STEP April 2014 Geoff Cook CEO Jersey Finance CEO, Jersey Finance slides 10... · 2014-06-30 ·...
Transcript of STEP April 2014 Geoff Cook CEO Jersey Finance CEO, Jersey Finance slides 10... · 2014-06-30 ·...
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STEP April 2014
Geoff CookCEO Jersey Finance CEO, Jersey Finance
Identified need to review Jersey’s banking model due to ICB
Why Review?
recommendations, Basel III, OTC regulation, and subsidiarisationBanking fed into many business streams so it was considered necessary to complete a review in a wider jurisdictional context
Emphasised known threats to funds platform from market access issues – Identified costs of compliance in trust arena and historic focus on tax planning as issues
Capital Markets development potential framed by tax neutrality
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Review Objectives
Create transparency on current status of Jersey as financial centre Create transparency on current status of Jersey as financial centre, benchmark with comparable financial centres
Understand potential implications of changing global, European, and UK regulation and other discontinuities
Identify potential opportunities and strategic options Jersey can pursue to maintain and improve its competitivenessp p p
Agree on preferred options and strategy, define long term vision
Define set of implementation actions
Key Learnings from Global Research
Global Trade will drive increased cross border capital
flows
Accretion of wealth in Growthmarkets provides attractive
opportunities for Jersey
Jersey’s non tax factors supportan attractive proposition
The Jersey IFC has a sustainable future but must adapt to rapid
changes in competition, regulation and technology
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Key Learnings from other Successful IFCs
There are no silver bullets Need to protect existing businesses while diversifying to
new markets
Enhancing ‘enablers’ is the most important lever, not specific
growth initiatives
Effective co-operation and strong alignment among key
stakeholders is essential
Overview of Strategic Review Process
110+ Jersey stakeholders
40 external gatekeeper interviews
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Activity
21 initiatives identified
9allocated to
Jersey Finance
Confidential work streams commenced
Initiatives Identified to Execute Strategy
S i P b i h f h Sustain core Protect current businesses that generate most of the tax revenues and employment
Enhance enablers Enhance the environment in which the Jersey finance industry operates
Capture adjacent growth
Support existing businesses to capture adjacent product, service or geographical markets
Reposition and build new capabilities
Support industry participants’ efforts to diversify into adjacent territories and build new capabilities
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Initiatives Identified to Execute Strategy
S i ICB AIFMD T liSustain core ICB, AIFMD, Tax neutrality
Enhance enablers Centralisation of Finance interface, Policy Framework, Sound Business Practice Committee
Capture adjacent growth
Market development
Reposition and build new capabilities
Types of:Foundations, LLPs, Private Placement, international pensions, new markets
World Economic Outlook
3.1
4.9
3.0
4.73.7
5.1
3.9
5.4
2 3
World Emerging Markets and DevelopingAdvancedSource: International Monetary Fund
1.4 1.32.2 2.3
2012 2013 2014 2015
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World Economic Outlook
UPSIDE
Global Trade
RISK
Political Uncertainty
Mega Trends
+Trade
= +Wealth
Worldwide income per person up 60% - last 10 years
Middle Class from 1.8bn now to over 3bn by 2025
Need for Infrastructure = Developed and developing
$50trn – 2030
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Trade grows faster than the sums of its parts
Global trade as a % of global GDP and world trade in goods and services, $ trillion
World Wealth Levels 2013
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Total Global Wealth 2000-2013, by Region
The Global Wealth Pyramid
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The Apex of the Pyramid
Growth of high net worth households’ wealthPFA1 of HNW households with PFA over > $1m
1 PFA: Personal Financial Assets
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America’s Unfunded Pension Liability
$574 Billion
Not Just Detroit's Problem: American Cities And Counties’ Unfunded Pension Liability Totals $574 BillionAnnual pension benefits * promised by US states, as % of forecast tax revenues † Annual pension benefits promised by US states, as % of forecast tax revenues
Year pension-fund assets run out ‡
2030 2022 2027 2026 2023 2025 2023 2022 2019 2024 2039 2039 2018 2020 2030 2022
* Falling due in five years after pension assets run out. † Assuming 2008 revenues grow by 3% a year. ‡ Assuming 8% annual return on assets reinvested in full. Source: Joshua Rauh
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Global Investable Assets will Increase to $100trn by 2020
Growth in Alternatives driven by Institutions, SWFs and HNWIs
9.3%
CAGR
28.5%
3.8%
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‘Asset managers must both create positive social impact and deliver the clear message that they are
a force for good, to investors and policymakers’
‘Reputation, regulation and transparency’
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The Value of Jersey to the UK
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Evidence BasedAdvocacy
Jerseys Value to BritainMoving Money
Financial Crisis the Genesis of Increased Regulation
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Regulation will Continue to Feature
Systemic Risk Crisis Management and Recovery & Resolution
Planning OTC Derivatives
Capital Requirements Liquidity
Accounting Standards Taxes
Compensation Securitisation
Credit Rating Agencies Alternates Funds
Short Sales Commodities
Transparency - Emerging Trends
Base erosion and profit shifting
Greater tax transparency
TIEAsExchange of
information regarding
International reach
TIEAs
Trend towards automatic exchange
of information
Replacing withholding tax with full
information exchange
information regarding client identity
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International Recognition
• G20: One of the first IFC’s to be “White Listed”;
• TIEA network: 35 and growing;
• OECD: Vice President, Peer Review Group;
• IMF: ‘Gold Star’ Report, one of the highest Financial Sector Assessment Programme (FSAP) ratings;
• HM Treasury: Excellent Review (Foot Report)• HM Treasury: Excellent Review (Foot Report).
• G8 Action Plan
• OECD Multilateral &EAP
• G20 CRS
International Accolades
AA+
No. 1 ranking OFC in the Global Financial Centres Index Standard & Poor’s
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Overseas Markets
Overseas Markets
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Overseas Markets
New London BDM – Feb Inward Investment• Foreign Banks
Grow market share in traditional markets - ongoing
Full time dedicated resource throughout 2014• Expanded visit and event
Overseas Markets
g• Alternative Investment
Managers
Shanghai Launchpad Office – Q1
pprogramme
Complete market research and move to active visit programme from Q2
Embed – ongoing
Additional presence in GCC – H1• Improved regional coverage• Significant focus on KSA and DIFC
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Greater China
• Economic growth slowing to target rate of 7.5%
• Anti-corruption drive has serious intent
– “Catching tigers, swatting flies”
• Role of the Shanghai FTZ
• Internationalisation of RMB
• Focus across all 4 pillars
• Establishing JFL ‘Launch Pad’ in Shanghai H1 2014
India
• Uncertain environment over last 2 years now giving way to optimism• Uncertain environment over last 2 years, now giving way to optimism
– GAAR, treaties and defensive measures
• Indian elections
• 2.89%
• Corruption remains a systemic issue
• JFL focus on banking private wealth • JFL focus on banking, private wealth and asset management flow
• Steady flow of referrals
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GCC
• $1.6trn (assets of GCC SWFs at end of 2012)$ ( )
• Variance in AML standards
• The global meeting point that is Dubai
• Development of regional IFCs
• JFL focus on banking, private wealth,funds and Islamic Finance
GCC
• Additional hire underway to give deeper focus on DIFC and Saudi Additional hire underway to give deeper focus on DIFC and Saudi Arabia
• More time to be spent outside UAE, notably in Kuwait and Qatar
• Private wealth flows remain strong
• SWF activity is buoyant but could be replicated more widely
• Banking sector is highly liquid and expansive
• Member activity in the region is the highest of our overseas markets
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Russia• De-offshoring
Prime Central London BuyersNationality
• Regional uncertainty
• Importance of London
• Oligarch era vs 1st generation entrepreneurial wealth
• Corruption and obfuscation –Magnitsky
UK 51%
Non-UK 49%
• Absence of TIEA or governmental dialogue
Non-UK
Africa
• 3 priority countries
• SA as a hub
• Mainly private wealth for Kenya and Nigeria
• Looking at PE flows
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Brazil
• Economy slowing significantly 0.9% growth 2012y g g y 9 g• Protests in June 2013• High living costs, poor public services, greed and corruption of
politicians• Risks arising from commodities based
economy• JFL focus on banking, private
wealth and possibly fundswealth and possibly funds
London• Global structuring hubg• Foreign banks• Alternative investment managers• Key trade association links
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Summary
• High growth + near term benefit– GCC; Africa; Russia
• High growth + long term play– China; India
• Home patch
• Visible, tri-partite support for overseas strategy
Jersey Finance
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Industry
Jersey Financial
Jersey Finance
Jersey Financial Services
Commission States of Jersey
Jersey’s value to Britain
Strategic Projects Jersey’s value to
developing countries
Virtual currenciesSecuritisationsCapital ControlsInsurance / reinsuranceAlternative banking – P2P lending + other ideas arising
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Technical
Improve technical offering
Efficiency of legislative
process
Consultations
Working groups
Communication
Online
Content
Updates
Support business development Innovation
ExpertiseStrategies
Technical
Working Groups• International
Pensions
• Companies Regulations
• Trusts Law
• Limited P t hi L
Projects• Capital Markets – ensure market access for our corporate
lawyers
• Alternative Finance/Shadow Banking – Utilisation of existing expertise and capacity for alternative credit flows
• Commodities – Develop the reputation of Jersey as a hosting centre for the commodities sector
I t ti l ‘t f ti ’ D l th t ti Partnerships Law
• Foundations Law
• Outsourcing
• JRIGs
• International ‘treasury function’ – Develop the reputation of Jersey as a gateway for international payments
• International Regulatory Compliance – Ensure industry involvement in changes effective in advance of IMF and MONEYVAL announcements
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Marketing
EventsEvents Integration with BD, PR and Digital
Digital & CRM Digital & CRM
EventsEvents
Media RelationsMedia Relations
Expanded events programme
Database development and integration Enhance social media output
Strengthen relationships with key mediaIncrease media partnerships at events
PRPR
Education Education Increase engagement with ‘Life in Finance’ programme
Advance the Jersey reputation Research led proactive communications
PR
Advertising Value Equivalent (AVE) - 2013 Sentiment of Media Coverage - 2013
£106
,821
£178
,626
£247
,533
£147
,255
£161
,760
£180
,588
£201
,108
£96,
141
£128
,841
£180
,957
£214
,635
£107
,850
£50,000
£100,000
£150,000
£200,000
£250,000Monthly Target Average = £83,333
Neutral / factual
13%
Negative2%
£ £ £
£0Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Positive85%
Regionally-focused market research
Reputation building and protection
Research-led activity Positive messages and proactive responses
Integrated events and PR plans
PR Activity
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Private Wealth - After period of consolidation, entering growth phase
Banking - Stable, interest rates, diversification, new entrants
Funds - Real Estate, Private Equity taking off, capacity and
We are well placed to capture the upside in the emerging recovery
Capital Markets - Renewed listings activity, M + A, IPO and debt work
q y g , p yskills
Inherent strengths have enduring appeal:
Future and sustainability
• Political and fiscal stability
• Sound regulation
• Transparency
• Broad and deep expertise
• Respected judicial systemRespected judicial system
• Leading Trust, Company and Funds Law
• Investing in future capability
• Global centre providing a gateway to Europe
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April 2014
Geoff Cook
CEO, Jersey Finance