Statkraft · Statkraft at a glance 4 NOK 47.5 bn UNDERLYING GROSS REVENUES 2013 (~ NOK 12.4 bn...
Transcript of Statkraft · Statkraft at a glance 4 NOK 47.5 bn UNDERLYING GROSS REVENUES 2013 (~ NOK 12.4 bn...
Statkraft Investor Update July 2014
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1.
Agenda
2.
3.
4.
5.
Statkraft overview
Strategy and market dynamics
Financial update
Funding and liquidity
Summary
Appendix
3
Statkraft at a glance
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NOK 47.5 bn UNDERLYING GROSS REVENUES 2013
NOK 12.4 bn UNDERLYING EBITDA 2013
55.9 TWh POWER GENERATION 2013
95 % HYDRO POWER
16.0 GW INSTALLED CAPACITY 2013
100% OWNED BY THE KINGDOM OF NORWAY
A-/Baa1
(stable outlooks) S&P / MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS
Gas power
Wind power Distribution grid
District heating Hydropower
NO
No. 1 power generator
(~35%)
SWE
No. 4 power generator
(~5%)
UK
Wind power initiatives
GER
OUTSIDE EUROPE
Integration of hydropower
Flexible power generation
SE EUROPE
Hydropower development
EUROPE
Trading activities
Key credit strengths
Strong market position
- A low-cost and flexible generator of renewable electricity
Stable cash flow
- Long-term industrial contracts stabilize cash flow
Capex flexibility
- Adjust investment program to financial capacity
Owned by the Norwegian state (AAA/Aaa)
- Historically strong support from owner
- No substantial changes in the State’s owner strategy in White paper published in June
2014
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2.
Agenda
1.
3.
4.
5.
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Statkraft overview
Strategy and market dynamics
Financial update
Funding and liquidity
Summary
Appendix
A changing energy landscape
Flat energy demand in Europe and
more production from new renewables
Growing concerns in Europe about
affordability and security of supply
Traditional “utility business model”
challenged by a transformed value chain
7
Attractive support schemes driven by
European transformation to renewable
energy
New business opportunities closer to
end users and through integration of
intermittent renewable capacity
Strong growth in emerging markets
Market challenges Market opportunities
District Heating
Strategic focus areas
European Flexible Generation
Wind Power
Hydropower in Emerging Markets
Market Operations
• Maintain and develop low cost, flexible hydropower
• Build integrated operations in South East Europe, South America and
South Asia
• Onshore wind in Norway, Sweden and UK
• Become lead operator in offshore wind power in UK
• Stabilize cash flow through power contracts
• Develop Trading and Origination in selected global markets
• Become amongst the most profitable district heating companies in
Norway and Sweden
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European Flexible Generation
Low-cost European hydropower production
- Total cash cost in 2013: 7.2 EUR/MWh
- Full cost incl. depreciation: 10.2 EUR/MWh1
Peak supplier with high degree of flexibility
- 80% of installed capacity within highly flexible
hydropower
- Europe’s largest reservoir capacity (~40 TWh)
Unique information base and power market
modelling
- Production optimised relative to power prices and
water inflows
- Water can be stored for up to three years in some
reservoirs
1 Annual Report 2013: 80 NOK/MWh. Incl. property tax and depreciations, excl. sales costs, overhead, net financial items and tax.
Based on normal production from power plants under own management in Norway, Sweden, Germany and the UK.
Blåsjø, one of Europe’s largest hydropower reservoirs,
with multi-year energy storage capacity (7.8 TWh)
9
Current transmission capacity between Nordic
and Europe of 4000 MW
Planned capacity increase of 3870 MW before
2020 and another 3450 MW before 2025
Nordic-European power market integration
10
Power transmission cables (MW)
Planned expansions
Source: Statnett
Price effect NO2-DE + NO2-UK: 3-5 EUR/MWh*
Increased possibility to utilize our flexible assets
* Statnett estimate with the two cables, compared to a scenario with no new cables from Norway.
A major player on Europe’s power
exchanges
Special expertise within physical and
financial power trading
Active in all energy-related commodities
Market access for small renewable
producers
Expanding power trading activities in
Europe, as well as in Brazil and India
Strategy for long-term contracts
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Market Operations
Long-term contracts stabilize earnings
~ 20 TWh sold on long-term contracts
with power-intensive Nordic industry
Corresponding to ~ 40% of Statkraft’s
annual mean power production for
Nordic hydropower
12
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
GWh
Statutory priced lease agreements Statkraft's share of leasing agreements
Long-term market contracts
International Hydropower has been reorganized and strengthened
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Statkraft SN Power
Statkraft has increased
ownership and fully
integrated activities in South
America and South Asia
(from 60 % to 67 %)
Statkraft has reduced
ownership to activities in less
developed markets in South
East Asia, Africa and Central
America (from 60 % to 50 %)
Alltwalis
Stamåsen
Mörttjärnberget
Björkhöjden
Ögonfägnaden
Hitra Smøla
Onshore and offshore wind power in the Nordics and UK
In operation/under construction
- Norway: 244 MW
- Sweden: 525 MW
- UK: 460 MW
Licensed/under development
- Onshore: Norway 735 MW
Sweden 290 MW
UK ~ 50 MW
- Offshore: Dudgeon 402 MW
(Statkraft 30%)
Dogger Bank 4800 MW
(Statkraft 25%)
Em
Tollarpabjär
Dudgeon
Sheringham Shoal
Dogger Bank
Berry Burn
Baillie
Kjøllefjord
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Norway 43 % Europe ex
Norway 19 %
Emerging markets
38 %
Allocation of investments 2014-2018
Hydropower 64 %
Offshore WP 9 %
Onshore WP
18 %
Trading & origination
3 %
District heating
3 %
Innovation 3 %
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Investment ambition 2014-2018: NOK 61 billion, of which 51% is committed
Subject to financial capacity and maintaining current ratings
Technology allocation Geographical allocation
Increased diversification, but still dominated by Norwegian hydropower
Solid base in the Nordic region
Estimated annual contribution after committed capex (2018)
Norway 67 %
Nordic outside Norway 14 %
Europe outside Nordic
11 %
Outside Europe
8 %
EBITDA
Norway 72 %
Nordic outside Norway 10 %
Europe outside Nordic
13 %
Outside Europe
5 %
Power generation (72 TWh)
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Construction activities
Completed in 2013 On-going projects in 2014
European
Flexible
Generation
4 small-scale hydro, Norway (12 MW)
Knapsack II, Germany (430 MW)
Nedre Røssåga 1 and 2, Norway (+100 MW)
Kjensvatn, Norway (11 MW)
Brokke Nord/Sør, Norway (24 MW)
Eiriksdal/Makkoren, Norway (56 MW)
10 small-scale hydro, Norway (25 MW)
Wind Power
Baillie, UK (53 MW)
Stamåsen, Sweden (60 MW)
Tollarpabjär, Sweden (3 MW)
Mörttjärnberget, Sweden (85 MW) Compl. Q2
Ögonfägnaden, Sweden (99 MW)
Björkhöjden, Sweden (270 MW)
Berry Burn, UK (67 MW) Compl. Q2
International
Hydropower
Binga, Philippines (126 MW) Kargi, Turkey (102 MW)
Cetin, Turkey (517 MW)
Devoll, Albania (243 MW)
Cheves, Peru (171 MW)
Bajo Frio, Panama (58 MW)
District
Heating
Ås, Norway (24 MW)
Kungsbacka, Sweden (12 MW)
Sandefjord, Norway (23 MW)
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Capacity for total project, incl. partners’ share
Strengthening of financial solidity
Measures in 2013
- Divested all E.ON shares (NOK 8.5 bn)
- Other asset divestment (NOK 1.2 bn)
- Transferred leased hydropower plants from Statkraft SF to Statkraft AS (NOK 3.4 bn)
Planned measures in 2014
- Divestment of Finnish hydropower
- Reduce ownership in UK onshore wind NOK ~5 billion
- Reduce ownership in UK offshore wind
- No dividend payment for 2013
Discussions with owner about investment possibilities and financing
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3.
Agenda
2.
1.
4.
5.
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Statkraft overview
Strategy and market dynamics
Financial update
Funding and liquidity
Summary
Appendix
Compared with 2012 improved revenues are mainly due to higher prices (Nordic +22%)
EBITDA increased by 10%
Weakened NOK against EUR brings net profit down
- Currency impacts are mainly unrealised with limited cash flow effect
- The effects are more than offset by currency translation effects in equity
Solid underlying results in 2013
NOK million FY 2013 FY 20122 FY 2011
Net revenues1 20 545 19 207 18 120
EBITDA1 12 444 11 347 10 851
Net profit/loss 208 4 551 40
20
1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items 2All 2012 figures converted after implementation of IFRS 11 as of 2013
10 851 11 347
12 444
-
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013
Steady increase in EBITDA
1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items 2Not recalculated after implementation of IFRS 11 in 2013 21
∆ 2013/2012
+ 10%
Underlying EBITDA1
Nordic system price
EUR/MWh 47.2 31.3 38.1
Total production
TWh 51.5 60.0 55.9
2
Increase 2012-2013 primarily due to price
effects - Nordic system price: 38.1 EUR/MWh + 22%
- German spot price: 37.8 EUR/MWh - 12%
Total power production down 7% - Hydropower production - 8%
- Wind power production + 77%
- Gas-fired power production - 28%
New wind farms and transferred leased
power plants improves production
capacity
Slight increase in long-term contracts
Moderate increase in operating costs
Net profit breakdown 2013
22
1 101
125
3 288
1 338
208
12 444
11 347
-2 303
Net financial
items
-9 403
-2 189
Revenues 2012
Adj.
EBITDA
Unrealised
changes in
energy
contracts
2013
Adj.
EBITDA
Operating
expenses
ex. dep.
-241
2013
Net profit
Tax Share of
profit from
associates
and JVs
Impairments/
non-
recurring
items
Depre-
ciation
-2 855
Underlying EBITDA ∆ +10% vs. 2012
Booked net profit effected by negative unrealised currency effects amounting to
NOK -9 934 million. In 2012 positive currency effects were NOK 3 815 million.
Underlying1 EBITDA 2012 –> 2013 Underlying1 EBITDA 2013 –> Net Profit 2013
1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items
NOK million
-11 592
Net interest and
other financial items
Currency impact
Capital expenditure1 in 2013
NOK
9 324
million
A large number of projects under
construction in current investment
program
78% of FY capex was expansion
NOK 2 670 million invested in Q4
- 81% expansion
In addition leased power plants at a
value of NOK 4 billion were transferred
from Statkraft SF as contribution in kind
(no cash effect)
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Nordic
Hydro-
power
20%
Internat.
Hydro-
Power
30% Ind.
Owner-
ship
10%
Wind
Power
27%
Other2
13%
Norwegian share
approx. 42%
1 Exclusive loans to associates 2 Including District heating, Small-scale hydropower and Continental energy and trading
Cash flow 2013
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5 440
7 685
+9 135
+1 051
-2 080
-9 123
+9 670
-3 849
-3 094
+535
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
Cashreserves
01.01
Fromoperations
Dividend fromassociates
Change inshort andlong term
items
Investmentactivities
Sale of non-current
financialassets
Changes indebt
Dividend/group
contributionpaid
Share issueto minorities,
currencyeffects
Cashreserves
31.12
NOK million
Cash flow 2013
Sale of non-current assets mainly regards E.ON SE shares (NOK 8.515 million) and Sheringham Shoal transmission
grid (NOK 957 million)
Production 2 TWh below Q1 2013
Nordic prices down 28% measured in EUR/MWh
Strong contribution from market activities and wind power
Positive currency effects counterbalanced in equity – negative effects in 2013
Solid Q1 results in a challenging market
NOK million Q1 2014 Q1 2013 FY 2013
Net revenues1 5 954 6 112 20 545
EBITDA1 3 836 4 180 12 444
Net profit/loss 2 800 443 208
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1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items
Net profit breakdown Q1
26
563
56
2 800
3 836
4 180657
-1 525
Net financial
items
Tax Share of
profit from
associates
and JVs
Impairments/
non-
recurring
items
Depre-
ciation
-740
Unrealised
changes in
energy
contracts
-47
Q1 2014
Adj.
EBITDA
Operating
expenses
ex. dep.
-186
Revenues
-158
Q1 2013
Adj.
EBITDA
Q1 2014
Net profit
Underlying EBITDA ∆ -8% vs. Q1/13
Booked net profit affected by positive currency effects amounting to NOK 1 043
million. In Q1 2013 negative currency effects were NOK -1 006 million.
Underlying1 EBITDA Q1 2013 –> Q1 2014 Underlying1 EBITDA Q1 2014 –> Net Profit Q1 2014
1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items
NOK million
Cash flow Q1
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7 685
9 596 +2 335 +121
+924
-1 842
+387 +17
-31
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
Cash reserves01.01
Fromoperations
Dividend fromassociates
Change inshort and long
term items
Investmentactivities
Changes indebt
Dividend/group
contributionpaid
Share issueto minorities,
currencyeffects
Cash reserves31.03
NOK million
Cash flow year-to-date
4.
Agenda
2.
1.
3.
5.
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Statkraft overview
Strategy and market dynamics
Financial update
Funding and liquidity
Summary
Appendix
Strong credit ratings
Rating target: maintain current ratings
Flexible CAPEX-plans
Divestments completed and further divestments considered
Rating impact assessment completed prior to new investment decisions
Historically strong support from owner
Discussions with owner about investment possibilities and financing
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A- / Stable Baa1 / Stable
46%
26%
28%
Equity and liabilities
Interest-freeliabilities
Interest-bearingliabilities
Equity66%
10%
5%
19%
Assets
Current assets
Other non-current assets
Associatesand JVs
Property, plantand equipment
Balance sheet and debt overview
Balance sheet per 31.03.2014 Debt currency distribution
NOK 158bn NOK 158bn
30
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 >2024
NOK million
Balanced debt maturity and mixed funding sources
Debt maturity profile 31.03.2014 Distribution of funding sources
31
Liquidity position
NOK 12bn Revolving Credit Facility (5+1+1 year)
signed 19 January 2011
- Second extension agreed in 2013
- 14 counterparties
NOK 1bn in committed credit line renewed on a
yearly basis
EMTN Programme EUR 6bn
- EUR 2.6bn available under current Programme
No commercial paper outstanding
Available liquidity and target
1 Liquidity capacity defined as cash and cash equivalents, plus committed
revolving credit facilities, plus projected receipts for the next six months
Liquidity and market access
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
2010 2011 2012 2013 Q12014
NOK million
Cash and Cashequivalents
Credit Line
RevolvingCredit Facility
Liquidity capacity target1: >1.5x projected
payments over next six months
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FUNDING STRATEGY
Funding overview
Norwegian bond and Commercial Paper market
Euro bond market
Swedish bond market
Sterling and Swiss Franc bond markets
considered
Funding need Funding sources
Funding centralized on group level
Flexibility through diversification of funding sources and maintaining sufficient back-stop facilities
Funding need going forward determined by cash flow
from operations and capex
NOK 3.5 bn debt maturities in H2 2014
Zero dividend in 2014
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5.
Agenda
2.
1.
3.
4.
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Statkraft overview
Strategy and market dynamics
Financial update
Funding and liquidity
Summary
Appendix
Summary
A competitive generator of low-cost electricity
- Dominated by flexible hydro power with large reservoir capacity
Strong position in the Nordics
Flexible plans for growth
- European renewable energy production
- Hydropower outside Europe
Balanced investment plan to maintain credit strength
Proven support from Norwegian government through its
100% ownership
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Agenda
2.
1.
3.
4.
Statkraft overview
Strategy and market dynamics
Financial update
Funding and liquidity
Summary
Appendix
5.
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Statement of Comprehensive Income
37
Statement of Financial Position
38
Statement of Cash Flow
39
page 40 40