Solar plus Storage Focus on Storage Benefitscustompowersolar.com/Solar plus Storage CPS... · Rates...
Transcript of Solar plus Storage Focus on Storage Benefitscustompowersolar.com/Solar plus Storage CPS... · Rates...
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Overview storage products Lead-acid Lithium ionNickel Cobalt Manganese (NCM)Nickel Cobalt Aluminum (NCA)Titanate (LTO)Lithium Iron Phosphate (LiFePo)
Flow Batteries2
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Lead Acid Batteries 80-85% efficiency1
1000-1500 cycle life at best Limited Depth of Discharge (DOD) for best
lifetime Typical DOD only 50% May require maintenance Lifetime is typically 6-7 years Heavy Lead is a toxin
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1 One way efficiency
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Lithium Ion Batteries Nickel Cobalt Manganese (NCM) Nickel Cobalt Aluminum (NCA) 96-98% efficiency 3000-5000 cycle life High DOD (80%+) 3.6-4.2V/cell 0-45C operating temperature Much lighter weight than lead-acid Typically can last 10+ years
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Lithium Ion Batteries Titanate (LTO) 96-98% efficiency 3000-30,000 cycle life High DOD (80%+) 2-2.6V/cell -30C to 45C operating temperature Lower energy density than other lithium Generally very high charge/discharge rate Higher cost Typically can last up to 10+ years
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Lithium Iron Phosphate Batteries Lithium Iron Phosphate (LiFePo) 96-98% efficiency 3000-5000 cycle life High DOD (80%+) 3.2-3.6V/cell -20 to 60C operating temperature Much lighter weight than lead-acid Typically can last up to 10 years
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Flow Batteries
80-85% efficiency
30,000+ cycle life
Higher Capex
Heavy
Long cycles are typical
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Storage system components Batteries Cells in parallel Cell groups in series
Battery Management System (BMS) Required for lithium batteries Maintains cells within 0.02V of each other
Inverter Moves energy to/from battery
Automatic Transfer Switch (option) Disconnects solar+storage system from grid Allows on grid or off-grid operation
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Storage system components, cont’d Monitoring system - all system functionsVoltagesTemperatures Current flows
Typically data stored in cloud and locally Control – Network interfaced system operations
NGOM – Separate Metering for monitoring solar vs
battery Not needed in residential systems
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Value of Storage Batteries
To evaluate batteries, calculate the actual lifetime dollars per kWh ($/kwh)Typical lead-acid – $350/kwh / (1500
cycles * 50% DOD * 70% RTE1) = $0.67/kwh
Lithium - $500/kwh / (5000 cycles * 80% DOD * 85% RTE1) = $0.15/kwh
Lithium is 4X+ the value of lead-acid
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1RTE – Round Trip Efficiency = one way efficiency squared
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SGIP approved battery systems
Energport LGSimpliPhi TeslaContact your SGIP Program
Administrator for specifics – no current online list
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Energport
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Energport
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Storage Markets
Residential – generally under 10kwSmall commercial <30kwCommercial/Industrial >30kwEquity – Disadvantaged CommunitiesResidential Non-residential
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Some Residential Storage Systems
Custom Power Solar LG Chem SimpliPhi Sonnen Sunrun Tesla Powerwall
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Residential Storage Systems Cont’d
Custom Power Solar, Inc Outback Radian inverter Energport LiFePo batteries4kw/10kwh 8kw/20kwh
$478/kwh after rebates and Federal Incentive Tax Credit of 30%
ITC applies only if installed with solar
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Residential Storage Systems Cont’d
Tesla Powerwall 5kw/14kwh -20 to 60C operating temperature $5900 not including install costs +
install hardware
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Residential Storage Systems Cont’d
LG Chem9.8kwh $6150
Solaredge inverter7.6kw $4000
Over $10,000 not including install costs + install hardware
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Residential Storage Systems cont’d
SimpliPhi (LiFePo) 10.2kwh with 6.8kw Schneider inverter After SGIP rebate and ITC $500-$1000/kwh
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Commercial Storage Systems
● Usually in USA 480V 3 phase:● Energport - $500/kwh ● Tesla Powerpack - $500/kwh● LG Chem● Sonnen● Avalon (Flow batteries)● Range of costs: $500-$1000/kwh● After SGIP rebate and ITC - $250-$500/kwh
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Some Storage Systems Solutions Providers
Advanced Microgrid Solutions Custom Power Solar with Energport LG Chem Sonnen STEM Tesla Powerpack Avalon (Flow batteries) Range of costs: $500-$1000/kwh After SGIP rebate and ITC costs: $250-
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Cost Modeling Tools Why do cost modeling? Determine cost savings using customer load profile and projected solar size Compare rates
Energy Toolbase Geli
Developer runs analysis for you Custom Power Solar
Public model Enernoc
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Cost Modeling Tools and Financial Modeling
Model financial returns over timeProperty Assessed Clean EnergyHEROYgreneRenew Financial PACE funding –
CleanFund For Non-Profits – Collective Sun
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Cost Modeling Tool Tips Get the load profile UtilityAPI – helps with format you needPG&E Green Button
Calculate solar size Best size - at least 100% of the annual
load of customer Note SGIP guidelines Make sure size fits available space roofgroundcarport
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Cost Modeling Tool Tips Storage size – best SGIP rebate value = 2X the solar size Example: 5kw solar needed, 5*2=10kwh battery best value
Best customer long term value – >2X, 4X the solar size
4X – rebate is not as large proportionally, but cost savings double that of 2X battery size(4X savings)
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Battery Size vs SavingsSolar+Storage
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New rates – value increases even with 4X batteriesCurrent rates – value same 2x-4X sizePlan for the future – go 4XNote – 100% solar
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Financing
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1480kw solar, X2 & X4 battery size $1.30/watt solar, $500/kwh storage, 50% replacement battery cost year 12
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Residential Solar+Storage+EV
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Residential Solar+Storage+EV – Daily Cycle
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6/21 – cost savings through arbitrage – store solar power in am, discharge during peak
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Residential Solar+Storage+EV –Annual Cycle
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Residential Solar+Storage (sEV-A)New Storage Rate in PGE Territory
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New rate available to all solar+storage customers in PG&E territory*Limited to 30,000 customers at present
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Resi Solar+Storage+EV – Self Supply
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Cost savings – 18% vs 54% - $800 less
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Resi Solar+Storage+EV Self Supply– Daily Cycle
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2/4 – cost savings through self supply – store solar power in am, discharge during peak but only power loads
Solar ends, battery powers loads
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Commercial Rate Assessment
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Commercial Solar+Storage – Daily Cycle
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6/21 – cost savings through demand response – peak shaving (red line) and arbitrage – store solar power in am, discharge during peak
Peak Shaving
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Commercial Solar+Storage – Annual Cycle
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Best rates for solar+storageResidential
PG&E EVA – EV customers only sEVA – coming in early 2019
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Rates with Highest Demand ChargesUtility Rate Applicable kW
Range Demand Charges
TOU-GS-2-B 20 – 200 kWDemand Charge: $15.89Summer OP: $19.89Summer MP: $3.88
TOU-GS-3-B 201 – 500 kWDemand Charge: $18.29Summer OP: $20.01Summer MP: $3.94
TOU-8-B >500 kWDemand Charge: $19.02Summer OP: $21.73Summer MP: $4.17
AL-TOU >=20 kWDemand Charge: $22.55Summer OP: $9.36Summer MP: $6.86
A-10 Secondary Voltage 200 – 499 kW Summer: $19.52Winter: $11.76
E-19 Secondary Voltage 500 – 999 kW
Demand Summer: $17.74Peak Demand Summer: $19.65Part-Peak Demand Summer: $5.40Demand Winter: $17.74
E-20 Secondary Voltage >=1000 kW
Demand Summer: $17.87Peak Demand Summer: $19.02Part-Peak Demand Summer: $5.23Demand Winter: $17.87
Courtesy Energport38
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Best rates for solar+storageCommercial
PG&EA-6 for arbitrage, but value going
away over next few yearsA1STORE – Nov 2019E-19R E-20R – very large systems over
1MW demandNew TOU rates by Nov 2019
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Best rates for solar+storageCommercial
SCETOU8BR
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Best rates for solar+storageCommercial
SDG&EDG-RNew – DR-SES
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Finance Options
Cash - is king for contractors Home owner Equity Line Of Credit (HELOC)– 3 - 5% typical rate PACE funding – payments go on property taxes, 0% down, terms up to 25 years
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Finance Example: Residential
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Notes: $4/watt solar cost, $500/kwh storage cost, includes $1701/year value in gas savings with EV (35 miles per day average)
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Various projects sorted by value: $/kwh
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How Realistic is Perfect Foresight in Real world Storage Operations?
Many tools (Energy Toolbase, Geli) use a Perfect Foresight model to analyze load profiles+solar with given rate and determine “best case” cost savings –
Not realistic in real life useMore realistic – Forecasting
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Forecasting Sensitivity Analysis –Cost Savings
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3% over, Perfect Foresight with buffer worse than Forecasting
Conditions – C9 load (500kw demand peak), storage only 370kw,870kwh
1% over, Perfect Foresight no buffer worse than Forecasting
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Conclusions Perfect Foresight is extremely sensitive to
real life load conditions – if load exceeds baseline – even slightly, savings are lost 1% over load conditions eliminate all
savings from Perfect Foresight vs Forecasting with no buffer
1% over condition virtually certain in real life conditions
Forecasting method likely produces more consistent, reliable cost savings than perfect foresight
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