FAB Universal: Best Buy Meets iTunes Meets Redbox Meets FRAUD
Slides are ©Essential Ideas, Inc. Photographs are ...€¦ · “Neither RedBox nor Netflix are...
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Disruption InnovationTwitter@terrellbjones
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I do keynotes, keynotes with breakouts and after
dinner speeches for corporations, associations, educational institutions and
governments www.tbjones.com
Everything is great!
Tremors
“Neither RedBox nor Netflix areeven on our radar screen in
terms of competition”
CEO Blockbuster2008
Peak Employment 60,00010 Years later ZERODISRUPTION!
Leadersare
worried
Are things moving faster?
Telephone took 75 years to reach 50 million users
Pokemon Go took 15 Days! It is a difficult time to be a leader
Speed of change
Information
Overload
Lack of
certainty
Talent
Twitter:Terrellbjones
I can’t take more… What if disruption IS coming?
Cincinnati 1848
Self Driving
Cars
Insurance
Hotels
Parking
RealEstate
Deliveries
Auto Repair
Billboards
Healthcare
Traffic Cops!
Truck Drivers
Do I need a car?
Teen Licenses down >10%
Who is the enemy?
Not Godzilla but… 3,000-4000 Startups per year!
Who & What is likely to disrupt you
What you can
do about it!
`Get slides @
www.tbjones.com
Digital Disruption“Software is eating
the world”
Marc Andreessen
New Tech AND
New Business Models
6 7
3 421
Forces of disruption
1098
5
Mobility7.3 Billion Cell Phones
5 Billion network connected 2 Billion Smart Phones
One Trillion Images Per YearMobile only last minute hotel
App Store Earned $40 BBL
50 Million Apple Watches
Total of over200mm worldwide
of all brands
“The Apple watch is an interesting toy, but it is
not a revolution”Nick Hayek Jr.
Swatch Executive
In 2017 the Apple Watch outsold
the entire Swiss Watch Industry
•20GB speed •Reduced latency
•Internet of skills •High motion mobility •Autonomous vehicles
I.O.T.
125 Billion by 2030
I.O.T. Examples
• Sensor reports to doctor • Doctor orders new prescription • Pharmacy alerts your phone • GPS reminds you on way home • You stop and pay via facial reco
Disney Magic Band• Ticket
• Pay for goods and services
• Photo Pass
• Room Key - Bus Pass
• Track your child
• Cast members say , ‘Hello Terry!’
Carnival Medallion• 7,000 Sensors per ship
• Open your room
• Pay for your drinks, dinner, goods, gambling
• Book and pay for excursions
• Hundreds of thousands of insights per voyage
“Bait to Plate Tracking”
• IOT
• Blockchain
• Image Processing
Machine LearningAnalyticsCloud
IOT Technology Chain
ConnectivitySensors
John Rossman The Amazon Way on IoT
Torrent
Stream
Big Data
2.5 Quintillion bytes daily
Where to put it?Processing Power - Storage Density Processing Cost - Storage Cost
Communication Speed Communication Cost
CloudInstead of our own
Shared
Why is cloud important?
• Instantly available • Infinitely scalable • Insanely inexpensive
Game Changer
It’s why two guys in a startup Have as much computing power as a Fortune 500 company!
Convergenceof
Technologies
Robotics Robotics
Average age of major hotel chain’s housekeeper in hawaii?
RPA (Robotic Process Automation)
Felling & Planting Drones
Drone Financial PredictionDrone Environmental
Protection as a Service
Real Estate
Drug delivery drone Additive Manufacturing
25% of every building by 2030
90% of hearing aids 3D printed
In 4 years!
Computer Vision Selfie Applications for life policies
VR vs AR
Wal-Mart Training VR Roller Coaster
Disruption by algorithmAlgorithms
Very Smart Contracts Using AI & BlockChain
Settlement
Identity
Will we require? Predictive Analytics Predictive Analytics
Predictive Failure Adaptive Diagnostics
Condition Based Maintenance
Big Data
A. I.
Ifdata
is thenew oil
AIis
therefinery
Here Now!
AI is the new UI
How products are sold
A. I. How products are supported How processes are automated
A Combination of AIs Self Driving Here Now
Robot? Drone?
9 Countries that SKIP Constrained resources =
U. S Mars
Mission
$730,000,000 $73,000,000
IndianMars
Mission
“Martian” = $100mm!
Balance of Power
Sellers Buyers
Customers
Sellers
Buyers
Power to the customer
• Geographic barriers eliminated • Price information everywhere • Buyer experiences shared
Gartner
Short circuiting distribution
Crowdsourcing consideration
Consuming endless product info
Want what they Want When they Want it
6 7
3 421
Forces of disruption
1098
5
Change isn’t stopping
IBM stores data on a single atom!
“If you don’t like change, you’re going to like irrelevance even
less.”
Technique
Technologyfollows
New Business Models
owns no vehicles
develops no content
has no inventory
owns no real estate
Tom GoodwinTechCrunch
Own the
edge
The edge has moved Edge is where the customer is
Platform Integration at the Edge
Jamie DimonJ.P. Morgan Chase
“Silicon Valley is coming!”
“The battle is decided if the startup gets the distrubution before the incumbent gets the innovation”
James JonesRetail Analyst
RBC
Hide? Hold it
Back?
Instagram raised$1 Billion
The day Kodak went bankrupt
Kodak invented thedigital camera! From your perspective: A disruption
From their perspective: An innovation
“Your margin is our opportunity” MBA = Masters Business Administration
GSD = Get Stuff Done Startups are not smallversions of big companies -They not only create new
products
Search for unknown business models
OPAOther People’s Assets
PayAirline
Dealwith
Retuns
PostSale
Service
Travelocity
Bill &Collect
IssueItinerary
CreateBrand
TraditionalMarketing
Searchfor
Products
IssueTicket
BookTicket
Bill &Collect
IssueItinerary
IssueTicket
PayAirline
Dealwith
Returns
PostSale
Service
SendCustomer
toAirline
UseSearch
Worth $1.8 BILLION
SetPrices
Find Clients
DispatchBill &
Collect
OwnCars
LicenseCars
ServiceCars
Traditional Limo Company
EnforceStandards
Hire Drivers
OwnCars
LicenseCars
ServiceCars
Marketenforcesstandards
Driversfind
them
Add amazingsoftware
OPIOther People’s Information
Platform
Hubs/Platforms
Info Info
Info
Info
Info
OPI = Other People’s Information
OPPOther People’s Products
Hubs/Ecosystems/PlatformsMusic
MusicMusic
Music Music
OPP = Other People’s Products
OPDOther People’s Data
Hubs/Ecosystems/Platforms
GPS
GPS GPS
GPS
GPS
OPD = Other People’s Data
Less Capital
More Speed
But you have.... And perhaps you are not..
“There isNO step two!
Don’t let some kid in the Valley... Assets & Edge
What’s the new model?
2014
0%
6.5%
13%
19.5%
26%
Microsoft Google
16%
7%
The largest cloud app of all
Maintenance Sold By The Hour 40% Cost Reductions…
50% Downtime Improvements
“Engines talk. We liste
n!” ONIOutcomes Not Iron
Outcomes Opportunities
What’s holding
youback?
50% of executives are dissatisfied with
the state of innovation in their company
Boyd & Goldberg“Inside the box”
Check the mirror
Risk vXX
Every company founded by a ri
sk taker
Would your company approvean idea as radical as the one that
founded your company?
Board Room Are About Controlling Risk• Most board have a
Cyber Committee
• Few have an InnovationCommittee
• Which would you ratherhave?
• A Cyber Break In?
• A business failure due to lack of innovation!
I Started My Career As A Receptionist in a travel Agency - 45 years ago
Vega Travel
1st Startup
2nd Startup Sold to American Airlines
• CIO
• VP Computer Ops
• VP Applications
• Asst VP Product
• Asst VP ADS Div
• Director
18 Years AA Big Risk
• Boards
• 9 startups
• 3 went public
• 4 public companies
• 2 non profit
• Consulting company
• Venture Capitalist
• Speaker
• Author
Recently all in...again!
Ran outta money
`
75% of venturebacked startups
FAIL
<50% make itpast 4th birthday
Operating at full throttle
vTake the first risk! Make team feel safe!
Fearless
Prototype
3d PrototypeAI Web Test
“Do it right the first time!”
Watch the films! Check the mirror..again
“Innovation that happens from top
down is orderly but dumb”
“...innovation that happens from the
bottom up is chaotic and smart”
Curtis CarlsonSRI
From the bottom Bozone Layer
Stops bright ideas from moving upwards
TopDownFirst
ThenBottom
Up
Listening reduces risk!
Come together
Why can’t I buy a concept car?
Clarity
Chained to an old model?
We’ve ALWAYS done it this way
We’ve NEVER done it
that way
“What is dangerousis not to evolve”
Jeff Bezos
“Established organizations view disruption as a threat”
How could we do that?
Then Suddenly”
“How did you go bankrupt?”
“Two ways. First gradually
Ernest HemmingwayThe Sun Also Rises
You don’t have to change the world to cause disruption
Do it yourse
lf
Went public
$1.2bbl
Choice
Sold fo
r $1.8 Bbl
Bundling
Sold fo
r $50 m
m Apple didn’t invent
They made them better
TheirInnovation Your
Disruption
InnovationDisruption
You can act!
If you don’t innovate You will be disrupted
Recreateimagine Chuck Hull
Customiza
tion becomes the norm
Reimagine
Radio Controlled AirplanesDrones
Reimagine
reimagine
“The last 25 years were all about who could build things the cheapest.
The next 25 will be all about who can make things the smartest”
Antoine van Agtmael
Lessons learned
•At your favorite online bookstore
• Paperback or Ebook
Disruption
Coming This summer!
6 7
3 421
Forces of disruption
5
8 9 10
What’s holding
youback?
Innovation
New Tech AND
New Business Models
Change comes with risk
But you can minimize it
InnovationDisruption
Stop Disruption Innovate!
Ò