SPREAD 2050: Peak Everything & Black Swans

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Perfect Storm SPREAD workshop 2011-11-24 Coreorient Oy Harri Paloheimo 08/25/22 © Coreorient Oy 2011. All rights reserved. 1

description

Harri Paloheimo explains peak everything and Black Swans.Counting Backwards Workshop, 24–25 Nov 2011 / the Helsinki meeting of 60 experts in SPREAD Sustainable Lifestyles 2050. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu &www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu/community

Transcript of SPREAD 2050: Peak Everything & Black Swans

Page 1: SPREAD 2050: Peak Everything & Black Swans

Perfect Storm

SPREAD workshop2011-11-24

Coreorient OyHarri Paloheimo

04/10/23 © Coreorient Oy 2011. All rights reserved. 1

Page 2: SPREAD 2050: Peak Everything & Black Swans

04/10/23 © Coreorient Oy 2011. All rights reserved. 2

Northern hemisphere Ave. Surface temperature

population

CO2

GDP

Loss of tropical rainforest and woodland

Water useSpecies extenction

motor vehicles

Fisheriesexploited

Ozone depletion

Phosphorusprice

Source: New Scientist, 2008

Rare earth Metals price

Page 3: SPREAD 2050: Peak Everything & Black Swans

Oil EROEI

04/10/23 © Coreorient Oy 2011. All rights reserved. 3

Energy cost

Net energyUSA 100:1

USA 30:1

USA 11:1

World18:1

Page 4: SPREAD 2050: Peak Everything & Black Swans

Black Swans

04/10/23 © Coreorient Oy 2011. All rights reserved. 4

Fusion energy,energy prices drop 90%

Methane clathrateserupt

Megatsunami , 10 nuclear plants explode in India, fall-out over China

China initates a globalgeongineering program

India and Pakistan go to war over waterUsing tactical nuclear weapons

Global pandemia cuts population to 1 BN

US economy collapses, federal state dissolves, no more ”american dream”

Saudi-arabia becomes afailed state, oil price 1000$/bbl,gold 10 k$/oz

Cell ageing solved,Life expectancy 150 yrs

Palm oil revolution,ex -3rd world takes the Global leadership

Green-militia&anti wall-streetmovementspreads globally