.

Based on the investigation by the Beijing Water Saving Office and Beijing Economic

Information Center in 2003, the residential water use in Beijing is about 104.14 L/person

day; but it is still lower than that in developed countries.

Residential household water use in some EU countries(2001a.)

(Unit:L/Person/Day)

Country Household water use per person per day

Country Household water use per person per day

Switzerland 260 Holland 173 Austria 215 Norway

167

Italy 214 French 161 Sweden 195 Britain 161 Norway 183 Finland 150 Spain 181 Germany 135

Denmark 176 Belgium 116

Data sources:IWSA World Water Using Statistics.

From the date revealed during the investigation of Beijing’s household water usewe find

how it is specifically used (see Table 5). It is seen that it is mainly used for meeting the

basic needs of the residents, e.g., drinking water, cleaning, bathing, washing, and toilets.

The result is similar to the investigation data of Hebei’s 12 cities. However, the residential

2 http://www.bjwatergroup.com/htm/supportwater/cost.htm

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Table 5

household water use proportion is lower than the 12 cities in the Hebei Provinces, which

may reflect the fact that the social services conditionsin Beijing are better than those cities,

maybe beecause they have less time to cook and eat at home.

Beijing’s resident water use structure

Use types Current volume

(L/Person·dDay)Current proportion

Past volume (L/Person·dDay)

Past proprtion

Drinking water 2.25 2.16 Cooking and cleaning dishes 5.43 5.21

48 32

Cleaning bathroom 27.00 25.93 House cleaning(floor, furniture, yard, etc.)

4.25 4.08 43.95 29.3

Self cleaning(washing face、brushing tooth、bathing etc.)

42.51 40.82 40.05 26.7

Washing clothes 22.53 21.63 18 12 Watering flowers and

growing fishes 0.17 0.16

-- --

Total 104.14 100.00 150.0 100.00

Data sources:The investigation report of Beijing’s resident water uses condition

Notes:* The past proportion of the total volume comes from Herry Zhang’s research, 2003.

2.1.2 Future trend of residential water use

As Beijing builds more, the coverage of tap water increases, so the use of residential water

increases also. According to the projections of the water supply plan of Beijing, water use

will increase by 3.42% while the population increases by only 1%. In addition, the

immigrant population will also increase the demand for water in Beijing.

According to the “General situation and trend of resident water uses research,” the

residential water use will increase at an annual rate of 2.7% by 2010. According to the

Beijing Waterworks Group’s data, although the total amount of water sold decreased by

5% annually, the residential water use increased by 3% annually. The major contribution

to this trend is the increased use of water forbathing, washing, and toilet, which closely

relates to the changes in living conditions.

2.2 Beijing’s residential water pricing policy

2.2.1 Historical changes of residential water pricing policy

By introducing demand side management, pricing policy has been reformed to regulate

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water resources use in Beijing since the 1990s.

Beijing started to charge the water for residential uses since 1952, and since then, the price

of water has been adjusted 12 times. The historical changes of the water price can be

summarized as following.

(1) Low and steady price (1952~1991)

The water has priced since 1952, and there was nnot any adjustment during 1952~1966.

During the “cultural revolution,” water price was fixed at 0.12 RMB/m3 in 1967, and that

continued to the early 1990s. (The State Council development research center, 19903).

(2) Water price being frequently adjusted(1991~ )

Since 1990s, the water price in Beijing has been adjusted frequently. The current water

price for domestic uses is based on the volume consumed by households, by a uniform

price for each unit consumed. During the years 1991 to 2004, the government had adjusted

the water price 9 times in 14 years and the price in normative term had increased for 22.33

times. After 1997, the price of water had been adjusted almost every year, and the major

changes were that in 1997 and 2002, sewage charges and water resources fee were being

charged as a component of the water price respectively. In 2006, Beijing’s residential

water price4 reached the level of 3.7 RMB/ m3, the highest level in China. A “three-tier

water price structure” was therefore formed, including pricing related to the tap water

supply, water resource, and sewage treatment cost.

In the view of the residential water price and its components, the future pricing system

will tend to recover the supply cost, including the water resources exploration and

production, as well as the environmental cost, which is reflected in the sewage treatment

cost. In order to more fully reflect the cost of water, the government began levying and

increasing the the price on water resources and sewage treatment.

3 State Council’s Research Center. Water price: Beijing Running Water Pricing. China’s Price. 1990 (8, 9, 10). 4 Beijing Development and Reform Commission,Information about water price adjusting(NO. BDRC [2004]1517)

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Table 6

Residential water price in Beijing(unit:RMB/ m3)

1981.1~1991.12

1992.1~1996.3

1996.4~1997.11

1997.12~1998.8

1998.9~1999.10

1999.11~2000.10

2000.11~2002.1

2002.2~2003.1

2003.1~2004.7

2004.8~ current

2006’s proposal

Tap water supply

0.12 0.30 0.50 0.70 1.00 1.30 1.60 1.70 1.70 1.70

sewage treatment cost

--- ---

--- 0.10 0.10 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.90

water resource fee

--- ---

--- --- --- --- --- 0.30 0.60 1.10

Residential use water price

0.12 0.30

0.50 0.80 1.10 1.60 2.00 2.50 2.90 3.70 4.50

Data sources:Beijing Waterworks Group’s information5 and yearly information about water price adjusting6

According to the “Capital’s water resource sustainable development and utilization plan in

early 21st Century” approved by State Council7 and the information about water price

adjustments from the Beijing Development and Reform Commission (in 2005), it was

expected that the integrated water price would reach to 6RMB/m3 and residential water

water price would be 4.5 RMB/m3. That would be mainly due to the increase of the water

resources fee and sewage treatment cost (however, this proposal was not approved).

In addition to the pricing policy adjustment and reform, the Beijing government has been

seeking other policies to improve the conservation of water, for example, water supply

planning and utilization quota management, etc. There was a proposal in 2004 regarding

implementing the Increasing Block Tariff (IBT) pricing policy in Beijing, in addition to

the requirements of the water quota on major sectors in Beijing.

According to the primary policy proposal, the proposed IBT system will have 3 blocks,

with the ratio of the price level at 1:3:5. The first block was set up for 12t/month per

household to meet the basic need, the second block was set up as12–16t/month per

household for improving the quality of life, and over 16t/month as the third block to

satisfy special consuming demand. The proposed IBT water pricing system for residential

water can be summarized as the following figure:

5 http://www.bjwatergroup.com/htm/law/18_2.htm6 Beijing Development and Reform Commission,Information about water price adjusting(NO. BDRC [2004]1517) 7 State Council. NO. 2001(53), reply to the The Sustainable Uses of Water Resources Plan for the Year of 2001~2005.

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1st 2nd 3rd

IBT water price

system

P

2

Fig 6.

Data sources:Beijing Development and Reform Commission,Information about water price adjusting(NO. BDRC

[2004]1517)

Proposed IBT pricing policy

2.2.2 Other demand side management

In addition to the efforts to use pricing policy, demand side management has been widely

employed by the Beijing government.

In 1981, the Beijing Municipal Government Water Saving Office had been established

(which restructured as the Beijing Water Saving Management Center in 2004), the focus

of urban water savings wasfocused on the water plan and quota management for the big

users in Beijing, and to promote the awareness amongst the residents.

In 1999, Beijing published 26 policy items regarding water savings, which covered water

resources exploration, utilization, savings, protection and management. This policy

package can be treated as a comprehensive measure to meet the demands of the water

shortage problems facing by Beijing.

On 1st Dec. 2000, “Beijing water saving regulations” were published and implemented. It

clearly stated that Beijing was going to implement water use by plan, and establish water

use allowances(a quota) that would be decided by water saving offices at various levels,

and an increased price would be charged for those exceeding the quota issued.

In 2002, the State Council officially approved the “Capital water sustainable utilization

plan in early 21st Century”, which proposed that the principles for water use in Beijing

should be focused on both development and conservation, and where

Current price 3.7 RMB∕y

LRMC 7 RMB∕t

1 = 4.5 RMB∕t

Using quantity (t)

Price (RM

B/m

3)

5

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possible,conservation should be the first priority.

In order to improve water savings at the household level, Beijing twice published named

lists of water saving products and instruments in 1999. Itrequired the phase out of products

and instruments which could not meet the requirements for “household domestic water

saving products and instruments” (CJ164-2002), including tap, toilet, and showering,

etc.

Since the 1990s, the government also launched many campaigns promoting water saving

facilities. In 2005, the urban areas started to implement the “one meter for one household”

innovation, and to expand the coverage of the tap water meters, and to promote the

volume based water use.

2.2.3 Institutional arrangement for residential water charges

Currently, the charge for water divides into 2 parts, one is called the engineering water

charges, or the water supply cost, which also includes the resource water fee, and the other

part is the sewage treatment fee.

2.2.3.1 The management of engineering water charges (water supply cost) and its

institution

The “Urban water supply price management” issued by State Planning Commission and

Ministry of Construction regulates the collection of the engineering water costs, and they

are collected by the water company.

Beijing residents can pay the charges to banks or to a real estate company assigned by

Beijing Waterworks Group’s (BWG) or they can be paid directly to the branches of the

group.

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Res

iden

ts

Real estate

Bank BWG supply and its branches

Beijing Waterworks Group

Fig 7. Beijing resident water charges handing process

2.2.3.2 Charge of sewage treatment fee and its institution

Currently, are collected by BWG, and BWG will deliver those charges to sewage treatment

company or other treatment plants, through certain financial arrangements or through the

financing sector of the government. .

4

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Chapter 3 The analysis of behavior reaction to price policy of Beijing residents

3.1 Review of the reactions of the residents to the water pricing policy reform

The impact on behavior changes of residents by water pricing policy would mainly be

through the level of price and the increase of the expenditures. The impacts on the

behavior and preference of the residents will be different according to the share of

water expenditure in total expenditure. According to a research conducted by Ministry

of Construction, “the study on urban and rural water shortage problems”, and Shi

Xican (2002), if water expenditure accounts for less than 1%, there would not be an

impact, if it accounts for 2%, residents started to be concerned about the water

consumed, while behaviors would be changed if it reached to 5%. Yu Fan (2006) also

stated that once it reached to 3%, it would imply that the water expenditure is too

large to exceed the affordability of household.

The following figure shows the proportion of changes of water expenditure in total

expenditure in Beijing, and it shows that currently the water expenditure is still low;

for most of the income groups, it is lower than 1% (the overall proportion for all

residents is 0.7%).

In Beijing there was a continuing upward adjustment of water pricing, and water

prices increased faster than income, there was a slow upward trend in the proportion

of expenditure. Although for most income groups, the proportion is lower than 1%, it

can be projected that certain impacts on behavior changes would happen due to the

frequent adjustments.

The budget ratios of water payout all increase slowly in different income-level-groups.

Although they have not yet affected the water use mentality level, which is 1%, the

5

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result shows water payout gradually takes up a more important place than before. A

public opinion investigation of Beijing residentsshowed that the price adjusted too

frequently in these years and had an indirectly had an affect on the morale endurance

to change water behavior.

0

0. 002

0. 004

0. 006

0. 008

0. 01

0. 012

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004year

Ing 1

Ing 2

Ing 3

Ing 4

Ing 5

Aver

Water Payout

Data sources: Beijing Stat. Yearbook 2000~2005

The water payout ratio of each income-level-group in recent years Fig 8.

3.1.1 Short-run reaction to water price increase

In short term, the residents’ behavior changes mainly referred saving water under the

existing situation with no consideration to buy or install water saving facilities or

instruments. The following table summary is based on the survey conducted by the

Beijing Water Saving Management Center in 1999, which focused on residents’

awareness and behaviors.

6

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Table 7 The water using behavior of residents whether care about saving water Water use items No Yes

Brushing teeth

Let water run constantly, use 6L water in 30 seconds With cup, use water 0.2L each time

Use paper to clean oil and, dirt; wash in hot water first, then in cool water; wash disconnecting and control quantity of water used

Wash for a long time; Use clean water to wash vegetables and fruits directly

Cooking

Put bottles in water case to reduce capability, reuse the washing water or shower water for toilet

Cleaning toilet

Common bowl with huge capability water case which is above 9L

Continuing the process watering and draining while washing, use 165L of water each time; too high water level and too much scour being used

Add dehydrating step and use 110L each time; reasonable water and scour level, concentrate to wash; reuse water

Washing clothes

Running water discontinued and turn off the faucet when it is not necessary; with 1/3 or 1/4 water in the tube

Bathe for a long time with the faucet open; with full water in tub Bath

Washing face and

hands

Wash for a long time and keep the water running

Turn off when it is not necessary, and use basin

Data sources: Beijing Water-saving Management Center

According to the Beijing Water Saving Management Center’s survey conducted in

May and June of 1999, about 80% of the residents surveyed understood the situation

of the water shortage in Beijing, and 91% noticed the campaign conducted. However,

because the price of water was still low, and accounted for only a small proportion of

total expenditure, only 64% of household knew the unit price of water.

The situation had changed by 2005, as the price of water increased and awareness

improved. By the end of 2005, almost all the residents understood the water shortage

situation (about 99.1% of of3000 households), and about 95.5% of the residents

clearly knew the price of water was 3.7 RMB/t. At the same time, about 90.9% of the

residents would reuse water after washing clothes and vegetables, andfrom showering,

for flowers, and for cleaning the floor. It clearly showed that the water reuse was a

daily behavoir.

7

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3.1.2 The long-term reactions to the water price increase

In the long run, the residents would buy and use water saving facilities or

instruments.

Table 8 Options for residents to buy and use water saving facilities and instruments

instruments water saving options in the long run

Use water saving tap instead of the older ones Tap Instead all-round tap with 1/4 round tap Using shower; Bath Instruments Use water saving shower tap

Washer Use water saving washer Use 6L water case instead of 9L; Toilet case Use 3/6 two water case

Toilet washing system Recycling water being used for residential areas

Data sources: Beijing Water-saving Management Center

We used the data collected by the survey conducted by the Status and Trend of

Residential Water Uses in Beijing, in the year of 2003, and the survey conducted by

Beijing Statistic Bureau in 2005. It found that about 91.6% of households used the

water saving tap, and 25.4% used water saving toilet facilities. While the survey

conducted by Beijing Statistic Bureau in 2005 showed that it reached 93.2% and

66.8% respectively.

8

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0. 0%10. 0%20. 0%30. 0%40. 0%50. 0%60. 0%70. 0%80. 0%90. 0%

100. 0%

wat er savi ngt ap

wat er savi ngt oi l et

20032005

Data sources: Status and Tread of Residential Water Uses in Beijing (2003); Investigation of water using

instruments among Beijing residents by Beijing Statistic Bureau (2005)

Fig 9. water saving instruments being used

3.2 The analysis of surveys conducted for 200 households

According to the survey conducted for the 200 households regarding their behaviors

on using water, we can summarize the following results.

3.2.1 Residents care more about water quality

In the following table 9, when asked the following question: “What do you care about

water most, its quality, price, quantity, or pressure?” 90% were concerned about water

quality. This implies that as the price increased, residents cared whether the quality of

water improved, which may also refer to their concern about whether services were

improved while the price went up.

9

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10

3.2.2 The attitude toward water price reform is closely related to the income

3.2.2.1 Low-income level group cares more about water price than the

high-income level group

Also, in the summary table 9, it was clearly shown that about 50% of the lower

income households, income lower than 1000 RMB/month/person, cared about price,

and as income increased, the proportion decreased. For those with highest income

level, above 5000 RMB, the proportion was 26.9%. This may imply that the water

expenditure accounted for a larger proportion of income for the low-income family,

and they cared more about price and the way charges were collected.

Table 9 Answers to the question “What do you care most about water?” Income of respondents(¥) less than 1000

1000~ 2000

2000~ 3000

3000~ 5000

Above 5000

Total

Respondents numbers 36 56 54 28 26 200

number 30 50 50 27 23 180 Quality Percentage 83.3% 89.3% 92.6% 96.4% 88.5% 90% number 2 2 4 1 2 11 Quantity Percentage 5.6% 3.6% 7.4% 3.7% 7.7% 5.5% number 18 24 17 10 7 76 Price Percentage 50.0% 42.9% 31.5% 35.7% 26.9% 38.0% number 2 1 1 0 0 4 Pressure Percentage 5.6% 1.8% 1.9% 0 0 2%

50. 0%

42. 9%31. 5% 35. 7%

26. 9%

0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%60.0%

belo

w 1

000

1000~

2000

2000~

3000

3000~

5000

abov

e 50

00

RMB

Fig 10. Degrees of different income-level groups caring about water price

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3.2.2.2 High-income group agrees more about water price than the low-income

group

With regard to the question about whether water price reform is reasonable or not, an

average of 51% answered “yes.” The high-income group agreed more about water

price than low-income level group, in general.

In Fig. 11, among the respondents, 35.9% with the income lower than 2000 RMB

agreed with the water price reform; 59.3% with income between 2000 and 3000 RMB

agreed with the water price reform, while about 68.5% with income above 3000 RMB

agreed with the water price reform. This may also be another indication of the

financial constraints on low-income households.

Fig 11. opinions regarding the water price reform (agree)

3.2.3 Water price r behaviors

regarding uses of water

The results of Table 10 show that by introducing price reform, a positive impact is

generated in households and residents.

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

lower 1000 1000~2000 2000~3000 3000~5000 above 5000

income level (RMB)

eform improves the resident’s awareness and

11

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Table 10 The awareness regarding water resources and water uses NO. Questions Answer getting highest

percentage 4 b If you think that it’s necessary to save water, what’s The price of water is very

the reason: high 5(3) If you think the price of water is reasonable, what’s the

reason: Increasing the price of water encourages saving water

5(5) ing water? After the price increased several times

When did you start to care about sav

5(4)a

After severayou recognized the ser the water shortage?

l adjustments to the price of water, have Yes iousness of

After several adjustments to the price of water, have Yes 5(4)b you recognized the necessity to save water?

Are you certain that your improved awareness of saving water is the result of water price reform?

Yes 5 7a ( )

3.2.3.1 e household believe it is

r

1 k it’s necessary ave water,

th ith income lower than 1000

RMB, between 1000~2000 RMB, and above 5000 RMB, respectively, answered that

water use behavior. Meanwhile, we found that in

Fig 12. The ratio of the answers to the high price of water implies it is necessary to save water

The increase of water price encourage th

necessa y to save water

In Fig. 2, in the answer to the question 4b, “If you thin to s

what’s e reason?” about 37.5%, 29.1%, and 7.7% w

the price of water is higher. This further confirms that the price of water is a major

factor influencing the residents’

lower income households there were larger reactions than in higher income groups.

37.5%

29.1%24.5%

17.9%

7.7%10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

0.0%lower 1000 1000~2000 2000~3000 3000~5000 above 5000

12

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3.2.3.2 The residents believe price reform is reasonable as it also promotes

water saving

In the answer to the question 5(3),“If you think that water price reform is reasonable,

what’s the reason?” 86.3% think that is reasonable because it encourages residents to

save water and improves the residents’ awareness of water resources availability and

the desire to save water. The residents would accept the price increase because it can

help save water resources.

Table 11 Answers to the impact on saving water by increase of the price of water of Lower 1000~ 2000~

00 3000~ Above Total of Lower 1000~ 2000~

00 3000~ Above Total Income

respondents than 1000 2000 30 5000 5000 e

respondents than 1000 2000 30 5000 5000 (¥) (¥)

(1) 36 56 54 28 26 200

(2) 14 19 32 22 15 102 (3) 14 19 25 18 12 88

(3)/(2) 100.0% 100.0% 78.1% 81.8% 80.0% 86.3%

Notes: (1) Total number of respondents; (2) Number of people who think that water price reform i

3.2.3.3 Water price refor

s

reasonable; (3) Number of people who think the reform can encourage people to save water in (3)/(2).

m improves the awareness of saving water

In responding to the questions regarding when they realized and started to think about

rage o said oved ajo adju

002, and 2 03. 53.1% and 15.4% of the households with income lower than

1000 RMB and higher than 5000 RMB answered yes, respectively plies not

only that the increase of price improves awareness on one hand, but also further

co the d reac d att o the f wa pric .

saving water,

2000, 2

an ave f 28.3% it impr after m r price stments in

0

. This im

nfirms ifferent tions an itudes t price o ter and e reform

13

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53.1%

27.3% 24.5% 21.4%15.4%20.0%

40.0%50.0%60.0%

0.0%10.0%

30.0%

lower 1000 1000~2000 2000~3000 3000~5000 above 5000

income level (RMB)

Fig 13. answers to the question regarding whether the awareness of saving waimproved after the price adjustment

3.2.3.4 Water price reform promotes awareness regarding the situation of the

shortage of water resources in Beijing

In answer to the question, “After several adjustments of water price, have you

ter was

have recognized the problem after several adjustments. This shows that awareness

was impr

awareness is the firststep necessary to save water.

wers that after the price reform, the water being realized

Total

recognized the seriousness of water shortage?” On average, 90.5% think that they

oved, and it indicated that price reform would help save water; as the

Table 12 Number and proportion of ansshortage problems

Income of respondents(¥)

lower than 1000

1000~2000

2000~3000

3000~5000

Above 5000

(1) 36 56 54 28 26 200

(2) 32 54 51 25 19 181

(2)/(1) 88.9% 96.4% 94.4% 89.3% 73.1% 90.5%

Notes: (1) Total number of respondents; (2) Number of people who think that water shortage is serious.

14

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3.2.3.5 Water price reform prompted the residents to conserve water

id arbitrary conclu s, we also make it clear on the stionnaire that "p

improves the wat ving awareness of residents," 8 an ave of 53

gher willin o save is c elate ater fo

while it is no surprise that lower income groups have a higher proportion (58.3%).

sely

To avo sion que rice

reform er-sa and rage %

think their hi gness t water losely r d to w price re rm,

58.3% 57.1%

42.3%

0.0%

50.0%

70.0%

lower 1000 1000~2000 2000~3000 3000~5000 above 5000

income level (RMB)

53.6% 51.9%60.0%

10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%

Fig 14. The proportion of answers to the question of whether water saving is clorelated to a price increase

Among those respondents who think that the water price reform has no direct

relationship with the awareness improvement, an average of 57% of the residents

think that although it is not that closely related, price reform can affect awareness to a

certain degree.

8 5(7)a Would you make sure that your improvement of awareness of water saving is the result of water price reform?

15

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Table 13 Proportions that think price reform can affect the awareness to a certain although they do not think it is closely related

Income of respondents(¥)

lower than 1000

1000~2000

2000~3000

3000~5000

Above 5000

Tota

degree,

l

17 25 25 13 13 93 (1)

(2) 10 10 17 10 6 53

(2)/(1) 58.9% 40.0% 68.0% 76.9% 46.2% 57.0%

Notes: (1) Number of residents who think that higher awareness of water has no direct relationship with price

reform; (2) Number of people who think still the price reform would affect the awareness

3.2.4 Residents started to use water saving facilities and instruments

3.2.4.1 Residents begin using water saving instruments

As Fig.15 shows, on average, 55% of the respondents have installed water-saving

toilets, 69.3% of respondents have installed water-saving taps, and 32.5% have

purchased water-saving washing machines. This shows that the price reform of water

resources did promote awareness of the residents and further encouraged the

installation of water-saving facilities and instruments.

16

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Fig 15. the changes of the water saving facilities and instruments

As Fig. 16 shows, on average, 79.1% of the respondents reused water if possible,

44% have minimized the use of washing machines, and 29.3% changed their tub to a

shower. This shows that the residents adopted water-saving ways where possible.

This also implies that water price reform has played a key role in the change of the

water use behavior.

3.2.4.2 Increase the reuse of water

0.0%

10.0%

lower 1000 1000~2000 2000~3000 3000~5000 above 5000

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

100.0%

income level (RMB)

80.0%

90.0% witsavt

h waing

oilet

ter

wisa

th wateving ta

rp

purchasingwatersavingwashingmach.

17

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0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%60.0%70.0%80.0%90.0%

lower

1000

1000~

2000

2000~

3000

3000~

5000

above

5000

frombath toshower

reducingthe useofwashingmach.re usewater

18

ss

closely

related to residents’ income

The increased income of a family provides for the possibility of residents to buy and

install water-saving devices. As income increases, it becomes feasible to buy

see that when income reaches a critical point, per capita monthly income of 5,000

oportion of income and total expenditure

of that group. Although the low-income group has a higher preference to buy and use

water saving facilities, they may be constrained by their financial situation.

3.2.4.4 The water saving actions produce effect

In the 200 respondents, 171 answered the question, "How much water consumption

can be reduced by introducing water-saving instruments and actions monthly?” the

remaining respondents indicated, "Haven’t taken that into account." Fig. 17 shows

that 95 respondents think that the adoption of water-saving measures can save about

one ton of clean water, 56 respondents think that can save two tons of clean water,

Fig 16. The change of water use after the improvement of water saving consciousne

3.2.4.3 The installation of water-saving devices, and reuse of water is

relatively more expensive water-saving devices. However, from the figure, we can

RMB or above), this percentage will decline. This may imply that the water

expenditure does not account for a large pr

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and 20 respondents think that it will save more than three tons of clean water. If we

consider the current monthly use of water, around 10 tons a month, the water-saving

effect is very significant.

locked

n’t

e increase in a uniform way Income of Lower Above Total

95

56

2040

60

80

100

2 ton above 3

sample

20

01 ton

Fig 17. Water Saving Effect

3.2.5 Attitude toward water price policy: most residents support the

pricing policy other than uniform pricing policy

3.2.5.1 Many residents believe that the current water price reform has

considered the different affordability between rich and poor families

For the residents who answered the reason why they think the current price reform is

not reasonable, an average of 92.1% indicated that the existing water price reform has

not considered the different affordability between rich and poor families.

b

Table 14 The attitude of support for water pric

respondents(¥)

than 1000

1000~2000

2000~3000

3000~5000 5000

(1) 36 56 54 28 26 200 (2) 17 23 16 1 6 63 ( ) 15 23 15 1 3 58 3 (3)/(2) 88.2% 100.0% 93.8% 100.0% 50.0% 92.1%

Notes: (1) Total number of respondents; (2) Number of people who think that water price reform

19

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is unreasonable; (3) Number of people who think that the reform ignores the income gap betwee

families.

n

3.2.5.2 Most residents do not support increase a water price in a uniform way in

the future

In Fig. 18, with the attitude toward "if the price increases to 4 RMB / t", 36% of those

surveyed residents answered "reasonable, but it can not be afforded”, 27.5% answered

"unreasonable”, and only 27.5% "reasonable, because it can be afforded”, and the

remaining 9% respondents answered " do not care ." In fact, the former two

categories of respondents accounted 63.5% in total. Therefore, if the price increased

in a uniform way, most residents would be against it, and, only a small portion

(27.5%) would support it.

In general, residents’ answers to this issue are closely related with their income level.

In Fig.19, the proportion that answer " reasonable, because it is affordable" increases

as the household income increases; the proporti

sehold income increases;

on that answer “reasonable, but it can

not be afforded " increases as the household income decreases; the proportion of that

answer "unreasonable" for other reasons decreases as the hou

and the proportion of that answer "do not care" increases as the household income

increases.

20

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Fig 18. Attitude toward uniformed pricing reform

Notes: (1) reasonable, because it is affordable; (2) "reasonable, but it can not be afforded; (3) Unreasonable; (4) Do not care.

Fig 19. Different attitudes toward uniformed pricing in the future by income groups

3.2.5.3 Most residents support the IBT price system reform

As shown in Table 15, 91% of respondents support IBT pricing policy, some people

even wrote, "we should implement the IBT price system," as they disagree reason

with the uniform pricing policy.

0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%

60.0%

1000以以

1000~

2000

200

50.0%

70.0%

03

~00

3

0

000~

5000

5000以以

( )1

( 2)( 3)

( 4)

reasonable,can afford

27.5%

27.5%

9.0%reasonable,but can notafford

un reasonable

36.0% do not care

RMB

21

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Table 15 Residents attitude toward IBT water pricing policy Income of respondents(¥)

lower than 1000

1000~2000

2000~3000

3000~5000

Above 5000

Total

(1) 36 56 54 28 26 200 (2) 30 51 51 28 22 182 (2)/(1) 83.3% 91.1% 94.4% 100% 84.6% 91%

Notes: (1) Total number of respondents; (2) Number of residents who support the IBT

3.2.6 Other observation: residents support the reform that increases the levy

on the water resources fee and the sewage treatment cost

In the process of completing the questionnaire, many respondents took a closer look

at the changes of the compo ter fees and

sewage treatment fee increases, and believe they are reasonable; and they doubt that

the water supply cost increases. This shows that if a transparent process were to be

used, for example, and an effective public hearing were to be held, those would

improve the acceptability of price reform. It is very necessary to provide detailed

financial information to the publicand especially the water supply cost to the water

company.

3.2.7 Media played an important role on improving water saving awareness

Survey results showed that the water saving publicity of media affects the awareness

of w

improved their water saving awareness by getting information from media. This

shows that in the future the government should continue its efforts to promote the

nation of infor

nents of price. They would support the wa

ater conservation. In Fig. 20, an average of 50% of the residents thought that they

dissemi mation and public awareness via media.

22

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37.5% 38.2%

62.371.4%

%

42.3%40.0%50.0%

l 1 2 3 abov

e 5

60.0%70.0%80.0%

0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%

ower

1000

000~

2000

000~

3000

000~

5000 00

0

Fig 20. The proportion of residents who believe the media improved their awarenes

3.3 Other factors affect the behaviors of residents

3.3.1 Continued growth of income

by their income. In recent years, the income of households increased, although the

s

As mentioned above, in addition to water price, residents’ behavior will be affected

annual growth rate declined.

As shown in Figure 21, the per capita income of urban residents increased from 1,787

d

ards imply the

further growth of water demand in the future.

RMB in 1990 to 17,653 in 2005. As income grew, households would buy and install

more water using facilities which used to be only a luxury consumer goods, such as

washing machines, dishwashers, toilets, baths, and so on. As Fig. 22 shows, the

numbers of water related devices and facilities owned by 100 households increase

largely since early the 1990s, for example the hot shower facilities increased from 17

in 1992 to 78.1 in 2001. The increase of income and living stand

23

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02000400060008000

1000012000140001600018000

RMB

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Data sources: yearly <Beijing Stat. Yearbook>

Fig 21. Income per capita in Beijing

3.3.2 Availability of water saving facilities and policies

With the implementation of water pricing policy and the policies regarding water

saving facilities, more and more water saving facilitiesare being marketed and made

available to residents.

Data sources: yearly <Beijing Stat. Yearbook>

Fig 22. The hot water shower per 100 households in end of year

1723. 2

38. 845. 4

5258. 4

65. 4 67. 174. 478. 1

83. 585. 494. 1 97

80

100

0

20

40

60number

1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004

24

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3.3.3 The problems related to the use of revenues generated from the water

pricing policy

Currently, as there is no an effective transparent process for the use of the water

related charges, and residents also have doubt about whether the “engineering costs”

(supply costs) are being used to improve the services provided by water company. In

addition, although there are some regulations regarding the use of the wastewater

treatment cost, however, the residents think that it is not transparent either, and such a

situation may affect the introduction of pricing reform.

Residents care much about how the charges being used, sometimes, it will affect the

residents to pay the charges on time. As the reform and frequent adjustment of water

rice, more and more residents concern about the uses of the charges. In the following

table, that about 81% of the residents surveyed clearly stated that they do concern

about the uses of the water charges, while about 58.5% of the residents would be

affected about their payment for the charges.

Table 16 Residents’ concern the use of sewage treatment charges Income of respondents(¥)

Lower than 1000

1000~2000

2000~3000

3000~5000

Above 5000

Total

p

(1) 36 56 54 28 26 200 (2) 33 46 44 26 13 162

(2)/(1) 91.7% 82.1% 81.5% 92.9% 50.0% 81.0%

Notes: (1) Total number of respondents; (2) Number of people who concerns about the way of use the sewage

eatment charges

Table 17 the payment will be affected by the way of use of the sewage treatment charges Income of respondents(¥)

Lower than 1000

10 Above 5000

Total

tr

00~2000

2000~3000

3000~5000

(1) 36 56 54 28 26 200 (2) 26 35 32 14 10 117

(2)/(1) 72.2% 62.5% 59.3% 50.0% 38.5% 58.5%

Notes: (1) Total number of respondents; (2) Number of residents who’s payment will be affected by the way of use

sewage charges

25

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Chapter 4 Econometric Analysis for the Domestic Water

the welfare of residents, we conducted an empirical study of how

on

ber

The AIDS model gives an

arbitrary second-ord

f e represen of preferences. Deaton and Muellbauer (1980)

sh t it satis the axio hoice, aggregates over consum without a need

to parallel Engel curves, and has a functional form

household budget data10. The QUAIDS model is the extension of AIDS and the

of integrable quadratic logarithmic expenditure share systems. The

Demand

In order to study

demand played a role on the price of Beijing domestic water uses. By controlling

demand to different income groups with price changes, we looked at the effects on the

different groups, especially by income distribution. The study uses Beijing statistics

related to domestic household water uses and analyzes the various factors’ impacts

water uses and demand by establishing the econometric models.

4.1 Theory and Methodology 9

4.1.1 The Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) AIDS Model

The Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) (Deaton and Muellbauer 1980) and its

successor the Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) (Banks, Blundell

and Lewbel 1997) are used in this study. They have also been used by a large num

of authors interested in consumption analysis to establish consumer responses to price

changes for nondurable goods such as food and clothes.

er approximation to any demand system and provides a

reasonably lexibl tation

ow tha fies ms of c ers

assume consistent with known

complete class

QUAID

S model became necessary after it was observed that the empirical Engel

This study continues to use the methodology being ap by the CCICED study, Zhang Shiqiu, Tim Swanson,

et al. 2006, which was mainly conduct Ben Groom. In this study, w am the pr s study, an ne more data (2004) to simulate

el Engel curves (expenditur a func were implicitly assumed in the fore the AIDS system, the linear expenditure system or LES.

9 plieded by e re-ex eviou d use o

year10 Parall e share as tion of income) runner to

26

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curves for certain goods exhibited curvature in the log of income, contrary to the

restriction implied by the simpler AIDS model. In short, the QUAIDS model allows

the expenditure share to be quadratic in the log of income rather than linear. This

conforms to intuition by allowing goods in the demand system to be luxuries at some

income levels and necessities at others.

These models of demand are derived as follows. They assume the following form for

indirect utility, where is household income and p is a vector of commodity

prices:11

hy

11 −−⎧ ⎫ (1)

The functions , and

ln ( )ln ( )( )

hy a pV pb p

λ⎡ ⎤−⎪ ⎪= +⎨ ⎬⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦⎪ ⎪⎩ ⎭

( )pa ( )pb ( )pλ are all functions of the vector of prices and

capture in a general way the nature of the response to price changes. In order to

maintain flexibility in the estimated response these functions are usually represented

in a flexible functional form. Deaton and Muellbauer (1980) characterize these

responses as follows:

01 1 1

1( ) ln ln ln2i i ij i

i i ja p p p pα α γ

= = =

= + +∑ ∑∑

n n n

j (2) n

1

( ) ii

ib p pβ

=

= ∏ (3)

n

, where 1

( ) lni ii

p pλ λ=

=∑ 0ii

λ =∑ (4)

where is commonly interpreted as the subsistence level of expenditure (Banks, et

al 1997) and

0a

iii γβα ,, iλ and are the parameters to be estimated. It is easy to show

that (1)-(4) yield Marshallian demands in budget shares form:

11 The indirect utility function represents individual utility as a function of income and prices and is derived from the utility maximization. The direct utility function, on the other hand, represents utility in terms of quantities of the commodities that affect individual welfare.

27

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2ln [ln ( )] [ln ( )]i

ij i h h

i

p y a p y a ppβ

λβ+ − + −∏

ih i ijjw a γ= +∑ (5)

In theory, if the consumers’ utility are maximized then the following parameter

restrictions will hold: 1iia =∑ , 0i ii i

β λ= =∑ ∑ and 0ijiγ =∑ for adding-u

i.e. all expenditures add up to disposable income; 0ijjγ =

p,

∑ for homogeneity, i.e.

the consumers choice will not change if, for example, both prices and income double;

and ij jiγ γ= for symmetry, i.e. the cross price responses are symmetric. Some of

lly.

e quadratic

r

ih

of indicator variables drawn from the aggregated data . Other goods are represented

ible

to obtain expressions for the price and income elasticity of demand for water (PED

these properties can be tested empirica

The AIDS consists of (2) (3) and (5), with iλ =0, that is, without th

expenditure term. Koundouri et al (2002) used QUAIDS to model residential wate

demand function in Cyprus. They then went on to compare the welfare outcomes

arising from the movement of the system from one of the IBTs to a uniform marginal

cost tariff. Here we use the AIDS model, the system of demand equations for which

takes the following form for good i and household h:

( )[ ]∑ −++=j

i paypaw lnln βγ (6)

We follow Koundouri et al (2002) and estimate one equation for water in the form

shown in (6) above. Individual household characteristics are represented by a number 12

as a Hicksian composite good, which allows estimation of (6) as a single equation.

Given the functional form of water demand that emerges from the AIDS, it is poss

ihijij

and IED). We will compare these to previous estimates in the literature and, of course,

12 In the following section, we describe the data availability and the extent to which we have data on household characteristics.

28

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they are crucial for the welfare analysis undertaken in the policy simulation. The

expression for PED and IED are respectively13:

( )[ ] 1ln1 −+−= paw

PEDht

γβγ (7) ggg

1+ht

g

=IED (8)

In addition to this important elasticity, estimation of the parameters in (6) allows us to

tility f

n the pricing policy for any of the goods considered in the demand system.

In our case, we are interested in estimating the welf

income groups of changes in the price of water and the schedule of tariffs that

consumers of water are faced with. The policy simulation that we undertake is

.

4.1.2 Policy Simulation and Welfare Analysis

r in

proposed by Beijing in 2004 regarding implementing the

Increasing Block Tariff, IBT pricing policy in Beijing. According to this policy

prop will have 3 blocks, with the ratio of t

at 1:

12t/m eet the basic needs, 12-16t/month

consuming demand. The proposed IBT water pricing system for residential water can

represent the indirect u unction shown in equation (1) and hence to assess

changes i

are impacts among different

described below

Our policy simulation compares a number of proposed pricing policies for wate

Beijing. A policy was

osal, the proposed IBT system he price level

3:5, with the first block price at 4.5 RMB/ton. The first block was set up for

onth per household to m per household for

improving the life quality and over 16t/month as the third block to satisfy special

be summarized as the following figure:

13 For a complete discussion see Banks et al (1997) for the QUAIDS Deaton and Muellbauer (1980) for the AIDS.

29

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1st 2nd 3rd

IBT water price system P = 4.5 RMB∕t

3 = 22.5 元∕吨

1

P2 = 13.5 元∕吨 P

Data sources:Beijing Development and Re sion,Information about wateradjusting(NO. BDRC [2004]1517)

Fig 23. Proposed IBT pricing policy

We conducted the policy simulation for the following:

Impact of full cost uniform pricing: We assess the welfare impact ondifferent income groups of charging water at the current full cost uniform

volumetric tariff of 7 RMB/ 3m . The 7 RMB/ 3m is based on the informatio

from the National Development and Reform Commission which is based on

form Commis price

n

the cost of the water transfer project from the Ya In 2007, the Ministry of Water Resources further con

the

person family IBT tariff schedule described in Section 2.1 above.

Relative impact of 3 Family or lifeline IBT: We compare both of the above d

above.

the single equation case, if we represent the baseline tariff structure as and the

ngtze river to Beijing. firms this..

Relative impact of 4 family IBT: We compare the welfare impact of uniform full cost pricing policy to that caused by the introduction of the 4

pricing policies to the introduction of the 3 person family IBT describe

Once we have obtained our estimates from the AIDS estimation we can define

welfare measures to assess the impact of moving from one tariff system to another. In

2P

Current price 3.7 RMB∕y

LRMC 7 B∕t RM

Using quantity (t)

Price (R)

MB

/m3

5

30

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proposed tariff structure as 1P we can define 2 separate measures of welfare cha

Firstly, we define the Compensating Variation (C

nges.

V) and secondly we define the

Deadweight Loss (DW).

The CV can be defined as an expenditure index t e

that an individual household would be willing to pay (WTA) (or willing to accept

have

ty at

From (1), Setting utility equal under each pricing policy we get:

hat measures the amount of incom

14(WTA)) in order to keep the original tariff structure/level, 2P . This measure makes

an implicit assumption about the consumers’ rights to the status quo: consumers

no rights to the status quo. This reflects the fact that water in Beijing is priced far

below the cost to society on the one hand, and the nature of recent pricing legisla

on the other. The CV measure gives the change in income required to keep utili

the same level as under the reference prices, measured at the reference prices.

tion

( ) ( ) ( )( )

( )( )21 PbPb

where hx1 is the expenditure or income level required by household h facing prices

1P in order to maintain utility at the level achieved under the reference price 2P

we normalize 1=P and rearrange we get the expenditure index:

22211

ln,, PaxPxVPxV hhh

−== (9)

. If

11ln Pax h −⇒2

2

( ) ( )[ ]( )1

111

2

1lnlnPbx

Xh

hh =⎟⎟

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛= (10)

Notice that for a price rise it is the case that xxx hh Δ+= 21 . In fact, xΔ represent

ln1 xPbPax −+

s

the equivalent variation (EV). The CV m y . Figure 24

provides a graphic description of this measure. We measure this expenditure index at

Xlneasure is reflected b h

14 Note that when we come to measure the relative effects of uniform pricing versus the IBT schedules,

e consumers will be better off under the IBT than under uniform pricing and hence will only be willing to somaccept compensation to avoid the change in the price schedule.

31

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the subsistence utility level, i.e., setting . Using the equations above, and the

fact that the expenditure sh the reference prices can be

written as aw h

12 =hx

are at subsistence level under

2ln Pγ02 += sure for CV can be written as: , the mea

( ) 222 lnln5.ln PPwX hh γ−= (11)

The DW measure is defined as the monetary value of the change in log utility

resulting from a change in the price regime when income remains at the baseline level.

That is:

( ) ( )( ) ( )1

1

2

2 lnlnlnPb

PaxPb

PaxW hhh

−−−= (12)

Using the functional form

mea e

prices f ol

s for the functions of price described above gives us a

sur of the DW index in terms of the parameters of the utility function and the

aced by the individual househ ds:

( )β

γp

pWhln5.ln −= (13)

ectively reflects the substitution effect caused by changes in rela

2

This eff tive prices,

wit e

preferen

welfare m

increase

below. tion between goods,

is measured by ),, PxVPx − .

h th denominator adjusting this effect to account for the heterogeneity of

ces and it should not deviate from unity. Again, a graphic description of this

easure is shown in Figure 25 below. The Equivalent Variation of a price

from 2P to 1P is defined by ( ) ( )2212 ,, PxVPEVxV hh =+ in the diagram

The deadweight loss, which measures the effect of substitu

( ) ( 15V 1222 hh

15 This diagram also shows how the indirect utility function represents the value of utility at the points of utility

32

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Fig 24. Graphical Representation of the Estimated Exact We

Th

cross sectional and time series qualities. The household level data provides total

commodities for this 24 month period for a sample of 1000 households (while it was

2000 households in 2004)16. The aggregated data provides similar characteristics but

at the level of the income quintile for a 16 year period. In short, we are presented with

lfare Measures

4.2 D ta Sources and Data Processing

e household data for 2002-2004 and the aggregated data of 1987-2004 have both

monthly expenditure and monthly expenditures on utilities, water and non-food

a

two panel datasets.

maxim ( ) ( )

, the remainder being resampled.

ization and not the indifference curves 1I and 2I themselves. 16 As described in Section 2.4 below, there is a certain amount of attrition of households over this period. Ultimately, only 600 households appear for the entire 24 months

Water

( ), PxV

Hicks

ian

( )22 , PxV h

12h( ), PEVxV − 22h

C

E( ), PCVxV + 12h

33

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The data is coming from the Beijing Stat ata, and the Beijing Urban Household

Income and Expenditure Survey (BIES), the collection of which is undertaken by the

State Statistical Bureau of Beijing. The survey requires respondents to keep a daily

istic D

expenditure diary for a full 12-month period. As with other surveys of household

expenditures, the expenditure categories are numerous and detailed and include

ls

rded. Theoretically, the data is vetted for quality by an enumerator who visits

each household once or twice a month.

The preliminary analysis was undertaken using annual published

period 1986-2004 which gave average expenditures and average household

characteristics for income quintiles. Those aggregated data includes income,

In addition, the monthly household level data for 2002-2004 were used in order to

undertake the welfare analysis in the most comprehens

each

n Beijing. As not all the changes in the price of water happened at the

beginning of the year, we use the months of the prices changes to average the price of

that year. We further readjust the entire water price to the year 2000 level by using

household durables as well as consumption items, incomes and numerous detai

concerning family members and characteristics of accommodation. Quantities are

also reco

statistics over the

expenditure, household size, number of water consumption facilities (washing

machines and showers), and expenditure on water, electricity, and other fuels.

ive manner possible. It

contains data from 9 districts for the years 2002 to 2004, and includes monthly data

from 2839 households. The data provides the information about the district of

household; the household’s total expenditure and non-food expenditure in each month;

as well as the utility expenditure, water quantity and water expenditure for each

billing period.

In order to analyze the water demand, this study also collects the real price of

domestic water i

34

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(Consumer Price Index, CPI), shown in the following table.

Table 18 The nominal and real water tariff, Beijing 1986-2004 (RMB/ ) year Data of the

new price applied

Price 1 (before

changes)

Price 2 (after

changes)

Average annual price

CPI Real ariff (2000 Prices)

3mT

2004 Aug 1 2.90 3.70 3.233 102.46 3.155 2003 Jan 20 2.50 2.90 2.878 101.44 2.837 2002 Feb 1 2.00 2.50 2.458 101.24 2.428 2001 2.00 2.000 103.10 1.940 2000 Nov 1 1.60 2.00 1.667 100.00 1.667 1999 Nov 1 1.10 1.60 1.183 96.62 1.224 1998 Sep 1 0.80 1.10 0.900 96.04 0.937 1997 Dec 1 0.50 0.80 0.525 93.79 0.560 1996 April 1 0.30 0.50 0.450 89.07 0.505 1995 0.30 0.300 79.81 0.376 1994 0.30 0.300 68.04 0.441 1993 0.30 0.300 54.48 0.551 1992 Jan 1 0.30 0.300 45.78 0.655 1991 0.12 0.120 41.65 0.288 1990 0.12 0.120 37.22 0.322 1989 0.12 0.120 35.32 0.340 1988 0.12 0.120 30.13 0.398 1987 0.12 0.120 25.03 0.479 1986 0.12 0.120 23.05 0.521

The analysis of panel data has naturally received much attention in the literature (see

e.g. Hsiao 2004 and Baltagi 2001). Panel data allows us to estimate the parameter

interest allowing for the likelihood that observations from particular households

income groups are likely to be similar in some way. Furthermore, panel data allows

dynamic models to be estimated, and hypotheses to be tested, while allowing an

assessment of the importance of unobserved individual or group heterogeneity in

explaining observed

s of

or

behavior17. In our estimation procedure we exploit the panel

nature of the data and employ panel data techniques in order to better explain the data

hich dat ls, income groups etc. This

make

17 The heterogeneity refers to the groups for w one has a, e.g. individuadepends upon the nature of the data and, for aggregated data such as ours, the assumptions one is willing toregarding the nature of the groups.

35

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generating process and obtain better estimates of the demand for water. We use the

following econometric model in order to estimate the AIDS model described above

on the household level data:

( )[ ] hthtgthgtgtghgtht uppaxpw εγβγγα ++−−+++= 2ln5.lnlnln

where hgtw is the expenditure share for the household in the income group

at time t, which in this case denotes the month. Notice that price only varies throug

time and not across households or income groups, while the parameters

0

h

thgthh

γ and β

are deemed to vary across income groups, i.e., the model allows price responses and

d to be

terms

capture the unobserved determinants of water demand. Unobserved individual

heterogeneity is captured by the term , which is assumed to remain constant over

st Squares is no longer an unbiased and consistent estimator for the

parameters of interest since the explanatory variables are endogenous18. Happily,

empirical testing can determine whether this is the case and the Fixed Effects

income responses differ across income groups.

The error structure in this model is assumed to consist of two components an

additively separable. It is represented by the terms u and e . In sum, theseh ht

hu

time and yet be unique to the household. The term hte represents the purely random

unobserved components that vary across time, such as macro economic shocks. It is

important from the perspective of obtaining unbiased and consistent estimates of the

parameters of the demand function to determine whether or not the time invariant

individual specific effect is correlated with the observables. If this is so, then

Generalized Lea

18 GLS is used in the analysis of panel data described by this model in order to account for the autocorrelationintroduced by the time invariant term This estimator is commonly referred to as the Random Effects

estimator. hu .

36

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estimator can be used in order to over come this problem. We follow the following

procedure when estimating the AIDS system using the household level data:

W the m E RE under assump ere is no correlation between the household specific time invarian he

repress X

We est a Effe FE) m unde ssumption that the individu fect orrelated with the explanatory ables:

¦ uXE

We undertake a Hausman in o o test ull hyp that

il to reject to th we u we ass e RE

model is mo ap iate tha the FE

This procedure is common in the analysis of pa ta (see reene 20 siao

2004).

4.3

F by way of a elim y analy s, we es a sim arshallian nd

the Engel curve is linear, and this suggests that the AIDS is enough to model domestic

e estimate Rando ffects ( ) model the tion that tht effect and t

[ ] 0ors: E ¦ =hu

imate Fixed cts ( odel r the a is cal specific ef vari

[ ] 0≠h

test rder t the n othesis

[ ] 0¦ =huXE . If we fa e null se then ume th

re propr n .

nel da e.g. G 03, H

Estimation and Results

irstly, pr inar si timate ple M dema

curve using the data aggregated by income quintiles for the period 1987-2004. This

allows us to assess the potential impact of recent policy reforms as well as obtaining

preliminary estimates for price and income elasticity. We then move on to the

estimation of the AIDS model, the policy simulation, and the exact welfare

measurements derived from these estimates.

4.3.1 Engel Curves for water

One important restriction associated with the AIDS model is that, conditional upon

the constant term, the expenditure share for goods is linear in the log of expenditure if

water demand pattern in Beijing. In order to test this nature of the Engel curve for

37

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water we used the semi-parametric techniques to run a kernel regression of the budg

share Engel curve, with price variables as parameters

et

below.

A downward slope of the Engel curve means the expenditure share of water

ptio

suggesting domestic water falls into the category of necessity. This makes intuitive

sense in Beijing where most of domestic water consumption is indoors rather than

ng Information Center in 2003.

Log Expenditure

19. It shows quite a good linear

shape, as shown in Figure 25

consum n decreases with an increasing log of total expenditure, therefore

outdoors. Tap water use is mainly restricted to drinking, cooking, bathing, washing

clothes, and similar purposes, as concluded by the survey conducted by Beijing

Municipal Water Conservation Offices and Beiji

Kernel regression, bw = __00000F, k = 6

Grid points5.29577

Fig 25. Semi-Parametric Engel Curve for Domestic Water Expenditure Shares

12.0986

.000438

.038095

38

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4.3.2 Household incomes impose a significant impact on water demand, t

PED, and the IED

he

Thi s

and Inc

reduce d ater.

The em

income elasticity of demand lies between zero and 1; hence, it is likely that the

negative impact of increasing water prices is likely to fall disproportionately upon the

poo

negative but significa

other w arding water demand. It suggests that

creases increase. The extent to which water consumption increases with

me richer, reflecting the fact that there are

physical limitations on the extent to which water use can be increased with income

once prudence with regarding water consumption becomes less of an issue. That the

IED for high-income groups is negative could reflect the facts that the higher income

group is busier, has less time at home, and cooks less as they choose to have food

outside. Such facts may introduce more substitute water use behaviors. In addition,

the richer groups of Beijing do not have much luxury goods such as swimming pools

and irrigated gardens, therefore the water demand for luxury uses is not significant.

PED is significant at the 1% level. The negative value of PED further addresses the

s re earch conducts empirical studies about the Price Elasticity of Demand (PED)

ome Elasticity of Demand (IED). The study shows that the pricing policy can

emand of w

pirical finding throughout the world is that water is a necessary good, i.e. the

r. IED are all small and positive except for the top 20% of households, which have

nt budget elasticity. These results are largely in accordance with

ater demand studies and our intuition reg

low-income households will tend to increase their consumption of water per capita as

income in

income declines as households beco

feature of water as a necessity good and would showthat it would be effective to

introduce demand side management. In addition, the value of the PED for the first 4

groups is between 0~-1shows the rigidity of PED. On one hand, all income groups

will respond to the changes of price, and on the hand, the higher value of the highest

39

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income groups means that they have more opportunity to respond to the price changes

as they may have more opportunity to reduce their luxury use of water, and to swiftly

install water conservation facilities.

Table 19 IED and PED of income groups Income groups

0-20% (lowest) 20%-40% 40%-60% 60%-80% 80%-100% (highest)

IED .4289904 .2346334 .1205664 .0620632 -.3194785** ** ** ** **

PED -.6617562** -.862384** -.7691349** -.7701065** -1.351054**

** means significant at 1% level.

4.3.3 Welfare Effects of Introducing Increasing Block Tariff (IBT)

We use the monthly water consumption data to conduct the analysis, while taking

2004 as the base year for future price reform.

4.3.3.1 Consumption Blocks chosen by consumers in the short-run

In the short run, the demand response is significant with the majority of households

consuming within the first block of IBT. About 85% of first 3 groups will be end up at

first block, while the number decreases from 81% to 77% for the 4th and 5th group.

Table 20 Consumption Blocks chosen by consumers in the short-run under the 4 Family IBT

Income groups

of hhs in B1 of hhs in B2 of hhs in B3 Total B1(%) B2(%) B3(%)

lowest 20%, i.e., 0-20%

245 18 24 287 85.365854 6.271777 8.3623693

20%-40% 277 32 15 324 85.493827 9.8765432 4.6153846 40%-60% 266 20 24 310 85.806452 6.4516129 7.7419355

60%-80% 258 33 27 318 81.132075 10.377358 8.490566 highest 20%,

i.e., 80%-100

223 39 28 290 76.896552 13.448276 9.6551724

%

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4.3.3.2 Consumption Blocks chosen by consumers in the long-run

Considering t

Table 21 Consumption Blocks chosen by consumers in the long-run under the 4 Family IBT ) B3(%)

the long-run response of the household to price, the estimates show tha20all of them will end up in the first block .

Income groups of hhs in B1 of hhs in B2 of hhs in B3 Total B1(%) B2(%

lowest 20%, ie, 0-20% 287 0 0 287 100 0 0

20%-40% 324 0 0 324 100 0 0

40%-60% 310 0 0 310 100 0 0

4 60%-80%

318 0 0 318 100 0 0

highest 20%, ie, 80%-100% 290 0 0 290 100 0 0

4.3.3.3 Impacts by Introducing LRMC pricing

The ratio of water expenditure in total expenditure of household will increase largely

after introducing uniform pricing on long-run marginal cost (LRMC). In which, the

short and long run. As the household will respond to the changes of prices in the end,

the ratio will decrease. It should also noted that in the short run, the ratio is close

threshhold level of 3% (Yu Fan 2006), while the ratio for higher income

decrease more in a long run. This implies that the uniform pricing on LRMC w

impose more burdens on the lower income groups and impose more impact on thei

welfare.

Table 22 Changes of Ratio of Water Expenditure in total expenditure (W) %

ratio of the lowest group changes largely. Table 22 shows the ratio changes in both the

the

groups

ill

r

Income group Income group

0-20% 20%-40% 40%-60% 60%-80% 80%-100%

w .0146003 .0105505 .0089374 .0078833 .0049443

w(short run) .02762219 .01996041 .01690859 .01491435 .00935408

w(long run) .02426619 .01685999 .0145453 .01282735 .00718037

20 Although there are some inconsistences with our previous studies (CCICED 2005), it has no significant differences. This may be resulted by that we further include the data in 2004.

41

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4.3.3.4 The welfare impacts of the 4 family IBT

The analysis on the welfare impact of the 4 family IBT shows that, in the short run,

only the income increases, and the households can sustain their utility level, although

the value is small compared with the income effects of theuniform pricing of the IBT.

The main reason for this is that in a short run, some households still consume

water in the 2nd and 3rd blocks, a n the first block, so

that is the reason the compensating all.

e lo ho il o the changes of the price, and almost

e water in the first block. Under such situation, it

means that all the households are subsidized, and the CV is negative, which means

that the welfare of all the groups is improved. In addition, although CV is not that

e because

er,

family IBT.

distortion that the IBT introduces. It can be seen from Figure 26 that the welfare

effect of the price d

giv e n o r ho s, it ppe

wou ue a cash bsidy intro ed by m th

t inco ntiles.

paring Figures 26 and 27, it is cle t allo f o

lthough most of them consume i

variation is sm

In th ng run, the useholds w l respond t

all the households will consum

significant, the lower income groups have a higher CV value. This may b

the ratio of water expenditure of total expenditure for lower income groups is high

and they may get more subsides.

Figures 26 and 27 also show the deadweight losses associated with the 4

The deadweight loss measures the extent to which the individual households would

be willing to swap the subsidy that is available for water consumption for a straight

cash subsidy. In effect it is a measure of the welfare loss associated with the price

istortion is highest at each extreme of the income distribution. In

short, en all the oth r demands o the income f poo usehold would a ar

that they ld val su duc the 4 family IBT ore than e

adjacen me qui

In com ar tha wing or the heter geneity

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between seasons21 gives us quite a different welfare effect by income. The inclusion

with regard to estimating the welfare impacts. Doing so shows that the seasonal

difference of water demand is larger for the rich residents rather than for the poor. In

this case, it seems that the forthcoming pricing of increasing block tariffs is

progress

poor.

Compen ariati CV) of the mily IBT (Income gro

of the seasonal demand response is the more realistic of the two policy simulations

ive and will reach the expected purpose of cross-subsidy from the rich to the

Table 23 sating V on ( 4 fa short run) ups

0-20% 20%-40% 40%-60% 60%-80 -10 % 80% 0%

CV(sr) .0048513 .0018215 .0028511 .00416 61 94 .004 57

Table 24 Compensating Variation (CV) of the 4 family IBT (long run) Income groups

0-20% 20%-40% 40%-60% 60%-80% 80%-100%

CV(lr) -.0074108 -.0051578 -.0043631 -.0036893 -.001694

Table 25 Dead Weight Loss of the 4 family IBT Income group

0-20% 20%-40% 40%-60% 60%-80% 80%-100%

DWL .000433 .0005095 .0004376 .0005446 .0009593

21 IBTs e been impl both cou C e Udevelopi countries su ibia a frica om and erwe 19Koundouri 2002, Billings and Agthe 1980). The common feature of these sites is that their climate is arid or semi-arid; they are subject to sporadic water shortages and widely fluctuating seasonal demands. The monthly data enables us to detect whether or not water demand is seasonal. We do

nths

havng

emented inch as Nam

developednd South A

ntries such as (e.g. Gro

yprus and thvan de M

.S., and 99,

this by including the dummy variable SUMMER for water which takes the value one for moJune to September and zero otherwise.

43

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month level (4-family)

50

40

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

0-20% 20-40% 40-60% 60-80% 80-100%

IE(SR) IE(monthly level)

Fig 26. The welfare impacts of the 4 family IBT with seasonal variation by incomquintile (RMB/Month)

e

come households would require in order to

Fig 27. The Welfare Effects of the 4 family IBT without seasonal variation by incomequintile

In summary, (1) in the short run, the in

DWL(monthly level)

四人家庭批量累进制水价对五个收入集团的福利影响

0.4

0.6

-0.8

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0

0.2

收入集团

1 2 3 4 5

百分比 cv(sr)

cv(lr)

dwl

44

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have the same level of welfare under the IBT is the same as under the uniform tarif

The black blocks represent the short-run impact upon the consumers and it can easily

be seen that all income groups will suffer a welfare loss in the short-run since this

expenditure index is positive for all income groups, however, the absolute value

such income effect is not that large if we compare the uniform pricing and IBT. The

main reason for this is that in the short run, some of the households will cont

use water in the 2

f.

of

inue to

rge. (2) In the long run, as most of the households will respond to the pricing

policy, almost all the households will stop using water in the first block. In fact, it

means that all the households are being subsidized and the CV value is negative,

which means th e inco are Mean an b

that low-incom are g e com n. Thi y bec

water expenditure accounts for a larger share in the total expenditure and it is getting

more subsidies. (3) In addition, in the long is all positive for all income

groups. This is under the condition that the h is res the

changes, and the welfare of a rou impr trodu

As DWL measures the substitution effects, the DWL of higher income group is

relatively larger, as the price elasticity of h roups is larger in the long

run.

4.3.4 Saving and Cost Recovery

s the water bill accounts for a larger share in the total expenditure for the poor

groups, their response to price changes is larger, which shows that the uniform pricing

e

nd and 3rd block, therefore, the CV value of introducing IBT is not

that la

at all th me groups better off. while, it c e observed

e groups etting mor pensatio s is mainl ause the

run, the DWL

ousehold ponding to price

ll income g ps is being oved by in cing IBT.

igher income g

Burden of Water

A

policy will constrain the water consumption of the poor groups more than the rich

groups. According to our estimation, in the long run, the pricing policy will generat

both substitution effects and income effects for households. By introducing LRMC (7

RMB/m3), the water demand will decrease by 12%-20%. Meanwhile, the medium and

45

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lower income groups will reduce more; up to 50% compared with the higher income

groups. That is, the first 3 lower groups will reduce their water demand more.

If an IBT pricing policy is to be introduced, which will follow the proposed 4 family

member IBT, then almost all the income groups will use water in the 1st block as the

average household size does not vary significantly across income groups in Beijing.

With per capita consumption increasing with income this suggests that an IBT

schedule will be a suitable instrument for ameliorating the impact of water pricing on

low-income households. Indeed the current proposal for the IBT schedule for Beijing

is the so-called ‘4 person family model’. It has been estimated that 91% of

households in Beijing had 4 or less members, and 77% of households had 3 or less

members. Therefore, the IBT based on 4 family members (12 m3 /month for the first

block) is enough and almost all t l stop water demand in the 1

block. That is, under 4 family member IBT, all income groups are subsidized. A 3

family member IBT will improve the situation by shifting the burden from poor

income groups to higher income groups, and only the highest group will use water

that exceeds the 1st block, and the 2 highest income groups will take about 2-4 times

of the water saving burden than that of the poor groups.

he income groups wil st

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Chapter 5 Findings and Policy Recommendations

5.1 Key Findings of the Study

5.1.1 Problems identified for Beijing’s Water Pricing Reform

reform since the 1990s, especially since it started to focus on the pricing policy based

but also the environmental cost and resources depletion cost.

However, some problems existed which should be given attention.

(1) The current price for residential water is still low compared with the long-ru

marginal opportunity cost of water in Beijing, which is about 52% of marginal

opportunity cost (MOC). In addition, the price components of water resources

charges (refers to the water depletion cost) are too low to reflect the water depletion

and scarcity of water. Although the wastewater charges are almost equal to the

wastewater treatment cost, they only reflect parts of the environmental cost of water

uses. Such price structure constrains the acceptability of household acceptance of

price reform and can not improve the awareness of water scarcity and environmental

pollution, which impacts the full role played by pricing policy in regulating the

household water use behaviors and supporting more efficient uses of water resources

while

Beijing and other cities in China have made great progress regarding water price

on long run marginal opportunity cost, and reflecting not only the water supply cost,

n

,

protecting the environment.

ull attention to the differences (2) The existing uniform pricing policy does not give f

of the cost burden on lower and higher income groups, which constrains the

introduction and implementation of water pricing policy.

(3) The uses of fees related to water is not very transparent, and that affects the

household’s acceptation. The residents are concerned and worry about whether the

fees being collected by the water supply company are being used to improve the

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water supply capacity, sewage collection and sewage treatment facilities, and how the

water resources fees are being allocated. This opaque process impacts the households’

understanding and acception of the reasons for increases in the price of water and

ality

acilities,

(1) The residents are very concerned about water pricing reform

nal, however, those with

higher income give responses that are more positive. Most of the people being

interviewed show their concern about the components of price; they would accept that

the increase of water price is rational only if it implies that there is andincrease in

water resources charges and waste water treatment charges. They would question it if

the increase of water price meant there was an increase in water supply charges.

About 92.1% think that the current price system does not give concern to the cost

burden on different income groups, and about 91% showed their positive support to

IBT.

sometimes, may even affect how they will pay the water bills.

(4) The availability of water conservation technologies and equipment is low, and the

quality of that equipment should be effectively regulated.. The current market supply

of water conservation equipment can not meet the demand of households by qu

and type, which leaves few options for residents. Therefore, household water use

behavior is not as optimal as possible. (5) The rate of recycling water is very low in

Beijing residential areas; only a few residential areas have water-recycling f

which affect the full use of water resources.

5.1.2 Reaction of Beijing Residents on Pricing Policy

The attitudes are affected by the continuing reform of water pricing policy and

income level of the households. About 38% show their concern about water price

reform, in which, the low-income groups give more concern than the high-income

groups. About 51% think that the water price reform is ratio

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(2) Water pricing polic

agement Center

me

al price against total

nt andwith more

water awareness promotion, the households gave more concern to domestic water

it showed that about 99% of the households understood the shortage of water

.

tion lavatory, 32.5% of the households

estic

in the

y reform improves the resident’s awareness about water

resources and water conservation

The investigation of the Beijing Municipal Water Conservation Man

in May and June of 1999 showed that about 80% of the people interviewed had so

understanding about the water scarcity in Beijing, while only 64% of the households

knew the price on water.

With the more frequent increase of water price, the proportion

expenditure increased. In additionwith education that is more freque

uses. By the end of 2005, the same investigation surveyed about 3000 households and

resources in Beijing and about 95.5% knew what they paid for the price of water

According to our survey, over 53% think that their awareness is closely related to

water price reform.

(3) Water price reform improves the use of water conservation facilities and

conservation behaviors

The reuse water and the use of water conservation facilities identify the changes in

household water conservation behavior. Based on households surveyed, about 55%

installed a water-conserving conserva

purchased a water-economical washing machine. About 79.1% of households would

reuse water.

Even though the population growth rate decreased in Beijing the use of dom

water increased. Studies showed that income growth is the major driving factor

growth of total water consumption, while the policy reform on pricing is the driving

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factor in reducing the growth rate.

5.1.3 Household income imposes significant impacts on water demand, the

PED, and the IED

This research conducted empirical studies about the Price Elasticity of Demand (PED)

Table 26 IED and PED of income groups

and Income Elasticity of Demand (IED). The study shows that the pricing policy can

reduce demand of water.

Income groups

0-20% (lowest) 20%-40% 40%-60% 60%-80% 80%-1(highe

00% st)

IED .4289904** .2346334** .1205664** .0620632** -.3194785**

PED -.6617562** -.862384** -.7691349** -.7701065** -1.351054**

** means significant at 1% level.

The empirical finding throughout the world is that water is a necessary good, i.e. the

income elasticity of demand lies between zero and 1, hence it is likely that the

negative impact of increasing water prices is likely to fall disproportionately upon the

poor. IED’s are all small and positive except those for the top 20% of households,

which have negative but significant budget elasticity. These results are largely in

accordance with other water demand studies and our intuition with regard to water

demand. It suggests that low-income households will tend to increase their

consumption of water per capita as incomes increase. The extent to which water

consumption increases with income declines as households become richer reflecting

the fact that there are physical limitations on the extent to which water use can be

increased with income once prudence with regard to water consumption becomes less

of an issue. That the IED for high-income groups is negative could reflect the fact that

the higher income group is busier and has less time at home, and cooks less as they

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choose to have their food outside the home. Such facts may introduce greater ch

in water use behaviors. In addition

anges

, the richer groups of Beijing do not have many

it would be effective to

e

d to

nd

improve the welfare and cost burden sharing

(1) In the short run, the demand response is significant with the majority of

ber decreases from 81% to 77% for the 4th and 5th

Table 27 Consumption Blocks chosen by consumers in the short-run under the 4 Family

B3(%)

luxury goods such as swimming pools and irrigated gardens; therefore, the water

demand for luxury use is not significant.

PED is significant at the 1% level. The negative value of PED further addresses the

fact that water is a necessary good; it also shows that

introduce demand side management. In addition, the value of the PED for the first 4

groups is between 0~-showing the rigidity of PED. On one hand, all income groups

will respond to the changes of price, while on the other hand, the higher value of th

highest income groups means that they have more opportunity to respond to the price

changes as they may have more opportunity to reduce the luxury use of water, an

swiftly deploy water conservation facilities.

5.1.4 Increasing Block Tariff system will help the conservation of water a

households consuming within the first block of IBT. About 85% of first 3 groups will

end up in first block, while the num

group (table 27).

IBT Income groups of hhs in B1 of hhs in B2 of hhs in B3 Total B1(%) B2(%)

1 245 18 24 287 85.365854 6.271777 8.36236932 277 32 15 324 85.493827 9.8765432 4.61538463 266 20 24 310 85.806452 6.4516129 7.74193554 258 33 27 318 81.132075 10.377358 8.490566 5 223 39 28 290 76.896552 13.448276 9.6551724

(2)Considering the household’s long run response to price, the estimates

51

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show that all of them will end up in the first block22.

IBT in B1 of hhs in B2 of hhs in B3 Total B1(%) B2(%) B3(%)

Table 28 Consumption Blocks chosen by consumers in the long run under the 4 Family

Income groups of hhs 1 287 0 0 287 100 0 0 2 324 0 0 324 100 0 0 3 310 0 0 310 100 0 0 4 318 0 0 318 100 0 0 5 290 0 0 290 100 0 0

( )The ratio of water expenditure as par hold expenditure will largely

increas ing u icing on long-run margin MC),

the ratio of the lowest group changes most. Table 29 shows the ratio changes in

short and long run. In the long run, the ratio will decrease as the household responds

to the changes of price. It should also be noted that in the short run, the ratio is close

to the n 2006), while the ratio for higher income groups

eir

3 t of total house

e after introduc niform pr al cost (LR and

both

threshold level of 3% (Yu Fa

decreases more in a long run. This implies that uniform pricing on LRMC will

impose more burdens on the lower income groups and will have more impact on th

welfare.

Table 29 Changes of Ratio of Water Expenditure in total expenditure % Income groups

0-20% 20%-40% 40%-60% 60%-80% 80%-100%

Before .0146003 .0105505 .0089374 .0078833 .0049443

Short run .02762219 .01996041 .01690859 .01491435 .00935408

Long run .02426619 .01685999 .0145453 .01282735 .00718037

(4)The analysis on the welfare impact of the 4 family IBT shows that, in the sho

run, only the income increase, and the households can sustain their utility level,

rt

22 Although there are some inconsistences with our previous studies (CCICED 2005), it has no significan

differences. This may be resulted by that we further include the data in 2004. t

52

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although the value is small when compared with the income effects of uniform

pricing of the IBT. The main reason for this is that in the short run, some household

still consume water in the 2

s

ng variation is small.

means

associated with the 4 family IBT. The

consumption for a straight cash

other demands on the income of poor households, it would appear

that they would value the cash subsidy introduced by the 4 family IBT more than the

adjacent income quintiles.

In com aring Figures 28 and 29 it is clear that allowing for the heterogeneity between

seasons gives us quite different welfare effects by incom

seasonal demand response is the more realistic e tw n

regard

of water demand is more for the rich residents than for the poor. In this case, it seems

nd rd and 3 blocks, although most of them are in the first

block, and this is the reason the compensati

In the long run, a household will respond to the changes price, and almost all the

households will consume water in the first block. Under such a situation, this

that all households are subsidized, and the CV is negative, which means that the

welfare of all the groups is improved. In addition, although CV is not that significant,

the lower income groups have a higher CV value. This might happen because the

ratio of water expenditure as a portion of total expenditure for lower income groups is

higher, and they may get more subsides.

Figures 28 and 29 show the deadweight losses

deadweight loss measures the extent to which the individual household would be

willing to swap the subsidy available through water

subsidy. In effect it is a measure of the welfare loss associated with the price

distortion that the IBT introduces. It can be seen from Figure 28 that the welfare

effect of the price distortion is highest at each extreme of the income distribution. In

short, given all the

p

e. The inclusion of the

of th o policy simulatio s with

to estimating the welfare impacts. Doing so shows that the seasonal difference

53

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t progressive and this will

reach the expected purpose of cross-subsidy from the rich to the poor.

e f I rcome groups

hat the forthcoming pricing of increasing block tariffs is

Tabl 30 Compensating Variation (CV) of the 4 amily BT (sho t run) In

%-40% %-60% 80% 0% 0-20% 20 40 60%-80% -10

CV(sr) 13 018215 028511 .004 57 .00485 .0 .0 .0041694 61

Table 31 Compensating Variation (CV) of the 4 family IBT (long run) Income groups

0-20% 20%-40% 40%-60% 60%-80% 80%-100%

CV(lr) -.0074108 -.0051578 -.0043631 -.0036893 -.001694

Table 32 Dead Weight Loss of the 4 family IBT Income group

0-20% 20%-40% 40%-60% 60%-80% 80%-100%

DWL .000433 .0005095 .0004376 .0005446 .0009593

54

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month level (4-family)

40

30

50

-20

-10

0

10

20

0-20% 20-40% 40-60% 60-80% 80-100%

IE(SR)

Fig 28. The welfare impacts of the 4 family IBT with seasonal variation by income quintile (RMB/Month)

Fig 29. The Welfare Effects of the 4 family IBT without seasonal variation by income quintile

IE(monthly level) DWL(monthly level)

四人家庭批量累进制水价对五个收入集团的福利影响

-0.2

0

0.6

1 2 3 4 5

百分比

-0.6

-0.4

0.2

0.4

cv(sr)

cv(lr)

dwl

-0.8

收入集团

55

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5.2 Policy Recommendations

The fast growth of China’s economy imposes pressures on natural resources. Water

shortage is a critic e of

resources is closely related to the failure of pricing policy.

P icy lot of and m rt is given: 1) to refor

pricing policy in order to provide the right price signals, and 2) to regulating water

use behaviors, and

improving the efficient use of water resources and 5) to also reflect the environmental

cost.

Beijing is a typical city of Northern China suffering from water shortage and water

pollution. The annual average water resour is 3.63 billion m3.

The per capita water resource is on

of China and 1/32 of the world average. The recently released report by Be

shows that 56 rivers of total 78 did not meet water quality standards, mainly because

of the accelerated discharge of wastewater and the lack of water to recharge them due

to the dry climate of recent years. In addition, by end of 2004 about 0.2 billion m3 of

wastewater has to discharge to the river directly, yielding a wastewater treatment rate

of only 22%.,.

Beijing has been practicing urban water pricing which can provide experiences and

lessons to other urban areas. Since the late 1970s, water has been priced

volumetrically in Beijing. Before 1997 the pricing policy in Beijing did not embrace

the concept of full cost recovery, i.e. recovery of capital, operations and maintenance

costs (O&M) and wastewater treatment. However, since 1997, the real price of water

has increased sharply in Beijing. Furthermore, in 1998, an additional volumetric tariff

for wastewater treatment was added. In addition to covering the cost of supply, the

al issue in China. Many studies demonstrate that the overus

ricing pol attracts a attention uch effo ming

3) to reflect the scarcity of the water resources, and 4) to

ce available for Beijing

available ly 300 m , which is about 1/8 the average 3

ijing EPB

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water laws, policies and regulations are very much concerned with water saving and

conservation methods and the protection of water resources. In this sense, pricing has

also been promoted as a Water Demand Management (WDM) instrument.

Following the recent price hike on August 1, 2004, the current residential water tariff

in Beijing is RMB 3.7/m3. The water price in Beijing reflects a number of different

cost items. For example, in the latter part of 2003, the tariff was 2.9RMB/m3. This

consisted of a water resource fee (for both surface and groundwater) of 0.6 RMB/m3,

a sewage treatment fee of 0.6 RMB/m3, a tap water fee of 1.7 RMB/m3 to cover the

fixed and variable (capital and O&M) costs of the water supply company, and a tax of

0.33 RMB/m3 paid to the Beijing municipality. This breakdown reflects the structure

stipulated in China’s Price Law and the National Guidelines on Water tariffs. At

present, the water price level t

price adjustments on the residential sector have focused their attention upon the

sewage treatment fee and the water resource charge, rather than the tap water tariff.

Although the price is increased, it is still subsidized.

About 20 cities in have introduced increased block tariff systems for water, and there

are some proposals for introducing IBT to Beijing.

The following policy recommendation is provided based on the research findings of

this project.

(1)Water pricing policy reform can be regarded as a macro level economic reform

instrument. It can improve water use efficiency and help to prevent water pollution,

which is regarded as a win-win solution for water resources. The current price level

of water in Beijing is still very low compared with the long-run marginal cost.

Therefore, it is quite necessary to increase the price.

(2) Enviro

in Beijing is the highest of all cities in China and recen

nmental pricing policies should be developed around the concept of

57

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marginal social cost of the use of the en tal resource concerned. Based on a

l cost of water in Beijing should be around 7

ide

e components of the

jected that wastewater treatment cost would be around 1.25 RMB/ton by 2010.

The wastewater charges should be equal or maybe higher than this level to ensure that

et

stic water uses, to better reflect efficiency and equity considerations.

f system

vironmen

current estimation, the long-run margina

RMB/ton and that should serve as the basis for Beijing’s future water pricing policy

reform. In addition, pricing policy should consider the impact on the poor and prov

relief. Besides the price level, concerns should be given to th

water price, which should not only reflect the water supply cost, but also the water

depletion cost and environmental cost associated withwater uses. The current water

resources charge is still too low to reflect the water depletion cost. The wastewater

charges are about 0.9 RMB/ton, which just recover the wastewater treatment cost. It

was pro

the treatment cost is being recovered and to attract private investment into this mark

to provide environmental services.

(3) Higher prices for essential environmental services such as clean water may have

significantly regressive impacts. A uniform pricing scheme may attain efficiency

conditions at the margin, but it also gives rise to affordability problems for the poorer

sections of the population.

(4) An increased block tariff system should be introduced instead of the uniform tariff

for urban dome

The IBT can transfer the burden of water tariffs from poor to rich households and the

evidence is that poor households will prefer this system to a uniform tarif

since their welfare can be increased by up to 2.7% of their income. As is the case in

other water scarce countries like Chile, a comparison must be made of converting the

lifeline tariff to a direct cash subsidy, which redistributes income to the poor, to , or

other wealth distribution policies.

58

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(5)For making water pricing policy, stakeholders’ participation approaches shoul

be introduced.For example, the public hearingwould provide opportunities for the

stakeholders to state their interests and to ensure effective results, the public hearing

process must be transparent and coupled with information disclosure..

d

f

ieve

rious

e

the current research, it seems

implies that a 3 block may not

t

).

n

private

n in capital. Sterner (2003) notes

(6)In order for residents to respond to price changes, alternative water conservation

technology and facilities must be provided. (7)Although an IBT system can gain

welfare improvement, some issues should be given concern:

Revenue Sufficiency: The estimated elastic price response means that the vast

majority of consumers end up in the lowest block of the IBT and lifeline tarif

systems. The implication of this is that most households will be subsidized in

their water consumption. Such a prediction is important for the Beijing tap

water and sewage treatment companies since the tariff will fail to ach

cost recovery and hence the quality of the water supply (regularity, wastage,

water quality etc.) will be hard to sustain or improve. Altering the va

facets of the IBT could resolve the problem: the size of the first block and th

size of the steps are important here. Based on

that the first block should be narrowed down, the 3 tons/person might be

higher than the lifeline water needed. It also

needed, that a two block is enough and it can greatly reduce the managemen

cost.

The incentives for a water supply corporation: the problems with IBT

structures are well documented (Whittington and Boland 2000, Sterner 2003

Not least among these is the incentive effect that such a structure has upo

water supply corporations whose objective is full cost recovery or

companies whose objective is to earn a retur

59

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that when an IBT is introduced, lets say for equity reasons such as

described above, since it is the poor who are generally subsidized by thes

tariff structures they frequently become a low priority for the water suppliers.

For example, if water supply fails, a supplier who aims for cost recovery wi

be more inclined to fix a rich household’s supply before the poor household.

Ultimately, the tariff structure introduced specifically to assist the p

perversely induces a lower quality service for poor households in the long

run. The potential for such disincentives, and the regulation required

remove them, needs to be tallied against the potential welfare enhanci

effects described above.

Subsidization of the rich: It should be made clear that the IBT system

subsidizes all water consumers, rich and poor, for the initial units of water

consumption. Furthermore, the subsidy is only available when households

consume the full quota of

those

e

ll

oor

er

to

ng

water. Not all poor households will do this of

e

was

eing more than 15% of household income. The analysis

course and hence they will not receive the full subsidy. In Chile, the lifelin

tariff was replaced by a direct cash subsidy in certain urban areas. This

available as a refund to households upon application and was conditioned

upon the water bill b

shows that in general there will be a preference for cash subsidies as

measured by the deadweight loss.

i. Family size: It is frequently the case that poor households have larger families

than richer households. Although family size appears to be relatively uniform in

Beijing, it is likely that at the lowest extremes of the income distribution, households

will lose out from a system based upon a 4 member family. This will be especially

true where households share one metered connection.

60

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61

nd

ii. Seasonal Tariffs: given the clear importance of seasonal changes in demand

indicated by the analysis: rich households respond to seasons more than the poor, a

the imposition of seasonal tariffs might be an interesting means by which to induce

conservation and target wealthy consumers.

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Annex 1: Summary of the Cities Introducing the IBT System

in China

City Time Rate 1 Xia Men Jan.

1,1997 0.6 RMB/ton under 1.5 tons 1.4 RMB/ton for 15-20 ton 2.1 RMB/ton for over 20 tons

2 Ren2002 2 times of life line water price for 3-5 M3

Qiu July 1, Life line water price being applied for 3 m3 person per month

10 times of life line water price for over 5 M3 3 Jiao

2003 m3, with price of 1.80 RMB, above 20 m3will be charged 2.4

Zuo July 1, First block is 12 m3 per household, with price of 1.2 RMB; 13-19

RMB4 Yin Chuan Jan 1, IBT for domestic and non-domestic uses

2004 5 Kun

2004 2.45 RMB for 11-15 tons; Ming April 1, 8 RMB for 10 tons of per household

3.1 RMB for 16-20 tons 3.75 RMB for 21 above

6 Wen Zhou May of 3 RMB for under 8 tons per household 2004 4.5 RMB for 8-14 tons

6 RMB for over 14 tons 7 Zheng

ZhoApril 1, IBT

u 2005 8 Qing Dao June 1,

2005 1.6 RMB for 5 tons per household 2.5 RMB for over 5 tons

9 QinHuaDao

-5 tons 17.4 RMB for over 5 tons

g ng

Dec. 2005

1.74 RMB for 3.5 tons per person 3.48 RMB for 3.5

10 Guang Zhou

Jan. 1, 2006

1.32 RMB for 22 tons per household 1.98 RMB for 23-30 2.64 for over 30 tons

11 Zhu Hai Jan. 2006 1.38 RMB for under 15 tons 1.85 for 15~23tons 2.35 for over 23 tons

12 Wu Han May 1, 3 steps IBT, With ratio of 1�2006

1.5�2

13 Ning Bo July 1, 2006

2.1 RMB for 17 tons 2.93 RMB for 18-30 3.75 RMB for over 30 tons

62

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14 Nan Jing July 1, 2006

IBT

15 Fo Shan Aug 10, 2006

0.95 RMB for under 23 tons 1.425RMB for 23-30 1.9 RMB for over 30 tons

16 Lang Fang Sep 20, 2006

1.9 RMB for 3 tons 4.9 RMB for 3-5 20.1 RMB for over 5

17 Tai Yuan Sep 20, 2006

1.9 RMB for 3 tons 4.9 RMB for 3-5 20.1 RMB for over 5

18 Xin Xiang Nov. 1, 2006

1. 5 RMB for 12 tons 2.25 for 13—20 tons 3 RMB for over 20 tons

19 Wei Hai Jan 1, 2007

IBT

20 Jin Zhong April 1, 2007

2.1 RMB for 2 tons/person month 3.15 RMB for 2.01-3.5 tons 4.20 RMB for over 3.5 tons

63

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