South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated...

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5/14/18 South Sound Economy Ali Modarres Director of UrbanStudies University of Washington Tacoma Overview of Pierce County 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) Projected to grow by 44,390 over the next five years (5.1% growth) 369,160 jobs in 2017 Jobs grew by 27,080 over the last five years (7.9% increase) Projected to grow by 30,840 over the next five years Labor force participation grew from 60.9% to 61.6% over the last five years 2016 Median Household Income = $61.5K, which was above the national median income of $55.3K. National Comparison At 192,400, Pierce County has slightly larger millennial population (20-34) than the national average for an area this size At 115,083, Pierce County has slightly less retiring age population than the national average for an area this size Our racial diversity is relative low compared to the national average for an area this size. Pierce county is home to a much larger veteran population than the national average for an area this size. 1

Transcript of South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated...

Page 1: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

5/14/18

South Sound Economy

Ali Modarres Director of UrbanStudies

University of Washington Tacoma

Overview of Pierce County

• 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920• Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth)• Projected to grow by 44,390 over the next five years (5.1% growth)

• 369,160 jobs in 2017• Jobs grew by 27,080 over the last five years (7.9% increase)• Projected to grow by 30,840 over the next five years• Labor force participation grew from 60.9% to 61.6% over the last five years

• 2016 Median Household Income = $61.5K, which was above the national medianincome of$55.3K.

National Comparison

• At 192,400, Pierce County has slightly larger millennial population (20-34) than the national average for an area this size

• At 115,083, Pierce County has slightly less retiring age population than the national average for an area this size

• Our racial diversity is relative low compared to the national average for an area this size.

• Pierce county is home to a much larger veteran population than the national average for an area this size.

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Page 2: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

5/14/18

Overview of Pierce County

PopulationLaborForce

(2017) Jobs(2017)Costof Living GRP (B) Imports (B) Exports (B)

Pierce County 869,918 429,251 369,155 116.0 $41.92 $51.55 $55.02

State 7,366,582 3,735,833 3,702,707 112.1 $478.31 $345.76 $471.19

Share (%) 11.8 11.5 10.0 103.5 8.8 14.9 11.7

320,000

310,000

360,000

350,000

340,000

330,000

410,000

400,000

390,000

380,000

370,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Jobs PierceCounty

Projection

63.00%

62.00%

61.00%

60.00%

59.00%

58.00%

57.00%

56.00% 2013 2014 2015 2016 January - November 2017 December 2017 January 2018October 2017

Labor ForceParticipation Pierce County

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Page 3: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

5/14/18

9.00%

8.00%

7.00%

6.00%

5.00%

4.00%

3.00%

2.00%

1.00%

0.00%2013 2014 2015 2016 January - November 2017 December 2017 January 2018

October 2017

Unemployment Rate Trends Pierce County

Job Postings in the last 12 months

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Page 4: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

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Industry Cluster

• Assumptions regarding importance:• Growth and Regional Specialization – Medium• Earnings, GRP, and Regional Competitiveness - High

• Top Clusters:• Federal Government Services• Distribution and Electronic Commerce• Oil and Gas Production and Transportation• Local Government Services• Water Transportation• Local Education and Training

Industry Cluster

• Assumptions regarding importance:• Growth and Regional Specialization – High• Earnings, GRP, and Regional Competitiveness - Medium

• Top Clusters:• Water Transportation• Distribution and Electronic Commerce• Automotive• Federal Government Services• Food Processing and Manufacturing• Aerospace Vehicle and Defense

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Page 5: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

5/14/18

Couple of Interesting Issues

50.7%

22.5%

14.2%

3.0%8.3%

1 to 4employees

5 to 9 employees

10 to 19 employees

20 to 49 employees

50 to 99 employees

100 to 249 employees

250 to 499 employees

500+ employees

Business Size

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Page 6: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

5/14/18

EDUCATIONAL PIPELINE

Work, Home, Commute!

Job Concentration

All Workers

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live in Pierce County work

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Page 7: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

5/14/18

Job Concentration

All Workers

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live within the South

Sound Alliance boundary work

Job Concentration

All Workers

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live within the South

Sound Alliance boundary work

Job Concentration

Earning $1,250per month or less

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live within the South

Sound Alliance boundary work

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Page 8: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

5/14/18

Job Concentration

Earning between$1,251 and 3,333per month

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live within the South

Sound Alliance boundary work

Job Concentration

Earning $3,333or more per month

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live within the South

Sound Alliance boundary work

Job Concentration

GoodsProducing Industries

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live within the South

Sound Alliance boundary work

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Page 9: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

5/14/18

Job Concentration

GoodsProducing Industries

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live within the South

Sound Alliance boundary work

Job Concentration

Trade, Transportation,and Utilities Industries

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live within the South

Sound Alliance boundary work

Job Concentration

Trade, Transportation,and Utilities Industries

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live within the South

Sound Alliance boundary work

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Page 10: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

5/14/18

Job Concentration

All Other Services / Industries

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live within the South

Sound Alliance boundary work

Job Concentration

All Other Services / Industries

On the Map US Census Bureau

LODES 7.3

2015

This data represents where workers who live within the South

Sound Alliance boundary work

Pierce County Workers Commute Distance 10 miles or more

Age

29 and Younger 55.7%

30 - 54 57.9%

55+ 54.1%

Earnings

$1250 per month or less 50.4%

$1251 - $3333 per month 52.1%

More than $3333 per month 62.2%

Industry

Goods Producing 66.7%

Trades, Transportation and Utilities 63.9%

All other Service 51.1%

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Page 11: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

5/14/18

Moving Forward

Source: City ofTacoma

Tideflats Subarea Plan

• Plan Concept or Vision• Preservation of industrial land

base• Economic role of the Center• Relationship to Comprehensive

Plan for the City• Market analysis

• Environment• Protection of sensitive areas• Stormwater management• Air pollution and greenhouse gas

emissions

• Economy• Economicdevelopment

strategies• Key sectors and industry clusters

• Public Services and Facilities• Capital plans and investments to

meet targeted growth• Transportation

• Freight movement• Employee commuting• Transit and mode

Source: City ofTacoma

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Page 12: South Sound Economy - UW Tacoma Home | UW Tacoma...Overview of PierceCounty • 2017 Estimated Population = 869,920 • Grew by 58,240 over the last five years (7.2% growth) • Projected

5/14/18

Development

Imagining Scenarios together

Urban and Industrial Futures

• Interface between the port and the built environment• Interface between the port and sensitive natural areas (tideflats)• Preservation of the industrial and manufacturing character of the

port and the established manufacturing zone• Economic development plan for the designated growth center

associated with the port and 167.• Interface between the port, transportation corridor, Tacoma, and

Fife.• Development of additional growth centers in the South Puget Sound

Our Roles

• To make this region thrive, we need to move beyond a single city solution.• We need a regional/multi-sector involvement that includes the

manufacturing, transportation and logistics sectors.

• This is also where Urban Studies and University of Washington Tacoma, asan Urban Serving University, come in.

• Let us bring our collective expertise to help imagine what the future mighthold for a region that does not abandon its productive character…a regionthat improves quality of life for everyone and expands the economic baseof the South Sound, by increasing production, improving wages, andbuilding an environment that is family friendly, protective of labor and attractive to investors.

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