Spss Hypotheses

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    HYPOTHESIS TESTING

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    What is Hypothesis?

    Is a statement about a population developedfor the purpose of testing.

    In most cases the population is too large that

    it is not feasible to study all items in thepopulation.

    We can, therefore, test a statement todetermine whether the sample does or does

    not support the statement concerning thepopulation.

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    SIGNIFICANCE

    When we make quantitative judgments, orhypotheses, about situations, we are either right

    or wrong.

    However, if we are wrong we may not be far

    from the real figure or that is our judgment isnot significantly different. Thus our hypotheses

    may be acceptable.

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    Example

    contractor says that it will take ! months toconstruct a house for a client. The house is

    finished in ! months and " week. The

    completion time is not ! months however it is

    not significantly different.

    http://www.clipart-graphics.net/cgi-bin/imageFolio_new.cgi?action=view&link=animations/construction&image=constr39.gif&img=32
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    STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE

    Significance is typically designated with words such assignificance, statistical significance, or

    probability.

    The latter word is the source of the letter that

    represents significance, the letter p.

    The p value identifies the lielihood that a particular

    outcome may have occurred by chance.

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    Example: ! group A may score an

    average of "# on a scale of depression while group B

    scores $% on the same scale.

    If a Ttest determines that group ! differs from group& at a p ' .(% level of significance, it may be

    concluded that there is a % in %(( probability that the

    resulting difference happened by chance, and a )) in

    %(( probability that the discrepancy in scores is areliable finding.

    The smaller the value the greater confidence the

    researcher has that his or her findings are valid.

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    Null Hypotheses

    The first step is to state the hypothesis being tested. Itis called the null hypothesis, designated *+o

    There is usually a not or a no term in the null

    hypothesis, meaning that there is no change.

    -or eample, the null hypothesis is that the number ofmiles driven on the steel/belted tire is not different

    from 0(,(((.

    Therefore, Ho: = 60,000.

    We either re1ect or fail to re1ect the null hypothesis.

    The null hypothesis is a statement that is not re1ected

    unless our sample data provide convincing evidence

    that it is false.

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    Alte!ate Hypotheses

    The alternate hypothesis describes what you will

    conclude if you re1ect the null hypothesis. It iswritten as +2.. It is also called the researchhypothesis.

    The alternate hypothesis is accepted if the sampledata provide us with enough statistical evidence that

    the null hypothesis is false.

    ! recent article indicated that the mean age of 3.S.

    commercial aircraft is %4 years.

    The null hypothesis represents the current or reportedcondition.

    +o5 6 ' %4.

    The alternate hypothesis is that the statement is not

    true5 +%5 6 7%4.

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    The t " Test Po#e$ue

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    #ndependent $ %amples t Tests

    &aired %amples t Tests

    'ne %ample t Tests

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    I!$epe!$e!t " Samples tTests

    8ompares the means of two different samples.

    The two samples share some variable of interest in

    common.

    &usiness analyst may want to find out the differencebetween the ependiture patterns of the two different

    geographical regions.

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    Example:

    The trade show &ureau conducted a survey todetermine why people go to trade shows.

    The respondents were ased to rate a series of a

    reasons on a scale from % to 4.

    % ' little importance

    4 ' great importance

    9ne of the reasons suggested was general curiosity.

    The following responses for 4( people from the

    computers:electronics industry and 4( people from

    food: beverage industry were recorded.

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    Determine whether there is a signifcantdierence between people in these twoindustries on this question

    Computers/Electronics

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    Food/Beverage

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    * ) ) ) (

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    Ni%e Case

    In a pretest data on ;ie were obtained from $4respondents. These data were given in the S

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    Paie$ Samples t & Test

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    Health Spa

    ! health spa in a town advertises a combined fitnessand diet programme where it guarantees that

    participants who are overweight will definitely loose

    a significant amount of weight if they scrupulously

    follow the course. The weights of all participants in the programme are

    recorded each time they come to the spa.

    The authorities are somewhat scepitical of the

    advertising claim so they select at random%" of the

    regular participants and they recorded weights in

    ilograms before and after 0 months in the

    programme.

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    'i(ai!e Hea$a#hes

    >igraine headaches are not uncommon. They beginwith blurred vision either in one or both eyes and

    then are often followed by severe headaches.

    There are medicines available but their efficiency is

    often ?uestioned. Studies have indicated thatmigraine is caused by stress, drining too much

    coffee, or consuming too much sugar.

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    ! study was made on %( volunteer patients whowere nown to be migraine sufferers.

    These patients were first ased to record over a si

    month period the number of migraine headachesthey eperienced. This was then calculated into theaverage number per month.

    Then they were ased to stop coffee for " months

    and record again the number of migraine attacsthey eperienced. This again was reduced tomonthly basis.

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    O!e Sample t & test

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    O!e Sample t & test

    It is designed to test whether the mean of adistribution differs significantly from some present

    value.

    @id the performance of a particular class differ

    significantly from the professorAs goal of an B=CaverageD

    Lower Tail Test Upper Tail Test

    +o5 6 E 6o +o5 6 F 6o+%5 6 G 6o +%5 6 H 6o

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    Waiti!( Time Case

    The &an manager has to develop a new system toreduce the time customers spend waiting for teller

    service during pea hours.

    The manager hopes the new system will reduce

    waiting times from the current ) to %( minutes toless than 0 minutes.

    Suppose the manager wishes to use the random

    sample of %(( waiting times to support the claim

    that the mean waiting time under the new system is

    shorter than si minutes.

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    Example

    ! soft drin company produces = liters bottles of oneof its popular drins. The ?uality control department

    is responsible for verifying that each bottle contains

    eactly two liters of soft drins.

    @ata in S

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    ANO)A

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    ANO)A

    nalysis of variance or '- is a technique oftesting hypothesis about the significant

    differences in several population means.

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    Tea#hi!( 'etho$s

    Imagine a professor was interested in how differentteaching methods affected students knowledge.

    He noticed that some professors were aloof and

    arrogant in their teaching style and humiliated

    anyone who asked them a question, while otherswere encouraging and supporting of questions and

    comments.

    The professor took three statistics courses and taught

    the same material.

    For one group of students he wandered around with

    a large cane and beat anyone who asked draft

    questions or got questions wrong (punish).

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    In the second group he used his normal teachingstyles, which is to encourage students to discuss

    things that they find difficult and to give anyone

    working hard a nice sweet reward (reward).

    The final group he remained indifferent to andneither punished or nor rewarded students efforts

    (indifferent).

    As the dependent measure he took students exam

    marks.

    Use ANOVA to test whether the three teaching styles

    are significantly different.

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    Foei(! Ta*el

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    Thanks