CandeCAD – DEMO Step 4.1: Import Results – Import all Results.
Steps to Making a Decision Step 5: Evaluate results of the decision and accept responsibility for...
-
Upload
ian-sanders -
Category
Documents
-
view
213 -
download
1
Transcript of Steps to Making a Decision Step 5: Evaluate results of the decision and accept responsibility for...
Steps to Making a Decision
Step 5: Evaluate results of the decision and accept responsibility for results of the decision.
Step 4: Make a decision, plan and act on the decision.
Step 3: Explore and evaluate possible solutions.
Step 2: Brainstorm possible solutions.
Step 1: Identify the problem.
EVALUATE
IDENTIFY
BRAINSTORM
ACT
EXPLORE
What influences your decisions?
Cost vs. Benefit
• Before making a decision, weigh the cost vs. benefit.
• In the story, Country Mouse thinks about what he likes (the benefits), and then he thinks about what he does not like (the costs), and then he makes a decision to stay or go home.
www.hiyah.com/library/country_mouse.html
Choice vs. Chance
• Every day we make choices based on the chance that certain events might occur.
• We estimate the probability for the event to occur.
• Then we examine the consequence of the event and make a decision.
“The Game of Skunk”
• The object of “skunk” is to have the most points after 5 rounds.
• A player gets the total of the dice and records it in his/her column, unless a “one” comes up.
• If a “one” comes up, play is over for that round and all the player’s points in that column are wiped out.
• If “double ones” come up, all points accumulated in prior columns are wiped out as well.
• If a “one” doesn’t occur, the player may choose either to try for more points on the next roll or to stop and keep what he/she has accumulated.
S I K I U I N I KI I I II I I II I I II I I II I I II I I I
“S” round
2, 3 rolled = 5
1, 4 rolled = 0
“K” round
6, 6 rolled = 12
5, 4 rolled = 9
Choose to stop
“U” round
2, 2 rolled = 4
1, 1 rolled = 0 for all previous columns
5
0
12
9
21
4
0