Special report by epic reseach 8 october 2013

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DAILY REPORT 08 th OCTOBER. 2013 YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300 Global markets at a glance European stocks dropped on Monday in thin volumes, with one benchmark index hitting a four-week low as investors fretted over lack of progress in resolving Washington's budget standoff. The euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 index was down 1.1 %, at 2,897.38 points. UK's FTSE 100 index was down 0.8 %, Germany's DAX index down 1.1 % and France's CAC 40 down 1 %. The Nikkei share average dropped to a one-month low on Monday as the lack of progress in resolving the U.S. budget standoff left investors increasingly frustrated. The Nikkei dropped 1.2 % to 13,853.32 after falling to as low as 13,841.93, the lowest level since Sept. 6. The index fell for a fourth day. Wall Street Update U.S. Democrats and Republicans came no closer on Sunday to a budget agreement that would end a government shut- down, let alone reaching a deal on the U.S. borrowing limit by Oct. 17 to avoid what would be an unprecedented de- fault. U.S. Standard & Poor's 500 e-mini futures dipped 0.1 percent in Asian trade after the cash index ended down 0.9 percent on Monday and dropped for the 10th time in the past 13 sessions. U.S. Treasury futures added 4-1/2 ticks. Previous day Roundup After a tepid session on negative global cues, the market ended on a flat down. The Sensex closed down 20.85 points at 19895.10 while the Nifty managed to end above the 5900 at 5906.15, down 1.15 points. About 1255 shares advanced, 1077 shares declined, and 150 shares were unchanged. Index stats Bank Nifty & Bankex both declined 1.13% & 1.16% respec- tively, the sectors which were in positive move in yester- day’s session were; Healthcare [up 83.18pts], IT [up 97.22pts], FMCG [up 0.15pts], Metals [up 79.66pts], TECK [up 40.48pts], Power [up 6.91pts]. The sectors declined were: Consumer Durables [down 17.02pts], Capital Goods [down 31.33pts], AUTO [down 22.08pts], , Oil & Gas [down 22.29pts], PSU [down 22.45pts], REALTY [down 3.94pts]. World Indices Index Value % Change D J l 14,936.24 -0.90 S&P 500 1,676.12 -0.85 NASDAQ 3,770.38 -0.98 EURO STO 2,923.04 -0.18 FTSE 100 6,437.28 -0.26 Nikkei 225 13,843.01 -0.07 Hong Kong 23,029.45 +0.24 Top Gainers Company CMP Change % Chg RANBAXY 379.90 19.70 +5.47 TATASTEEL 301.45 13.00 +4.51 BPCL 355.40 13.95 +4.09 TCS 2,095.75 62.15 +3.06 HINDALCO 121.65 3.60 +3.05 Top Losers Company CMP Change % Chg COAL INDIA 300.00 10.05 -3.24 BHARTIARTL 321.85 6.50 -1.98 AXISBANK 1,071.00 21.55 -1.97 ICICIBANK 916.65 13.95 -1.50 MARUTI 1,408.10 20.40 -1.48 Stocks at 52 Week’s high Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg HCLTECH 1,118.00 21.20 +1.93 JUSTDIAL 930.00 -99.45 -9.66 SUNPHARMA 604.65 4.20 +0.70 TCS 2,095.75 62.15 +3.06 TECHM 1,447.55 46.85 +3.34 Indian Indices Company CMP Change % Chg NIFTY 5,906.15 -1.15 -0.02 SENSEX 19,895.10 -20.85 -0.10 Stocks at 52 Week’s Low Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg FLFL 114.05 6.00 -5.00 JSL 36.80 -0.05 -0.14

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Transcript of Special report by epic reseach 8 october 2013

Page 1: Special report by epic reseach 8 october 2013

DAILY REPORT

08th OCTOBER. 2013

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

Global markets at a glance

European stocks dropped on Monday in thin volumes, with

one benchmark index hitting a four-week low as investors

fretted over lack of progress in resolving Washington's

budget standoff. The euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50

index was down 1.1 %, at 2,897.38 points. UK's FTSE 100

index was down 0.8 %, Germany's DAX index down 1.1 %

and France's CAC 40 down 1 %.

The Nikkei share average dropped to a one-month low on

Monday as the lack of progress in resolving the U.S.

budget standoff left investors increasingly frustrated. The

Nikkei dropped 1.2 % to 13,853.32 after falling to as low as

13,841.93, the lowest level since Sept. 6. The index fell for

a fourth day.

Wall Street Update

U.S. Democrats and Republicans came no closer on Sunday

to a budget agreement that would end a government shut-

down, let alone reaching a deal on the U.S. borrowing limit

by Oct. 17 to avoid what would be an unprecedented de-

fault. U.S. Standard & Poor's 500 e-mini futures dipped 0.1

percent in Asian trade after the cash index ended down

0.9 percent on Monday and dropped for the 10th time in

the past 13 sessions. U.S. Treasury futures added 4-1/2

ticks.

Previous day Roundup

After a tepid session on negative global cues, the market

ended on a flat down. The Sensex closed down 20.85

points at 19895.10 while the Nifty managed to end above

the 5900 at 5906.15, down 1.15 points. About 1255

shares advanced, 1077 shares declined, and 150 shares

were unchanged.

Index stats

Bank Nifty & Bankex both declined 1.13% & 1.16% respec-

tively, the sectors which were in positive move in yester-

day’s session were; Healthcare [up 83.18pts], IT [up

97.22pts], FMCG [up 0.15pts], Metals [up 79.66pts], TECK

[up 40.48pts], Power [up 6.91pts]. The sectors declined

were: Consumer Durables [down 17.02pts], Capital Goods

[down 31.33pts], AUTO [down 22.08pts], , Oil & Gas [down

22.29pts], PSU [down 22.45pts], REALTY [down 3.94pts].

World Indices

Index Value % Change

D J l 14,936.24 -0.90

S&P 500 1,676.12 -0.85

NASDAQ 3,770.38 -0.98

EURO STO 2,923.04 -0.18

FTSE 100 6,437.28 -0.26

Nikkei 225 13,843.01 -0.07

Hong Kong 23,029.45 +0.24

Top Gainers

Company CMP Change % Chg

RANBAXY 379.90 19.70 +5.47

TATASTEEL 301.45 13.00 +4.51

BPCL 355.40 13.95 +4.09

TCS 2,095.75 62.15 +3.06

HINDALCO 121.65 3.60 +3.05

Top Losers

Company CMP Change % Chg

COAL INDIA 300.00 10.05 -3.24

BHARTIARTL 321.85 6.50 -1.98

AXISBANK 1,071.00 21.55 -1.97

ICICIBANK 916.65 13.95 -1.50

MARUTI 1,408.10 20.40 -1.48

Stocks at 52 Week’s high

Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg

HCLTECH 1,118.00 21.20 +1.93

JUSTDIAL 930.00 -99.45 -9.66

SUNPHARMA 604.65 4.20 +0.70

TCS 2,095.75 62.15 +3.06

TECHM 1,447.55 46.85 +3.34

Indian Indices

Company CMP Change % Chg

NIFTY 5,906.15 -1.15 -0.02

SENSEX 19,895.10 -20.85 -0.10

Stocks at 52 Week’s Low

Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg

FLFL 114.05 6.00 -5.00

JSL 36.80 -0.05 -0.14

Page 2: Special report by epic reseach 8 october 2013

DAILY REPORT

08th OCTOBER. 2013

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]

1. TECH MAHINDRA

TECH MAHINDRA is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to sustain above 1450. We advise buying around 1450-1460 levels with strict stop loss of 1420 for targets of 1475-1490.

2. RANBAXY

RANBAXY FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to sustain above 390. We advise buying above 390 with strict stop loss of 378 for the targets of 398-410 levels.

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]

1. APAR INDUSTRIES LTD

APAR INDUSTRIES LTD is looking strong on charts . We ad-vice buying above 107 with strict stop loss of 102 for the targets of 112-115 levels.

MACRO NEWS

The finance ministry may raise statutory wage ceiling for PF contributions to Rs 15,000 per month from Rs 6,500. that can sharply reduce govt's borrowing costs, bring long-term savings into cash strapped infrastruc-ture sectors, deepen corporate bond market & even make Indian stocks less vulnerable to whims of FII.

The ministry of disinvestment and ministry of power have been working on offer-for-sale of NHPC and that also has not been finalized yet. As far as buyback goes, there is no decision in the company to go for it.

Force Motors Ltd reported a 40.70 per cent rise in net profit at Rs 26.93 crore for the quarter ended Septem-ber 30, 2013 on the account of tax gains.

CRISIL on Monday said credit quality of India Inc is on a "slippery wicket" due to demand slowdown and liquid-ity issues, and that banks will therefore see further slip-pages in the already deteriorating asset quality.

Chinese markets will reopen on Tuesday after a week long holiday on account of National Day.

India's Apollo Tyres Ltd and Cooper Tire & Rubber Co are at odds over whether Apollo can reduce the price for its proposed takeover of the U.S. firm, the latest hurdle in a deal beset by lawsuits and labor issues.

EQUITY CASH & FUTURE

Page 3: Special report by epic reseach 8 october 2013

DAILY REPORT

08th OCTOBER. 2013

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

FUTURE & OPTION

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION

Symbol Option

Type

Strike

Price

LTP Traded

Volume

(Contracts)

Open

Interest

NIFTY PE 5,700 73.85 1,96,655 49,39,050

NIFTY PE 5,800 99.80 1,89,347 44,11,700

NIFTY PE 5,600 54.00 1,28,852 40,50,850

BANK NIFTY PE 9,500 181.20 11,446 2,16,800

SBIN PE 1,600 54.60 3,675 2,55,000

INFY PE 2,600 55.70 3,339 4,98,125

RELIANCE PE 840 23.90 2,616 4,82,750

ICICIBANK PE 900 34.55 1,363 1,1,68,250

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION

Symbol Option

Type

Strike

Price

LTP Traded

Volume

(Contracts)

Open

Interest

NIFTY CE 6,100 82.20 2,31,740 47,51,650

NIFTY CE 6,000 126.00 2,30,044 40,66,150

NIFTY CE 6,200 49.55 1,88,932 31,92,850

BANKNIFTY CE 10,500 245.05 12,722 2,43,475

SBIN CE 1,700 46.50 2,964 2,81,250

RELIANCE CE 900 12.40 2,928 7,27,250

INFY CE 3,500 54.60 2,528 5,00,250

RANBAXY CE 400 15.60 2,187 7,93,500

TATASTEEL CE 300 16.50 1,840 7,58,000

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS

BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY SELL

No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES 68554 1984.36 78160 2252.72 395859 11484.72 -268.36

INDEX OPTIONS 430767 12381.24 446363 12849.55 1779938 52389.05 -468.32

STOCK FUTURES 46917 1303.55 51594 1413.81 919851 25732.94 -110.26

STOCK OPTIONS 25705 682.18 28679 766.33 55320 1499.98 -84.15

TOTAL -931.09

INDICES S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2

NIFTY 5795.18 5850.66 5881.33 5936.81 5967.48

NIFTYJUNIOR 11483.88 11542.06 11575.53 11633.71 11667.18

STOCKS IN NEWS Reliance Infra to commission 5 million tonnes per annum cement unit in October JSW Steel acquires Heidelberg Cement's Raigad grinding unit Ranbaxy Laboratories hunts for FDA is looking to buy a manufacturing facility in India. Tatas to operate Taj Mansingh for three-six months after lease ends. GAIL, NTPC are renting out the Dabhol plant (1,967-MW unit) to pvt electricity generators. Tata Steel can raise upto Rs 5200- 5300 crore by stake sales.

NIFTY FUTURE

Nifty Future as expected closed in the green in last trading day. We advise buying on dips around 5920-5930 with stop loss of 5890 for targets of 5960-5980.

Page 4: Special report by epic reseach 8 october 2013

DAILY REPORT

08th OCTOBER. 2013

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

RECOMMENDATIONS

SILVER

TRADING STRATEGY:

BUY SILVER ABOVE 49900TGTS 50200/50500 SL 49500

SELL SILVER BELOW 49250 TGTS 48950/48650 SL 49600

GOLD

TRADING STRATEGY:

BUY GOLD ABOVE 29600 TGTS 29700/29800 SL 29470

SELL GOLD BELOW 29330 TGTS 29230/ 29130 SL 29450

COMMODITY ROUNDUP

Crude oil prices edged lower in Asian trade today on grow-ing concerns that the US budget crisis could spiral into a devastating debt default and ravage the global econ-omy. MCX crude oil futures for October delivery was seen trading down by 0.28% at Rs. 6368 per barrel as of 15.03 IST on Monday. WTI crude oil for November delivery was seen trading with a loss of $1.15 at $102.69 per barrel as of 14.59 IST on Monday.

India gold futures edged up on Monday amid a steady trend on Comex and depreciation of Indian Rupee against US Dollar. Upcoming physical festive demand for the yel-low metal was seen supporting MCX gold prices to certain extent. INR was seen touching 61.85 against USD, a depre-ciation of 0.78% as of 16.02 IST on Monday. Gold futures for December delivery on India's Multi Commodity Ex-change was seen trading up by 0.80% at Rs.29322 per 10 grams as of 15.34 IST on Monday.MCX silver December delivery was seen trading up by 0.81% at Rs.48588 per kilogram as of 15.44 IST on Monday. Comex gold futures for December delivery on electronic platform was seen trading with a gain of $2.9 at $1312.8 per troy ounce while silver was seen trading at $21.76 per troy ounce as of 16.00 IST on Monday.

MCX copper futures for November delivery was seen trad-ing down by 0.29% at Rs. 452.90 per kilogram as of 16.33 IST while copper on London Metal Exchange (LME) for de-livery in three months was seen trading up by 0.83% at $7191 a metric ton as of 14.35 IST on Monday.

If US government fails to raise borrowing limit by October 17, then there would be serious consequences on the economy. Gold traders are eyeing on upcoming physical demand from Asia, especially from India which is expected to go up ahead of upcoming festive demand.

Data from the U.S. Mint show that so far in October, 6,000 ounces of gold coins were sold month-to-date, said Bar-clays Capital in a research note. All four sizes of American Eagle gold coins advanced in September. Sales accumu-lated to 13,000 ounces, marking a 13% increase from the prior month yet tumbling 81% from the same time last year.

COMMODITY MCX

Page 5: Special report by epic reseach 8 october 2013

DAILY REPORT

08th OCTOBER. 2013

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

RECOMMENDATIONS

CASTORSEED

BUY CASTORSEED ABOVE 3565 TG 3595,3625 SL 3525 SELL CASTORSEED BELOW 3500 TG 3470,3440 SL 3550

DHANIYA

BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 6280 TG 6310,6340 SL 61 6240 SELL DHANIYA BELOW 5900TG 5870,5840 SL 5950

NCDEX ROUNDUP

Cotton yarn exports from India, which has touched 120 mn

kg per month, is likely to drop by 20% in the current fiscal

following the UPA govt's sudden decision to remove the

exports benefits under focus market scheme (FMS) on cot-

ton yarn. FMS is aimed at developing new markets across

the globe for Indian products. In the first week of October

last year, price of a candy of cotton (Sankar 6 variety) was

32,900 and the price of a kg of cotton yarn was 228. But

this year cotton prices have climbed to 48,500 a candy and

the cotton yarn prices is hovering around 256 a kg.

Maize production in India this year is likely to touch record

25 million tonnes as adequate monsoon rains trigger

higher acreage across growing states. According to data

available from Ministry of Agriculture, area of maize as on

October 2 has risen by 11% to 82.24 lakh hectare as

against 74 lakh hectare in the corresponding period of last

year.

Chana Soars, Spot Prices Around Two Week Highs ; Chana

futures soared yaeterday. Good demand in ready daals

market pushed up Chana prices today, ensuring that the

commodity extends its recent recovery. Arrivals in Delhi

market are steady at 40 trucks today. The supplies have

hovered in the range of around 30/40 trucks per day in last

few weeks. Good demand is seen in Urad and Masoor.

NCDEX

NCDEX INDICES

Index Value % Change

Barley 1215 -0.45

Castor Seed 3521 +0.11

Chana 3002 +3.45

Chilli 5782 -0.28

Coriander 6216 +4.00

Cotton Seed Oilcake 1489 -0.33

Jeera 12807.5 +1.11

Mustard seed 3513 +0.69

Ref Soya Oil 683.9 +1.06

Turmeric 4788 +1.10

Page 6: Special report by epic reseach 8 october 2013

DAILY REPORT

08th OCTOBER. 2013

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

USD/INR

USD/INR has closed @62.2350. If it breaks 61.95, it can

touch the level of 61.76 & 61.38. If it sustains above the

level of 62.95, it can touch the level of 63.20 & 63.61.

GBP/INR

GBP/INR has closed @100.0525. If it breaks 99.35, it can

touch the level of 99.00 & 98.78. If it sustains above the

level of 100.55 it can touch the level of 100.85 & 101.44.

CURRENCY ROUNDUP The RBI will look at easing restrictions on the forex futures market once the rupee stabilizes. RBI is also in talks with SEBI on making the dollar-rupee over-the-counter and futures market trades on a delivery basis.

In line with equity market, the rupee snapped its three-day

winning spree and was lower by 34 paisa at 61.78 in late

morning trade today on renewed dollar demand from

banks and importers amid its higher value overseas. The

rupee resumed lower at 61.50 per dollar as against the last

weekend's level of 61.44 at the Interbank Foreign Ex-

change Market. It dropped further to 61.85 before quoting

61.78 per dollar at 1045 hours. It moved in a range of

61.50 and 61.85 per dollar during the morning deals.

The Indian Rupee appreciated by 0.5 % on Friday's trading

session and closed at 61.44 on the back of struggling Dollar

index. Further, Foreign fund flows and selling of dollar by

companies supported currency to gain strength. Addition-

ally, RBI measures to attract more Inflows and ease in Geo-

political tensions acted as positive factors for the Indian

Rupee. However, weak economic data from the country

curbed sharp appreciation in the Indian Rupee.

The dollar skidded to near an eight-month low on Tuesday as the U.S. government shutdown entered its second week, leaving investors on tenterhooks as politicians in Washington made little headway in agreeing a deal to avoid an historic U.S. debt default. The dollar was steady at 79.979 against a basket of major currencies after slipping 0.2% overnight to not far from an eight-month trough touched last week. Against the yen, the greenback held steady at 96.80 yen after falling as much as 0.2% to 96.55 yen, hitting an eight-week low earlier in the Asian session. It dropped 0.8 percent overnight to mark its biggest de-cline against the Japanese currency since Sept. 18, when the Federal Reserve shocked investors by deciding to con-tinue its stimulus program.

CURRENCY

RBI Reference Rate

Currency Rate Currency Rate

Rupee- $ 61.7760 Yen-100 63.6200

Euro 83.8360 GBP 99.0640

Page 7: Special report by epic reseach 8 october 2013

DAILY REPORT

08th OCTOBER. 2013

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

CALL REPORT

Disclaimer

US ECONOMIC REPORT

PERFORMANCE UPDATES

Date Commodity/ Currency Pairs Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark

07/10/13 MCX GOLD OCT. BUY 29290 29390-29490 29190 NOT EXECUTED

07/10/13 MCX GOLD DEC. SELL 28900 28800-28700 29120 BOOKED FULL PROFIT

07/10/13 MCX SILVER OCT. BUY 48620 48920-49220 48200 NOT EXECUTED

07/10/13 MCX SILVER DEC. SELL 47700 47400-47100 48100 BOOKED FULL PROFIT

07/10/13 NCDEX CASTOR SEED OCT. SELL 3470 3440-3410 3520 NOT EXECUTED

07/10/13 NCDEX CASTOR SEED OCT. BUY 3590 3620-3650 3540 NOT EXECUTED

07/10/13 NCDEX DHANIYA OCT. BUY 6110 6140-6170 6050 BOOKED FULL PROFIT

07/10/13 NCDEX DHANIYA OCT. SELL 5900 5870-5840 5950 NOT EXECUTED

07/10/13 GBP/INR OCT. SELL 99.20 99.00-98.78 NOT EXECUTED

07/10/13 EUR/INR OCT. SELL 84.05 83.90-83.80 NOT EXECUTED

07/10/13 GBP/INR OCT. BUY 100.50 100.85-101.12 NOT EXECUTED

07/10/13 EUR/INR OCT. BUY 84.80 84.95-85.20 NOT EXECUTED

Date Scrip

CASH/

FUTURE/

OPTION

Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark

07/10/13 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 5930-5950 5980-5990 5900 CALL OPEN

07/10/13 ARVIND FUTURE BUY 90 92-94 87 BOOKED PROFIT

07/10/13 ZEE FUTURE BUY 248-251 255-258 245 NOT EXECUTED

07/10/13 TBZ CASH BUY 142 147-152 135 BOOKED PROFIT

04/10/13 BANKBARODA FUTURE BUY 252-230 538-545 505 CALL OPEN

04/10/13 AXISBANK FUTURE BUY 1100-1110 1135-1150 1085 SL TRIGGERED

04/10/13 BANK OF INDIA CASH BUY 175 179-182 170 BOOKED PROFIT

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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS

TUESDAY, OCT. 8

7:30 am NFIB small business index Sept. -- 94.0

8:30 am Trade deficit* Aug. -$39.5 bln -$39.1 bln

10 am Job openings* Aug. -- 3.7 mln

WEDNESDAY, OCT. 9

10 am Wholesale inventories* Aug. -- 0.1%

2 pm FOMC minutes 9/18

2 pm Federal budget* Oct. -- -$75 bln

THURSDAY, OCT. 10

8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 10/5 N/A 308,000

8:30 am Import price index* Sept. 0.2% 0.0%

FRIDAY, OCT. 11

8:30 am Retail sales* Sept. 0.2% 0.2%

8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos* Sept. 0.4% 0.1%

8:30 am Producer price index* Sept 0.2% 0.3%

8:30 am Core PPI* Sept. 0.1% 0.0%

9:55 am UMich consumer sentiment index Oct. 78.2 77.5

10 am Business inventories* Aug. 0.3% 0.4%