Special report by epic reseach 11 october 2013
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Transcript of Special report by epic reseach 11 october 2013
DAILY REPORT
11th OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance European shares rebounded on Thursday on signs of pro-gress in Washington on ending the U.S. fiscal stalemate and averting a possible debt default. Japan's Nikkei share average gained 1.1 percent and hit a one-week high on Thursday, buoyed by hopes that U.S. politicians will resolve the fiscal standoff soon, lifting such exporters as Toyota Motor Corp and Honda Motor Co. The Nikkei closed up at 14,194.71 after touching 14,200.31, its highest since Oct. 3. After consecutive three day losses the US indices re-bounded though it closed on a mixed note. The DJIA gained the most amongst the US indices by 0.18% while the S&P 500 added 0.06 %. However, NASDAQ declined by 0.46%. Wall Street Update The U.S. government is in its 10th day of a partial shut-down and has a week before the government’s borrowing authority lapses on Oct. 17. House Republican and Senate Democratic leaders are open to a short-term increase in the $16.7 trillion debt limit. U.S. stock-index futures climbed, indicating the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index will rise for a second day, amid signs the nation’s lawmakers may agree on a compromise deal to avoid a debt default. Contracts on the Dow Jones Indus-trial Average increased 110 points, or 0.8%, to 14,838 yes-terday. Previous day Roundup After a volatile session, the Nifty managed to hold 6000 till the end. The Nifty closed up 13.50 points at 6020.95 while Sensex was up 23.65 points at 20272.91. About 1404 shares have advanced, 1008 shares declined, and 152 shares are unchanged. Index stats Bank Nifty & Bankex both declined 0.45% & 0.39% respec-tively, the sectors which were in positive move in yester-day’s session were; Consumer Durables [up 2.93pts], Capi-tal Goods [up 14.99pts], AUTO [up 223.95pts], Healthcare [up 35.83pts], IT [up 36.25pts], Power [up 4.82pts], REALTY [up 3.96pts], TECK [up 13.62pts], PSU [up 18.50pts], Met-als [up 43.02pts], except Oil & Gas [down 7.75pts], FMCG [down pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 15,126.07 +2.18
S&P 500 1,692.56 +2.18
NASDAQ 3,760.75 +2.26
EURO STO 2,969.41 +2.23
FTSE 100 6,430.49 +1.46
Nikkei 225 14,381.11 +1.31
Hong Kong 23,219.22 +1.17
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
TATAMOTORS 373.85 19.65 +5.55
RANBAXY 393.15 12.65 +3.32
NMDC 131.35 4.20 +3.30
LUPIN 939.00 24.50 +2.68
GRASIM 2,760.80 55.90 +2.07
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
TATAPOWER 83.50 2.35 -2.74
HINDALCO 116.75 2.85 -2.38
KOTAKBANK 707.10 11.70 -1.63
HINDUNILVR 601.15 9.05 -1.48
BAJAJ-AUTO 2,122.00 31.90 -1.48
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
AMARAJABAT 310.45 7.55 -2.37
HCL TECH 1,118.50 6.70 +0.60
IDEA 183.60 1.25 +0.69
IPCALAB 731.00 19.90 +2.80
LUPIN 939.00 24.50 +2.68
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 6,020.95 +13.50 +0.22
SENSEX 20,272.91 +23.65 +0.12
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
FLFL 97.85 5.10 -4.95
GLOBOFFS 45.00 1.70 -3.64
DAILY REPORT
11th OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. HAVELLS
HAVELLS FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up
has been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to
sustain above 705. We advise buying above 705 levels with
strict stop loss of 690 for the targets of 720-745 levels.
2. TATA MOTORS
TATA MOTORS FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long
build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it con-
tinues to sustain above 375. We advise buying around 370-
375 levels with strict stop loss of 360 for the targets of 390-
400 levels.
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. NATCO PHARMA LTD
NATCO PHARMA LTD is looking strong on charts . We advise
buying above 685 with strict stop loss of 660 for the tar-
gets of 910-935 levels.
MACRO NEWS
INFOSYS Q2 Result is to be announced today.
August IIP Numbers will be declared today.
INFLATION: CPI & WPI - Both sets of figures will be re-
leased late on Monday 14 October.
The Fed announced that it won’t release the September
gauge of manufacturing, utility and mining output as
scheduled on Oct. 17. Instead, it will delay the report
until after the government reopens. Thursday’s import
price report, Friday’s producer price index, the con-
sumer price index scheduled for Oct. 16, and last week’s
September jobs report have all been delayed. Alterna-
tive dates have not been set. The Commerce Depart-
ment has also delayed all reports, including this week’s
trade data.
IMF -Cuts India's FY14 GDP growth forecast to 3.8 per-
cent from 5.6 percent in July
Govt. revisiting policy that allows infra developers to
exit highway projects by divesting their entire stake,
decision prompted by complaints about confusion
over taxation issues that could arise such transactions.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
DAILY REPORT
11th OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 5,800 56.00 1,81,307 47,82,900
NIFTY PE 5,900 79.00 1,69,119 38,60,550
NIFTY PE 6,000 110.05 1,33,328 31,44,500
BANK NIFTY PE 9,500 113.90 9,232 3,78,275
SBIN PE 1,600 49.95 2,580 2,55625
INFY PE 2,600 22.20 20,982 13,40,500
INFY PE 2,700 38.00 18,370 8,17,125
INFY PE 2,800 58.00 17,809 7,87,625
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 6,200 78.95 2,59,884 34,72,300
NIFTY CE 6,300 46.20 2,03,162 41,49,350
NIFTY CE 6,100 123.05 1,85,752 52,88,600
BANKNIFTY CE 10,500 323.90 12,445 1,83,425
SBIN CE 1,700 42.50 4,223 3,71,125
SBIN CE 1,650 62.50 3,082 2,47,375
INFY CE 3,500 45.00 23,811 12,62,875
INFY CE 3,400 73.45 20,327 10,36,125
MCDOWELL CE 2,600 92.50 3,331 1,04,625
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY SELL
No. of
Contracts Amount in
Crores No. of
Contracts Amount in
Crores No. of
Contracts Amount in
Crores NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 80583 2407.76 64206 1901.58 413695 12252.40 506.19
INDEX OPTIONS 389743 11578.15 371869 11019.66 1949262 58419.41 558.49
STOCK FUTURES 52568 1441.97 58512 1674.91 959183 27182.48 -232.95
STOCK OPTIONS 39955 1265.52 38809 1225.86 75138 2207.23 39.66
TOTAL +871.39
INDICES S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2
NIFTY 5957.41 5989.18 6011.56 6043.33 6065.71
NIFTYJUNIOR 11700.3 11754.6 11793.9 11848.2 11887.5
STOCKS IN NEWS Cairn, ONGC likely to hike Rajasthan production. Hero MotoCorp unveils 15 new products. IOB slashes interest rates by 2% on consumer durable
loans. RPower appeals to CERC for tariff hike from Tilaiya
UMPP. JSW crude steel production up by 37% in Q2. Rating downgrade of desalination plant may derail
IVRCL’s exit plan.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed in the green in the last trading session. We advice buying on dips around 6000 with strict stop loss of 5950 for the targets of 6075-6095 levels.
DAILY REPORT
11th OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 48950 TGTS 49250/49550 SL 47850 SELL SILVER BELOW 47750 TGTS 47450/47150 SL 48150 GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 29250TGTS 29350/29450 SL 29130
SELL GOLD BELOW 28700 TGTS 28600/ 228500 SL 28820
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Crude oil rose to USD 110 per barrel on Thursday as the
kidnapping of Libya's prime minister delayed the prospect
of a further recovery in production from the North African
nation. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) re-
ported that the US crude stockpiles rose 6.8 million barrels
during the week ended October 4, surpassing analysts' ex-
pectation for a rise of 2.2 million barrels. Additionally, min-
utes from the latest FOMC meeting highlighted policymak-
ers' willingness to start tapering the size of the central
bank's stimulus package by the year end weighed on de-
mand for oil in the previous session.
Indian silver imports are on pace to hit a record high this
year as the wedding and festival season drives up buying
of the precious metal instead of the traditional gold, made
scarcer and dearer by official measures aimed at cutting
the trade gap.
The fall in the yellow metal (Gold) prices is attributed to
greenback gaining ground against major peers after min-
utes from the FOMC minutes showed that majority of the
policymakers favored to start tapering the Fed's stimulus
measures by the end of 2013. Further more, negative sen-
timent was also fuelled after an official report showed de-
cline in purchase of gold and silver in Gold?s largest con-
sumer India which amounted to $800 million in September
compared with $4.6 billion a year earlier.
Tracking a weak trend in the global market, India gold fu-
tures edged down on Thursday and was seen trading bear-
ish. Depreciation of Indian Rupee (INR) against US Dollar
(USD) may have limited further decline in MCX gold prices.
INR was seen touching 61.97 against USD, a depreciation
of 0.19% against USD as of 15.36 IST on Thursday. MCX
gold futures for December delivery was seen trading down
by 0.47% at Rs.29166 per 10 grams as of 15.28 IST on
Thursday.
COMMODITY MCX
DAILY REPORT
11th OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
BUY CASTORSEED ABOVE 3670 TG 3700,3730 SL 3630 SELL CASTORSEED BELOW 3500 TG 3470, 3440 SL 3550
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 6750 TG 6780,6810 SL 6710 SELL DHANIYA BELOW 6550 TG 6520,6490 SL 6590
NCDEX ROUNDUP
The rubber prices have dropped to Rs 167.50 per kg now. Though the price of the main raw material has come down it has not been reflected in the end product prices.
India is literally out of the global pepper mart as it cur-rently offers the highest price along with Indonesia. Gen-eral shortfall in supply lead to the sharp increase in prices. Both India and Indonesia now offer US $7,450/tonne for ASTA grade pepper. Business is brisk only in Brazil since that country offers the lowest tags across the global mar-kets. India is only likely to export about 1,000 tonnes in September which is also because gains reaped from dollar appreciation. According to leading exporters, exports from India were weak in the current financial year on higher prices, poop supply conditions and quality related issues.
Coriander prices rose by 2.99% to Rs 6,814 per quintal in futures trade today as speculators enlarged their positions, supported by rising demand in the spot markets against restricted arrivals. At the National Commodity and Deriva-tive Exchange, coriander for November delivery gained Rs 198, or 2.99%, to Rs 6,814 per quintal with an open inter-est of 20,420 lotsSimilarly, the spice for delivery in October traded higher by Rs 192, or 2.99%, to Rs 6,612 per quintal, with an open interest of 7,000 lots.
Faced with liquidity crunch, the Fertilizer Ministry has sought additional Rs 35,000 crore funds towards subsidy payment to companies and also fears closure of two state-
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1204 -0.45
Castor Seed 3600 +1.41
Chana 2995 +0.10
Chilli 5880 +0.72
Coriander 6687 +4.00
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1522 +1.13
Jeera 12647.5 -1.00
Mustard seed 3528 -0.45
Ref Soya Oil 709.1 +1.51
Turmeric 4668 -2.42
DAILY REPORT
11th OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
JPY/INR
JPY/INR has closed @63.0725. If it breaks the level of 62.90, it can touch the level of 62.68 & 62.33. If it sustains above the level of 64.15, it can touch the level of 64.50 & 64.90.
EUR/INR
EUR/INR has closed @83.4625. If it breaks level of 83.25, it can touch the level of 83.02 & 82.71. If it sustains above the level of 84.85 it can touch the level of 85.15 & 85.62.
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The Rupee gave a weaker opening today as well taking
cues from dollar strength. The local currency weakened
to 62.28 in early trade after opening at 62.19 today. In
spite of encouraging trade data release, the Rupee has
weakened taking cues from the Asian counter parts and
developments on the US political standoff as DXY index
surged to 80.59 levels. Also the government has dis-
agreed with the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s
projection of India's economy with 4.25 per cent growth
in 2013-14.
The 17-nation currency broke its two day gaining ses-
sion amid improvements on the US government stale-
mate and on FOMC minutes. Better data from the re-
gion was overshadowed by the US. The pair closed the
session at 1.3518 levels while posting a intraday low of
1.3486.
The Sterling lost steam against the greenback led by dis-
mal data releases from the domestic economy. The pair
ended the session on a negative note closing at 1.5955
while posting a three week low of 1.5916.The royal cur-
rency was hammered after the industrial production in
the nation declined 1.5% (YoY) in August, defying mar-
ket expectation for a 0.6% drop.
The U.K. industrial production unexpectedly fell by the
most in almost a year, casting doubt on the strength of
the third-quarter recovery. The pair further declined
after the nation's manufacturing production unexpect-
edly fell 0.2% (YoY) during August, compared to a 0.3%
drop registered in the preceding month. Also, the NIESR
GDP estimate of UK rose just 0.8% during the three
month ended to September, compared to a 0.9% rise
reported in the preceding three months.
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 62.1383 Yen-100 63.5800
Euro 83.8725 GBP 99.0236
DAILY REPORT
11th OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
Disclaimer
US ECONOMIC REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date Commodity/ Currency
Pairs Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
10/10/13 MCX GOLD OCT. BUY 29450 29550-29650 29330 NOT EXECUTED
10/10/13 MCX GOLD DEC. SELL 29050 28950-28850 29150 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
10/10/13 MCX SILVER OCT. BUY 49550 49850-50150 49150 NOT EXECUTED
10/10/13 MCX SILVER DEC. SELL 48800 48500-48200 49200 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
10/10/13 NCDEX CASTOR SEED OCT. SELL 3500 3470-3440 3550 NOT EXECUTED
10/10/13 NCDEX CASTOR SEED OCT. BUY 3600 3630-3660 3560 BOOKED PROFIT
10/10/13 NCDEX DHANIYA OCT. BUY 6485 6515-6545 6445 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
10/10/13 NCDEX DHANIYA OCT. SELL 6385 6355-6325 6425 BOOKED PROFIT
10/10/13 GBP/INR OCT. SELL 98.95 98.78-98.40 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
10/10/13 EUR/INR OCT. SELL 83.85 83.60-83.02 BOOKED PROFIT
10/10/13 GBP/INR OCT. BUY 100.95 101.45-101.85 NOT EXECUTED
10/10/13 EUR/INR OCT. BUY 85.00 85.35-85.62 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip CASH/
FUTURE/ Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
10/10/13 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 5980-6000
6075-6095 5950 BOOKED PROFIT
10/10/13 RCOM FUTURE BUY 154-155 157-159 152 SL TRIGGERED
10/10/13 ICICIBANK FUTURE BUY 950-960 980-990 920 CALL OPEN
10/10/13 REPRO INDIA CASH BUY 148 152-158 141 BOOKED PROFIT
09/10/13 AXIS BANK FUTURE SELL 1080-1070
1050-1025 1100 CALL OPEN
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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS
FRIDAY, OCT. 11
8:30 am Retail sales* Sept. 0.2% 0.2%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos* Sept. 0.4% 0.1%
8:30 am Producer price index* Sept 0.2% 0.3%
8:30 am Core PPI* Sept. 0.1% 0.0%
9:55 am UMich consumer sentiment index Oct. 78.2 77.5
10 am Business inventories* Aug. 0.3% 0.4%