Spotlight on South and Latin America 2011 International Business Institute for Community College...
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Transcript of Spotlight on South and Latin America 2011 International Business Institute for Community College...
Spotlight on South and Spotlight on South and Latin AmericaLatin America
2011 International Business Institute for Community College Faculty
Dr. Manuel ChavezMICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITYCollege of Communication Arts & Sciences School of JournalismLatin American Studies
Central Questions about Latin America & South America
What are the differences between Latin America and South America?
Has Latin America improved in the last five years?
Is there another leader besides Mexico and Brazil?
Is Latin America ready for change, especially for regional free trade (FTAA)?
Is the business environment the same across Latin America?
Reality vs Assumptions
Business Realities in Latin America the hard way… Significant differences by country and by region
More than economics, institutional capacity is critical
…and accountability and transparency
…and also, the Rule of Law
National cultures vs Corporate cultures
Is NAFTA-Mexico a good example?…well
Is NAFTA-Mexico a good example? Cross-cultural exchange very fluid and positive, resulting in:
Mexico continues to be the largest recipient of FDI, specially from the United States and Canada (strategic sectors of Canada Investments)
American corporations are in most Mexican cities and regions (except for the South)
How well do U.S. corporations do in Mexico?
Auto Industry (GM, Ford, Chrysler)
Electronics & computers (Apple, Dell, Sony, HP)
Appliances (GE, Whirlpool, LG)
Aeronautics (GE, RR, Bombardier, Bell Aviation)
Agro-industries (Kellogg’s, Pilgrims Pride, Monsanto)
So, the business and economic model is working
Canada as Economic leader in Latin America
Strategic alliances with Mexico, Cuba, and the Caribbean. Sectors: Energy Telecommunications Transportation Financial & Insurance
Foreign Relations and Influence of Canada Public Diplomacy
North America (NAFTA) XXI Century Realities
a. NAFTA consolidation and expansion (NA currency)
b. Economic regional free trade with the Americas
c. Competition focusing on the EU + EE countries
d. 2005 Security and Prosperity Partnership (SPP) of North America
e. NATIONAL SECURITY
The New Economic Pattern ofNorth America
Post-industrial USA, from manufacturing based to technology-knowledge based.
U.S. vertical integration Canada and Mexico link
to the U.S. market NAFTA US-FTA with Chile,
Panama, Peru, and Colombia
CAFTA (Central America and the DR)
FTAA (is it dead?)
North American Free Trade Agreement –2010 Results
2010 Total Value $917.3 billion Increase in the last 5 years by 31% Trade with Canada equals $524 billion,
increase by 12% in 5y Trade with Mexico equals $393 billion
increase by 61% in 5y Trade with Canada and Mexico
accounts for almost 47% of the total U.S. trade
The U.S. is trade partner #1 for Canada and Mexico. For the U.S. # 1 and # 3.
U.S. corporations seeking to export to EU through Mexico
2005 Security and prosperity agenda (logistics, logistics, and logistics)
Data: U.S. Dept. of Commerce and U.S. Trade Authority Office
Security and Prosperity Partnership of North America (SPP)…NAFTA and the Post 9/11 effect
Signed in Waco, Texas. March 23, 2005
New initiative to strengthen regional interdependence in NAFTA Countries –the Post 9/11 effect (SPP)
SECURITY
PROSPERITY
Content areas
Traveler security
Cargo security
Bio-protection
Aviation security
Maritime security
Law enforcement cooperation
Intelligence cooperation
Protection, prevention and response
Border facilitation
Science and technology cooperation
Manufactured goods, sectoral & regional competitiveness
Movement of goods
E-commerce and ICT
Financial services
Transportation
Energy
Environment
Food and agriculture
Health
Tota l areas
10
9
Mercosur and how Americas’ trade is difficult
Brazil controls on trade in South America, until Argentina and Chile resisted
Venezuela’s manipulation of oil and nationalistic policies –resisted by Brazil
Argentina’s protectionism and separation of U.S. but in practice...
Competition to attract foreign direct investment….all over the continent
Wide Latin American strong opposition to U.S. subsidies
Production of ethanol
What variables have a critical role for the U.S. to induce FTAs?
Addition of Eastern European countries to EU
National security in the continent–a premium variable for the U.S.
Political stability in the continent
Sustainable economic growth
But, is the U.S. Congress ready?
What are the regional political variables that collide with U.S. interests?
Venezuela –the expansion of the Chavez model
Cuba -the transition to market economics
The political left expansion: Brazil, Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru, Chile, Nicaragua.
Lack of real economic improvement (per capita) due to trade
…and a key variable: the Socio-
economic conditions in Latin America
…and another: the Socio-economic
conditions in Latin America
Yet, the U.S. Dept. of Commerce is seeking to reactivate negotiations by: sparking and sustaining innovation creating solutions in education and workforce
development designing successful global supply chain
strategies fostering small business development and
growth
Mexico Basic Briefing Population 2010:
113.7 million Capital (population):
Mexico City (18,000,000)
Life expectancy at birth: male 74.7 years, female 79.2 years (2010 est.)
Physicians per 1000 people: 1.73
Rural/urban population ratio: 26/74
GDP: 1.05 trillion GDP per capita:
$13,900 (2010)
Mexico’s economic model North American
Transportation sector 3rd generation
“maquiladora” production
Energy production Tourism & retirement
What is the future of Mexico’s socio-economic scenario?
a. Rule of law, accountability and transparency
b. Reduction of social inequality
c. Investment in R&D
d. Heavy investment in human capital infrastructure
Brazil Basic Briefing Population 2010:
167.7 million Capital (population):
Brasilia City (4 million) Life expectancy at birth:
male 68.7 years, female 76.2 years (2010 est.)
Physicians per 1000 people: 1.03
Rural/urban population ratio: 13/87
GDP: 1.8 trillion GDP per capita:
$10,800 (2010)
Brazil Economic Model
Active closeness with Europe
Less dependency from the U.S.
IndustrializationNational economic
developmentGlobal roleEnergy supplier
Brazil’s future scenario focus on socio-economic development
a. Rule of Law
b. Reduction of social inequality
c. Investment in R&D
d. Heavy investment in human capital infrastructure
e. So what?....
Working force development requires to add International Education and Skills (+)
Working Knowledge in: Language skills –
functional level Culture at the exchange
level Political, economic, and
social systems. National cultures Corporate cultures
abroad