South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

40
South Public Transport Corridor

Transcript of South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Page 1: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

South Public Transport Corridor

Page 2: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

North Public Transport Corridor

Page 3: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

2016

C3

2017

C8

Roll-Out of IRPTN

...

Existing Movement

RoadRail + Stations

2018

C1

2018

C2

RAIL2022

C7

C5

2025

C4

C8

2027

C6

ULT.

Page 4: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Aligning Budgets to Integration Zones

Zones:• Categorisation of spaces and formulation of

metropolitan integrated development programs for each type of space.

• Integrated programmes tailored to the different kinds of areas.

• 3 Zones proposed: – Dense Urban – Suburban– Non-Urban

Page 5: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Integration Zones

Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban

Three Integration Zones

Integration Zones

Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban

Integration Zones

Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban

• Dense Urban contains around 50% of population, bulk of economic activity

• Needs to be densified

• Big investments in mixed use type development & support infra

• Place to rapidly grow economy & serve maximum number of people

Page 6: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Planning Projects

Status of Plans

ApprovedCurrent

• Well aligned with Dense Urban IZ

• Focused on ToD, densification etc

• Moving into implementation

Page 7: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

• Integrating townships into the movement & economic system

• Revitalising township nodes & stimulating economic development

• Supporting transit-oriented development

Urban Network Strategy (NDPG) Precincts / Nodes /

Hubs

Urban Network Elements

NodesRailConnectorsSecondary Connectors

Activity Corridor

Page 8: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Town CentresIndustrial AreasTourism NodesTownship NodesRural Nodes

Economic Programmes incl NDPG

• Well aligned with Dense Urban IZ where bulk of spend is occuring but also serving other areas

• Range of intervention types

Page 9: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Integration Zones

Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban

EconomicDurban Investment Dashboard

• Predominantly private sector development proposals

• Mostly within close proximity to N2 and N3

• eThekwini cannot afford to roll out new infra without carefully considering ROI and the efficient use of the infrastructure

• Need to resolve infra phasing plan

• Infra financing solutions required

• Developer contributions policy

Page 10: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Integration Zones

Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban

HousingAll Current & Proposed Projects

Project Type

GreenfieldsIn-Situ UpgradeRural

• Bulk of informal settlements on edge of Dense Urban IZ- many of which to be formalised in-situ

• Most Greenfields sites also on edge of Dense Urban IZ. Northern projects well located to airport growth corridor

• Some well located greenfields- here densification is crucial

• Need for more densification projects in CBDs

•Critical that National brings in a densification subsidy & that we give more emphasis to social & rental housing

Page 11: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Housing Prioritisation Model: Proposed In Situ Upgrades & RuralOverlaid on Integration Zones

Housing Project Priority

LowestMiddleHighest

Integration ZonesDense UrbanSuburbanNon-Urban

Housing Project Priority

LowestMiddleHighest

Page 12: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Housing Prioritisation Model: Proposed GreenfieldsOverlaid on Integration Zones

Integration ZonesDense UrbanSuburbanNon-Urban

Housing Project Priority

LowestMiddleHighest

Page 13: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Integration Zones

Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban

HousingIdentified Mega / Catalytic

Projects

• All very well located and show the direction in which Human Settlement projects need to move (i.e mixed use/income, higher density)

• Typologies and funding models become critical

• Institutional issues around higher density lower income housing (body corporates etc) critical

• Good partnerships with private sector

Page 14: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Integration Zones

Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban

Economic, Housing Catalytic Projects & PT

In or Near Implementation

• Nice spatial proximity between Housing and Economic projects

• Well positioned to PT trunks

• Good mix of development types which means we have revenue-absorbing and revenue-generating elements in the same project- makes for financial viability.

•The integration/alignment of dept programs & projects is key & the proper scheduling of funds on the Capital Budget will allow integrated implementation

Page 15: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Social Node Hierarchy

• Nodes are modeled in best locations to afford highest accessibility to catchments

• High Order facilities (high thresholds) must be located in metro or sub-metro nodes. High foot traffic supports public transport and economic development

•Guide facilities into clusters to better serve residents

• Co-ordinate municipal, provincial & state budgets

• Deal with Backlogs & New Growth

• Operational pressures

Page 16: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Existing BacklogsFacility % Pop not

served within standards

CHC 82% Children’s Homes 72% Clinics 62% Grade R 59% Home Affairs Offices 56% Level 1 Hospitals 56% Homes for the Aged 43% Service Centers and Clusters 43% Secondary schools 35% Libraries 30% Labour Offices 21% Grades 1 to 7 Primary schools 20% Courts 17% Fire Stations 13% Social Dev. Offices 12% Pay Points 10% Sizakala Centres 7% Sportfields 1% Parks ? SAPS Stations & Contact Points ?

Page 17: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Higher Order Backlogs

Page 18: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Higher Order Backlogs – North

CBD

Page 19: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Higher Order Backlogs – South

CBD

Page 20: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Project examples

The BEPP promotes integrated planning, budgeting & implementation

Project examples that reflect integrated planning, budgeting and implementation

- Mnini MPCC- Mpumalanga- Cornubia- Etc

Benefits:- Residents receive a better product- We look better in eyes of the public/electorate- Savings are achieved through higher utilisation levels- The private sector invests (increasing employment creation as well as

rates revenue- which allows us to fund our social programme)

Page 21: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

MNINI THUSONG CENTRE

• Craft & Trader Stalls

• LED Support Centre

• Community Hall

• Government Offices

Sizakhala centre, home affairs,

pension pay out, social welfare,

SAPS, Post Office, labour, shared

office space for: DED, DOT

Transport, SEDA

Page 22: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Wastewater Masterplan 2012/13Ultimate Wastewater Treatment Systems with Integration Zones

showing Current Spare Treatment Capacity (Ml/day) in each System

Integration ZonesDense UrbanSuburbanNon-Urban

Page 23: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Ecodev Projects: LayoutsPriority Economic Developments

1. DTP & Surrounds North

Watershed

Page 24: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Ecodev Projects: OutcomesPriority Economic Developments

1. DTP & Surrounds North(Trade Zone 2, Inyaninga Phase 1, Inyaninga Phase 2, uShukela)

New Economic Development: 248ha

Amounts per Year (Rm)

14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19

Anticipated Spend on Infrastructure:All Agencies 1.7 52.2 168.4 247.9 46.8

Anticipated Spend on Infrastructure:eThekwini Only 0.0 44.5 116.4 193.3 46.8

Currently on eThekwini MTEF 0.2 50.0 0.0 20.0 0.0

Gap on MTEF -0.2 -5.5 116.4 173.3 46.8

Flags: Compensation Land / Effluent Discharge Licence

Page 25: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Ecodev Projects: Outcomes5 Priority Economic Developments

Development Summary

Developable

Area (ha)

Cost of Bulks (Rm)

Bulks Cost (Rm) / ha

Anticipated Rates (Rm) /

Annum

eThekwini Shortfall on

15/16, 16/17

DTP North 248 557 2.2 730 111

DTP South 180 406# 2.3 310 74.0

Cornubia 132 862 6.5* 460 100

Hammarsdale 159 421** 2.6 190 82

367# Excludes secondary road network (ETA to develop framework).* Also provides services for 3 500 dwelling units.** Includes R140m WWTW expansion to service wider catchment.

Page 26: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

R1.3bn anticipated rates return per year is fully realised over 20 years.Annual rates increase @ R68m per

year (for 40ha development)

Priority Economic DevelopmentsLikely “40ha per Year” Scenario with Rates Return

Cumulative Rates if Ring-fenced

Based on anticipated rates return per year of R68mill, we have R340mill pa capital to pay for infrastructure

Page 27: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Straw Dog: Roll-Out of Developments based on 40 ha per year(20ha Industrial / 20ha Commercial)

2015 2020 2025 2030

Dube Trade Zone Precinct

Hammarsdale – Old Industrial

Hammarsdale – Keystone

Inyaninga Phase 1

Cottonlands / Action Group

Cornubia Business Hub

N2 Business Estate

Cornubia Town Center

Marshall Dam Mixed Use

uShukela

Inyaninga Phase 2

DTP Support Zone 2

Industrial Projects

Commercial Projects

Page 28: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Priority Economic Developments: Likely “40ha per Year” Scenario Gap Analysis

Page 29: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Synopsis of Catalytic Projects

Big Bang, One-Offs, Big Impact at Sub-Metropolitan, Metropolitan, City-Region, Provincial, National or Continental Scales

Mega-scaleorStimulate a chain of new projectsorBe in highly strategic places

Should be on PT corridors or national trade routes

Land Uses – Economic, Mixed or Social Uses

Page 30: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Catalytic Projects by Project Cycle

Implementation

Preparation

Note

Implementation needs a different level of effort, intervention, and management structure from Preparation

Page 31: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Catalytic Projects in, near Implementation

31

105 Bn Private Investments 35 Bn Public140 Bn Total Investments 3 Bn Rates p.a.

205,000 Permanent Jobs 55,000 Homes, half via subisidies 9.50 Million sqm Lettable Floor

Integration Zones

Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban

Page 32: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Summary # 1 Catalytic Projects in, near Implementation

32

ProjectLettable

Floor SpaceRes Units Proj Val

Private as %

DTP 3,715,714 0 31.82 93%Point Infill, Waterfront & Cruise Terminal 750,000 0 15.50 97%Greater Cornubia 1,626,429 40,000 37.63 62%Keystone Commercial 504,529 0 4.39 92%Centrum Site & Municipal Complex 750,000 6,000 19.80 67%Inyaninga 2,116,626 8,000 20.73 94%C3 TBD TBD 7.00 TBD

C2 TBD TBD 2.00 TBD

Warwick Redevelopment TBD TBD 0.50 TBD

Back of Port TBD TBD 6.94 TBD

King Edward Node 0.00 652.00 0.49 50%Subtotal 9,463,297 54,652 146.80 78%

Page 33: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Summary # 2 Catalytic Projects in, near Implementation

33

Project Proj ValPublic Fund

ShortfallRates Perma Jobs

DTP 31.82 2.10 1.29 120,980Point Infill, Waterfront & Cruise Terminal 15.50 0.50 0.61 7,500Greater Cornubia 37.63 8.92 0.73 48,389Keystone Commercial 4.39 0.35 0.10 14,415Centrum Site & Municipal Complex 19.80 1.50 0.29 14,286Inyaninga 20.73 TBD 0.37 60,475C3 7.00 7.00 TBD TBD

C2 2.00 2.00 TBD TBD

Warwick Redevelopment 0.50 0.25 TBD TBD

Back of Port 6.94 TBD TBD TBD

King Edward Node 0.49 0.24 TBD TBD

Subtotal 146.80 22.86 3.39 266,045

Page 34: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Budget alignment with Catalytic Projects

Table 2a: Catalytic Projects "In or Near Implementation" 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Back of Port 1.0 1.0 5.0

Bridge City Intermodal 157.0 143.0 41.0

Rail Corridor C2 - Bridge City to Umlazi 10.0 10.0 0.0

Road Corridor C3 - Bridge City to Pinetown 447.5 401.3 436.9

Centrum 33.6 95.0 280.1

DTP & Surrounds 52.0 75.7 78.1

Greater Cornubia 409.3 298.0 327.0

Keystone 3.5 27.6 98.5

Point 3.6 0.7 1.0

Warwick 17.3 16.8 20.0

King Edward Node 0.0 0.0 0.0

Table 3Northern Aqueduct 90.0 90.0 91.4Western Aqueduct 355.4 300.0 228.5

Page 35: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Catalytic Projects in Preparation

35

10 Bn Private Investments10 Bn Private Investments18 Bn Public18 Bn Public28 Bn Total Investments28 Bn Total Investments

36,000 Homes, 36,000 Homes, mostly thru subisidiesmostly thru subisidies1.07 Million sqm 1.07 Million sqm Lettable Floor SpaceLettable Floor Space

Integration Zones

Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban

Page 36: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

What have we achieved on the BEPP?

• Set up Municipal Spatial Integration Forum• Emergence of a single narrative• Alignment of sectoral plans although lots of historical commitments etc• Agreement on Integration Zones • Agreement on Catalytic Projects that are ‘game changers’ as they are financially

sustainable • Dedicated resources for Catalytic Projects• Partnerships emerging with the private sector• Catalytic Projects introduced as a separate line item in Capital Budget • Spatial budgeting being introduced• Support at top management level & agreement that the BEPP be institutionalised in

the CMs Office (under CSO)• ICDG Planning projects will produce a pipeline of ‘good’ capital projects• ICDG KPIs taking shape- the right mix of rationalised strategic KPIs• More partners coming on board:realise the BEPP is a good vision

Page 37: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Challenges – Uncertain IGR Budgets

JOINT IGR PLANNING & BUDGETING IS NOT YET WELL ESTABLISHED

Affects Core Infrastructure such as Interchanges, Bridges, National and Provincial Roads within the Metro

Critically Affects Economic Projects

Significantly Affects Sustainable Human Settlements for the whole range of Social Facilities

Page 38: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Challenges – Key Environmental Approvals

WATER USE LICENCES & CONVERSION FROM AGRIC

• Additional capacity needed in Treatment Works in order for development applications to be approved. Water Use Licences take too long to be issued by DWS- 300 days

• Coastal Discharge permits from DEA create further delays.

• New requirements of hydrological studies for WULAs and Dispersion studies for discharge permits are further complicating matters

• River Classification that doesn’t factor in the Cost of Infrastructure required to maintain River Classes is a real risk to eThekwini as Classes will be gazetted. Letter to DG.

• The conversion of agricultural land to other uses, mostly the case when it comes to development, is tightly controlled by Act 70 of 1970

Page 39: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

BEPP 2015/16 - Review of built environment strategy

Key shifts:- eThekwini needs to further improve the integration of the grants & their integrated

spatial impact to achieve BEPP & SDF outcomes

- eThekwini needs more emphasis given to spatial budgeting of its overall Capital Budget

- Need to reflect Catalytic Project as dedicated items on our Capital Budget.

- Support from DWS on fast tracking WULAs especially for catalytic projects

- Agreement from DWS re: proposed process prior to gazetting of river classes

- Support for densification & informal settlement upgrading from DoHS. We havent solved the dilemma of how to fund pro-poor multi-storey hsg.

- Support from provincial DoT for road improvements on provincial network

- Support from national & provincial social facility depts for implementing the outcomes of the DPSA study

- Although have good partnerships on specific projects (eg THD, Toyota etc) we need to expand these to grow eThekwini

Page 40: South Public Transport Corridor. North Public Transport Corridor.

Questions