Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

21
Strategic Issues Conference Singapore - June 2013 Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline? - ©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected] www.ManagingAcross.Asia governance; regional office; cross-cultural management; expatriates; multi-country initiatives

description

As Asia takes over from the West as the driver of global economic growth, will Asian MNEs rise to replace Western MNEs as academic theory suggests? Learn what Western MNEs must do in order to retain and grow competitive relevance in Asia.

Transcript of Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

Page 1: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

Strategic Issues Conference Singapore - June 2013

Western Multinationals in Asia- Growth or Decline? -

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

governance; regional office; cross-cultural management; expatriates; multi-country initiatives

Page 2: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Speaker profile: 30 year career (half in Asia)developing expertise on MNE management in Asia

2

Parent Culture Local Culture

Austrian (parents) Canadian

Canadian Canadian

Quebecois Canadian

American Canadian

British Canadian

French Canadian

American Australian

Australian Australian

South African South African

American American

American Mexican

German American

American Thai

French Thai

ML Chinese ML Chinese

German Korean

American HK Chinese

Canadian HK Chinese

American ML Chinese

Korean Korean

Parent Culture Local Culture

American Korean

Japanese Japanese

American Japanese

Dutch Japanese

Canadian Japanese

French Japanese

British Japanese

German Japanese

Taiwanese Taiwanese

Dutch Taiwanese

German Thai

German ML Chinese

American Indonesian

Canadian Philippine

Canadian HK Chinese

Canadian Indonesian

Dutch Australian

German Indonesian

German Malaysian

British HK Chinese

MNE Client Cross-cultural Mix across 20+ Countries

Canadian-Australian citizen

Unisys - Implemented eftpos in Oz‣ Project Management & Sales Skills

MBA - Ivey Business School‣ Strategy & International Business

Deloitte - built practices in Canada, U.S., Korea, Japan

‣ Managing Business Unit P&Ls

Private consulting practice‣ Working with MNEs to configure

and manage operations across Asia

40+ MNEs Served - strategy/ops‣ understand how organisations

work, particularly addressing Asia

Pursue PhD - University of Sydney‣ mid-career refresh (new ideas)

‣ combine theory with practical

Page 3: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Western multinational enterprises (MNEs) face an economic and mindset challenge in this Asian century

“Asia’s growth in population, economic activity, and income results in huge market

opportunities, implying that the future of industry and innovation will be centered in Asia.

Different systems of competition, organization and management are emerging in Asia

and, as they do, they will have global consequences.

Until now, our [business and academic] theories of competition, markets and firms are

decidedly regional and hemispherical, based as they are on what happened in Western

Europe and North America during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries.”

Fruin, M. 2012. The future of industry and innovation in Asia: firms, networks, institutions and corporate governance. Journal of Asia Business Studies.

3

Page 4: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

from 1 to 1800 AD, China and india alternated as driver of global economy

4

Page 5: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Contrary to Western propositions,Asia does have a history of innovation

5

Page 6: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Only during the past 200 years have Western MNEs been pre-eminent

the Bounded rationality and ethnocentricity of key leaders in Asia caused them to focus inward and discount the emergence of the late 18th century industrial revolution of the Western barbarians

6

Today, there are many Western MNEs in Asia but they have had widely varying degrees of success in terms of sustained revenue performance

Concept that decision makers have to work under three unavoidable constraints:

1. only limited, often unreliable, information is available regarding possible alternatives and their consequences, 2. human mind has only limited capacity to evaluate and process the information that is available, and 3. only a limited amount of time is available to make a decision.

Therefore even individuals who intend to make rational choices are bound to make satisficing choices (rather than maximizing or optimizing) in complex situations.

US Nobel-laureate economist Herbert Simon

The belief that one's own culture [and business practices] are superior to all others and is the standard by which all other cultures [and business practices] should be measured.

Page 7: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Only during the past 200 years have Western MNEs been pre-eminent

the Bounded rationality and ethnocentricity of key leaders in Asia caused them to focus inward and discount the emergence of the late 18th century industrial revolution of the Western barbarians

7

Today, there are many Western MNEs in Asia but they have had widely varying degrees of success in terms of sustained revenue performance

Page 8: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

MNEs are home-regional:few MNEs perform well outside their home region

Alan Rugman et al

8

The nine global MNEs where identified as Coca-cola, Canon, Flextronics, IBM, Intel, Moet Hennessy-Louis Vuitton, Nokia, Philips, Sony.Rugman, A. M., & Verbeke, A. (2004). A perspective on regional and global strategies of multinational enterprises. Journal of

International Business Studies, 35(1), 3-18.

Page 9: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Home-Regionalisation has been proven repeatedly; “it is likely to be a long lasting phenomenon”

Dunemann wolf

Retail

Banking

Pharmaceutical

Automotive

Cosmetics

Services

American MNEs

European MNEs

British MNEs

Japanese MNEs

Asian MNEs

Rugman et al

Asmussen

Dunning

Ghemawat

Wolf

9

Industry Geography Academics

Page 10: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Dilemma for Western MNEs

For the past century, Western MNEs have been prominent as their home region was in the economies driving global economic growth

As the centre of global economic activity shifts from Western markets back towards Asia, regionalisation theory implies that Western MNEs are condemned to slow relative decline

There is an imperative therefore to break historical patterns and determine:

How can Western MNEs compete more effectively in Asia? (Why will your MNE be different?)

10

Page 11: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Americas-Australian-European commerce encounters familiar constructs compared to the cultural distance with “Asia”

Europe and North America draw on shared heritage

Hellenic-latin-germanic-nordic-christian influences

Nation-state constructs

“Asia” is a Western term demarcating the area east of the Bosporus Sea

Buddhism, Hinduism, Confucianism, Shintoism influences (complicated by Islamic derivative of Abrahamic religion)

Civilization constructs

11

Drawing from Hofstede 1997, Sakai 2000, Russell 2000, Acjarua 2010, Duara 2010, Hui 2010,

Page 12: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

12

Australia Canada United StatesGreat Britain GermanyNetherlands France

Source: Adapted into spider charts by G. Perchthold based on concepts and data from Cultures and Organization, Geert Hofstede,1991

Advancement / competitiveness vs work relationships or caring

Power Distance

Masculinity

IndividualismOriented

AvoidingUncertainty

Long-Term Orientation

Acceptance (and desire) of benevolent power distributed unequally vs operating as equals

Loose ties between individuals vs cohesive in-groups

Extent of feeling threatened by uncertain or unknown situations

Perseverance, observing order, thrift

Power Distance

Cultural tendencies are quite different from west to east

Japan South Korea Singapore Indonesia ThailandPhilippines India

Page 13: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Typical Job Ad (including unstated):

Global/Regional/Country Executive for Asia

As our home region in the West continues to stagnate and demonstrate limited prospects for high growth, Asia has become the most strategic geographic region to sustain competitive relevance. Therefore, we seek a Western executive with:

Deep technical expertise

Strong leadership presence

Effective management skills

Proven track record within Western markets

little to no experience in Asia

Minimal propensity to draw on those with experience in Asia

Willingness to repeat the mistakes of the past13

A Master of the Universe!

Page 14: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Academic research1 suggests that Western MNEs need to address a number of fundamental questions in adapting to Asia

How is your MNE applying its unique “firm-specific advantages”?Superior assets or capabilities that are transferable to markets in Asia in order to overcome its “liabilities of foreignness”

How is your MNE’s “experiential knowledge” captured and applied?Objective knowledge can be read in a text book while experiential knowledge is progressively learned by exposure to a market becoming an internal asset

How is your MNE harnessing its “network of relationships?”“Liability of Outsiderness” takes many years to overcome by developing competitively differentiated constellations of networks representing a strategic advantage

How is your MNE overcoming “Physic distance” & “institutional voids?”Western multinationals must adapt their business models (using their experiential knowledge and networks) to compensate for the immaturity of institutions/agencies (e.g. audit, actuarial, credit agencies, regulatory, judiciary) in emerging markets

14

1. Drawing from Internalisation Theory (Buckley and Casson, Dunning, Rugman, Zaheer), Internationalisation Evolutionary Theory (Johanson and Vahlne), Internationalisation Network Theory (Johanson and Vahlne), Physic Distance (Johanson and Widersheim-Paul, Ghemawat), Institutional Void and Relationship-based Governance Theories (Khanna, Singh)

Page 15: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

30 Years of field experience suggests thatWestern MNEs must address multiple levels of their organization to sustain performance in Asia

Organizational Passion (raison d’etre)Is ‘Asia’ a number in your company’s spreadsheet at corporate/regional office or are employees socially committed to the people within the countries in Asia? Example

Does your MNE have an innovation centre based in Asia subject to the competitive pressure for survival from the developing billions of entrepreneurs in Asia?

Regional and country cross-cultural management teams (silos)do the different functions of the management team socialize periodically outside of the office and work towards the common objectives of the CEO or are managers operating in silos with courteous and tenuous relations with their colleagues?

Expatriates (Short-term self-interests)Do expatriates manage from the perspective of the long-term to build the people, process, and technology foundations of the business or do they manage within the context of the tenure of their posting? (MNEs fail to realise full value from expats)

Corporate Top Management Team (ethnocentricity)Does the corporate management team unconsciously judge and act based on perceived superior Western ways of doing business or is the local context understood and appreciated?

Corporate Board (Bounded rationality)Does your corporate board have sufficient Asian context for deliberation to make informed decisions appropriate for Asia (experiential vs objective knowledge)? 15

Page 16: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Do Asian directors provide context to Western Boards? A look at Anglo-Saxon FSI MNEs active in Asia

sample frame

Forbes Global 2000Largest Companies

Anglo-Saxon MNEs

Financial Services MNE

MNEs Committed to Asia

Population of MNEs

106 Annual Reports Reviewed

54 MNEs

30 U.S.12 U.K. 7 Australian 5 Canadian

Extract of research conducted by Gordon Perchthold during 3Q2012 16

Page 17: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Anglo-SaxonFinancial Services MNEs active in Asia

Forbes 2012 Edi t ion of Global 2000 Fi l tered for Anglo-Saxon FSI MNEs wi th As ia Object ive(sor ted by h igh l ighted Asian Nat ional i ty Propor t ion then Asia F inancia l Propor t ion then Global Revenue)

Extract of research conducted by Gordon Perchthold during 3Q2012 17

Page 18: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Influence of Asian DirectorsHow many Asians on Western Corporate Boards?

sample frame

Forbes Global 2000Largest Companies

Anglo-Saxon MNEs

Financial Services MNE

MNEs Committed to Asia

Population of MNEs

106 Annual Reports Reviewed

54 MNEs

524 (76%) Home Country 81 (12%) Other Anglo-Saxon 34 (5%) Other Western 29 (4%) Asian

ResearchedNationality of 688 Directors

Year Asian Appointed to Western MNE Board

30 U.S.12 U.K. 7 Australian 5 Canadian

Extract of research conducted by Gordon Perchthold during 3Q2012 18

to 3Q122011201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999199819971996199519941993199219911990

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

‘Global’ Financial Crisis

Number of Asian Directors

Page 19: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Key questions as to how the Asian context is embedded into deliberations and decision-making of Western corporate boards

Will the number of Asians on the Western corporate boards increase?

What role do Asian directors play on Western corporate boards?

Do Asian directors help Western MNEs to perform better in Asia?

What other mechanisms, and how effective are they, do corporate boards use to instill the Asian context:

inclusion of Western nationals who have lived and worked extensively in Asia?

Engaging external advisors with (proven?) Asian experience to provide reports and presentations to the board?

delegating decision-making to country level boards, where they exist?

establishing an Asian board to parallel the corporate board?

Other (there has been no research in this area)?

19

Page 20: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

©2013 Managing Across Asia [email protected]

Fundamental question for Western MNEs

Do they recognise that the challenge even exists?

or will bounded rationality and ethnocentricity among Western leaders result in history repeating itself?

20

Page 21: Strategic Issues Conference: Western Multinationals in Asia - Growth or Decline?

BUSINESS AT THE SPEED OF ASIA!

Theme of my PhD Research at University of Sydney

How Can Western Multinationals Compete More Effectively in Asia? (starting with)

The Role of the Corporate Board