STEEL PERSPECTIVES FOR THE AUTOMOTIVE …Steel Perspectives for the Automotive Industry Patrick...
Transcript of STEEL PERSPECTIVES FOR THE AUTOMOTIVE …Steel Perspectives for the Automotive Industry Patrick...
STEEL PERSPECTIVES FOR THE
AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
P. Blain – OICA President May 31st 2012
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
Introduction
“You can have it any color, as long as it’s black.” H. Ford
Introduction
Safety
Performance
Price
Production Material
Choice
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
Automotive Steel Consumption Outlook
Production Trend
Consumption Trend
Alternatives
Strategic Objectives Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
Production Trend 2000-2020
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
0,0
20,0
40,0
60,0
80,0
100,0
120,0
140,0
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Millio
n u
nits
World Automotive Production & Forecast
Production by World Regions
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Automobiles Production (million units)
European Union (27) Europe (others) North America South America Asia (except China Japan & S.Korea) China Japan S. Korea
Mass Trend 2000-2020
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
1400
1450
1500
1550
1600
1650
1700
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Mass
(kg)
Average Vehicle Mass - Data & Projection
2009
Composition
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
2011 2020 - Estimation
Average European material weight distribution
Steel Consumption Trend
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Thousa
nds
of
tons
World Automotive Steel Demand
Steel Demand by Regions
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
Share in steel demand for automobiles of the different regions
European Union Europe (others)
North America South America
Asia (except China Japan & S.Korea) China
Japan S. Korea
Mass reduction strategies
3 Technical paths to reduce mass:
Reduce thickness (e)
Reduce material density (ϱ)
Reduce Surface (S)
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
Mass = e.S.ϱ
ϱ
Source: Ducker Worldwide
Priorities
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
Potential savings ~50-70kg
Potential savings ~150kg
Potential savings ~200kg
Use all the
potential of
steel
technology
Use more
Aluminum
Study the
possibilities
Practicality of implementation
Research & Development
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
Source: Goede et al.
Source: PSA Peugeot-Citroën
Recycling & Circular Economy
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
Suppliers
Car Manufacturers
Sales & After Sales
Energy Recovery & Landfill
Mining & Material
manufacturing
ELVs
Users
CONCLUSION
1. Weight of cars & Steel incorporation are
decreasing
2. Stable Steel Demand
3. Multiple mass-optimization strategies
4. Design of new steel grades and recycling
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
THANK YOU.
Steel Perspectives for the Automotive Industry
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile - May 31st 2012
‘Nothing is impossible, particularly if it is inevitable’
Detailed Composition
64% 7%
5%
2%
1%
21%
Average 2010 car mass composition
Steel Non Ferrous metals Fluids Glass Others Plastics
2011 2020
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile
Security & Mass Reduction
From U.S. EPA and NHTSA:
Patrick BLAIN - OICA President - Steel & Automobile