STATIONARY FUEL CELLS Economics 101 Jane Price Hill, P. E.February 13, 2003.
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Transcript of STATIONARY FUEL CELLS Economics 101 Jane Price Hill, P. E.February 13, 2003.
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
• 1839 Fuel Cell
• 1893 Diesel Engine
• Late 1800s Steam Turbine
• 1930s Combustion Turbine
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
• Fuel cell economics compared to electric utility rates
• Fuel cell economics compared to other distributed generation technologies
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
• Income tax consequences for capital intensive projects
• Load factor issues
• Risk
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
• Expenses can be written off for tax purposes in the year in which they are incurred:
$ Fuel$ O&M$ Property taxes$ Insurance$ Labor$ Electricity
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
• Capital expenditures must be written off over many years:
$ Equipment$ Installation$ Engineering$ Freight$ Site preparation$ Construction
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
While there are several acceptable ways to evaluate capital costs, there is one common
method which is fundamentally inadequate:
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
Annualized capital cost =
Capital Cost
Equipment Life
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
• Time value of money
• Income tax consequences for capital expenditures versus expenses
• Salvage value and tax consequences of salvage
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
Because this method ignores:
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
• Income tax rate
• Discount rate
• Project life
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
• 35 %
• 10 %
• 10 years
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
0
5
10
15
20
25
Incorrect 15 year depr.,no salvage,
taxable
15 year depr.,25% salvage,
taxable
5 year depr., nosalvage, taxable
Tax exempt, nosalvage
Annualized Capital Cost, Pre Tax Equivalent
% of capital cost
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
• Diesel engine generator
• Spark ignited engine
• Combustion turbine
• Fuel cell
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
• 400 $/kW
• 800 $/kW
• 700 $/kW
• 3,000 $/kW
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
Annual
Pre
Tax
Equiv
alen
t $/K
W
Diesel Engine Spark Ignited Engine Combustion Turbine Fuel Cell
Annualized Capital Cost
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
Variable O&M
$/kWh
Heat Rate Btu/kWh
(LHV)
Fuel Price $/mmBtu
(LHV)
Diesel engine 0.015 9,500 $6.38
Gas engine 0.012 9,900 $7.17
Combustion Turbine 0.003 14,000 $7.17
Fuel Cell 0.002 8,500 $7.17
Assumptions for Small Commercial Application
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
=
What is
used What could be used
=kWh generated
kW capacity * 8,760 hours
Load Factor
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
Cost per KWH, Commercial Site
$0.00
$0.05
$0.10
$0.15
$0.20
$0.25
Pre
Tax
Equ
ival
ent $/
kWh
Diesel EngineSpark Ignited Engine
Combustion TurbineFuel Cell
Capital Fixed Expenses Variable O&M Fuel
Average 2001 US commercial electric rate
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
Cost per KWH, Industrial Site
$0.00
$0.05
$0.10
$0.15
Pre
Tax
Equ
ival
ent $/
kWh
Diesel Engine Spark Ignited EngineCombustion Turbine Fuel Cell
Capital Fixed Expenses Variable O&M Fuel
Paper mill
LF = 89%
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
Comparison of Commercial and Industrial Sites
$0.00
$0.05
$0.10
$0.15
$0.20
$0.25
$/k
Wh
at T
ypic
al L
oa
d F
act
ors
Diesel Engine Spark Ignited Engine Combustion Turbine Fuel Cell
Commercial Industrial Commercial Rate Industrial Rate
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
Capital Cost Installed $/KW
Heat Rate Btu/kWh (LHV)
Diesel Engine $400 8,500
Spark Ignited Engine $450 8,500
Combustion Turbine $600 7,700
Fuel Cell $1,200 6,200
Fuel Cell$1,200Fuel Cell $1,200
Target Values
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
Load Factor
Pre
Tax
Equ
ival
ent $/
kWh
- Fi
xed
& V
aria
ble
Cos
ts
11% 23% 34% 46% 57% 68% 80% 91% 100%
Diesel Engine Spark Ignited Engine Combustion Turbine Fuel Cell
Comparison of Technologies Using Targets - Commercial
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
Load FactorPre
Tax
Equ
ival
ent $/
kWh
- Fi
xed
& V
aria
ble
Cos
ts
11% 23% 34% 46% 57% 68% 80% 91% 100%
Diesel Engine Spark Ignited Engine Combustion Turbine
Fuel Cell Tariff
Comparison of Technologies Using Target Costs and Efficiencies Industrial Gas Prices
Stationary Fuel Cells: Economics 101
• The ability to reach capital cost and efficiency goals • Identifying sites where high load factor operation is
feasible• Economic value attributed to reduced emissions• Subsidies provided by governments and/or utilities
Jane Price Hill, P. E. February 13, 2003
Factors which will affect fuel cell penetration: