Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient...

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Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy

Transcript of Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient...

Page 1: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional

Steve Buttrick and Ken PopperThe Nature Conservancy

Page 2: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional

Identifying Climate Resilient Terrestrial Landscapes in the

Pacific Northwest

Doris Duke Charitable FoundationClimate Change Resilience Project

Conserving Nature’s Stage

Steve ButtrickDir of Conservation Science

Ken PopperSenior Conservation Planner

October 14, 2015

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Core Team

Ken Popper: Senior Conservation Planner - ORMichael Schindel: Dir. Information Mgmt. - ORAaron Jones: GIS Analyst - ORBrad McRae: Spatial Ecologist – NA ScienceJim Platt: GIS Analyst – NA ScienceBob Unnasch: Dir of Science – IDSteve Buttrick: Dir of Cons. Science - OR

Page 4: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional

ProjectArea

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Agenda

• Concept and Methods• Use in Conservation Planning

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Highly VulnerableLimited capacity to adaptDisrupted function, low diversity

Highly ResilientLarge capacity to adaptSustain function and diversity

Resilience: DefinitionThe capacity for renewal in a dynamic environment

- Gunderson 2000

Resilient site: Has characteristics that maintain ecological functions and will likely sustain a diversity of species even as the composition and ecological processes change.

Vulnerable site: A place where processes are disrupted and fragmented, and diversity is likely to decrease. The site may still perform many natural services

Page 7: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional
Page 8: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional
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Central Concept

By mapping key geophysical features and evaluating all occurrences of these features for characteristics that buffer against climate effects, we can identify representative examples of geophysical features that are most resilient to climate change.

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Premise # 1

Geophysical features underlie the spatial distribution of biodiversity and a region’s biological richness is due, in part, to this geophysical diversity.

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Diversity and Land Facets

The higher the number of land facets the higher the number of species

Anderson and Ferree. 2010.Conserving the StageClimate change and the geophysical underpinnings of species diversity, PlosOne

Page 13: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional
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Conserving Nature’s Stage

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Soil Order (11)

Elevation (7 with 600m breaks)

Slope (3 breaks)

Alfisols 0-600 0-6 Andisols 600-1,200 6-18 Aridisols 1,200-1,800 Over 18 Entisols 1,800-2,400

Histosols 2,400-3,000 Inceptisols 3000-3,600 Mollisols 3,600-4,200

Spodosols Ultisols

Vertisols Rock

Three geophysical factors and breaks were used to create land facets.(The number of classes defined for each factor is indicated in parentheses,

along with a description of how they were defined)

Land Facet Development

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Premise # 2

Topoclimate diversity and local permeability convey a level of resilience to a landscape or site.

Geophysical features underlie the spatial distribution of biodiversity and a region’s biological richness is due, in part, to this geophysical diversity.

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Landforms control the distribution of moisture, nutrients and climatic effects.

More Heterogeneity = more options for species to move and rearrange at a given site.

Mt. Mansfield Mt. Mansfield LandformsLandforms

NN

Topoclimate Diversity

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Topoclimate Diversity

Heat Load Index: HLI

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Compound Topographic Index: CTI

Topoclimate Diversity

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Topoclimatic Diversity Index

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Local Terrestrial Permeability

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Permeability

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TerrestrialPermeability

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TerrestrialResilience

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TerrestrialResilience

Density

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Use in Conservation Planning

• Assess existing conservation sites for terrestrial resilience.

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Ecoregional Assessments

Portfolio sites intersected and ranked by proportion of Resilient Land Facets

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Use in Conservation Planning

• Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios.

• Use Resilience to update ecoregional assessments

Page 33: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional
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Land Facet Targets:

Above Average Resilience

AndAll Land Facets

Land Facet– based Portfolio 32% of project area

Target # of targets % Goals MetBiodiversity 549 44%Land Facets 90 100%

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Biodiversity Targets:

Systemsand Species

Biodiversity– based Portfolio 39% of project area

Target # of targets % Goals MetBiodiversity 549 100%Land Facets 90 79%

Page 38: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional

Combined Land Facet and Biodiversity–based Portfolio

41% of project areaTarget # of targets % Goals MetBiodiversity 549 100%Land Facets 90 100%

All Targets

Met all goals

Page 39: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional

Use in Conservation Planning

• Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios.

• Use Resilience to update ecoregional assessments• Use Resilience to inform conservation/management

actions on public land.

Page 40: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional

Use in Conservation Planning

• Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios.

• Use Resilience to update ecoregional assessments• Use Resilience to inform conservation/management

actions on public land.• Leverage results so that new projects are put through a

resilience filter

Page 41: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional

Use in Conservation Planning

• Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios.

• Use Resilience to update ecoregional assessments• Use Resilience to inform conservation/management

actions on public land.• Leverage results so that new projects are identified

using a resilience filter DDCF Protection Grant: Prioritize underprotected and

overconverted land facets based on1. Resilience2. Ownership3. Conservation Risk

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TerrestrialResilience

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Page 51: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional
Page 52: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional
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Steve Buttrick:

[email protected]

Ken Popper: [email protected]

The Nature Conservancy in Oregon

http://nature.ly/resilienceNW

Page 54: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional

http://nature.ly/resilienceNW

Page 55: Steve Buttrick and Ken Popper The Nature Conservancy · • Assess conservation status of resilient land facets in existing conservation portfolios. • Use Resilience to update ecoregional

Steve Buttrick:

[email protected]

Ken Popper: [email protected]

The Nature Conservancy in Oregon

http://nature.ly/resilienceNW