Startup Estonia

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Startup Estonia Valto Loikkanen Grow VC Group ++ www.growvc.com ++ @growvc ++ Copyrights © Grow VC Group 2014

Transcript of Startup Estonia

Startup EstoniaValto Loikkanen

Grow VC Group ++ www.growvc.com ++

@growvc ++

Copyrights © Grow VC Group 2014

About me

As an Entrepreneur● 20 years as international Serial Entrepreneur (US, EU, Asia) &

Portfolio Entrepreneur, with personal hard earn success & failures● 17 years experience in developing web based tools for various

business processes● 6 Years of developing equity crowdfunding model globally via Grow

VC Group (scaling risk funding)● 5 years for Startup Ecosystem online support tools, platforms &

metrics● For past year, being part of three EC Horizon 2020 Groups:

○ Access to Risk Finance, ○ Spreading Excellence & Widening participation ○ International Cooperation

As a Business Advisor● 10 years of startup mentoring with over 2000 one to one mentoring

sessions and workshops with 1000+ entrepreneurs and hundreds of startups around the world at various development stages and industries

● 10 years developing Startup Support services, with entrepreneurial mind and lean methodology (fast ideation, implement and measure cycle)

● 5 years of “living lab” development for Startup Ecosystem in Finland with City of Helsinki

About Grow VC Group"The global pioneer of securities crowdfunding, peer to peer marketplaces and new investment models."

Other Business VerticalsReal estate, P2P loans etc.

Consulting in specific areas

Local Investors

Startups

Startup Ecosystem

Global Investors

Other Business VerticalsReal estate, P2P loans etc.

Local Investors

Startups

Startup Ecosystem

Global Investors

Consulting in specific areas

Startup Development Phases & Startup Ecosystem

Development

Where Does Innovation Happen?

Research IPR

Innovation via Big Companies & Public

Sector.

Closed process & Internal resources

Innovation by Startups

FundingSources

Innovation Ecosystem

Customers

Innovation process is moving away from “closed structures” and big companies to more open and

collaborative startup ecosystem.

Megatrend

Research IPR

Innovation via Big Companies &

Public Sector.

Closed process & Internal resources

Innovation by

Startups

Research IPR

Innovation via Big

Companies & Public Sector.

Innovation by Startups

Open, collaborative &

external resourcesFundingSources

Service Providers

SupportOrganizations

FundingSources

New Funding Solutions

Innovation Ecosystem

Startup Ecosystem

Customers

Customers

Research IPR

Innovation via Big Companies & Public Sector.

Innovation by Startups

Open, collaborative & external resources

FundingSources

Service Providers

SupportOrganizations

New Funding Solutions

Startup Ecosystem

Customers

Difference between innovation & startup?

“Innovation is about developing

a new product, service or business model.”

“Startups do innovation

AND also develop

a new growing company & business.”

Why this megatrend?● The megatrends of innovation is focusing more and more around startups ● The old world is about ideas, research and big companies creating the

innovation (products and services from these).● The old models is already working at it’s best and is difficult to improve - as

such, little growth can be achieved in that area ● The new world is about making the innovation happen via Startups, where

innovation is also more openly and independently exposed to markets● Startups are “outsourced innovation” for big companies and biggest group

generating new jobs● Startups are fast, flexible, highly motivated, cost effective and supported by

private and public parties● Smart big companies are moving more and more away from traditional

innovation models towards more open innovation and working with and buying most promising startups after they have validated scalable innovation.

Why Startups?

Recent study by Kauffman Foundation and the Institute for Competitiveness

& Prosperity.

“Over the last twenty five years, almost all of the private sector jobs have been created by businesses

less than five years old.”

“Between 1988 and 2011, companies more than five years old destroyed more jobs than they created in all

but eight of those years.”

What is a Startup?

Startup

“A startup company or startup is a company or temporary organization designed to search for a

repeatable and scalable business model”

- The term became popular internationally during the dot-com bubble

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Startup_company

A B

C D

High Growth Ambition and very scalable business model

Low Growth Ambition and/or Non Scalable business

Market validated business

model

Unvalidated business model

"a kiosk"

"new startup"

“New Startup”

Startup stages

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Startup_company

Startup Development

?

Startup Development

Improved Startup stages

Startup Key Milestones

-2. Ideation-1. Concepting 0. Commitment 1. Validation 2. Scaling 3. Establishing

From investors and startups point of view

“Investor”

- anyone that makes meaningful resource investment purely for ROI

money, work, project, time, skills, contacts etc..

Valuation?● typically used and know from investing money to company ● is needed also for other calculation purposes● is also needed for founders ownership % estimates & sweat

equity investments (for work, services, contacts etc.)● acts as a measure of company development● is a core "deal tool" at all stages

About valuation● for cash investment the valuation is typically lower than for

other types● is only as real as validated with an actual deal(s) made -

anything else is "guesstimate"● typical valuation levels do exist for different stages● early stages more based on promise and later stages more

based on results so far + estimated development curve

Ideation● Potential scalable product/service idea● Some initial business models for how it would make money

●One person or vague team●no real commitment confirmed ●and/or no right balance in the team structure yet

-2 3210-1

“Investors” view

"pie in the sky"

– a lot of work to get involved....

Valuation level

$0

Business Potential

More PotentialBig MarketMarket growingMarket pullScalable

Less PotentialSmall market

Market shrinkingMarket PushNot scalable

Concepting● Have set some clear meaningful target

● clear direction (3y+) with key milestones to get there● …36, 24, 12, 6, 3 months -> 3, 6, 12, 24, 36 months…

● Team of two or three core people ● but can also have additional team with lighter

commitment

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“Investors” view

“hmmm..., maybe there is something here...”

still very risky.... money does not really help here...

Valuation level

$0 - 100k

Commitment● Committed skills balanced founding team ● Able to develop the product/service (without dependency of

uncommitted external resources) ● OR already have initial product/service developed● Shareholder agreement with “right things” in it

● milestones & committed time/money usage ● founding team commitments for min. 2+ years with

vesting, etc.

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“Investors” view

“Looks like this may have real potential..?

Time to get in for a good deal...? Still very risky..... Maybe join as Advisor...?”

Valuation level

$300 - 500k

Team Validation

More PotentialGood TeamBalanced SkillsCommittedDoer AttitudeRight Culture

Less PotentialSolo Entrepreneur

Uneven SkillsNot committedTalker AttitudeWrong Culture

Validation

● Can already show some user growth and/or revenue (initial traction)

● And/or continue to attract external resources (money / additional people/work) for equity or future revenues

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“Investors” view

“This is starting to get interesting...”

Join now? - Later I may not get in or it's going to be out of my range…

Valuation level

$500k - 2M

Between Previous & Next Stage

● Is where assumptions get validated

● If selected market and team is good…

-> The idea and business models can be (and often is) changed or pivoted several times

Scaling

● Showing clear and growing user/market traction, momentum and or growth

● And/or is able to attract significant funding

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“Investors” view

awesome! :) OR

Oh, I missed the boat :(

earliest time when good VC's start to get interested....

Valuation level

$1 - 10M

Establishing● Pretty clearly is going to make it● Often wants to culturally continue behaving like a "startup"

for as long as possible● No longer need to "try" get resources and can get those

easily ● Continue to grow ● Founders make exit or continue biz as usual

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Valuation level

$5 - 10M+

Success

idea + plan + action + timing

= reaching a set target

Successidea + plan (set of initial

assumptions) + action ((volume x testing assumptions - failures) +

(volume x testing improved assumptions - failures)) + timing =

reaching a target

Valuation development

"What are the keys to help get successful results?"

● To new growth ambition startup creation ● Pre-startup and early stage startup support services● get more research, inventions, ideas and other IPR to be

utilized by startups● develop individual services in balance & context with entire

ecosystem

Focus

Startup EcosystemA startup ecosystem is formed by people, startups in their various stages and various types of organizations in a location (physical and/or virtual), interacting as an organic system to create new

companies.

Different organizations typically focus on specific parts of the ecosystem function and/or startups at their specific development

stage(s).

Learn more: http://www.startupcommons.org/understanding-startup-ecosystems1.html

Startups & Ecosystems

Startups develop in startup ecosystems through the development phases in constant interaction with

various organizations, services & people.

The more dynamic, transparent and balanced the ecosystem is the more successful startups ecosystem

can create.

Three steps of ecosystem development

1. map out starting position 2. Identify and fix gaps and bottlenecks 3. implement measurements

Iteratively improve; measure and learn

Using key stages tool

● Map out ecosystem● Describe ecosystem● Common Language To Label items;

○ startups, services, events, funding instruments, blog posts, tools, ideas, suggestions, etc.

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Public services & funding

Private service providers & investors

Startup Development

Knowledge vs. Money

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Map your startup ecosystem services here!

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Organization AService A

Organization AService B

Organization BService A

Support activities Targets

A B

C D

High Job Creation Potential (need of people)

Low Job Creation Potential

Low Demand PotentialVery few and/or low paying

limited region customers

High Demand Potentiala lot of potential well paying international customers

No Value Idea

High Value Idea

Idea evaluation NOTE: as a public sector!

Medium Value Idea

Low Value Idea

A B

C D

High Growth Ambition and very scalable business model

Low Growth Ambition and/or Non Scalable business

Market validated business model

Unvalidated business model

"a kiosk"

New Startup at Stage 0

Startup

Early Startup at Stage 2

Use together withdevelopment phases

criteria

About Metrics● Ecosystem as a big service offering and a path ● Find bottlenecks ● Develop in balance● Input and output volumes of each service● Measure & iterate to improve services

Single most valuable tool to improve your ROI

Free to use under creative commons licence

Original www.startupcommons.org

Licence termshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/

● Develop startup ecosystem as a whole● Measure “everything” to learn and improve● Improve iteratively

Recap

“Only the things that are understood can be developed”

“When more people and organizations are developing things together, there needs to be a common language and

understanding about what is being developed.”

“Systematically implement common language to your ecosystem and other

things will start to follow naturally.”

“Only things that can be measured, can be improved.”

“Any missing knowledge you can buy.”

“Plenty of EU funding available.”

Valto [email protected]

+358 400 421 551 (FIN)+1 415 854-0546 (US)

Grow VC Group ++www.growvc.com ++

@growvc ++

Thank You!#startupecosystem