Some New Accomplishments New Nodes in Helsinki, Paris, Sao Paulo, and

soon Caracas, Silicon Valley, Canada, and maybe Stockholm

New Sponsor: Applied MaterialsNew Sponsor: Applied Materials World Federation of UN AssociationsWorld Federation of UN Associations UNEP Global ScenariosUNEP Global Scenarios Jose’s Club of Rome PresentationJose’s Club of Rome Presentation Futures Matrix "nearly always used before Futures Matrix "nearly always used before

staring a subject or project” -- Z_punktstaring a subject or project” -- Z_punkt

Uses in China as reference Uses in China as reference forfor

Policy makers in long term thinking and global Policy makers in long term thinking and global perspectives especially in their planning of model perspectives especially in their planning of model provinces and cities for sustainable development.provinces and cities for sustainable development.

Researchers especially the methods of scenarios, Researchers especially the methods of scenarios, questionnaires and interviews and future studies.questionnaires and interviews and future studies.

University teachers' lecture and training courses.University teachers' lecture and training courses. Graduate students in preparing their theses especially Graduate students in preparing their theses especially

the methodological reviews.the methodological reviews. NGO newsletter and capacity building activities (the NGO newsletter and capacity building activities (the

Ecological Society of China, Chinese Association for Ecological Society of China, Chinese Association for sustainable Development and SCOPE/China).sustainable Development and SCOPE/China).

State of the Future acknowledgedState of the Future acknowledged

Future Survey’s best books for 2001Future Survey’s best books for 2001 900 sales to Applied Materials900 sales to Applied Materials Translations: China (3 years), Iran (3 Translations: China (3 years), Iran (3

years), Czech (in process). Italy (15 years), Czech (in process). Italy (15 challenges for primary and secondary challenges for primary and secondary schools, and explorations for French schools, and explorations for French and Arabicand Arabic

Spanish version of the Methods C-ROM Spanish version of the Methods C-ROM near completionnear completion

Other accomplishmentsOther accomplishments UN policy update on Millennium Deceleration UN policy update on Millennium Deceleration

(transnational crime, others)(transnational crime, others) Technology Benefiting Humanity Awards in Technology Benefiting Humanity Awards in

second yearsecond year UNDP-UNV tele-volunteers and cyber UNDP-UNV tele-volunteers and cyber

volunteersvolunteers SD Summit prep briefingsSD Summit prep briefings Senate Foreign Relations Committee (briefing Senate Foreign Relations Committee (briefing

given follows)given follows)

Post-Bipolar World: Two Themes for Diplomacy

What is the next organizing principle for world affairs ? Human Security

How should diplomatic readiness be judged ? Ability to address the threats to human security

Human Security is the combination of ...

Military security

Financial and Economic Security

Environmental Security

Freedom with responsibility

Human Security is for

...

the individual

groups

nations

humanity as-a-whole.

Human security has to be

provided by ...

Nation-States

Corporations

International Organizations NGOs

The Challenges to Human Security are ...

1. Sustainable Development

2. Water

3. Population and Resources

4. Democratization

5. Global, Long-Term Policymaking

6. Globalization of Information Technology

7. Rich-Poor Gap

Global Challenges Global Challenges (cont.)(cont.)

8. Changing disease threats

9. Decision-Making Capacities

10. Peace & Conflict

11. Improving Women’s Status

12. Transnational Crime

13. Energy Demands

14. Science & Technology Development

15. Global Ethics

Diplomatic Readiness Basic knowledge of the situation in each challenge

Understanding of the range of potential solutions

Sensitivity to regional human security perspectives

On-going awareness of progress on the challenges

Ability to connect the resources of governments, corporations, international organizations, and NGOs to human security strategy in area of assignment

How to Measure Progress on Human Security ?

Just as GDP is used to measure economic growth, a State of the Future Index (SOFI) has been created to measure progress on the 15 Global Challenges

Indicators for each of the Global Challenges have been aggregated into a single index

A global assessment was used to identify and weight the indicators

Policy could be judged on its ability to improve the index

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

1.1

1.2

Index

State of the Future Index

UN

Organizations

NGOs

Universities

GovernmentsCorporations

Millennium Millennium ProjectProject

…. May become a “TransInstitution”