Social effects Risk awareness and preparedness Forecasting LWEC FCERM Research Managing Consequence...
1
Social effects Risk awareness and preparedness Forecasting LWEC FCERM Research Managing Consequence Theme - ongoing work Urgency = 3 Urgency = 2 This map shows the UK FCERM Research Strategy areas, under the thematic topic Managing Consequence. The work detailed in the boxes in currently ongoing for each of the strategy topic areas. The map has been developed based on information from www.envirobase.info which has been supplemented by information from the Implementation Steering Group members. It also includes feedback from delegates at the 2012 LWEC Annual Event. Contact: Katya Manamsa ([email protected]) MC1: Attitudes and acceptance of risk: MC2: Ensuring awareness translates to action MC3: Community and individual engagement MC4: Improving flood modelling and forecasting MC5: Improving storm forecasting MC6: Improving coastal forecasting MC7: Forecasting over a range of timescales MC8: Probabilistic methods Version: 2 Date: May 2014 Warning and response MC9: Harnessing technologies for flood warnings MC10: Warning systems and communities MC11: Targeted flood warning messaging MC12: Behaviour change MC13: Understanding the health effects of flooding MC14: Inequalities and social justice MC15: Revising flood risk management governance MC16: Flood recovery and emergency response NERC - INSURANCE and WATER: Estimating uncertainty in future flood risk analysis for insurance and re-insurance markets NERC: Using Observational Evidence and Process Understanding to Improve Predictions of Extreme Rainfall Change. Numerical modelling of Himalayan glacial lake outburst floods. Quantifying Uncertainty. NERC - AMMA Further Analysis: Convective life-cycles over African continental surfaces Air-Sea Interaction and Sea-spray in Typhoons (ASIST) Projected Responses of Extreme Precipitation and Atmospheric Radiative Energy (PREPARE) NERC - Diabatic influences on mesoscale structures in extratropical storms. Data assimilation in highly nonlinear geophysical systems: particle filters with localization TEMPEST: Testing and Evaluating Model Predictions of European Storms NERC: A study of processes controlling convection over complex terrain Developing enhanced impact models for integration with next generation NWP and climate outputs Hydrological extremes and feedbacks in the changing water cycle. FUSE: Floodplain Underground Sensors- A high-density, wireless, underground Sensor Network to quantify floodplain hydro-ecological interactions Do floods matter? Bridging the gap between fluvial morphodynamics and alluvial architecture COPE: COnvective Precipitation Experiment, to understand the key processes that control precipitation intensity and to improve their representation in convective-scale forecast models Welsh Government: Flood advocacy & support service for communities in Wales Scottish Government: Engaging stakeholder communities in decisions concerning sustainable flood management. Scotland Counts River Catchment Education project. Pilot project to raise awareness of flood risk and river catchment management through Citizen Science and the Curriculum for Excellence. Research review - how do proactive community-based flood preparations lower (or not) the resultant economic, social and environmental costs of a flooding event? Scottish Government: Water, mental health and well-being – including flood risk and mental health. Scottish Government: Water, mental health and well-being – including social inequality through exposure to flood risk. MC5 MC3 MC10 MC2 MC4 MC1 MC7 MC13 MC9 MC8 MC6 MC14 MC15 MC16 MC12 MC11 Scottish Government: Centre of Expertise ClimateXchange, Workstream: significance, risk and uncertainty, Workstrand SRU4: perceptions and communication of risk and uncertainty. EA/ DEFRA: -The conundrum of how to move from flood awareness to taking action - Review of household flood protection pilot in Appleby EA/ DEFRA: - Sharing and Facilitating Good Practice for Communicating Local Flood Risk; - FD2649 Water retrofit policies outlook - Investigating and appraising approaches for involving more communities and partners in Flood Incident Management - Supporting effective community engagement and relationship building as part of the new FCRM partnership funding regime EA/ DEFRA: Review of Methodology for Estimating Flood Peaks and Hydrographs for Small Catchments; Improving Real-time Rainfall Accumulation Capability EA/ DEFRA: Evaluating and Improving the Grid- to-Grid (G2G) Model for Flood Forecasting in Rapid Response Catchments EA/ DEFRA: Improving Flood Risk Maps as a Means to Foster Public Participation and Raising Flood Risk Awareness EA/ DEFRA: IDB review extension; Taking a strategic approach to investment in FCERM Met Office: Probabilistic 2km NWP forecasts for UK using ensemble Nowcasting for the UK using an hourly updated 1.5km NWP model Radar renewal project, delivering Doppler winds, Dual polarisation parameters, and refractivity from radar New East Anglian radar Collection of 3rd party weather observations using WoW Improved rainfall measurement instruments Implementation of 4km UK wave model Convective-scale 4D variational data assimilation 4D-Var Hybrid data assimilation Blending of nowcast & high resolution NWP Rainfall metrics for evaluation & monitoring GLOSEA 5 seasonal forecasting system Coupled Atmosphere/Wave/Ocean/Ice/Land modelling system for medium range forecasting European convective-scale downscaler for 5-day forecasts Development of the NEMO-ERSEM shelf seas ocean model Post-processing of ensemble forecasts using the neighbourhood method First guess warnings from ensemble forecasts Land surface data assimilation using the Extended Kalman Filter Improving soil moisture using assimilation of Urgency = 1 AHRC: Multi-story Water (community engagement Health Protection Agency: Public Health Adaptation Strategies for Extreme Weather Events (PHASE) (EU funded) UK Recovery Handbook on Extreme Events (Scoping) NERC/ESRC/DfID: ESPA - Ecosystem services for poverty alleviation. Impacts of community management on forests & floodplains EPSRC: PhD Bayesian Networks as a Tool for Involving Stakeholders in the Adaptive Management of Urban Flood Risk (Shaun Maskrey) EPSRC: PhD on role of self help groups (Jonathan Simm) FHRC/EA: PhD on warnings for ethnic minorities EPSRC Flooding Sandpit: Understanding flooding sources and trends in light of environmental change MoD: - Met Office Radiosonde Network - Met Office ATDnet system - Long Range Lightning Detection Network ESRC: Energy & Communities Programme (transferable learning to FCERM) LWEC task on Health Health impacts of environmental change (possibly incl. flooding) ESRC: Systemic Risk Centre (Insurance angle) EPSRC: -DOT.Rural (Digital economy hub) -SEPA/ Met Office: Develop a surface water alerting tool for urban communities to provide real time alerting for surface water flooding. This will be developed initially for the East End of Glasgow NERC/ESRC: Increasing Resilience to Natural Hazards (IRNH) (potential further work (MC12))
-
Upload
solomon-rice -
Category
Documents
-
view
213 -
download
0
Transcript of Social effects Risk awareness and preparedness Forecasting LWEC FCERM Research Managing Consequence...
Social effects
Risk awareness and preparedness
Forecasting
LWEC FCERM ResearchManaging Consequence Theme - ongoing workLWEC FCERM ResearchManaging Consequence Theme - ongoing work
Urgency = 3 Urgency = 2
This map shows the UK FCERM Research Strategy areas, under the thematic topic Managing Consequence. The work detailed in the boxes in currently ongoing for each of the strategy topic areas.The map has been developed based on information from www.envirobase.info which has been supplemented by information from the Implementation Steering Group members. It also includes feedback from delegates at the 2012 LWEC Annual Event.
Contact: Katya Manamsa ([email protected])
MC1: Attitudes and acceptance of risk:MC2: Ensuring awareness translates to actionMC3: Community and individual engagementMC4: Improving flood modelling and forecastingMC5: Improving storm forecastingMC6: Improving coastal forecastingMC7: Forecasting over a range of timescalesMC8: Probabilistic methods
Version: 2Date: May 2014
Warning and response
MC9: Harnessing technologies for flood warningsMC10: Warning systems and communitiesMC11: Targeted flood warning messagingMC12: Behaviour changeMC13: Understanding the health effects of floodingMC14: Inequalities and social justiceMC15: Revising flood risk management governanceMC16: Flood recovery and emergency response
NERC - INSURANCE and WATER: Estimating uncertainty in future flood risk analysis for insurance and re-insurance markets
NERC: Using Observational Evidence and Process Understanding to Improve Predictions of Extreme Rainfall Change.Numerical modelling of Himalayan glacial lake outburst floods.Quantifying Uncertainty.
NERC - AMMA Further Analysis: Convective life-cycles over African continental surfacesAir-Sea Interaction and Sea-spray in Typhoons (ASIST)Projected Responses of Extreme Precipitation and Atmospheric Radiative Energy (PREPARE)
NERC - Diabatic influences on mesoscale structures in extratropical storms.
Data assimilation in highly nonlinear geophysical systems: particle filters with localizationTEMPEST: Testing and Evaluating Model Predictions of European Storms
NERC: A study of processes controlling convection over complex terrainDeveloping enhanced impact models for integration with next generation NWP and climate outputsHydrological extremes and feedbacks in the changing water cycle.FUSE: Floodplain Underground Sensors- A high-density, wireless, underground Sensor Network to quantify floodplain hydro-ecological interactionsDo floods matter? Bridging the gap between fluvial morphodynamics and alluvial architectureCOPE: COnvective Precipitation Experiment, to understand the key processes that control precipitation intensity and to improve their representation in convective-scale forecast models
Welsh Government: Flood advocacy & support service for communities in Wales
Scottish Government: Engaging stakeholder communities in decisions concerning sustainable flood management.Scotland Counts River Catchment Education project.Pilot project to raise awareness of flood risk and river catchment management through Citizen Science and the Curriculum for Excellence.Research review - how do proactive community-based flood preparations lower (or not) the resultant economic, social and environmental costs of a flooding event?
Scottish Government: Water, mental health and well-being – including flood risk and mental health.
Scottish Government: Water, mental health and well-being – including social inequality through exposure to flood risk.
MC5
MC3
MC10
MC2
MC4
MC1
MC7
MC13
MC9
MC8MC6
MC14MC15MC16
MC12
MC11
Scottish Government: Centre of Expertise ClimateXchange, Workstream: significance, risk and uncertainty, Workstrand SRU4: perceptions and communication of risk and uncertainty.
EA/ DEFRA: -The conundrum of how to move from flood awareness to taking action - Review of household flood protection pilot in Appleby
EA/ DEFRA: - Sharing and Facilitating Good Practice for Communicating Local Flood Risk; - FD2649 Water retrofit policies outlook- Investigating and appraising approaches for involving more communities and partners in Flood Incident Management- Supporting effective community engagement and relationship building as part of the new FCRM partnership funding regime
EA/ DEFRA: Review of Methodology for Estimating Flood Peaks and Hydrographs for Small Catchments;Improving Real-time Rainfall Accumulation Capability
EA/ DEFRA: Evaluating and Improving the Grid-to-Grid (G2G) Model for Flood Forecasting in Rapid Response Catchments
EA/ DEFRA: Improving Flood Risk Maps as a Means to Foster Public Participation and Raising Flood Risk Awareness
EA/ DEFRA: IDB review extension;Taking a strategic approach to investment in FCERM
Met Office: Probabilistic 2km NWP forecasts for UK using ensembleNowcasting for the UK using an hourly updated 1.5km NWP modelRadar renewal project, delivering Doppler winds, Dual polarisation parameters, and refractivity from radarNew East Anglian radarCollection of 3rd party weather observations using WoWImproved rainfall measurement instrumentsImplementation of 4km UK wave modelConvective-scale 4D variational data assimilation4D-Var Hybrid data assimilationBlending of nowcast & high resolution NWPRainfall metrics for evaluation & monitoringGLOSEA 5 seasonal forecasting systemCoupled Atmosphere/Wave/Ocean/Ice/Land modelling system for medium range forecastingEuropean convective-scale downscaler for 5-day forecastsDevelopment of the NEMO-ERSEM shelf seas ocean modelPost-processing of ensemble forecasts using the neighbourhood methodFirst guess warnings from ensemble forecastsLand surface data assimilation using the Extended Kalman FilterImproving soil moisture using assimilation of satellite observationsIncorporation of LISFLOOD in the Unified Earth System Model for inundation forecastingDevelopment of long range prediction systemsNEMO developmentDEMON - Developing Enhanced impact MOdels for integration with Next generation NWP and climate outputs
Urgency = 1
AHRC: Multi-story Water (community engagement
Health Protection Agency:Public Health Adaptation Strategies for Extreme Weather Events (PHASE) (EU funded)UK Recovery Handbook on Extreme Events (Scoping)
NERC/ESRC/DfID: ESPA - Ecosystem services for poverty alleviation. Impacts of community management on forests & floodplains
EPSRC: PhD Bayesian Networks as a Tool for Involving Stakeholders in the Adaptive Management of Urban Flood Risk (Shaun Maskrey)
EPSRC: PhD on role of self help groups (Jonathan Simm)
FHRC/EA: PhD on warnings for ethnic minorities
EPSRC Flooding Sandpit: Understanding flooding sources and trends in light of environmental change
MoD: - Met Office Radiosonde Network- Met Office ATDnet system - Long Range Lightning Detection Network
ESRC:Energy & Communities Programme (transferable learning to FCERM)
LWEC task on HealthHealth impacts of environmental change (possibly incl. flooding)
ESRC: Systemic Risk Centre (Insurance angle)
EPSRC: -DOT.Rural (Digital economy hub)-SEPA/ Met Office: Develop a surface water alerting tool for urban communities to provide real time alerting for surface water flooding. This will be developed initially for the East End of Glasgow
NERC/ESRC:Increasing Resilience to Natural Hazards (IRNH)(potential further work (MC12))
