Strojno učenje v pametnih omrežjih - Asian Utility Week 2019 · Strojno učenje v pametnih...
Transcript of Strojno učenje v pametnih omrežjih - Asian Utility Week 2019 · Strojno učenje v pametnih...
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Quantifying the Future Impact of Demand Response: A Data Driven Approach
Miha GrabnerElectric Power Research Institute Milan Vidmar, Slovenia, Europe
Kuala Lumpur, 3. 9. 2019
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Real Demand Response Project
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Critical Peak Pricing - Peak shaving
Send notice one day before
DR event
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Before DR Program
DR limited to 50 x 1 hour
SBS Data
Smart Metering Data
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Substation Data Analytics
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Substation Data Analytics
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Clustering Substation Daily Profiles
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50 hours of DR activations
Approx. 5 % annual peak demand decrease
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Smart Meter Data Analytics
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Targeting the Consumers using Clustering
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Group similar daily profiles
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Approx. 800 small consumers
Without equipment(SMS notification)
Installed equipment(Direct Load Control)
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Estimating Baseline Load
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Probabilistic Forecasting Backtesting
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CONCLUSION
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SMS Consumers: 0.25 kW/consumer
DLC Consumers: 2 kW/consumer
Mean Demand Flexibility per Consumer
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DLC Consumers: 2300 EUR / consumer
Mean Annual Savings per Consumer
SMS Consumers: 6300 EUR / consumer
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DLC Consumers: 23 EUR / consumer
Mean Annual Savings per Consumer
SMS Consumers: 9 EUR / consumer
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Satisfied with the Project?
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Very Satisfied Consumers!
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Demand response is still for enthusiasts!
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RECOMMENDATIONS
Hire a Trained Energy Data Scientist
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RECOMMENDATIONS
Hire a Trained Energy Data Scientist
Evaluate Responses using ML
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RECOMMENDATIONS
Hire a Trained Energy Data Scientist
Social Aspect is Most Important!
Evaluate Responses using ML
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AI in Smart Grids