Solar Heating and Cooling in the Arab region

Eng. Ashraf Kraidy,

Director,

Planning, outreach and Fundraising , RCREEEE

2

Content

1. Arab Region and RE Status

2. Solar Heating Market Analysis

3. Solar Cooling Market Analysis

4. Challenges

5. Future Expectations

3

Share of Building In total Energy Consumption in the Arab Region

4

Share of Building In Electricity Consumption in the Arab Region

5

Trends of different driver for H&C demand in Residential and Commercial Sector in The Arab Region

6

RE Share in Primary Energy Consumption 1- Arab Region and RE Status

7

RE Installed Capacities, 1- Arab Region and RE Status

8

Solar Heating Market Analysis

40

7

18

2

97

67

38

11

9

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

m2 p

er 1

00

0

inh

abit

ants

Source: AFEX 2015, RCREEE

2- Solar Heating Market Analysis

9

RE & SWHs Private Sector Development 7

23

3

1

46

33

12

2 6 10

8

52

4

22

43

3 1

0

1

19

0

53

6

3

49

1

0

40

1 1

0

11

3

13

2

NUMBER OF COMPANIES

Jord

an

Tun

isia

KSA

Sud

an

Syri

a

Iraq

Pal

est

ine

Qat

ar

Leb

ano

n

Egyp

t

Yem

en

UA

E

Alg

eri

a

2009 2013 SWHs 2013

Source: RE&EE Dalil, LAS, 2013

2- Solar Heating Market Analysis

10

SWHs Market Assessment in the Arab region-Techscope Assessment tool

Solar Water Heater

Support Framework

, 29%

National Conditions

, 30%

Financing , 20%

Business Climate ,

21%

Countries

Algeria

Tunisia

Morocco

Jordan

Palestine

Lebanon

Egypt

Sudan

UAE

2- Solar Heating Market Analysis

11

Country Credit rating,

25%

Access to Finance ,

75%

SWHs Target 17% Financia

l Incentiv

es … Loan program

24%

Building Mandat

e 17%

Outreach

campaign …

Insolation , 17%

Market Penetration , 13% Residenti

al Energy Consump

tion Growth …

SWHs Market Growth,

13%

Payback Period ,

23%

Heating Fuel

Subsidy , 17%

Doing Business ,

24%

Manufacturing

Capacity , 14%

Product standards

and Certification , 24%

Installers certification , 19%

Industry Associatio

n , 19%

Business Climate

Financing National Conditions

SWH Support Framework

12

Assessment Final Score

3.6

6

3.4

1

3.1

3.0

6

2.3

9

2.3

8

1.9

6

1.7

4

0.9

1

LEBANON TUNISIA MORROCO PALESTINE UAE JORDAN ALGERIA EGYPT SUDAN

SCORE

2- Solar Heating Market Analysis

13

Assessment on the Commercial Viability of Solar Cooling Technologies and Applications in the Arab Region

Scope: To create a logical pathway to identify the most efficient reliable, and cost competitive solar cooling technology for the Arab region.

3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis

14

Diffusion of solar cooling technologies

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Absorption Adsorption DEC PV

3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis

15

Assumptions

Two different building types in the Arab region have been defined, with a cooling load of 100 kWc and 1 MWc cooling capacity, respectively. Each building type has been investigated using three different cooling technologies:

• Double-effect absorption chiller and concentrating collectors

• Vapour compression scroll chiller and photovoltaic modules

• Vapour compression scroll chiller and grid operation (reference case)

Solar cooling Market Analysis

3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis

16

Levelized Cost of Cooling Energy (LCCE) for different configurations /100 kW system

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.1

0.11

0.12

0.13

0.14

0.15

USD

/kW

h c

oo

ling

Solar thermal & Absorption PV & Compression Reference Compression

3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis

17

Levelized Cost of Cooling Energy (LCCE) for different configurations /1 MW system

3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis

18

Project proposal for Future Follow UP

• Solar cooling roadmap for Arab region

– investment cost reduction,

– overall energy performance increase

– system quality improvement.

• R&D program

– Heat rejection

– Adaption of existing products/kits to Arab region

– Storage

• Demonstration program for PV Cooling and SHC systems

3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis

19

Challenges for Solar Heating and Cooling

• Renewable electricity is a priority

• Lost in the plan

• Lack of qualified service provider

• Weak Markets and market players

• Lack of incentives schemes

• Lack of capitals

4- Challenges

20

Expectations….

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Syria

Mexico

Qatar

India

Greece

France

Jordan

KSA

Tunisia

Lebanon

UAE

Morocco

Italy

Source: Sun and Wind Market Survey 4/2013

Less Europe and More Arab Sales of thermosiphonic systems are flattering in Europe. Attention is therefore increasingly turning to new Markets in the Arab region Jen Peter Meyer- Sun and Wind Magazine 4/2013

Future Most Important Markets for SWHs

5- Future Expectations

21

Thank You….

Ashraf Kraidy Director Planning, Outreach and Fundraising Regional Center for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency (RCREEE) Hydro Power Building (7th Floor) Block 11 - Piece 15, Melsa District Ard El Golf, Nasr City, Cairo, Egypt T. +20 2 2415 4755 (Ext. 124) M. +20 111 066 8503 F. +20 2 241 54661 E. ashraf.kraidy@rcreee.org W. www.rcreee.org Skype: ashrafkraidy