SOCIAL IMPACT BONDShigh risk youth to recidivism UK •30 Impact Bonds for issues ranging from...
Transcript of SOCIAL IMPACT BONDShigh risk youth to recidivism UK •30 Impact Bonds for issues ranging from...
SOCIAL IMPACT BONDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OUTCOMES BASED GOVERNMENT
Social Finance is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority FSA No: 497568
SEPTEMBER 2016
Toby Eccles, [email protected]
Twitter: @tobyecc @socfinuk
©Social Finance 2016
THE SOCIAL IMPACT BOND WAS DEVELOPED TO ADDRESS A RECURRING
PROBLEM: CONSISTENT UNDER-INVESTMENT IN PREVENTION2
Higher level of spending on
crisis interventions
Poorer social outcomes, more
require crisis interventions
Fewer resources
available for early
interventions
CAN THE LONG TERM SAVINGS FROM AVERTING POOR OUTCOMES BE USED TO
INVEST IN PREVENTATIVE SERVICES?
©Social Finance 2016
CASE STUDY: RE-OFFENDING RATES IN THE UK 3
RECONVICTION RATE
WITHIN 1 YEAR
63%
AVERAGE NUMBER OF
PREVIOUS OFFENCES
43
AVERAGE NUMBER OF
PREVIOUS JAIL TERMS
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THE SOCIAL IMPACT BOND LINKS FINANCIAL RETURNS DIRECTLY TO
THE DELIVERY OF A SOCIAL OUTCOME4
INVESTORS
SOCIAL IMPACT PARTNERSHIP
2,000 male prisoners sentenced to less than 12 months
Reduction in
re-offending
MINISTRY OF
JUSTICE/
BIG LOTTERY
FUND
Payment
based on
reduced
convictions
St. Giles Trust Innovation Fund
HMP
PETERBOROUGH
(SODEXO)
SOVA MIND Ormiston Trust John Laing Training
Return depends
on success£5 million
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DATA COLLECTION & ANALYSIS
IMPACTBETTER PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT &
RESULTS DELIVERY
OUTCOMES-BASED CONTRACT
& FLEXIBLE FINANCE
SOCIAL IMPACT BONDS FOCUS ON ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT
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A strong incentive to introduce the best evidenced approaches and capacity for effective delivery
The development of strong systems for monitoring key indicators of effective operational performance
Flexibility to refine and adapt approaches
HOW DO SOCIAL IMPACT BONDS SUPPORT DELIVERY
74%INITIAL
ASSESSMENT
COMPLETED
37%ENGAGED 1
MONTH POST-
RELEASE
2.6AVERAGE
ACTIVITIES 1
MTH POST-
RELEASE
50%NEEDS
ASSESSMENT
COMPLETED*
64%MET AT THE
GATE**
COHORT 1
55%ENGAGED 1
MONTH POST-
RELEASE
5.8AVERAGE
ACTIVITIES 1
MTH POST-
RELEASE
76%NEEDS
ASSESSMENT
COMPLETED*
86%MET AT THE
GATE**
COHORT 287%
INITIAL
ASSESSMENT
COMPLETED
* Recording of Needs assessment completion only became operational in Nov 11. The needs assessment figure is calculated from that date forward. Clients who did not have a needs
assessment and did not have an initial assessment are excluded from this metric.
** Meganexus only became fully operational in January 2011. Prior to this date, information was recorded on Excel. The met at the gate figure is calculated from Jan 11 onwards.
All data is rounded
Private and Confidential
©Social Finance 2016
FOCUS ON OUTCOMES ALLOWS A COMPLEX WEB OF
RELATIONSHIPS TO FORM
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PARTNERS
COMMUNITY
SAFETY
PARTNERSHIPS
POLICE
JOB CENTRE PLUS
PROBATION
LOCAL AUTHORITY
TROUBLED FAMILIES
ADULT SOCIAL
CARE
HMP PETERBOROUGH
(SODEXO)
PARTNERS
CLINICAL
COMMISSIONING
GROUP
CRIMINAL JUSTICE
BOARD
COMMUNITY
PROVIDERS
HOUSING
PROVIDERS
HEALTH &
WELLBEING BOARD
JOB DEAL / WORK
PROG
SERVICE USERS
PROJECT GOVERNANCE
INVESTORS | BLF
ADVISORY BOARD
PROJECT DIRECTOR
ST GILES TRUST SOVAJOHN LAING
TRAINING MIND
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EXAMPLES OF UK SOCIAL IMPACT BONDS
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Managing long-term health conditions
Newcastle City Council
11
Improving complex adoption
Nationwide
Reducing young people Not in Education,
Employment or Training
Department of Work & Pensions (Perthshire and Kinross)
Ensuring troubled adolescence avoid
the need for Care
Essex County Council
Supporting those with mental health
conditions into employment
Haringey Council and NHS
Reducing Rough Sleeping
Greater London Authority
Developing Therapeutic Foster Care
Manchester City Council
Reducing Loneliness & Isolation
Worcestershire County Council & NHS
©Social Finance 2016
AND ARE GROWING ACROSS A NUMBER OF COUNTRIES 9
US
• 8 Impact Bonds, including highest value bond of $27m. Issues range from high risk youth to recidivism
UK
• 30 Impact Bonds for issues ranging from
recidivism, to child services, employing a range
of commissioning models
Australia
• 2 Impact Bonds on out-of-home care
Northern Europe
• Impact bonds in the Netherlands (2), Germany, Belgium and Switzerland, for migrant and youth unemployment.
Canada
• One Impact Bond for at-
risk single mothers
Portugal
• One Impact Bond for
education of primary
school children
Since Peterborough, 60 Social Impact Bonds raising $216m have been launched. There are at least 100 in development.
Latin America
• SF and IDB exploring project in Mexico, Brazil and Chile
• Impact Bonds also in development in Colombia (education) and Peru (agriculture)
N Africa and the Middle East
• Impact Bonds in development in Palestine for vocational training (WB) and diabetes prevention. SF Israel also developing a diabetes project to be implanted in Israel
Sub-Saharan Africa
• Impact Bonds in development for Sleeping Sickness in Uganda, ECD in South Africa, and maternal and child health in Cameroon
Impact Bonds launched Impact Bonds in development
Asia and SE Asia
• Exploring Impact Bond for ECD in China (early stages)
• Three pilots being developed in Japan
• Impact Bond being piloted in Rajasthan, India, for Girls’ Education
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RECIDIVISM IMPROVING EARLY CHILDHOOD
HOMELESSNESS/ROUGH
SLEEPERS
CHILDREN ON THE EDGE OF
CARE
YOUTH ENGAGEMENT
WHAT KINDS OF SOCIAL ISSUES ARE USING THE MODEL?
LONELINESS AMONG THE
ELDERLY
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RIGOUR
INNOVATIONCLIENT-CENTRED
HOW SIBS ADD VALUE
FLEXIBILITY
BREAKING SILOS
PARTNERSHIP
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WHO ARE THE INVESTORS? 12
• Pioneered by charitable foundations seeking to use their endowments to help achieve their social mission in new ways and develop more sustainable services
• Investment has grown in parallel to growth of social enterprises and these enterprises need for capital
• Now characterised by a range of sources of investment: charitable foundations, unclaimed assets, individuals (including through new tax incentives), some institutional investors such as local authority pension funds, and an increasing number of specialist funds
• Alongside funds an important social investment ‘infrastructure’ is developing of expertise in fields such as financial analysis of socially focused business cases and impact measurement
©Social Finance 2016
WHAT ATTRACTS FOUNDATIONS TO SOCIAL IMPACT BONDS? 13
SELECTED SIB INVESTORS
Interest in
shifting funding
toward
prevention
Focus on improving
outcomes around a
particular social issue
Interest in scaling a particular
intervention or supporting a
specific community
Desire to invest in
effective social
programmes
Desire to promote
collaboration,
innovation and build
new markets
Desire to increase
government
efficiency
©Social Finance 2016
14IMPACT INVESTING MARKET SIZE ESTIMATED AT £12.7BN
©Social Finance 2016
WHAT ARE THE KEY RISKS? 15
• Failure to agree outcome metrics, value of outcomes (business case) and attribution
• Failure to negotiate procurement and contract in a timely and collaborative manner
• Referrals – investors develop service but public services fail to refer
• Delivery - culture shift for providers
• Benefits realisation – acute services are not decommissioned
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WHAT WOULD MORE OUTCOMES BASED GOVERNMENT LOOK LIKE?16
Present Future?
• Process driven• Holding orgs to contract• Ensure things stay the same
• Over specified• Focus on competition• Track record built on price
• Bureaucratic and rule bound• One size fits all• Low trust of outside providers
• Data driven• Focus on learning• Ensure things improve
• Invest to achieve outcomes• Co-produce• Track record built on outcomes
• Focused on delivery• More adaptable• Tailored to needs of service users
Contract Management
Procurement
Culture
• Fiduciary focus• How much were they paid?
• Outcomes focus• How much impact did they have?Public
Accountability
Data
• Finance and impact separate• Data used for reporting not
insight
• Integrated data used to:• Understand cost of outcomes• Improve decision making
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TRACK RECORD 17
The first Social Impact Bonds are now starting to report, with generally positive outcomes and evaluations.
Analysis of the first six years of SIBs available on Social Finance website
Alongside a database of all SIBs launched available at:
www.socialfinance.org.uk/database/
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THANK YOU