Special Meeting 2012.Aug.18 (from 2012.Mar to 2012.Aug) Sungkyunkwan university YoungKyu CHOI...
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Transcript of Special Meeting 2012.Aug.18 (from 2012.Mar to 2012.Aug) Sungkyunkwan university YoungKyu CHOI...
Special MeetingSpecial Meeting
2012.Aug.18(from 2012.Mar to 2012.Aug)
Sungkyunkwan universityYoungKyu CHOI
2012.Aug.18(from 2012.Mar to 2012.Aug)
Sungkyunkwan universityYoungKyu CHOI
b’b’→tWtW : SS2L, 3L by b’b’→tWtW : SS2L, 3L by YJYJ
b’b’→tWtW : SS2L, 3Lb’b’→tWtW : SS2L, 3L by Yeong-Jyi and by Yeong-Jyi and
Young-KyuYoung-Kyu
b’b’→tWtW : SS2L, 3Lb’b’→tWtW : SS2L, 3L by Young-Kyuby Young-Kyu
1 AN about OS2L 1 AN about OS2L channel :channel :
did not upload it into did not upload it into CADICADI
CMS Week 1 Poster,CMS Week 1 Poster,1 PAS(+2), 1 AN(+3)1 PAS(+2), 1 AN(+3)
1 Paper (JHEP) : 1 Paper (JHEP) : (Accepted by JHEP) (Accepted by JHEP)
2012 Expected2012 Expected1 PAS1 PAS1 AN1 AN
1 Paper1 Paper
2012.01~2012.122012.01~2012.1216 fb16 fb-1-1 @ 8TeV @ 8TeV
b’b’→tWtW : OS2L, by b’b’→tWtW : OS2L, by YKYK
Counting methodCounting methodCut Based Cut Based
RecoMuon, GsfElectron,RecoMuon, GsfElectron,PFJetPFJet
Counting methodCounting methodCut BasedCut Based
Full PFobjectsFull PFobjectsBackground Estimation Background Estimation
2010.10~2011.052010.10~2011.05 2011.05~2011.122011.05~2011.124.6 fb4.6 fb-1 -1 @ 7TeV@ 7TeV
Previous AnalysisPrevious Analysis
Fitting methodFitting method(Template, Kinematic)(Template, Kinematic)
Full PFobjectsFull PFobjectsCut optimizationCut optimization
Plan StatusPlan Status
b’b’→tWtW : SS2L, 3Lb’b’→tWtW : SS2L, 3L by Young-Kyuby Young-Kyu
2012 Expected2012 Expected1 PAS1 PAS1 AN1 AN
1 Paper1 Paper
2012.01~2012.122012.01~2012.1216 fb16 fb-1-1 @ 8TeV @ 8TeV
~ ~ 2012.022012.02
1. Update Exo-11-036 1. Update Exo-11-036 by using Template by using Template fittingfitting
1. EXO-11-0361. EXO-11-036Accomplished Update!Accomplished Update!2. New B2G CADI 2. New B2G CADI Accepted!Accepted!
1. Official MC, Pat and 1. Official MC, Pat and NtupleNtuple2. Cut Optimization2. Cut Optimization
Under Ntuple makingUnder Ntuple makingat NTU Groupat NTU Group
(Nobody use 2012 data (Nobody use 2012 data yet.)yet.)
~ ~ 2012.032012.03
Systematic studySystematic studyDone Done
(for template fitting (for template fitting with 2011 Data Set)with 2011 Data Set)
~ ~ 2012.052012.05
Fitting Fitting 1. Template(1D or 2D)1. Template(1D or 2D) 2. Kinematic Fit (HitFit)2. Kinematic Fit (HitFit)
1. Template Fitted was 1. Template Fitted was successfully successfully accomplished!accomplished!2. Improvement 2. Improvement 50~60GeV at Exclusion 50~60GeV at Exclusion limitlimit
~ ~ 2012.072012.07
Fitting methodFitting method(Template, Kinematic)(Template, Kinematic)
Full PFobjectsFull PFobjectsCut optimizationCut optimization
1.None1.None2. Scaling up signal 2. Scaling up signal
region by DD factorregion by DD factor
History of EXO-11-036 updateHistory of EXO-11-036 update
Control region Control region Template with DDTemplate with DD
TemplateTemplate1. S1. STT
2. S2. STT-nJet bin-nJet bin
Data-Driven Data-Driven methodmethod
SSTT-bin-bin
binning effectbinning effect
1. Separated BG1. Separated BG2. Merged BG2. Merged BG Merged BGMerged BG
SystematicSystematic
RooStat VersionRooStat VersionDependencyDependency
O : LepID, TrigEff, XSec, Btag, O : LepID, TrigEff, XSec, Btag, PDF, DDPDF, DD
H : JER, JES, PU, METH : JER, JES, PU, MET
O : LepID, TrigEff, O : LepID, TrigEff, BtagBtag
H : JER, JES, PU, MET, H : JER, JES, PU, MET, XSecXSec
SSTT Cut Cut
Btag effectBtag effect
Improvement ofSeparated background method
by using DD factor to signal template
Limit calculation is improved by using such as : by using Data Driven Factor (2.95±1.02) as Norm_Factor
Data DrivenData Driven
1. Without Data Driven Factor
2. With Data Driven Factor (2.95±1.02(method error)) as Norm_Factor.
m(b’)=450GeV m(b’)=500GeV m(b’)=550GeV
m(b’)=600GeV m(b’)=650GeV
Frequentist Test
observed(xsec)
b onlys+b
σobs/σexp
Comparing
Merged one background method &
Separated background method
Template fitting Template fitting methodmethod
Separated background method
Merged one background methodnote : Not using X-Sec uncertainty and using D.D factor for background
note : using X-Sec uncertainty and using D.D factor for background
Comparing
RooStatsTprime Kit Version
RooStats VersionRooStats Version
Separated background method Old version (Previous version)
New version 5.32Separated background method
Improvement ofSeparated background method
Limit calculation is improved by using such as : a) used X-Sec uncertainty for each background sources with ∂B/B b) used Data Driven Factor (2.95±1.02) as nuisance parameter. (as a scaling factor)
XSec UncertaintyXSec Uncertainty: : ∂B/B ( Overall Method )
Uncertainty of background Cross Section
Separated background method
Likelihood FittingFCN=109.892 FROM MINOS STATUS=SUCCESSFUL 3617 CALLS 4431 TOTAL EDM=5.25461e-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER PARABOLIC MINOS ERRORS NO. NAME VALUE ERROR NEGATIVE POSITIVE 1 Lumi 1.00118e+00 4.49359e-02 -4.49342e-02 4.49371e-02 2 alpha_DD 8.62401e-01 2.43707e-01 -2.56985e-01 2.34666e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 1.74122e-03 9.93075e-01 -9.99992e-01 9.99996e-01 4 alpha_PDF 1.32180e-02 9.93146e-01 -9.99480e-01 9.99776e-01 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 8.08143e-03 9.93272e-01 -9.99809e-01 9.99915e-01 6 alpha_U_SingleTop 7.28875e-05 9.93341e-01 -1.00000e+00 1.00000e+00 7 alpha_U_VV -8.53109e-04 9.93599e-01 -9.99998e-01 1.00000e+00 8 alpha_U_ttWZ -2.72568e-03 9.95561e-01 -9.99883e-01 1.00004e+00 9 alpha_U_ttnj 1.82441e-02 9.93208e-01 -9.99408e-01 9.99831e-01 10 alpha_btag_syst 5.54028e-02 9.89850e-01 -9.90099e-01 9.96085e-01 11 alpha_jer 3.99567e-01 7.35563e-01 -1.51658e+00 8.00109e-01 12 alpha_jes -1.26245e-01 9.47913e-01 -9.51362e-01 8.49231e-01 13 alpha_met -2.11295e-01 9.01739e-01 -9.05739e-01 6.88991e-01 14 alpha_pu -1.87049e-02 9.87077e-01 -9.93568e-01 1.00552e+00 15 xsec 1.42046e-09 4.90642e-02 at limit 4.13929e-02
• Data Driven Factor : nuisance parameter with Gaussian (2.95 ± 1.02) alpha = 0.86 sigma
• Xsec(σobs/σexp) ~ 0
• Uncertainty of background : Input ∂B/B in signal region for each background shape.
• Red color : Template Input
COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY FCN=109.892 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 168 CALLS 438 TOTAL EDM=3.52748e-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Lumi 1.00118e+00 4.49341e-02 2.12660e-05 -9.26904e-01 2 alpha_DD 8.62342e-01 2.43531e-01 1.14896e-05 1.73335e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 1.74249e-03 9.93343e-01 5.80205e-05 3.48499e-04 4 alpha_PDF 1.32139e-02 9.93136e-01 2.88545e-04 2.64279e-03 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 8.07892e-03 9.93268e-01 2.89585e-04 1.61578e-03 6 alpha_U_SingleTop 7.34935e-05 9.93316e-01 2.90209e-04 1.46987e-05 7 alpha_U_VV -8.50661e-04 9.93345e-01 5.80571e-05 -1.70132e-04 8 alpha_U_ttWZ -2.67543e-03 9.93224e-01 5.83099e-05 -5.35085e-04 9 alpha_U_ttnj 1.82279e-02 9.93200e-01 2.89260e-04 3.64559e-03 10 alpha_btag_syst 5.53815e-02 9.89641e-01 2.64539e-04 1.10765e-02 11 alpha_jer 4.00079e-01 7.35368e-01 3.72643e-05 8.01013e-02 12 alpha_jes -1.26073e-01 9.47907e-01 2.71801e-04 -2.52172e-02 13 alpha_met -2.11297e-01 9.01752e-01 5.16026e-05 -4.22721e-02 14 alpha_pu -1.87653e-02 9.87078e-01 2.88221e-04 -3.75308e-03 15 xsec 3.33067e-17 4.78785e-02 8.31122e-04 -1.57080e+00 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. ERR DEF= 0.5
Exclusion Limit
Input ∂B/B in signal regionwith scale factor for each background source shape.
s+b MC and datapdf fitting
Improvement ofSeparated background method
Limit calculation is improved by using such as : a) used X-Sec uncertainty for each background sources with a each templates b) used Data Driven Factor (2.95±1.02) as nuisance parameter. (as a scaling factor)
XSec UncertaintyXSec Uncertainty: : each Separated template ( Histogram Method)
Separated background method Likelihood Fitting
FCN=108.054 FROM MINOS STATUS=SUCCESSFUL 2925 CALLS 3508 TOTAL EDM=1.02816e-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER PARABOLIC MINOS ERRORS NO. NAME VALUE ERROR NEGATIVE POSITIVE 1 Lumi 1.00122e+00 4.49342e-02 -4.49798e-02 4.48927e-02 2 alpha_DD 8.61505e-01 2.50794e-01 -2.66397e-01 2.40923e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 5.20125e-04 9.92202e-01 -9.98777e-01 1.00122e+00 4 alpha_PDF 1.38203e-02 9.93139e-01 -1.00009e+00 9.99176e-01 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 8.31682e-03 9.93269e-01 -1.00005e+00 9.99683e-01 6 alpha_U_ttWZ -1.28332e-02 9.90785e-01 -9.98083e-01 9.96723e-01 7 alpha_U_ttnj 3.62686e-02 9.91353e-01 -9.98874e-01 9.97041e-01 8 alpha_btag_syst 5.55620e-02 9.89698e-01 -9.90308e-01 9.95948e-01 9 alpha_jer 4.01345e-01 7.36084e-01 -1.51874e+00 7.98352e-01 10 alpha_jes -1.25815e-01 9.48066e-01 -9.51969e-01 8.49102e-01 11 alpha_met -2.09969e-01 9.02020e-01 -9.07416e-01 6.88204e-01 12 alpha_pu -1.93126e-02 9.87096e-01 -9.92876e-01 1.00623e+00 13 xsec 1.40740e-11 4.90733e-02 at limit 4.14380e-02 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
• Data Driven Factor : nuisance parameter with Gaussian (2.95 ± 1.02) alpha = 0.86 sigma
• Xsec(σobs/σexp) ~ 0
• Uncertainty of background Cross Section : Template Input
• Red color : Template Input
COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY FCN=108.054 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 131 CALLS 348 TOTAL EDM=1.06069e-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Lumi 1.00117e+00 4.49344e-02 2.10882e-05 -9.26904e-01 2 alpha_DD 8.62003e-01 2.50699e-01 1.13820e-05 1.73266e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 1.74206e-03 9.93343e-01 5.75353e-05 3.48412e-04 4 alpha_PDF 1.32103e-02 9.93137e-01 2.86132e-04 2.64206e-03 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 8.07673e-03 9.93268e-01 2.87163e-04 1.61535e-03 6 alpha_U_ttWZ -1.35156e-02 9.90788e-01 2.76009e-04 -2.70312e-03 7 alpha_U_ttnj 3.52455e-02 9.91348e-01 2.81897e-04 7.04916e-03 8 alpha_btag_syst 5.53660e-02 9.89671e-01 2.62327e-04 1.10734e-02 9 alpha_jer 4.00067e-01 7.35664e-01 3.69640e-05 8.00990e-02 10 alpha_jes -1.26021e-01 9.48031e-01 2.69564e-04 -2.52069e-02 11 alpha_met -2.11186e-01 9.01991e-01 2.55900e-04 -4.22497e-02 12 alpha_pu -1.86604e-02 9.87091e-01 2.85814e-04 -3.73209e-03 13 xsec 2.49800e-17 4.74849e-02 9.52128e-04 -1.57080e+00 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. ERR DEF= 0.5
Exclusion Limit
s+b MC and datapdf fitting
Input Template +/- uncertainty
Improvement ofOne merged background method
Limit calculation is improved by using such as : a) used X-Sec uncertainty for each background sources with a each templates b) used Data Driven Factor (2.95±1.02) with a template
Template fitting methodTemplate fitting method: Separate Histogram → One merged : Separate Histogram → One merged
HistogramHistogram
Merged background method Likelihood Fitting
COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY FCN=108.588 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 133 CALLS 705 TOTAL EDM=0.000511105 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Lumi 1.00284e+00 4.48026e-02 1.05627e-04 -9.26350e-01 2 alpha_DD 8.19998e-01 3.51240e-01 4.50317e-04 1.64744e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 4.37614e-03 9.92996e-01 1.44233e-03 8.75229e-04 4 alpha_PDF 3.18609e-02 9.92605e-01 1.43451e-03 6.37222e-03 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 1.95039e-02 9.93070e-01 1.43948e-03 3.90078e-03 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 8.90657e-02 9.81388e-01 1.36975e-03 1.78141e-02 7 alpha_XSecttnj 1.88861e-02 9.93146e-01 1.43946e-03 3.77723e-03 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.33444e-01 9.80257e-01 1.31942e-03 2.66920e-02 9 alpha_jer 9.40963e-05 4.75778e-02 9.09018e-05 1.88193e-05 10 alpha_jes -8.62010e-04 9.91449e-01 1.12806e-04 -1.72402e-04 11 alpha_met -4.15031e-01 9.84115e-01 1.42828e-03 -8.31017e-02 12 alpha_pu -2.22279e-02 9.84354e-01 1.42909e-03 -4.44560e-03 13 xsec 1.37559e-08 8.20036e-02 1.85940e-03 -1.57090e+00 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
• Data Driven Factor : nuisance parameter with Template (2.95 ± 1.02) alpha = 0.82 sigma
• Xsec(σobs/σexp) ~ 0
• Uncertainty of background Cross Section : Template Input
• Red color : Template Input
Red : MC SignalBlue : MC BackgroundBlack : Data
Likelihood Fitting
FCN=108.588 FROM MINOS STATUS=PROBLEMS 7819 CALLS 8524 TOTAL EDM=0.000511105 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER PARABOLIC MINOS ERRORS NO. NAME VALUE ERROR NEGATIVE POSITIVE 1 Lumi 1.00284e+00 4.48026e-02 -4.47972e-02 4.48119e-02 2 alpha_DD 8.19998e-01 3.51240e-01 3.77987e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 4.37614e-03 9.92996e-01 -1.00016e+00 4 alpha_PDF 3.18609e-02 9.92605e-01 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 1.95039e-02 9.93070e-01 -9.99448e-01 9.99752e-01 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 8.90657e-02 9.81388e-01 -9.87434e-01 9.88439e-01 7 alpha_XSecttnj 1.88861e-02 9.93146e-01 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.33444e-01 9.80257e-01 -9.71208e-01 9 alpha_jer 9.40963e-05 4.75778e-02 10 alpha_jes -8.62010e-04 9.91449e-01 -9.76640e-01 5.83241e-01 11 alpha_met -4.15031e-01 9.84115e-01 -9.90094e-01 8.78990e-01 12 alpha_pu -2.22279e-02 9.84354e-01 -9.90901e-01 9.99049e-01 13 xsec 1.37559e-08 8.20036e-02 at limit 4.61118e-02 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
• Data Driven Factor : nuisance parameter with Template (2.95 ± 1.02) alpha = 0.82 sigma
• Xsec(σobs/σexp) ~ 0
• Uncertainty of background Cross Section : Template Input
• Red color : Template Input
Merged background method
Red : MC SignalBlue : MC BackgroundBlack : Data
COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY FCN=108.588 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 149 CALLS 366 TOTAL EDM=0.00501759 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Lumi 1.00284e+00 4.48054e-02 2.11259e-05 -9.26351e-01 2 alpha_DD 8.19983e-01 3.54344e-01 9.01331e-05 1.64741e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 4.20192e-03 9.93334e-01 5.76719e-05 8.40385e-04 4 alpha_PDF 3.19287e-02 9.92620e-01 2.86901e-04 6.38579e-03 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 1.95210e-02 9.93075e-01 2.87894e-04 3.90422e-03 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 8.92019e-02 9.81530e-01 2.73974e-04 1.78413e-02 7 alpha_XSecttnj 1.88683e-02 9.93150e-01 2.87892e-04 3.77366e-03 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.33863e-01 9.80503e-01 2.63869e-04 2.67759e-02 9 alpha_jer -5.74625e-07 5.25157e-01 2.07587e-02 -1.14925e-07 10 alpha_jes -5.05265e-05 2.78392e-01 9.60723e-03 -1.01053e-05 11 alpha_met -4.15070e-01 9.84290e-01 2.85664e-04 -8.31097e-02 12 alpha_pu -2.21284e-02 9.85042e-01 2.85820e-04 -4.42570e-03 13 xsec 5.63665e-08 7.75161e-02 1.23404e-03 -1.57009e+00 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT.
Exclusion Limit
s+b MC and datapdf fitting for m(b’) = 450 GeV/c2
============== VARIABLE13 IS AT ITS LOWER ALLOWED LIMIT. FCN=130.398 FROM MINOS STATUS=PROBLEMS 5385 CALLS 6085 TOTAL EDM=0.000387001 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER PARABOLIC MINOS ERRORS NO. NAME VALUE ERROR NEGATIVE POSITIVE 1 Lumi 1.00295e+00 4.48021e-02 -4.46996e-02 4.49238e-02 2 alpha_DD 6.73794e-01 3.31258e-01 -3.07526e-01 3.58913e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 4.12255e-03 9.93333e-01 -9.99765e-01 1.00058e+00 4 alpha_PDF 3.38061e-02 9.92621e-01 -9.98105e-01 1.00001e+00 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 2.04077e-02 9.93076e-01 -9.99027e-01 1.00051e+00 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 3.71140e-02 9.85728e-01 -9.92213e-01 7 alpha_XSecttnj 1.79179e-02 9.93142e-01 -9.98458e-01 1.00151e+00 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.43742e-01 9.80552e-01 -9.71396e-01 9.87824e-01 9 alpha_jer 7.91267e-01 7.14063e-01 -6.35010e-01 7.54607e-01 10 alpha_jes -2.32165e-02 9.67830e-01 -9.54796e-01 7.25086e-01 11 alpha_met -5.27186e-01 9.75102e-01 1.01444e+00 12 alpha_pu -4.92984e-02 9.84579e-01 -9.91199e-01 1.02412e+00 13 xsec 1.10095e-02 4.31538e-02 5.26572e-02
ST-N(Jets) : merged one background template
Likelihood fitting is failed!
Green color : Template Input
SSTT-nJets-nJets
MC Signal MC Background Data
COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY FCN=131.045 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 131 CALLS 647 TOTAL EDM=3.09086e-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Lumi 1.00291e+00 4.48214e-02 2.32565e-05 -9.26327e-01 2 alpha_DD 6.14395e-01 3.59130e-01 9.61561e-05 1.23190e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 4.44458e-03 9.93336e-01 3.16564e-04 8.88917e-04 4 alpha_PDF 3.21649e-02 9.92720e-01 3.14885e-04 6.43302e-03 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 2.01198e-02 9.93112e-01 3.16141e-04 4.02397e-03 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 1.57202e-01 9.83347e-01 2.99696e-04 3.14456e-02 7 alpha_XSecttnj 1.39021e-02 9.93157e-01 3.16106e-04 2.78042e-03 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.36361e-01 9.82274e-01 2.89760e-04 2.72756e-02 9 alpha_jer 7.49836e-01 7.63272e-01 2.32182e-04 1.50535e-01 10 alpha_jes 1.39448e-01 9.83125e-01 3.11407e-04 2.78932e-02 11 alpha_met -1.24877e-01 9.83935e-01 3.11527e-04 -2.49781e-02 12 alpha_pu 3.67811e-02 9.89772e-01 3.15302e-04 7.35629e-03 13 xsec 2.74306e-02 6.68186e-02 2.50792e-04 -1.42252e+00
COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY FCN=124.131 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 131 CALLS 891 TOTAL EDM=5.8916e-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Lumi 1.00410e+00 4.48133e-02 2.25756e-05 -9.25930e-01 2 alpha_DD 6.64271e-01 3.52287e-01 9.30909e-05 1.33248e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 6.17468e-03 9.93338e-01 6.16512e-05 1.23494e-03 4 alpha_PDF 4.68696e-02 9.92824e-01 3.06698e-04 9.37407e-03 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 2.86812e-02 9.93151e-01 3.07743e-04 5.73627e-03 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 3.21709e-01 9.80254e-01 2.86132e-04 6.43863e-02 7 alpha_XSecttnj 1.89270e-02 9.93148e-01 3.07660e-04 3.78542e-03 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.96660e-01 9.84120e-01 2.82880e-04 3.93422e-02 9 alpha_jer 4.85754e-01 7.38179e-01 2.21618e-04 9.73042e-02 10 alpha_jes -8.09714e-02 9.67909e-01 2.99947e-04 -1.61950e-02 11 alpha_met -5.33789e-01 9.77274e-01 3.01572e-04 -1.06962e-01 12 alpha_pu 1.20546e-02 9.88606e-01 3.06625e-04 2.41092e-03 13 xsec 3.39025e-03 1.92929e-01 1.09200e-04 -1.51871e+00
COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY FCN=125.654 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 145 CALLS 790 TOTAL EDM=8.58775e-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Lumi 1.00636e+00 4.48379e-02 2.27489e-05 -9.25178e-01 2 alpha_DD 4.07092e-01 3.36696e-01 9.01119e-05 8.15086e-02 3 alpha_LepIDIso 9.61463e-03 9.93345e-01 3.10107e-04 1.92293e-03 4 alpha_PDF 7.16330e-02 9.93238e-01 3.08482e-04 1.43271e-02 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 4.41492e-02 9.93306e-01 3.09658e-04 8.82995e-03 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 5.90187e-01 9.73254e-01 2.84994e-04 1.18313e-01 7 alpha_XSecttnj 1.49629e-02 9.93140e-01 3.09472e-04 2.99257e-03 8 alpha_btag_syst 3.01026e-01 9.91441e-01 2.86084e-04 6.02415e-02 9 alpha_jer 6.70908e-01 7.15020e-01 2.73184e-02 1.34588e-01 10 alpha_jes 1.21237e-01 9.76012e-01 3.01878e-04 2.42499e-02 11 alpha_met -4.26348e-01 9.43208e-01 4.45171e-02 -8.53732e-02 12 alpha_pu -7.07987e-02 9.86898e-01 3.07510e-04 -1.41602e-02 13 xsec 3.35838e-02 5.50584e-02 1.91033e-04 -1.40670e+00
============== VARIABLE13 IS AT ITS LOWER ALLOWED LIMIT. FCN=131.045 FROM MINOS STATUS=SUCCESSFUL 2990 CALLS 3637 TOTAL EDM=3.09086e-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER PARABOLIC MINOS ERRORS NO. NAME VALUE ERROR NEGATIVE POSITIVE 1 Lumi 1.00291e+00 4.48214e-02 -4.48052e-02 4.48409e-02 2 alpha_DD 6.14395e-01 3.59130e-01 -3.36031e-01 3.85383e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 4.44458e-03 9.93336e-01 -1.00011e+00 9.99886e-01 4 alpha_PDF 3.21649e-02 9.92720e-01 -9.97922e-01 1.00006e+00 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 2.01198e-02 9.93112e-01 -9.99529e-01 9.99739e-01 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 1.57202e-01 9.83347e-01 -9.91026e-01 9.88587e-01 7 alpha_XSecttnj 1.39021e-02 9.93157e-01 -9.99952e-01 9.99695e-01 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.36361e-01 9.82274e-01 -9.72740e-01 9.90375e-01 9 alpha_jer 7.49836e-01 7.63272e-01 -7.21732e-01 7.79915e-01 10 alpha_jes 1.39448e-01 9.83125e-01 -1.09010e+00 9.83860e-01 11 alpha_met -1.24877e-01 9.83935e-01 -9.77103e-01 1.08313e+00 12 alpha_pu 3.67811e-02 9.89772e-01 -9.90434e-01 9.93862e-01 13 xsec 2.74306e-02 6.68186e-02 at limit 7.96022e-02
============== VARIABLE13 IS AT ITS LOWER ALLOWED LIMIT. FCN=124.131 FROM MINOS STATUS=SUCCESSFUL 4417 CALLS 5308 TOTAL EDM=5.8916e-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER PARABOLIC MINOS ERRORS NO. NAME VALUE ERROR NEGATIVE POSITIVE 1 Lumi 1.00410e+00 4.48133e-02 -4.47389e-02 4.48888e-02 2 alpha_DD 6.64271e-01 3.52287e-01 -3.28138e-01 3.71734e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 6.17468e-03 9.93338e-01 -9.99964e-01 1.00000e+00 4 alpha_PDF 4.68696e-02 9.92824e-01 -9.98308e-01 9.99566e-01 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 2.86812e-02 9.93151e-01 -9.99374e-01 9.99835e-01 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 3.21709e-01 9.80254e-01 -9.85245e-01 9.80012e-01 7 alpha_XSecttnj 1.89270e-02 9.93148e-01 -9.99841e-01 9.99761e-01 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.96660e-01 9.84120e-01 -9.72081e-01 9.91286e-01 9 alpha_jer 4.85754e-01 7.38179e-01 -1.55740e+00 7.66839e-01 10 alpha_jes -8.09714e-02 9.67909e-01 -9.71689e-01 7.22237e-01 11 alpha_met -5.33789e-01 9.77274e-01 -9.59118e-01 9.29546e-01 12 alpha_pu 1.20546e-02 9.88606e-01 -1.01455e+00 9.94891e-01 13 xsec 3.39025e-03 1.92929e-01 at limit 6.04057e-02
============== VARIABLE13 IS AT ITS LOWER ALLOWED LIMIT. FCN=125.654 FROM MINOS STATUS=SUCCESSFUL 3868 CALLS 4658 TOTAL EDM=8.58775e-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER PARABOLIC MINOS ERRORS NO. NAME VALUE ERROR NEGATIVE POSITIVE 1 Lumi 1.00636e+00 4.48379e-02 -4.48382e-02 4.48387e-02 2 alpha_DD 4.07092e-01 3.36696e-01 -3.14816e-01 3.61464e-01 3 alpha_LepIDIso 9.61463e-03 9.93345e-01 -1.00014e+00 9.99859e-01 4 alpha_PDF 7.16330e-02 9.93238e-01 -9.98184e-01 1.00005e+00 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 4.41492e-02 9.93306e-01 -9.99639e-01 9.99707e-01 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 5.90187e-01 9.73254e-01 -9.79683e-01 9.78490e-01 7 alpha_XSecttnj 1.49629e-02 9.93140e-01 -9.99687e-01 9.99928e-01 8 alpha_btag_syst 3.01026e-01 9.91441e-01 -9.75452e-01 9.98345e-01 9 alpha_jer 6.70908e-01 7.15020e-01 -1.50568e+00 7.62227e-01 10 alpha_jes 1.21237e-01 9.76012e-01 -1.07814e+00 9.71630e-01 11 alpha_met -4.26348e-01 9.43208e-01 -9.79584e-01 1.15719e+00 12 alpha_pu -7.07987e-02 9.86898e-01 -9.95239e-01 1.09568e+00 13 xsec 3.35838e-02 5.50584e-02 at limit 6.65796e-02
#Entries/400GeV #Entries/200GeV #Entries/133GeV
b’ = 450 GeV/c2 b’ = 450 GeV/c2 b’ = 450 GeV/c2
Binning effectBinning effect
Red : MC SignalBlue : MC BackgroundBlack : Data
Red : MC SignalBlue : MC BackgroundBlack : Data
Red : MC SignalBlue : MC BackgroundBlack : Data
#Entries/400GeV #Entries/200GeV #Entries/133GeV
b’ = 450 GeV/c2 b’ = 450 GeV/c2 b’ = 450 GeV/c2
Binning effectBinning effect Red : MC SignalBlue : MC BackgroundBlack : Data
Red : MC SignalBlue : MC BackgroundBlack : Data
Red : MC SignalBlue : MC BackgroundBlack : Data
Red : MC SignalBlue : MC BackgroundBlack : Data
ST of 3L
COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY FCN=46.9137 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 141 CALLS 533 TOTAL
EDM=0.000529995 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME
VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Lumi 1.00275e+00 4.49085e-02 1.42062e-05 -9.26381e-01 2 alpha_DD 0.00000e+00 9.93347e-01
9.50971e-04 0.00000e+00 3 alpha_LepIDIso 4.80983e-02 9.92964e-01 1.89245e-04 9.61980e-03 4 alpha_PDF 2.82029e-02 9.93214e-01 1.90072e-04
5.64060e-03 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 9.44759e-03 9.93332e-01 1.90168e-04 1.88952e-03 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 6.80315e-02 9.88940e-01 1.87419e-04 1.36067e-02 7 alpha_XSecttnj 6.17806e-02 9.91701e-01 1.89815e-04 1.23564e-02 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.29607e-01 9.90560e-01 1.85565e-04
2.59243e-02 9 alpha_jer 2.46440e-01 9.52091e-01 1.80447e-04 4.93080e-02 10 alpha_jes 8.05497e-05 3.10537e-01 7.38095e-03 1.61099e-05 11 alpha_met -1.38785e-01 9.94308e-01 1.89645e-04 -2.77606e-02 12 alpha_pu -2.69554e-02 9.92841e-01 1.89937e-04 -5.39111e-03 13 xsec 4.53400e-02 3.60757e-
02 6.89107e-05 -1.38006e+00 ERR DEF= 0.5
FCN=46.9137 FROM MINOS STATUS=PROBLEMS 4624 CALLS 5157 TOTAL EDM=0.000529995 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX
ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER PARABOLIC MINOS ERRORS NO. NAME VALUE ERROR NEGATIVE POSITIVE 1 Lumi
1.00275e+00 4.49085e-02 -4.49052e-02 4.49155e-02 2 alpha_DD 0.00000e+00 9.93347e-01 -1.00000e+00 1.00001e+00 3 alpha_LepIDIso
4.80983e-02 9.92964e-01 -9.96505e-01 9.99645e-01 4 alpha_PDF 2.82029e-02 9.93214e-01 -9.99193e-01 9.99953e-01 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 9.44759e-03 9.93332e-01 -9.99875e-01 1.00004e+00 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 6.80315e-02 9.88940e-01 -9.95157e-01 9.95855e-01 7 alpha_XSecttnj 6.17806e-02 9.91701e-01 -9.98362e-01 9.98294e-01 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.29607e-01
9.90560e-01 -9.85048e-01 9.97034e-01 9 alpha_jer 2.46440e-01 9.52091e-01 9.57945e-01 10 alpha_jes 8.05497e-05 3.10537e-01 -7.45006e-01
9.17783e-01 11 alpha_met -1.38785e-01 9.94308e-01 -1.00141e+00 9.52087e-01 12 alpha_pu -2.69554e-02 9.92841e-01 -9.99564e-01 9.90797e-01 13 xsec 4.53400e-02 3.60757e-02 -2.99878e-02 4.30136e-02 ERR DEF=
0.5
3L3L
Red : MC SignalBlue : MC BackgroundBlack : Data
ST-N(Jets) of 3L
COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY FCN=52.4547 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 141 CALLS 528 TOTAL
EDM=0.000568972 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Lumi 1.00400e+00
4.48806e-02 1.49914e-05 -9.25962e-01 2 alpha_DD 0.00000e+00 9.93347e-01 1.00500e-03 0.00000e+00 3 alpha_LepIDIso 6.85714e-02 9.92957e-01
2.00151e-04 1.37147e-02 4 alpha_PDF 4.09490e-02 9.93213e-01 2.00874e-04 8.18990e-03 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 1.36442e-02 9.93332e-01 2.00976e-04 2.72884e-03 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 1.73952e-01 9.82171e-01 1.96247e-04
3.47974e-02 7 alpha_XSecttnj 5.90931e-02 9.91841e-01 2.00598e-04 1.18189e-02 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.90506e-01 9.90538e-01 1.96705e-04 3.81104e-02 9 alpha_jer 3.19534e-01 8.74162e-01 1.75513e-04 6.39504e-02 10 alpha_jes
5.41931e-05 1.78067e-01 4.41951e-03 1.08386e-05 11 alpha_met -6.70429e-02 9.91653e-01 2.00315e-04 -1.34090e-02 12 alpha_pu -1.18554e-01 9.99049e-01 2.00377e-04 -2.37130e-02 13 xsec 3.38674e-02 3.34097e-02 7.77503e-05 -
1.40601e+00 ERR DEF= 0.5
POSITIVE MINOS ERROR NOT CALCULATED FOR PARAMETER 12 FCN=52.4547 FROM MINOS STATUS=PROBLEMS 5137 CALLS 5665
TOTAL EDM=0.000568972 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER PARABOLIC MINOS ERRORS
NO. NAME VALUE ERROR NEGATIVE POSITIVE 1 Lumi 1.00400e+00 4.48806e-02 -4.48755e-02 4.48892e-02 2 alpha_DD 0.00000e+00
9.93347e-01 -1.00001e+00 1.00001e+00 3 alpha_LepIDIso 6.85714e-02 9.92957e-01 -9.93590e-01 1.00129e+00 4 alpha_PDF 4.09490e-02 9.93213e-01
-9.98702e-01 1.00021e+00 5 alpha_Trigger_eff 1.36442e-02 9.93332e-01 -9.99688e-01 1.00021e+00 6 alpha_XSecttWZ 1.73952e-01 9.82171e-01 -
9.87294e-01 9.89917e-01 7 alpha_XSecttnj 5.90931e-02 9.91841e-01 -9.98342e-01 9.98613e-01 8 alpha_btag_syst 1.90506e-01 9.90538e-01 -9.82170e-01
9.95777e-01 9 alpha_jer 3.19534e-01 8.74162e-01 -1.10426e+00 8.88236e-01 10 alpha_jes 5.41931e-05 1.78067e-01 -5.87587e-01 8.35083e-01 11 alpha_met -6.70429e-02 9.91653e-01 -9.99183e-01 1.09055e+00 12 alpha_pu -1.18554e-01 9.99049e-01 -1.00613e+00 13 xsec 3.38674e-02 3.34097e-02 -2.78204e-02
3.99400e-02 ERR DEF= 0.5
Red : MC SignalBlue : MC BackgroundBlack : Data
∙ by using 1.7%/electron, 2.7%/muon electron uncertainty = #YEE × 2 × 0.017 + #YEM × 1 × 0.017 muon uncertainty = #YMM × 2 × 0.027 + #YEM × 1 × 0.027 → Total = √( electron_unc2 + muon_unc2)
∙ 3L - EEE, EEM, EMM, MMM - use same method
Lepton ID/Isolation uncertainty
∙ ST>500, bjet 0 : SS2L= 3.17%~3.3%, 3L =4.8%~5%≧ ST>500, bjet 1 : SS2L = 3.3~3.4%, 3L = 4.8~5%≧ ST>0, bjet 0 : SS2L = 3.3~3.4%,3L = 4.8~5%≧ → Template Fit
ST>0, bjet 1 : SS2L = 3.3~3.4%,3L = 4.8~5%≧ → Template Fit
SystematicSystematic: Lep ID: Lep ID
EvtInfo.PDFid1 = GenEventInfoHandle->pdf()->id.first; EvtInfo.PDFid2 = GenEventInfoHandle->pdf()->id.second; EvtInfo.PDFx1 = GenEventInfoHandle->pdf()->x.first; EvtInfo.PDFx2 = GenEventInfoHandle->pdf()->x.second; EvtInfo.PDFscale = GenEventInfoHandle->pdf()->scalePDF; EvtInfo.PDFv1 = GenEventInfoHandle->pdf()->xPDF.first; EvtInfo.PDFv2 = GenEventInfoHandle->pdf()->xPDF.second;
Inelastic Scattering
u
ud d
d
d
g
c
g
cs
s
Systematic : PDFSystematic : PDF
b’=500GeV ttnjets
Wjets Zjets
Inelastic scattering
g d u c s b t
b’=500GeV ttnjets
Wjets Zjets
gluon-gluon scattering
b’=500GeV ttnjets
Wjets Zjets
gluon-gluon scattering (Q2 value)
Parton Distribution uncertainty
ST>0, bjet 1 : ≧ Signal : SS2L = 0.03~1.9%, 3L = 1~2%→ Template Fit
Background : SS2L = 3.7%, 3L = 3.9% → Template Fit
Trigger uncertainty
Trigger Efficiency (Data) Efficiency (MC) Scale Factor
Double electron 98.9915% 99.8031% 99.18679%
Double muon 90.7549% 96.2988% 94.2430%
Muon Electron 96.2963% 96.426% 99.8654%
∙ requiring good 2 leptons
∙ Applying an analysis cuts
Trigger SS2L 3L
Double electron (MC) 29.951% 50.9088%
Double muon (MC) 42.5569% 62.9238%
Muon Electron (MC) 29.951% 82.8292%
Three double lepton (MC) 98.035% 99.7805%
After reweighting 96.6922% 99.1020%
Trigger efficiency uncertainty 1.3428% 0.6785%
SystematicSystematic: Trigger Eff: Trigger Eff
ST with data driven method
• Control region 1. SS2L(one tight lepton, one loose lepton) - TeLe, TmLe, TeLm, TmLm with Fake Rate of electron and muon 2. OS2L(two tight lepton) - 2Te(2 electrons at barrel), 2Te(2 electrons at barrel and endcap), 2Te(2 electrons at endcap), 1Tm1Te(1 electron at barrel), 1Tm1Te(1 electron at endcap) with a Charge Flip Rate of electron at barrel and endcap
• Prompt MC background - ttW, ttZ, ZZ, WZ, Same-sign WWjj
• Method - ∑ Ri * Hi (Ri = Fake Rate or Charge Flip Rate, Hi = Control region histogram)
Control region Control region template template with DDwith DD
ST : ST 0, #bjet 1 at 4.9 fb≧ ≧ -1
Data Driven with MC control region(without MC truth)
default
JES up
JES down
JER up
JER down
MET up
MET down
PU up
PU down
Ratio = Data / BGDD
default
JES up
JES down
JER up
JER down
MET up
MET down
PU up
PU down
ST : ST 0, #bjet 1 at 4.9 fb≧ ≧ -1
Data Driven with Data control regionRatio = Data / BGDD
ST : ST≧0, #bjet≧1 at 4.9 fb-1
Data Driven with Data control regions
*Uncertainty on Background includes the error of FakeRate and ChargeFlipRate and statistical error of background.
Data Driven with MC control regions
Data Driven with MCtruth control regions
Control region Control region template template
: Data vs BG(DD): Data vs BG(DD)
Ratio = Data / BGDD
MC : QCD FR_muon = 0.03233 ± 0.009441 FR_electron = 0.0838 ± 0.01552 CR_electron_barrel = 0.00036157 ± 0.000013 CR_electron_endcap = 0.00286688 ± 0.000111Data : QCD enrich region (still remains Wjet, Zjet, ... contaminations) FR_muon = 0.06664 ± 0.0047 FR_electron = 0.1107 ± 0.0042 CR_electron_barrel = 0.000316904 ± 0.000018 CR_electron_endcap = 0.00309139 ± 0.00019
Data Driven from Data Data Driven from MCData Driven from MC(MC truth)
Closure Test : ttnj(MC truth)
Data Driven Method UncertaintyControl region template Control region template : BG(MC) vs BG(DD): BG(MC) vs BG(DD)
Need BG(MC) Need BG(MC) Template for Template for
fitting !!!fitting !!!
Ratio = DD / ObMC
Exclusion Limitwithout an observed MC background template
with an observed MC background template
BG(MC) Template BG(MC) Template
weighted by Rcharge_flip weighted by Rfake_lepton
Charge FlipControl region (Jets≧4)
Fakable LeptonControl region (Jets≧4)
Discrepancy (at low ST bin)
1. MC & Data
a) The effect of fake lepton is more larger than a charge flip’s one
b) Different Yield b/w MC & Data with Rcharge_flip & Rfake_lepton
c) Rfake_lepton of Data is larger than MC’s one.
2. MCObs & MCDD
a) Different Shape b/w MCObs & MCDD
(MCObs - MCDD) / MCObs
DD by Data Control Region DD by MC Control Region
Checking Control Checking Control regionregion
MC : Jet Dependency in Same-Sign dilepton
Jet=1 Jet=2 Jet=3
Jet=4 Jet=5 Jet=6
Jet≧7
Signal BoxRatio = ( DD-ObMC ) / ObMC
Data : Jet Dependency in Same-Sign dilepton
Jet=1 Jet=2 Jet=3
Jet=4 Jet=5 Jet=6
Jet≧7
Signal BoxRatio = ( DD-ObMC ) / ObMC
ST0 B0
Checking Control Checking Control regionregion
: Without bjet : Without bjet requiringrequiring
weighted by Rcharge_flip weighted by Rfake_lepton
Charge FlipControl region (Jets≧4)
Fakable LeptonControl region (Jets≧4)
Discrepancy (at low ST bin)
1. MC & Data
a) The effect of fake lepton is more larger than a charge flip’s one
b) Different Yield b/w MC & Data with Rcharge_flip & Rfake_lepton
c) Rfake_lepton of Data is larger than MC’s one.
2. MCObs & MCDD
a) Different Shape b/w MCObs & MCDD
(MCObs - MCDD) / MCObs
DD by Data Control Region DD by MC Control Region
Fakable Lepton’s Control Region in Same-Sign dilepton
Jet=1 Jet=2 Jet=3
Jet=4 Jet=5 Jet=6
Jet≧7
Signal Box
OS2L Control Region in Same-Sign dilepton
Jet=1 Jet=2 Jet=3
Jet=4 Jet=5 Jet=6
Jet≧7
Signal Box
MC : Jet Dependency in Same-Sign dilepton
Jet=1 Jet=2 Jet=3
Jet=4 Jet=5 Jet=6
Jet≧7
Signal Box
Ratio = (MCObs - MCDD) / MCObs
Data : Jet Dependency in Same-Sign dilepton
Jet=1 Jet=2 Jet=3
Jet=4 Jet=5 Jet=6
Jet≧7
Signal Box
Ratio = (MCObs - MCDD) / MCObs
JHEP accepted Result : EXO-11-036JHEPJHEP
ST 300, #B 0≧ ≧
1. Data Driven Background from Data Control Region
a) Histogram Uncertainty
b) Overall Uncertainty - trigger efficiency
- Lepton ID efficiency
ST>=300, #bjet>=0ST>=300, #bjet>=0
nominal
JES up
JES down
JER up
JER down
MET up
MET down
PU up
PU down
ST : ST 300, #bjet 0 at 4.9 fb≧ ≧ -1
Data Driven with Data control region
XSec up XSec down
Ratio = ( DD-ObMC ) / ObMC
JES up
JES down
JER up
JER down
MET up
MET down
PU up
PU down
ST : ST 300, #bjet 0 at 4.9 fb≧ ≧ -1
Data Driven with Data control region
XSec up XSec downnominal
Ratio = ( DD-ObMC ) / ObMC
Exclusion Limit of ST Template(with D.D. from Data Control Region)
ST
ST - nJets
ST 300, #B 0≧ ≧
1. Data Driven Background from MC Control Region
a) Histogram Uncertainty
b) Overall Uncertainty - trigger efficiency
- Lepton ID efficiency - PDF Uncertainty(not used)
JES up
JES down
JER up
JER down
MET up
MET down
PU up
PU down
ST : ST 300, #bjet 0 at 4.9 fb≧ ≧ -1
Data Driven with MC control region
XSec up XSec downnominal
Ratio = ( DD-ObMC ) / ObMC
JES up
JES down
JER up
JER down
MET up
MET down
PU up
PU down
ST : ST 300, #bjet 0 at 4.9 fb≧ ≧ -1
Data Driven with MC control region
XSec up XSec downnominal
Ratio = ( DD-ObMC ) / ObMC
Exclusion Limit of ST Template(with D.D. from MC Control Region)
ST
ST - nJets
ST 300, #B 0≧ ≧
1. Background Estimation - Data Driven Method by using T/L with Data Control Region.
a) Histogram Uncertainty - 5 nuisance parameters JES, JER, MET, PU and Cross-Section uncertainty
b) Overall Uncertainty - 2 nuisance parameters. - trigger efficiency
- Lepton ID efficiency
ST>=300, #bjet>=0ST>=300, #bjet>=0: Final Result: Final Result Merge SMerge STT>=1700 bin>=1700 bin
nominal
JES up
JES down
JER up
JER down
MET up
MET down
PU up
PU down
ST : ST 300, #bjet 0 at 4.9 fb≧ ≧ -1
Data Driven with Data control region XSec up XSec down
Ratio = ( DD-ObMC ) / ObMC
Exclusion Limit of ST Template
HATHOR – HAdronic Top and Heavy quarks crOss section calculatoR
b’ = 450 GeV / c2
Will save these parameter points that correspond to the fit to data 1) 0x23cc6f0 RooRealVar:: Lumi = 0.999465 +/- 0.0449462 L(0 - 10) "Lumi" 2) 0x23cd3d0 RooRealVar:: alpha_BGshape = -0.779094 +/- 0.329322 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_BGshape" 3) 0x23ce180 RooRealVar:: alpha_LepIDIso = -0.00079172 +/- 0.993483 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_LepIDIso" 4) 0x23cf030 RooRealVar:: alpha_Trigger_eff = -0.00370688 +/- 0.995179 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_Trigger_eff" 5) 0x23cfe40 RooRealVar:: alpha_XSecUpDown = -0.0432392 +/- 0.965773 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_XSecUpDown" 6) 0x23d0c50 RooRealVar:: alpha_jer = -0.300732 +/- 0.75407 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jer" 7) 0x23d1a00 RooRealVar:: alpha_jes = 0.180111 +/- 0.953722 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jes" 8) 0x23d2970 RooRealVar:: alpha_met = 0.214973 +/- 0.94214 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_met" 9) 0x23d3720 RooRealVar:: alpha_pu = -0.00774613 +/- 0.993883 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_pu" 10) 0x23d44d0 RooRealVar:: xsec = 5.906e-13 +/- 0.0769869 L(0 - 0.1) "xsec"
Should use these parameter points to generate pseudo data for bkg only 1) 0x1999c80 RooRealVar:: Lumi = 0.999465 +/- 0.0449392 L(0 - 10) "Lumi" 2) 0x23ea6a0 RooRealVar:: alpha_BGshape = -0.779094 +/- 0.329309 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_BGshape" 3) 0x23eb380 RooRealVar:: alpha_LepIDIso = -0.000791841 +/- 0.993477 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_LepIDIso" 4) 0x23ec230 RooRealVar:: alpha_Trigger_eff = -0.00371986 +/- 0.994884 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_Trigger_eff" 5) 0x23ed040 RooRealVar:: alpha_XSecUpDown = -0.0432378 +/- 0.965843 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_XSecUpDown" 6) 0x23ede50 RooRealVar:: alpha_jer = -0.300731 +/- 0.754015 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jer" 7) 0x23eec00 RooRealVar:: alpha_jes = 0.180112 +/- 0.953922 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jes" 8) 0x23efb70 RooRealVar:: alpha_met = 0.214974 +/- 0.942299 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_met" 9) 0x23f0920 RooRealVar:: alpha_pu = -0.00774595 +/- 0.99289 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_pu" 10) 0x23f16d0 RooRealVar:: xsec = 0 +/- 0 L(0 - 0.1) "xsec"
Will save these parameter points that correspond to the fit to data 1) 0x1b16c600 RooRealVar:: Lumi = 0.999465 +/- 0.0449462 L(0 - 10) "Lumi" 2) 0x1b16d2e0 RooRealVar:: alpha_BGshape = -0.779094 +/- 0.329323 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_BGshape" 3) 0x1b16e090 RooRealVar:: alpha_LepIDIso = -0.000791711 +/- 0.993483 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_LepIDIso" 4) 0x1b16ef40 RooRealVar:: alpha_Trigger_eff = -0.00370688 +/- 0.99517 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_Trigger_eff" 5) 0x1b16fd50 RooRealVar:: alpha_XSecUpDown = -0.0432392 +/- 0.965762 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_XSecUpDown" 6) 0x1b170b60 RooRealVar:: alpha_jer = -0.300732 +/- 0.753995 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jer" 7) 0x1b171910 RooRealVar:: alpha_jes = 0.180111 +/- 0.953735 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jes" 8) 0x1b172880 RooRealVar:: alpha_met = 0.214973 +/- 0.942164 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_met" 9) 0x1b173630 RooRealVar:: alpha_pu = -0.00774615 +/- 0.993872 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_pu" 10) 0x1b1743e0 RooRealVar:: xsec = 1.00095e-12 +/- 0.0895888 L(0 - 0.1) "xsec"
Should use these parameter points to generate pseudo data for bkg only 1) 0x1a739cc0 RooRealVar:: Lumi = 0.999465 +/- 0.0449392 L(0 - 10) "Lumi" 2) 0x1b18a660 RooRealVar:: alpha_BGshape = -0.779094 +/- 0.329309 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_BGshape" 3) 0x1b18b340 RooRealVar:: alpha_LepIDIso = -0.000791829 +/- 0.993477 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_LepIDIso" 4) 0x1b18c1f0 RooRealVar:: alpha_Trigger_eff = -0.00371984 +/- 0.994884 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_Trigger_eff" 5) 0x1b18d000 RooRealVar:: alpha_XSecUpDown = -0.0432377 +/- 0.965843 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_XSecUpDown" 6) 0x1b18de10 RooRealVar:: alpha_jer = -0.300731 +/- 0.754015 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jer" 7) 0x1b18ebc0 RooRealVar:: alpha_jes = 0.180112 +/- 0.953922 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jes" 8) 0x1b18fb30 RooRealVar:: alpha_met = 0.214974 +/- 0.942299 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_met" 9) 0x1b1908e0 RooRealVar:: alpha_pu = -0.00774596 +/- 0.99289 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_pu" 10) 0x1b191690 RooRealVar:: xsec = 0 +/- 0 L(0 - 0.1) "xsec"
b’ = 500 GeV / c2
Will save these parameter points that correspond to the fit to data 1) 0x1af84880 RooRealVar:: Lumi = 0.999465 +/- 0.0449455 L(0 - 10) "Lumi" 2) 0x1af85560 RooRealVar:: alpha_BGshape = -0.779094 +/- 0.329325 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_BGshape" 3) 0x1af86310 RooRealVar:: alpha_LepIDIso = -0.000791706 +/- 0.993482 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_LepIDIso" 4) 0x1af871c0 RooRealVar:: alpha_Trigger_eff = -0.00370687 +/- 0.995141 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_Trigger_eff" 5) 0x1af87fd0 RooRealVar:: alpha_XSecUpDown = -0.043239 +/- 0.96578 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_XSecUpDown" 6) 0x1af88de0 RooRealVar:: alpha_jer = -0.300733 +/- 0.753881 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jer" 7) 0x1af89b90 RooRealVar:: alpha_jes = 0.180111 +/- 0.953748 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jes" 8) 0x1af8ab00 RooRealVar:: alpha_met = 0.214973 +/- 0.942169 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_met" 9) 0x1af8b8b0 RooRealVar:: alpha_pu = -0.00774612 +/- 0.99387 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_pu" 10) 0x1af8c660 RooRealVar:: xsec = 6.01186e-13 +/- 0.094529 L(0 - 0.1) "xsec"
Should use these parameter points to generate pseudo data for bkg only 1) 0x1a551b80 RooRealVar:: Lumi = 0.999465 +/- 0.0449392 L(0 - 10) "Lumi" 2) 0x1afa2890 RooRealVar:: alpha_BGshape = -0.779094 +/- 0.329309 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_BGshape" 3) 0x1afa3570 RooRealVar:: alpha_LepIDIso = -0.000791825 +/- 0.993477 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_LepIDIso" 4) 0x1afa4420 RooRealVar:: alpha_Trigger_eff = -0.00371984 +/- 0.994884 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_Trigger_eff" 5) 0x1afa5230 RooRealVar:: alpha_XSecUpDown = -0.0432376 +/- 0.965843 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_XSecUpDown" 6) 0x1afa6040 RooRealVar:: alpha_jer = -0.300732 +/- 0.754015 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jer" 7) 0x1afa6df0 RooRealVar:: alpha_jes = 0.180112 +/- 0.953922 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jes" 8) 0x1afa7d60 RooRealVar:: alpha_met = 0.214974 +/- 0.942299 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_met" 9) 0x1afa8b10 RooRealVar:: alpha_pu = -0.00774595 +/- 0.99289 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_pu" 10) 0x1afa98c0 RooRealVar:: xsec = 0 +/- 0 L(0 - 0.1) "xsec"
b’ = 550 GeV / c2
Will save these parameter points that correspond to the fit to data 1) 0x6a04790 RooRealVar:: Lumi = 0.999465 +/- 0.0449451 L(0 - 10) "Lumi" 2) 0x6a05470 RooRealVar:: alpha_BGshape = -0.779094 +/- 0.329327 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_BGshape" 3) 0x6a06220 RooRealVar:: alpha_LepIDIso = -0.000791703 +/- 0.993482 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_LepIDIso" 4) 0x6a070d0 RooRealVar:: alpha_Trigger_eff = -0.00370687 +/- 0.995125 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_Trigger_eff" 5) 0x6a07ee0 RooRealVar:: alpha_XSecUpDown = -0.0432389 +/- 0.965794 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_XSecUpDown" 6) 0x6a08cf0 RooRealVar:: alpha_jer = -0.300733 +/- 0.753809 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jer" 7) 0x6a09aa0 RooRealVar:: alpha_jes = 0.180111 +/- 0.953762 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jes" 8) 0x6a0aa10 RooRealVar:: alpha_met = 0.214973 +/- 0.942162 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_met" 9) 0x6a0b7c0 RooRealVar:: alpha_pu = -0.00774612 +/- 0.993867 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_pu" 10) 0x6a0c570 RooRealVar:: xsec = 4.01007e-13 +/- 0.0980485 L(0 - 0.1) "xsec"
Should use these parameter points to generate pseudo data for bkg only 1) 0x5fd1ba0 RooRealVar:: Lumi = 0.999465 +/- 0.0449392 L(0 - 10) "Lumi" 2) 0x6a226a0 RooRealVar:: alpha_BGshape = -0.779094 +/- 0.329309 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_BGshape" 3) 0x6a23380 RooRealVar:: alpha_LepIDIso = -0.000791814 +/- 0.993477 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_LepIDIso" 4) 0x6a24230 RooRealVar:: alpha_Trigger_eff = -0.00371983 +/- 0.994884 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_Trigger_eff" 5) 0x6a25040 RooRealVar:: alpha_XSecUpDown = -0.0432375 +/- 0.965843 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_XSecUpDown" 6) 0x6a25e50 RooRealVar:: alpha_jer = -0.300732 +/- 0.754015 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jer" 7) 0x6a26c00 RooRealVar:: alpha_jes = 0.180113 +/- 0.953922 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jes" 8) 0x6a27b70 RooRealVar:: alpha_met = 0.214974 +/- 0.942299 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_met" 9) 0x6a28920 RooRealVar:: alpha_pu = -0.00774596 +/- 0.99289 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_pu" 10) 0x6a296d0 RooRealVar:: xsec = 0 +/- 0 L(0 - 0.1) "xsec"
b’ = 600 GeV / c2
Will save these parameter points that correspond to the fit to data 1) 0x10b577a0 RooRealVar:: Lumi = 0.999465 +/- 0.0449447 L(0 - 10) "Lumi" 2) 0x10b58480 RooRealVar:: alpha_BGshape = -0.779094 +/- 0.329328 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_BGshape" 3) 0x10b59230 RooRealVar:: alpha_LepIDIso = -0.000791701 +/- 0.993481 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_LepIDIso" 4) 0x10b5a0e0 RooRealVar:: alpha_Trigger_eff = -0.00370686 +/- 0.995109 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_Trigger_eff" 5) 0x10b5aef0 RooRealVar:: alpha_XSecUpDown = -0.0432388 +/- 0.965798 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_XSecUpDown" 6) 0x10b5bd00 RooRealVar:: alpha_jer = -0.300733 +/- 0.753759 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jer" 7) 0x10b5cab0 RooRealVar:: alpha_jes = 0.180112 +/- 0.953784 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jes" 8) 0x10b5da20 RooRealVar:: alpha_met = 0.214973 +/- 0.942163 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_met" 9) 0x10b5e7d0 RooRealVar:: alpha_pu = -0.00774614 +/- 0.993862 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_pu" 10) 0x10b5f580 RooRealVar:: xsec = 1.46783e-13 +/- 0.0993034 L(0 - 0.1) "xsec"
Should use these parameter points to generate pseudo data for bkg only 1) 0x10124ba0 RooRealVar:: Lumi = 0.999465 +/- 0.0449392 L(0 - 10) "Lumi" 2) 0x10b758a0 RooRealVar:: alpha_BGshape = -0.779094 +/- 0.329309 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_BGshape" 3) 0x10b76580 RooRealVar:: alpha_LepIDIso = -0.000791822 +/- 0.993477 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_LepIDIso" 4) 0x10b77430 RooRealVar:: alpha_Trigger_eff = -0.00371983 +/- 0.994884 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_Trigger_eff" 5) 0x10b78240 RooRealVar:: alpha_XSecUpDown = -0.0432375 +/- 0.965843 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_XSecUpDown" 6) 0x10b79050 RooRealVar:: alpha_jer = -0.300732 +/- 0.754015 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jer" 7) 0x10b79e00 RooRealVar:: alpha_jes = 0.180112 +/- 0.953922 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_jes" 8) 0x10b7ad70 RooRealVar:: alpha_met = 0.214974 +/- 0.942299 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_met" 9) 0x10b7bb20 RooRealVar:: alpha_pu = -0.00774628 +/- 0.99289 L(-5 - 5) "alpha_pu" 10) 0x10b7c8d0 RooRealVar:: xsec = 0 +/- 0 L(0 - 0.1) "xsec"
b’ = 650 GeV / c2
HiggsHiggs ??????Higgs ??????
After Higgs After Higgs
a heavy vector-like quark
1. Higgs : Hierarchy Problem Solution :Warped extra dimension scenario(reduce dimension)Little Higgs model(quadratic divergence at loop)
2. SCPV
3. GUT - E6
Got a new CADI of a new analysis !!!Got a new CADI of a new analysis !!!
More interesting physics motivation!!!More interesting physics motivation!!!
RPC & HLT MuonRPC & HLT Muon HLT MuonHLT Muon HLT MuonHLT Muon
TC SCTC SC&&
HLT Muon PurityHLT Muon Purity
HLT Muon PerformanceHLT Muon Performance&&
Purity Purity Purity measurementPurity measurement
Performance Performance ImprovementImprovement
StudyStudy
Performance Performance ImprovementImprovementProposal →Not Proposal →Not
accepted.accepted.1 AN 1 AN
2010.09~2011.022010.09~2011.02 2011.03~2011.082011.03~2011.084.6 fb4.6 fb-1 -1 @ 7TeV@ 7TeV
2011.09~2011.122011.09~2011.124.6 fb4.6 fb-1-1 @ 7TeV @ 7TeV
Service WorkService Work
HLT Muon purity with a new tight muon selection for ICHEP
HLT Mu40 HLT Mu40_e2p1
HLT IsoMu24 HLT IsoMu24e2p1
https://twiki.cern.ch/twiki/bin/viewauth/CMS/MuonHLT#Purity
Plan Plan ~ ~ 2012.092012.09
Ntuple and SkimNtuple and Skim
Cut OptimizationCut Optimization1. FOM1. FOM2.TMVA2.TMVA
~ ~ 2012.102012.10
Systematic studySystematic study
~ ~ 2012.112012.11
Fitting Fitting 1. Template Fitting1. Template Fitting
~ ~ 2012.122012.12
2012 Expected2012 Expected1 PAS1 PAS1 AN1 AN
1 Paper1 Paper