Stabilizing the Australian Economy Through Fiscal Policies
Transcript of Stabilizing the Australian Economy Through Fiscal Policies
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FiscalpoliciescanstabilizeAustralia’seconomy
byLeenaPalekar
Theroleofagovernmentistostabilizeeconomy,orsmoothout
businesscycles,aseconomicactivityinamarketeconomytendstofluctuateconsiderably.
Economicpolicytoolsthatarecapableofinfluencingspendingdecisionsofmillionsofbuyersaregovernmentspendingandtaxes(fiscalpolicy),andinterestratesandmoneysupply(monetarypolicy).
ThefollowinganalysisshowshowtheAustralianeconomyhasusedfiscalpoliciestosmoothouteconomicfluctuationsandreduceits
impactonconsumers.
Fiscalpolicyuseschangesingovernmentspendingand/orreducestaxestoinfluencethelevelofaggregatedemandtoimpactthegeneraldirectionoftheeconomy.Governmentsuseinfrastructureprojectsforthispurpose,whichinvolvebuildingorrepairingroads,bridges,parksandpublicbuildingsduringrecessionsespeciallywhentheconstructionindustryisparticularlydepressed.
Inaddition,governmentspendingontransferpaymentstopeopleundertheEmploymentInsuranceandWelfareprogramsincreaseduringarecessionandtherebyprovidesmoresupporttothelevelofAggregateDemand.
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(Source:http://myweb.liu.edu)
TheRuddgovernmenttookdecisiveactiontocountertheeconomic
imbalancecausedbythe2008-2009globalfinancialcrisisthatcrippledtheeconomiesofitstradingpartnersJapan,theUnitedStatesandothers.
InOctober2008,PrimeMinisterKevinRuddannouncedacomprehensive$42billionNationBuildingEconomicStimulusPlantosupportAustralianjobsandbusinessesthatinvestedinthenationsvitalinfrastructure.Italsorolledouttaxbreaksforsmallbusinessesoncapitalexpenditureitems.Ifasmallbusinesspurchasedeligibleassetscosting$1,000ormorebetweenDecember13,2008andJune30,2009,itcouldclaimanadditional30percenttaxdeduction.
Thefollowingtablesindicatethefederalgovernment’sinitiativetopumpmoneyintosectorslikeeducation,social/defencehousing,transport/infrastructureandenergy-efficienthomes.
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(Source:www.economicstimulusplan.gov.au )
Recentreportsindicatethatthegovernment’stwoyear$42billionNationBuildingPlanhasstimulatedtheAustralianeconomyandsupportedlocaljobsmakingAustralianotonlythebestperformingadvancedeconomyin2009,butalsotheonlyadvancedeconomytorecordpositivegrowthovertheperiod.
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TreasurerWayneSwansaid,“thecommunityhasbackedintheGovernment’sstimulus;supportingjobsandgrowthduringthisglobalrecession.”
Amajorhighlightofthegovernment’sfiscalpolicyinitiativewastodelivertheNationBuildingPlanincooperationwithstateandterritorygovernmentsandlocalcouncils.
Thefirstphaseofthegovernment’sstimulusstrategybeganwiththeFirstHomeOwnersBoostinOctober2008,followedbyhandingoutmoneyordirectpaymentstohouseholds--toboostspending--inDecember2008withafurtherroundofpaymentsinMarchandApril2009.Thefirstphasehassupportedeconomicactivityandboostedconfidencewhiledirectpaymentstohouseholdshavehelpedretail
salestoremainbuoyant.
Asevidentinthementionedcharts,inJune2009,retailsaleswere5.2percenthigherthanthepre-stimuluslevelsinNovember2008.
Consumersentimentandbusinessconfidencehavereboundedstrongly,supportedbytheeffectsofthestimulusmeasures.
RetailTradeConfidence
(Source:www.economicstimulusplan.gov.au )
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TheimpactoftheFirstHomeOwnersBoostisevidentinthechartbelow.Thenumberofcommitmentsforfinanceforresidentialoccupationhasincreasedby32percentsinceSeptember2008,whilethenumberofcommitmentsforfinanceforthepurchaseor
constructionofnewpropertieshasincreasedby59percentoverthesameperiod.
HousingFinance
(Source:www.economicstimulusplan.gov.au )
TheboosttoconsumptionhascontributedsignificantlytowardsAustralia’srelativelystrongergrowthperformancecomparedwith
othercountries.Thisisreflectedinthegrossdomesticproductgrowthratesfor2008/2009untilthefirstquarterof2010.
ThesepolicieshavehelpedAustralia’seconomytoreboundafterjustonequarterofnegativegrowth.Theeconomygrew1.5percentduringthefirstthreequartersof2009–thebestperformanceintheOECD.Withoutthestimuluspaymentsflowingthroughtoconsumption,theTreasuryestimatedthattheAustralianeconomy
wouldhavecontracted.
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Unemployment,originallyexpectedtoreach8to10percent,peakedat5.8percentinlate2009andfellto5.3percentbyFebruary2010.
Apartfromthesemeasures,Australiawasoneofthefirstadvancedeconomytoraiseinterestrates--threetimes--sinceOctober2009.Besides,thegovernment’sinsulationrebateisalsointendedtoreducetheenergybillsofAustralianhouseholds.( http://myefficientplanet.com )
AccordingtoDun&Bradstreet’slatestEconomic&RiskOutlookReport,16countriesaroundtheglobehavehadtheircountryratingsdowngradedsincethebeginningof2010.(http://dnb.com.au)
However,thecontinuingimprovementinAustralia’slocal
macroeconomicenvironmenthasresultedinthecountry’srisktrendbeingupgraded–thenationhasalsobeenratedoneofthesafestcountriestoinvestglobally.
TheInternationalMonetaryFundhassingledoutAustraliaforpraise.AnewreportbytheIMFinApril2010says,“Australiaisoneoftheleadersastheglobaleconomyrecoversfromthesevererecession.”
Citingtheurgentneedforadvancedeconomiestoaddressdebtlevels,Australiahasstoodoutthroughitsrelativelylowlevelsof
indebtedness–bothpublicandprivate,whichareseenasstrongfactorstoperformbetterthanotherOECDnations,despiteintroducingstimulusmeasures.
Asseeninthechartbelow,Australia’sprojectednetdebtpositionisestimatedtobe1percentofGDPcomparedwith48percentfortheOECD.TheIMFhaspredicteda3percentgrowthrateforAustraliain2010.
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AustralianandG-7publicsectornetdebt
(Source:www.treasury.gov.au )
Inconclusion,combinedfiscalandmonetarypoliciesinfluenceaneconomy’sperformance.Australiahassofarimprovedthe
probabilityofmaintainingareasonablebalancebetweenthedemandsideandthesupplysideoftheeconomy,therebyavoidingtheextremesofrecession.
REFERENCES
Lyons,Brian2001‘CanadianMacroeconomics:problemsandpolicies’,PrenticeHallPublishers,Toronto
http://myefficientplanet.com
http://myweb.liu.edu
www.treasury.gov.au
www.economicstimulusplan.gov.au