Spring Course Preview Harvard Kennedy School Tuesday, December 8, 2009 2:45-4:30 p.m., Forum.
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Transcript of Spring Course Preview Harvard Kennedy School Tuesday, December 8, 2009 2:45-4:30 p.m., Forum.
Spring Course PreviewHarvard Kennedy School
Tuesday, December 8, 20092:45-4:30 p.m., Forum
1.Introduction: International & Global AffairsWilliam Clark, IGA Area Chair
1. Intro2. Integrating
Concepts3. Human Rights4. Environment
& Natural Resources
5. Security6. Trade &
Finance7. Arenas8. Methods9. Q&A
2. Integrating ConceptsIGA-103 Ruggie “Global Governance” DPI-101 Baum “Political Institutions & Public Policy”
IGA-103* Global GovernanceJohn Ruggie
DPI-101 Political Institutions and Public Policy Matthew Baum
As a temporary expedient while we resolve overlaps btw IGA-101 & DPI-101(PAL-110):
Students graduating in 2010 or 2011 can count DPI-101 (old PAL-110), any section, as an IGA elective or foundation course.
IGA students graduating in 2011 who take and pass IGA-101 in fall of 2009 with grade of B- or better are automatically exempt from the MPP Core Requirement for DPI-101.
But DPI-101(old PAL-110) and IGA-101 cannot both be counted as IGA foundation courses.
Please also refer to HKS course webpage.
3. Human RightsIGA 104 Risse/Stewart “Human Rights & Int’l Politics”
IGA-304 Human Rights & Int’l PoliticsMathias Risse & Rory Stewart
4. Environment & Natural Resources
IGA-104 Clark “Managing a living planet…” IGA-320 Juma “Technology and sustainability” API-164 Hogan “Energy policy analysis” HLS-202 Hill “Population changes and consequences” IGA-325 Jasanoff “Bioethics, law and the life sciences” API-135 Stavins “Environment & Resource Economics…” BGP-204M Goldberg “Food policy and agriculture”
IGA-104* Managing a Living Planet: How Interactions Among Population, Health, Resources & Environment Shape the Stage of Global Affairs William Clark
“Safe operating space” for a living planet?
Global policy challenges covered in IGA-104:
Environment constraints on energy security…
Resurgent pandemics & antibiotic resistance
Competition for water in Indus, Mekong, Nile…
Declining agricultural output famine redux?
Geo-engineering a climate in(to) crisis?
(Rockstrom et al., Nature, 2009)
IGA-104 Managing a living planet
Goals: To understand how… ◦the stage of global affairs is shaped by the
interaction of population, disease, environment◦governance institutions can be designed to guide
the resulting play toward a common goodApproach:
◦Classic policy analysis, but supplemented with perspectives of complex adaptive systems
◦Team based investigations of particular issues, with results conveyed through a mix of oral presentations, class debates, policy memos.
◦Final “white paper” advising DM of your choice on priorities for managing living planet issues.
IGA-320 Technology & SustainabilityCalestous Juma
API-164 Energy Policy AnalysisWilliam Hogan
API-164: Energy Policy Analysis
Preview12/7/09
William Hogan, HKS
15
California Solar Energy
Arthur van Benthem, Kenneth Gillingham and James Sweeney, “Learning-by-Doing and the Optimal Solar Policy in California,” The Energy Journal, Vol. 29, No. 3., 2008, pp. 131-152.
16
California Solar EnergyRenewable Energy, No Direct Carbon
Emissions.Distributed Solar Photovoltaic.Solar Energy 0.3% of California Electricity
Supply.Net Installation Price of $7280/kW.Low Capacity Factors Imply High Cost per
kWh.
17
Schwarzenegger PlanJanuary 2004. “Million Solar Roofs
Initiative.”Target Date of 2015.California Public Utilities Commission
(CPUC) Rulemaking, January 12, 2006.“California Solar Initiative” (CSI).Solar Installation Incentives Over 11 Years.
18
Externalities and Solar PolicyConsumer Choice
◦Net Present Value◦Diffusion Process
Environmental Externalities, CO2
Learning By Doing◦Cumulative Production (global)◦Cumulative Installations (local)
19
Modeling Consumer Choice
max
max
11
max
1 11
1
1
t
tt tbNPV
t t
tt t
t tt t
t
a qq diff
a q a e
qdiff q
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Demand Curve
Diffusion (indirect LBD)
Base Demand Updating
,t
NPV Cost SubsidyConsumer Net Present Value
20
Learning-By-Doing
, 1 1BOSM
t M G t BOS tP Q Q Production
Cost
Learning Rates
Global Production, 1 2 10%
Local Installation, 1 2 10%
M
BOS
LR
LR
Learning Rate (LR) is the percentage decrease in cost from a doubling of experience.
21
Economic Efficiency
e
1
, ,
1t
Tt t t t t t t t t t
t tIt
Xq I q I NPV I Q e q I IMax PVSB I
r
Choose the trajectory of incentives to maximize the present value of the CSI.
XCarbon Externality
Electricity Price Growth Rate
Consumer IncentivestI
22
Retrofit Costs and Benefits
Source: Benthem, Gillingham and Sweeney, “Learning-by-Doing and the Optimal Solar Policy in California,” The Energy Journal, Vol. 29, No. 3., 2008, pp. 131-152.
23
Comparing Policy Profiles
Source: Benthem, Gillingham and Sweeney, “Learning-by-Doing and the Optimal Solar Policy in California,” The Energy Journal, Vol. 29, No. 3., 2008, pp. 131-152.
HLE-202 Population Changes & ConsequencesKenneth Hill
US Age-Sex Distribution 1950-2050
Source: U.S. Bureau of the CensusMillions in each age-sex group
IGA-325 Bioethics, Law & the Life SciencesSheila JasanoffAPI-135 Environmental & Resource Economics and PolicyRob StavinsBGP-204M Food Policy & AgricultureRay Goldberg
Please refer to HKS course webpage for the description of these courses:
5. SecurityIGA-303 White “Defense Resource Allocation…” IGA-306 Hehir “The Politics & Ethics of the Use of Force” IGA-307 Toft “Religion in Global Politics”
IGA-321 Bunn/Tobey “Controlling Weapons Proliferation” IGA-208B Burns “Modern Diplomacy: Peace & War…”
IGA-303 Defense Resource Allocation & Force PlanningJohn White
IGA-306 The Politics & Ethics of the Use of ForceBryan Hehir
IGA-307 Religion in Global PoliticsMonica Toft
IGA-321 Controlling Weapons ProliferationMatthew Bunn & William Tobey
IGA-208B Modern Diplomacy: Peace & War in the 21st CenturyNicholas Burns
Please refer to HKS course webpage.
In response to high demand, Prof. Burns has graciously agreed to offer this spring version of the same course taught in the fall term.
6. Trade & FinanceITF-220 Frankel “The Economics of Int’l Financial Policy”
Please refer to HKS course webpage.
7. ArenasIGA-327 Jachtenfuchs “The European Union…” IGA-207 Masoud “Middle Eastern Politics & Policy” IGA-333 Cesari “Jihad in World Politics” PED-312 The Political Economy of Transition in China IGA-201 Allison “Central Challenges of American For. Pol.”
IGA-327 The European Union: Institutions, Decision-
Making, Politics Markus Jachtenfuchs Please also refer to HKS course webpage.
IGA-207 Middle Eastern Politics & PolicyTarek Masoud
IGA-201 Central Challenges of American Foreign Policy Graham Allison
IGA-333 Jihad in World Politics Jocelyne CesariPED-312 The Political Economy of Transition in China Tony Saich
Please refer to HKS course webpage for the description of these courses:
8. MethodsIGA-102 Temkin “World & U.S. Since 1917” DPI-703 Keyssar [Temkin] “Understanding Democracy…” API-309 Hidalgo “Networks, Complexity, & their App’s” MLD-202 Williams “Exercising Leadership…”
IGA-102* World & U.S. Since 1917: Policy, Politics, & Uses of History Moshik Temkin
DPI-703 Understanding Democracy through History Alex Keyssar (presented by Moshik Temkin)
Please also refer to HKS course webpage.
API-309 Networks, Complexity, and their ApplicationsCesar Hidalgo
MLD-202 Exercising Leadership: A Cross-Cultural & Int’l Perspective Dean Williams
Please refer to HKS course webpage.
9. Questions & Answers
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