Study Designs _Population Sampling

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    Dr. LakshmiAssistant Professor

    (Epidemiology)School of Public HealthP!"E#$ %handigarh

    Study designs in Epidemiology

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    !nitial &uestions

    Appropriate studydesign

    Sample si'eSampling

    Data collection

    Data analysis

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    irst Step *b+ecti,e of thestudy-urden of the disease

    Hypothesis generationEg /hat is the health seeking

    beha,iour of chestsymptomatics in acommunity0

    Association

    Eg /hat are the risk factors ofdeath after 1- treatment0

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    -urden of Disease or Hypothesiseneration %ross2sectional

    studiesPro,ide snap shot ofpopulation at a singlepoint of time

    E3posure and disease

    assessment at thesame point

    *utcome "easurementPre,alence

    "easure of associationPre,alence ratio orodds ratio

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    E3ample#esearch &uestion 1o 4nd out the

    pre,alence of chest symptomatics in urbanand rural areas

    %onduct the sur,ey in urban and rural areas

    Estimate the chest symptomatics in eacharea

    !f chest symptomatics are more in rural

    area$ 5e can generate hypothesis thatresiding in rural area causes prolongedcough

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    %ross sectional Sur,eys %hestSymptomatics$ 67 years and abo,e

    Place Sur,eyed

    %hestsymptomatics

    8

    %ity 799 7 6

     1o5n 799 :6.;

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    Limitations %ross2sectionalstudies

    %annot distinguish temporalse=uence of e3posure and disease

    A>ected by factors in?uencingpre,alence

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    Association AnalyticalStudies%ase control%ohort

    !nter,entional studies

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    %ase2%ontrol Studies

    Controls

    No Exposure

    Exposure

    Cases

    Exposure

    No Exposure

    Assess   Select

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    %ase %ontrol Study E3ample#esearch &uestion 1o 4nd out the riskfactors for death after 1- treatment%ases Deaths after 1- treatment

    %ontrols 1hose sur,i,ed after 1-treatment

    E3posure or E3ample$ Smoking

    %ompare odds of smoking amongcases and controls by calculating *dds#atio

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    *dds of Smoking among Deaths77@6

    *dds of Smoking among Sur,i,ors@

    DEATHS SURVIVORS

    Hypothetical Case Study: Aon! ten deaths o"

    T# "ollo$in! treatent% "i&e $ere so'ers(

     Aon! )* people $ho sur&i&ed a"ter T#

    treatent + $ere so'ers(

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    %ase control studies"easure of association *dds ratio

    Cases(Deaths)

    Controls(Survivors)

    Exposed(Smokers)

    5(a) 2(b)

    NotExposed

    (Nonsmokers)

    5(c) 8(d)

    Odds o

    Exposure

    5!5(a!c) "# 2!8(b!d)"$%

    25*dds #atio @ (ac) (cd) @ 69.;7@B

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    %ase control studiesAd,antages/hen aetiology is unkno5nLess time and money

    #are diseases and diseases 5ith longlatent periodsDynamic population

    Disad,antages

    DiCcult to establish temporal se=uence#are e3posuresreater chance of bias

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    %ohort studies

    Exposed

    Unexposed

    Diseased

    Not Diseased

    Diseased

    Not Diseased

    AssessSelect

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    %ohort studies

    Prospecti,eE3posed and ne3posedpopulations follo5ed into future for

    the de,elopment of outcome#etrospecti,eE3posure and outcome ha,e

    already occurred-asic study design is al5ays frome3posure to disease

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    E3ample

    #esearch &uestion 1o kno5 the risk factors fordeath after treatment for 1-

    %ohort All ne5ly diagnosed cases of 1- 5ho5ere kept on D*1S and completed thetreatment and follo5ed to see ho5 many died

    after treatmentE3posure or e3ample$ Smoking

    *utcome Death after treatment 5ith 1-

    Di,ide the cohort into smokers and non smokers

    %alculate risk of dying in each group andcompare by using #elati,e risk

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    #isk of dying among [email protected]

    #isk of dying among onsmokers@

    S,O-ERS NON S,O-ERS

    Hypothetical Case Study: Aon! ten so'ers

    $ho had treatent "or T# . died a"ter treatent

    $ith T# $hereas aon! )* non so'ers only +

    died

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    %ohort studies"easure of association #elati,e risk

    Deaths

    Survived

    &otal

    'isk 

    Exposed(Smokers)

    5(a) 5(b) #$(ab)

    5!#$"$%5

    Not

    Exposed(Nonsmokers)

    2(c) 8(d) #$

    (cd)

    2!#$

    "$%2

    #isk of dying among smokers 769 (aaFb)@ 9.7

    #isk of dying among on smokers ;69

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    %ohort studiesAd,antages#are e3posuresDirect estimation of riskLess chance of -ias (Prospecti,e)

    "ultiple e>ects of a single disease/ell de4ned temporal se=uenceDisad,antages 1ime consuming costly (Prospecti,e)#are outcomes long latent periods

    (Prospecti,e)-ias (#etrospecti,e)Poor information on e3posures and

    outcomes (#etrospecti,e)

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    !nter,ention studies!n,estigator assigns e3posure to the

    participants

    Study design is from e3posure to outcome

    Ethical problems for ha'ardous e3posuresStudied by attempts to eliminate the

    e3posures

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    !nter,ention studies

    Ad,antages"ost reliable e,idence in

    epidemiological research becausethe e3posure is randomly assigned#andomisation controls the e>ectsof the risk factors not considered atthe time of the study.

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    Sampling

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    Sampling "ethods

    Simple #andomSampling

    Systematic #andomSampling

    Strati4ed #andom

    Sampling"ulti Stage sampling

    %luster sampling

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    Simple #andom Sampling

    E=ual probability of selection

    Sampling frame re=uired

    #andom number table%alculator%omputer

     9G B BG G :

     I B ;B : :; 6: : :; ; ::

     6; 7: 7 II ;:

     77 7I 7: G7 :B

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    Systematic #andomSamplingo sampling frame re=uiredPrecision similar to S#S

     1otal population di,ide by sample si'e to getthe sampling inter,al (G99G9@69)

    #andom sample of a sampling unit bet5eenthe 4rst unit and the sampling inter,al (6269)

    Subse=uent units selected by adding thesampling inter,al in the 4rst random selectedunit$ and then in the second unit and so on.

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    Strati4ed SamplingS#S represents strata in the same

    proportion as in the populationSeparate estimate may be re=uires for

    each stratum (rural$ urban)

    Di,ide the sample frame into stratase S#S or systematic random sample to

    dra5 sample in each strata/eighted a,erage of the estimate stratum

    estimates gi,es population estimates

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    "ulti stage Sampling

     15o stage4rst stage of administrati,e units (PSs)Second stage of the sampling units in the PS

     1hree or multi stage

    S#S or Systematic #andom Sampling method usedfor ,arious stage sample units

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    Sample si'e

    "easurement of interest

    Pre,alence$ !ncidence$ "ean$Proportion$ *#$ ##

    J K error

    #e+ecting ull Hypothesis 5hen it istrue

    sually 78 9r 68

    K error

    ailing to re+ect ull Hypothesis5hen it is false

    Po5er@ 62 $ usually 98 9r I98

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    Statistical Analysis

    -inarySingle Proportion 15o Proportions&uantitati,eSingle "ean 15o "eansDistribution

    ormalot ormal

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     1est of Signi4cance

    "eanSingle M t test 15o M t testPaired Paired t test

    "ore than t5o A*