Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael Bader Under Creative Commons...
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Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael BaderUnder Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License
Institute for Policy Studies
Photo Credit: Stephen M. Scott, Flickr
Studying Neighborhood Change
Michael BaderAmerican University
July 17, 2012
Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael BaderUnder Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License
Institute for Policy Studies
People
July 17, 2012
Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael BaderUnder Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License
Institute for Policy Studies
“…the problem of the twentieth century is the problem of the color-line.”
W.E.B. Du Bois, 1903“Our nation is moving toward two societies, one
black, one white—-separate and unequal.”Kerner Commission, 1968
“During the 1970s and 1980s a word disappeared from the American vocabulary… The word was
segregation.”Massey & Denton, 1993
July 17, 2012
Racial Segregation and Inequality
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Institute for Policy StudiesJuly 17, 2012
Changing Context of Segregation
20% Black
33 % Black
53% Black
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
1976 1992
2004
Percent white respondents
Percent of Whites Willing to Consider Neighborhoods, by Percent Black
Sources: Farley, et al. 1978, 1994; Krysan & Bader 2007
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Institute for Policy Studies
How does segregation evolve in multicultural, post-Civil Rights America?
• PACE of neighborhood racial change slows dramatically
• PLACES of neighborhood racial & ethnic change reveal important differences between black and Latino segregation
July 17, 2012
Changing Context of Segregation
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American University
Pace of Neighborhood Change– Out- vs. In-mobility
• Contemporary evidence suggests weak effects of out-migration
• Change driven by where people move upon moving
– Pace of change influences neighborhood stability– Inter-racial demographic differences
November 17, 2010
Pace & Place of Neighborhood Change
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Institute for Policy Studies
Describing Diversity
July 17, 2012
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Identifying Neighborhood “Careers”
July 17, 2012Institute for Policy Studies
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Institute for Policy Studies
0
20
40
60
80
100 0
20
40
60
80
100
020406080100
% Lat ino % whit e
% black
1970
0
20
40
60
80
100 0
20
40
60
80
100
020406080100
% Lat ino % whit e
% black
1980
0
20
40
60
80
100 0
20
40
60
80
100
020406080100
% Lat ino % whit e
% black
1990
0
20
40
60
80
100 0
20
40
60
80
100
020406080100
% Lat ino % whit e
% black
2000
Source: Neighborhood Change Database, Geoly tics , Inc .
July 17, 2012
Chicago Metro Composition, 1970-2000
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Institute for Policy Studies
Racially/Ethnically Stable Neighborhoods
July 17, 2012
Stable white (53%)
Stable black (14%)
Stable multiethnic integration (4%)
1970 1980 1990 2000
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Institute for Policy Studies
Black Growth
July 17, 2012
All-white to all-black succession (4%)
All-white to majority black (4%)
1970 1980 1990 2000
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Institute for Policy Studies
Latino Growth
July 17, 2012
Mostly white to majority Latino(4%)
Mixed white/Latino to majority Latino (4%)
Late Latino growth (9%)
1970 1980 1990 2000
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Institute for Policy StudiesJuly 17, 2012
Latino Growth (cont.)
Latino growth then displacement(4%)
1970 1980 1990 2000
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Institute for Policy Studies
Place of Neighborhood Racial & Ethnic Change
Click icon to add picture
Chicago Consolidated Metropolitan Area, 1970-2000
July 17, 2012
Stable whiteStable black
Stable multiethnic integrationAll-white to all-black succession
All-white to predominantly blackMixed white/Latino to all-LatinoMostly white to predom. Latino
Late Latino growthLatino growth then displacement
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Institute for Policy Studies
Place of Neighborhood Change: Black DiffusionChicago Consolidated Metropolitan Area, 1970-2000
July 17, 2012
Stable whiteStable black
Stable multiethnic integrationAll-white to all-black succession
All-white to predominantly blackMixed white/Latino to all-LatinoMostly white to predom. Latino
Late Latino growthLatino growth then displacement
Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael BaderUnder Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License
Institute for Policy Studies
Place of Neighborhood Change: Latino Dispersion (1)Chicago Consolidated Metropolitan Area, 1970-2000
July 17, 2012
Stable whiteStable black
Stable multiethnic integrationAll-white to all-black succession
All-white to predominantly blackMixed white/Latino to all-LatinoMostly white to predom. Latino
Late Latino growthLatino growth then displacement
Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael BaderUnder Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License
Institute for Policy Studies
Place of Neighborhood Change: Latino Dispersion (2)Chicago Consolidated Metropolitan Area, 1970-2000
July 17, 2012
Stable whiteStable black
Stable multiethnic integrationAll-white to all-black succession
All-white to predominantly blackMixed white/Latino to all-LatinoMostly white to predom. Latino
Late Latino growthLatino growth then displacement
Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael BaderUnder Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License
Institute for Policy Studies
Place of Neighborhood Change: Displacement & Stable MultiethnicChicago Consolidated Metropolitan Area, 1970-2000
July 17, 2012
Stable whiteStable black
Stable multiethnic integrationAll-white to all-black succession
All-white to predominantly blackMixed white/Latino to all-LatinoMostly white to predom. Latino
Late Latino growthLatino growth then displacement
Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael BaderUnder Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License
Institute for Policy StudiesJuly 17, 2012
Percent elderly by career (2000)
Rac ial ly /ethnicallys table neighborhoods
Black growthneighborhoods
Latino growthneighborhoods
0.1
.2.3
.4.5
Stablewhite
Stableblack
Stableintegration
All whi teto
all black
All whi te tomajorityblack
Mixedwhite/Latinoto majority
Latino
Mos tlywhite topredom.Latino
LateLatinogrowth
Latinogrowth &displace-
ment
Latino Black Non-Latino white
by type of neighborhood racial/ethnic change, 2000Proportion of racial/ethnic group that is 65+ years old
BACK
Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael BaderUnder Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License
Institute for Policy Studies
Rac ial ly /ethnicallys table neighborhoods
Black growthneighborhoods
Latino growthneighborhoods
0.1
.2.3
.4.5
Stablewhite
Stableblack
Stableintegration
All whi teto
all black
All whi te tomajorityblack
Mixedwhite/Latinoto majority
Latino
Mos tlywhite topredom.Latino
LateLatinogrowth
Latinogrowth &displace-
ment
Latino Black Non-Latino white
by type of neighborhood racial/ethnic change, 2000Proportion of racial/ethnic group that is 0-14 years old
July 17, 2012
Percent young children by career (2000)
BACK
Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael BaderUnder Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License
Institute for Policy Studies
Thank [email protected]
July 17, 2012