STATIONARY FUEL CELLS Economics 101 Jane Price Hill, P. E.February 13, 2003.

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STATIONARY FUEL CELLS Economics 101 Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Transcript of STATIONARY FUEL CELLS Economics 101 Jane Price Hill, P. E.February 13, 2003.

STATIONARY FUEL CELLS

Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

• 1839 Fuel Cell

• 1893 Diesel Engine

• Late 1800s Steam Turbine

• 1930s Combustion Turbine

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

• Fuel cell economics compared to electric utility rates

• Fuel cell economics compared to other distributed generation technologies

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

• Income tax consequences for capital intensive projects

• Load factor issues

• Risk

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

• Expenses can be written off for tax purposes in the year in which they are incurred:

$ Fuel$ O&M$ Property taxes$ Insurance$ Labor$ Electricity

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

• Capital expenditures must be written off over many years:

$ Equipment$ Installation$ Engineering$ Freight$ Site preparation$ Construction

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

While there are several acceptable ways to evaluate capital costs, there is one common

method which is fundamentally inadequate:

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Annualized capital cost =

Capital Cost

Equipment Life

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

• Time value of money

• Income tax consequences for capital expenditures versus expenses

• Salvage value and tax consequences of salvage

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Because this method ignores:

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

• Income tax rate

• Discount rate

• Project life

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

• 35 %

• 10 %

• 10 years

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

0

5

10

15

20

25

Incorrect 15 year depr.,no salvage,

taxable

15 year depr.,25% salvage,

taxable

5 year depr., nosalvage, taxable

Tax exempt, nosalvage

Annualized Capital Cost, Pre Tax Equivalent

% of capital cost

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

• Diesel engine generator

• Spark ignited engine

• Combustion turbine

• Fuel cell

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

• 400 $/kW

• 800 $/kW

• 700 $/kW

• 3,000 $/kW

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

Annual

Pre

Tax

Equiv

alen

t $/K

W

Diesel Engine Spark Ignited Engine Combustion Turbine Fuel Cell

Annualized Capital Cost

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Variable O&M

$/kWh

Heat Rate Btu/kWh

(LHV)

Fuel Price $/mmBtu

(LHV)

Diesel engine 0.015 9,500 $6.38

Gas engine 0.012 9,900 $7.17

Combustion Turbine 0.003 14,000 $7.17

Fuel Cell 0.002 8,500 $7.17

Assumptions for Small Commercial Application

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

=

What is

used What could be used

=kWh generated

kW capacity * 8,760 hours

Load Factor

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Cost per KWH, Commercial Site

$0.00

$0.05

$0.10

$0.15

$0.20

$0.25

Pre

Tax

Equ

ival

ent $/

kWh

Diesel EngineSpark Ignited Engine

Combustion TurbineFuel Cell

Capital Fixed Expenses Variable O&M Fuel

Average 2001 US commercial electric rate

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Cost per KWH, Industrial Site

$0.00

$0.05

$0.10

$0.15

Pre

Tax

Equ

ival

ent $/

kWh

Diesel Engine Spark Ignited EngineCombustion Turbine Fuel Cell

Capital Fixed Expenses Variable O&M Fuel

Paper mill

LF = 89%

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Comparison of Commercial and Industrial Sites

$0.00

$0.05

$0.10

$0.15

$0.20

$0.25

$/k

Wh

at T

ypic

al L

oa

d F

act

ors

Diesel Engine Spark Ignited Engine Combustion Turbine Fuel Cell

Commercial Industrial Commercial Rate Industrial Rate

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Capital Cost Installed $/KW

Heat Rate Btu/kWh (LHV)

Diesel Engine $400 8,500

Spark Ignited Engine $450 8,500

Combustion Turbine $600 7,700

Fuel Cell $1,200 6,200

Fuel Cell$1,200Fuel Cell $1,200

Target Values

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

$0.00

$0.10

$0.20

$0.30

$0.40

Load Factor

Pre

Tax

Equ

ival

ent $/

kWh

- Fi

xed

& V

aria

ble

Cos

ts

11% 23% 34% 46% 57% 68% 80% 91% 100%

Diesel Engine Spark Ignited Engine Combustion Turbine Fuel Cell

Comparison of Technologies Using Targets - Commercial

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

$0.00

$0.10

$0.20

$0.30

$0.40

Load FactorPre

Tax

Equ

ival

ent $/

kWh

- Fi

xed

& V

aria

ble

Cos

ts

11% 23% 34% 46% 57% 68% 80% 91% 100%

Diesel Engine Spark Ignited Engine Combustion Turbine

Fuel Cell Tariff

Comparison of Technologies Using Target Costs and Efficiencies Industrial Gas Prices

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

• The ability to reach capital cost and efficiency goals • Identifying sites where high load factor operation is

feasible• Economic value attributed to reduced emissions• Subsidies provided by governments and/or utilities

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003

Factors which will affect fuel cell penetration:

Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101

• IC engines: trucks, passenger cars, earth-moving equipment

• Combustion turbines: military and commercial jets

• Fuel cells: the space program

Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003