Statistical Evaluation of Genetic Linkage

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    Lectures 29-30:

    Phase

    Lod scores

    Statistical Evaluation ofGenetic Linkage

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    20 cM

    SSR12 SSR112 SSR31 SSR37 SSR5

    genetic linkage mapping

    We genotype the six members of the family for SSRs scattered throughout

    the genome (which spans 3300 cM)

    one SSR must be within 10 cM of the Huntington's gene:

    HD ?

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    log10 (0.024/0.0039)

    Same for families #2 and #3:

    LOD0.06 (families 1, 2, 3) = 3x 0.796 = 2.388Family #4:

    DDDDSSR37

    HD+HDHDHDMaternal

    alleles

    P if linked at 0.06 = 1/2 (P if phase 1) + 1/2 (P if phase 2)= 1/2

    LOD0.06 (family 4)

    LOD0.06(family 1) = = log10 (6.25) = 0.796

    (0.47 = 0.0016x 0.47 x 0.47)x 0.03 + 1/2 (0.03 x 0.03 x 0.47 x 0.03)

    = log10 (0.41)= log10 (0.0016/0.0039) = - 0.387

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    LOD0.06 (families 1, 2, 3, 4) = 2.388 0.387 = 2.001Still not sufficient to publish. What to do?

    1. It's tempting to ignore family 4

    But this would not be an acceptable solution.

    2. Calculate LOD scores for other values?

    to declare it to be irrelevant for some

    reason or another.

    -0.5

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6

    LOD

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    3.

    4.

    Get more families always a good idea

    Determine phase in affected parents

    In each of the four families, we were uncertain about phase, and our

    LOD calculations embodied those uncertainties.

    Family #4:

    D+

    BHDPhase

    2:

    B+

    DHDPhase

    1:

    SSR37HD

    two possible arrangements of alleleson mother's chromosomes

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    Typing the maternal grandparents for SSR37:

    DSSR37

    E

    CB

    A

    Now we can deduce the

    phase in the mother:

    Family #4:

    D+

    BHD

    Phase 2:

    B+

    DHDPhase 1:

    SSR37HDLocus:

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    Here is a more realistic version of the genotypic information we might obtain:

    DSSR37

    E

    CB

    A

    Family #4:

    dead

    refused consent

    or

    inferred

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    Before we had written:

    P if linked at 0.06 =1/2 (P if phase 1) + 1/2 (P if phase 2)= 1/2 (0.47 x 0.47 x 0.03 x 0.47) + 1/2 (0.03 x 0.03 x 0.47 x 0.03) = 0.0016

    But we now know that

    P if linked at 0.06 =1/2 (P if phase 1) + 1/2 (P if phase 2)= 1/2 (0.47 x 0.47 x 0.03 x 0.47) + 1/2 (0.03 x 0.03 x 0.47 x 0.03) = 0.0032

    LOD0.06(family 4)

    We can sum the LOD0.06 scores for all four families:

    LOD0.06(family 1, 2, 3, 4) =

    phase 1 was correct:

    = log10 (0.82)= log10 (0.0032/0.0039) = - 0.086

    0.0862.388 = 2.302

    phase known

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    Overall effect of determining phase in all four families:

    LOD0.06 (families 1,2,3,4: all phased) =LOD0.06 (families 1,2,3,4: unphased) + 4 log10 (2)

    = 2.001

    What if we had not been able to obtain samples from any grandparents?

    Try more markers

    Publish!

    Add increment of log10(2) = 0.301 to each familys LOD score.

    = 3.205+ 4 (0.301)

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    20 cM

    SSR34 SSR35 SSR36 SSR37 SSR38

    Chr 4

    or

    HDMarker showing no recombination with HD

    LOD0 (families 1,2,3,4: unphased) = 4 x 0.903

    Very strong conclusion!!

    = 3.609

    Search for SSR marker showing no recombination with HD: Where to look?