Steve Barsh on De-Risking and Key Assumptions for Wharton Biz Plan Competition Community Feb 2013
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Transcript of Steve Barsh on De-Risking and Key Assumptions for Wharton Biz Plan Competition Community Feb 2013
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Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.
Lean StartupsFrom Idea to Traction:Tricks & Traps forMaximizing Success
Steve [email protected] * +1.215.888.2101
@sbarsh
Jeff [email protected] * +1.484.278.1852
@jeffdeville
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Monday, February 18, 13
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Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.
Observations
• Don’t understand key assumptions
• Don’t de-risk before• Building the product• Pitching
• Don’t use out-of-box techniques
• Ask for money too early• Look for validation from investors
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Monday, February 18, 13
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Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.
3 – 7 Key Assumptions
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Monday, February 18, 13
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Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.
De-Risking Goals
• Convert assumptions into knowledge
• At lowest cost
• As quickly as possible
• Decrease assumptionsto increase value
• Consume intellectual capitalbefore outside capital
• Succeed or fail quickly4
Monday, February 18, 13
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Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.
Stop Waving, Start Pointing!
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Monday, February 18, 13
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Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.
Experiment
• Hypotheses
• Prove or Disprove
• Build -- Release, measure, learn, iterate
• Research
• Valid proxies
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Monday, February 18, 13
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Example of Experimentation to De-risk Key Assumptions
✓Used when full guest details don’t flow through the supply chain✓Like “checking in” for a flight or cruise✓Collects all guest arrival and contact details✓Coordinates a smooth arrival
7 Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.
Monday, February 18, 13
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Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.
Things to think about
1. Don't debate, A/B test. (applies to software, messaging / positioning (e.g., Adwords))
2. Innovate in real time3. Get an unfair advantage (mentors, advisors, Board, LinkedIn, University, wherever you can)
4. Ask for advice, not money. (1 mouth, 2 ears)5. What are you learning?6. What are your key assumptions?7. What can you prove with $0?8. Minimum viable product (MVP) -- get things to users.
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Monday, February 18, 13