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    Motivation and Research Question Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .Empirical Results on Insurance Uti lization Conclusion

    .

    .Determinants and Impacts of Health Insurance

    Nonutilization

    Hisaki Kono

    September 20, 2012

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    Motivation and Research Question Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .Empirical Results on Insurance Uti lization Conclusion

    Motivation and Research Question

    Many developing countries have attempted to expand the coverage ofhealth insurance to the poor and disadvantaged group in recent years.

    Impact of health insurance on service utilization and out-of-pocket(OOP) payment varies across countries:

    Service utilization:

    positive: Waters (1999, Ecuador), Trujillo et al. (2005, Colombia), Yip and

    Berman (2005, Egypt), Wagstaff et al. (2009, China)no impact: Thornton et al. (2010, Nicaragua), Waters (1999, Ecuador), Wagstaff(2010, Vietnam)

    OOP payment:

    reduction: Thornton et al. (2010, Nicaragua), Yip and Berman (2005, Egypt),Wagstaff (2010, Vietnam)no impact: Wagstaff et al. (2009, China)

    The effect of the health insurance will depend on the demand sidefactors and supply side factors, so it can be quite context-dependent.

    demand side: price elasticity of the healthcare utilizationsupply side: the accessibilities to healthcare facilities.

    Need to identify what makes healthcare utilization and OOP not so

    responsive to the health insurance provision in that country or region.

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    Motivation and Research Question Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .Empirical Results on Insurance Uti lization Conclusion

    Motivation and Research Question

    An issue missing in the literature: discriminated service against theinsurance holders and nonutilization of insurance.

    Insurance is helpful only when it is utilized. Insurance provision will have

    a limited impact if insurance utilization rate is low.

    A story of a patient visiting a central cancer hospital in Hanoi (Ha, 2011):

    if he would use it, it would take two days for him to be fully checked.

    it took him a morning to receive the same services when he paid with hisown money.

    Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey 2006

    insurance utilization (free health insurance card): 0.80 for inpatienttreatment, 0.55 for outpatient treatmentThree most cited reasons for the nonutilization

    cumbersome procedures (21.9%)lower quality of health care service when using the insurance (11.9%)little prospect of receiving reimbursement (9.0%)

    But we do not know when and where they chose not to utilize insurance.

    We have detailed information on insurance utilization at each hospital

    visit.

    Correcting sample selection and endogeneity of the facility choice.

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    Motivation and Research Question Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .Empirical Results on Insurance Uti lization Conclusion

    Overview of the Result

    The likelihood of insurance utilization is significantly and substantiallylower at the public central hospital.

    Reflecting low incentives of the public, especially crowded, healthcare facilityto increase the number of patients?

    The time cost, proxied by the respondents average working hour and the

    household income per capita, affects the insurance utilization choice.Only we can provide is the indirect evidence on the discrimination as we donot have direct observations on the waiting time or the objective measure ofservice quality.

    Less prospect of utilizing health insurance at the central hospital

    discourages people from visiting there.

    The average effect of insurance nonutilization on the healthcare

    expenses per visit is around 1 million VND, which is 1.5 times larger than

    the average healthcare expenses per visit.

    C

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    Motivation and Research Question Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .Empirical Results on Insurance Uti lization Conclusion

    Data

    2,673 adults aged 18 or older living in 60 communes, selected by the

    multi-stage stratified random sampling with oversampling poorcommunes.

    Health insurance is quite familiar. 68.7% have some health insurance,

    16.2% do not have but did have some health insurance.

    Table : Summary statistics

    (A) Demographic variables

    (1)Mean

    gender: female 0.576 (0.016)Age of the respondent 43.201 (0.553)Respondent is an ethnic minority 0.236 (0.030)

    Years in school 8.548 (0.322)log(1+household income per capita) 13.729 (0.065)ln(work hour) 3.020 (0.082)can read Kinh 0.963 (0.006)chronic disease 0.320 (0.015)last illness: severity (1-4) 2.329 (0.021)have HI 0.687 (0.027)

    does not have but did have HI 0.162 (0.014)Observations 2426

    M ti ti d R h Q ti D t E i i l R lt I Uti li ti C l i

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    Motivation and Research Question Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .Empirical Results on Insurance Uti lization Conclusion

    Insurance holdings

    The majority of health insurance is health insurance for the poor, followed

    by voluntary government health insurance, obliged government health

    insurance (typically held by employees in public sector and formally

    registered enterprises), and health insurance for the priority group (free).

    (B) Insurance holdings across insurance types(1)

    Meanstudent HI 0.042 (0.007)Poor household HI 0.326 (0.043)priority group HI 0.131 (0.013)obliged gov. HI 0.176 (0.030)

    voluntary gov. HI 0.287 (0.031)private HI 0.023 (0.006)other HI 0.022 (0.005)Observations 1929

    Standard errors in parentheses

    Motivation and Research Question Data Empirical Results on Insurance Utilization Conclusion

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    Motivation and Research Question Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .Empirical Results on Insurance Utilization ConclusionPattern of Health Insurance Utilization

    Pattern of Health Insurance Utilization

    Use the healthcare facility visit level data for the last disease in the last

    12 months.

    Information on the type of the healthcare facility visited, insurance

    utilization, and the amount of healthcare expenses for each visit is

    available.

    Use observations which have health insurance, experienced illness in

    the last 12 months, and visited any healthcare facilities.Insurance utilization rate is slightly lower for the ethnic minority and

    female.

    Table : Insurance Utilization

    (1)Full sample

    last illness: use HIKinh 0.782 (0.028)Ethnic_Minority 0.744 (0.034)Observations 1177

    Standard errors in parentheses

    (1)Full sample

    last illness: use HImale 0.803 (0.029)female 0.753 (0.028)Observations 1177

    Standard errors in parentheses

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    Motivation and Research Question Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .Empirical Results on Insurance Utilization ConclusionPattern of Health Insurance Utilization

    Pattern of Health Insurance Utilization across Facilities

    Private facilities: often no contract with the insurance agency, especiallysmall clinics.

    In the analysis, we exclude the observation visiting the private facilities. Thenumber of observation is also small.

    Among the public facilities, the province/city hospitals and district

    hospitals/policlinics have high insurance utilization rates.The public facility with the lowest insurance utilization is the centralhospital.

    in spite of relatively high administration and management ability.consistent with the discrimination story in the crowded public facilities.

    Table : Insurance Utilization across healthcare facilities

    (1)Treatment or examinations only

    last illness: use HICentral 0.789 (0.047)Province 0.949 (0.030)District 0.960 (0.016)Commune 0.886 (0.022)Private_hospital 0.712 (0.140)Private_clinic 0.034 (0.028)

    Observations 1025Standard errors in parentheses

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    Motivation and Research Question Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .Empirical Results on Insurance Utilization ConclusionPattern of Health Insurance Utilization

    Health Insurance Utilization across Facilities and Policies

    Standard errors are not reported because the sample size in eachsampling units are too small to calculate the clustered standard errors.

    The priority group always utilize insurance at the central hospital, while

    the insurance utilization rate for people with the obliged health insurance

    is quite low at the central hospital.

    Table : Insurance Utilization across Health Facilities and Types of Insurance

    (1) (2) (3) (4)HI poor HI priority HI obliged HI voluntary

    last illness: use HI

    Central 0.837 (.) 1.000 (.) 0.676 (.) 0.804 (.)Province 0.880 (.) 1.000 (.) 1.000 (.) 0.903 (.)District 0.902 (.) 0.954 (.) 0.993 (.) 1.000 (.)Commune 0.866 (.) 0.993 (.) 0.976 (.) 0.855 (.)Observations 491 135 108 153

    t statistics in parentheses

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    Motivation and Research Question Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .Empirical Results on Insurance Utilization ConclusionPattern of Health Insurance Utilization

    Econometric Issues

    Sample selection bias: Insurance utilization is observed only when theindividual had an insurance and chose to visit any health facilities.

    Individual may not go to clinics/hospitals because they expect that they willnot utilize the insurance.Government may have provided the insurance to those who tend to beunfamiliar with insurance and are less likely to utilize insurance.We correct sample selection bias by the inverse probability weighting.

    Endogeneity of facility choice: Which health facility to visit will depend onthe expectation on how likely they will use insurance there.

    People who visited the central hospital may be those who have relativelyhigher prospect of utilizing insurance.The insurance utilization rate at the central hospital itself does not tell ushow difficult to utilize insurance there.

    We use 2SLS with commune dummies as instrumental variables for hospitalchoice. We show in the paper that we can obtain conservative estimates ofthe effect of health facility on insurance utilization under the assumption thatindividuals in a commune where the commune members are more likely tovisit the central hospital are not less likely to utilize insurance at the centralhospital.

    Motivation and Research Question Data Empirical Results on Insurance Utilization Conclusion

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    . . . . . . . . . . . . .pPattern of Health Insurance Utilization

    A test for the hypothesis that low prospect of insurance utilization affects the

    healthcare facility choice

    The endogeneity problem will arise mainly because the healthcare

    facility choice will depend on the expectation how likely they will use the

    insurance there.If the magnitude of the estimates obtained by the 2SLS is significantlylarger than that obtained by the OLS, which can be tested byDurbin-Wu-Hausman test, it is implied that the low prospect of utilizinginsurance at a given healthcare facility actually discourages people fromvisiting that healthcare facility.

    Another cause of the endogeneity is the measurement errors. But in that

    case, the magnitude of the coefficient when correcting the endogeneitybecomes smaller due to the attenuation bias.

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    . . . . . . . . . . . . .pPattern of Health Insurance Utilization

    (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)Probit Probit OLS 2SLS IPW 2SLS IPW 2SLS IPW 2SLS IPW 2S

    Central hospital -0.153 -0.133 -0.140 -0.284 -0.254 -0.298 -0.565 -0.390(0.039) (0.031) (0.050) (0.104) (0.072) (0.089) (0.130) (0.199

    Province/City hospital 0.039 0.021 0.005 0.027 -0.071 -0.154 -0.272

    -0.243

    (0.053) (0.054) (0.036) (0.085) (0.082) (0.095) (0.093) (0.092

    commune health center -0.033 -0.045 -0.048 -0.154 -0.170 -0.179 -0.182 -0.179

    (0.029) (0.029) (0.033) (0.073) (0.061) (0.064) (0.065) (0.062

    Poor household HI -0.013 -0.062 -0.058 -0.040 -0.081 -0.100 -0.145 -0.139

    (0.039) (0.046) (0.055) (0.053) (0.048) (0.048) (0.066) (0.065

    Priority group HI 0.107 0.103 0.085 0.092 0.073 0.062 -0.169 -0.143(0.026) (0.023) (0.036) (0.037) (0.039) (0.041) (0.080) (0.081

    gender: female -0.037 -0.038 -0.027 -0.021 -0.035 -0.026 -0.087 -0.086

    (0.022) (0.022) (0.028) (0.029) (0.030) (0.028) (0.041) (0.041

    ethnic minority -0.057 -0.043 -0.042 -0.032 -0.069 -0.072 -0.057 -0.062

    (0.033) (0.031) (0.043) (0.043) (0.053) (0.052) (0.059) (0.058Years in school -0.002 -0.004 -0.003 0.005 0.003 0.001 0.003

    (0.003) (0.005) (0.005) (0.007) (0.007) (0.006) (0.007

    ln(HH income per cap) -0.047 -0.040 -0.043 -0.083 -0.076 -0.066 -0.070

    (0.021) (0.029) (0.029) (0.035) (0.034) (0.032) (0.033

    any savings -0.052 -0.065 -0.059 -0.104 -0.114 -0.060 -0.071(0.036) (0.048) (0.049) (0.050) (0.050) (0.052) (0.055

    ln(work hour) -0.045 -0.018 -0.010 -0.020 -0.025 -0.055 -0.045

    (0.026) (0.015) (0.020) (0.021) (0.023) (0.027) (0.023

    can read Kinh 0.102 0.102 0.116 0.061 0.043 0.009 -0.009

    (0.048) (0.073) (0.071) (0.080) (0.085) (0.092) (0.102chronic disease 0.082 0.106 0.118

    (0.039) (0.043) (0.047

    severe illness -0.077 -0.055 -0.055(0.030) (0.028) (0.028

    very severe illness 0.102 0.133 0.133(0.073) (0.067) (0.072

    HI_poorcentral hosp 0.160 0.047(0.235) (0.261

    HI_prioritycentral hosp 0.716 0.674

    (0.236) (0.224

    ln(work hour)cent hosp -0.050(0.053

    Observations 704 704 704 704 697 697 697 697

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    . . . . . . . . . . . . .Pattern of Health Insurance Utilization

    Correcting the endogenous healthcare facility choice (Column (4))substantially increases the magnitude of the coefficient of central

    hospital and commune health center.If a patient visits the central hospital, the probability of utilizing insurance willbe 25-30 percentage points lower than visiting the district hospitals.

    Durbin-Wu-Hausman tests rejects the null hypothesis that these facilitychoice variables are exogenous (p-value of 0.078).

    The low prospect of health insurance utilization at the central hospital

    actually discourages people from visiting there.Patient with chronic disease are more likely to utilize insurance; patient

    with severe illness are less likely to utilize the insurance, suggesting that

    in the case of the severe illness, the patients prioritize the treatment, and

    insurance utilization is the second matter. However, if the illness is very

    severe, in which case the medical expenses could be huge, patients

    seem to try to find a way to utilize the insurance.

    The low insurance utilization at the central hospital is not due to the

    health characteristics of the patients. Rather, once we control the health

    and illness status, the insurance utilization at the central hospital is even

    lower.

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    . . . . . . . . . . . . .Pattern of Health Insurance Utilization

    Our preferred specification is Column (7) as it allows the differential

    patterns of insurance utilization across insurance policy at the central

    hospital, which captures important variation in insurance utilization.

    The negative coefficients on the working hours and the household

    income would indicate that those whose time costs are higher are lesslikely to utilize the insurance. Consistent with the anecdote.

    But the income and working hours little explains the high insurance

    utilization rate of the priority group. When we include the interaction

    terms of these variables with central hospital variable, the coefficient

    changes little. So some other factors than working hours or income are

    working for this population. Need further studies.

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    . . . . . . . . . . . . .The magnitude of the effect of insurance nonuntilization

    The magnitude of the effect of insurance nonuntilization

    We have shown that the likelihood of insurance utilization is quite lowerat the central hospital, especially for the group other than the priority

    group. But how important is the insurance nonutilization in terms of the

    health expenditure?

    For examining the effect of health insurance nonutilization on the health

    expenditure, we use the self-reported health care expenditure which is

    elicited by the question In total, how much did you pay for this visit?.

    The drawback of this question is that it is not clear if the respondent

    reports the health care expenditure net of health insurance

    reimbursement.

    It is likely that some respondents report the expenditure net of

    reimbursement, and others report the gross health care expenditure.We use a second outcome variable which is obtained by subtracting the

    amount of health insurance reimbursement elicited by the question How

    much were you paid by health insurance in total at that time?. The true

    value of the expenses should be somewhere between the first outcome

    variable and the second one.

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    . . . . . . . . . . . . .The magnitude of the effect of insurance nonuntilization

    The amount of the self-reported health care expenditure for the visit at the last

    illness

    count mean sdnot use HIlast illness: pay for the visit 78 1037730.8 3735050.8last illness: pay for examination 81 84252.1 406606.1last illness: pay for medication 83 639999.9 2731860.4last illness: pay for incentive money for health staff 81 28888.8 176167.5

    last illness: pay for transport 82 52073.1 233920.9last illness: pay for other category 83 156024.0 690499.9use HIlast illness: pay for the visit 473 544564.5 3147995.1last illness: pay for examination 372 64089.8 578916.0last illness: pay for medication 387 217278.7 1317363.0last illness: pay for incentive money for health staff 385 13506.4 77600.2

    last illness: pay for transport 383 58018.1 185152.1last illness: pay for other category 386 237745.9 1114456.1Totallast illness: pay for the visit 551 614377.5 3238389.6last illness: pay for examination 453 67694.9 551730.2last illness: pay for medication 470 291929.5 1661084.3last illness: pay for incentive money for health staff 466 16180.1 101716.5

    last illness: pay for transport 465 56969.7 194371.7last illness: pay for other category 469 223283.4 1051787.0

    Motivation and Research Question Data Empirical Results on Insurance Utilization Conclusion

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    . . . . . . . . . . . . .The magnitude of the effect of insurance nonuntilization

    The amount of the self-reported health care expenditure for the visit at the last

    illness

    While almost half of those who used insurance paid nothing for the visit,more than a third of those who did not use insurance paid 100,001 -

    500,000 VND.

    The ratio of those who paid more than 1 million VND for the visit is also

    higher for those who did not use the health insurance.

    More than a forth of those who did not use the health insurance

    eventually pay no less than 50,000 VND, in which case there is not somuch benefit for utilizing the health insurance.

    .2692

    .1795

    .3462

    .0513

    .1154

    .0385

    .4672

    .1839

    .0698

    .1395

    .0465.074

    .019

    0

    .5

    0

    .5

    0 ~50k ~100k ~500k ~1,000k ~5,000k 5,000k~

    not use HI

    use HI

    Density

    a for visit Motivation and Research Question Data Empirical Results on Insurance Utilization Conclusion

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    . . . . . . . . . . . . .The magnitude of the effect of insurance nonuntilization

    Econometric analysis

    The characteristics of those who used the health insurance and those

    who did not are different.

    To estimate the average treatment effect on the treated of insurancenonutilization, we use the nearest neighbor matching and the regressionadjustment with propensity score weighting.

    The latter is doubly robust in the sense that consistency of the estimatorsonly requires either the conditional mean model or the propensity scoremodel to be correctly specified, not both.

    We include as the same set of the covariates used in the analysis ofinsurance nonutilization. Though these variables may not suffice toexplain the difference between the two groups, it is likely that theestimates are conservative ones.

    If there remains some unobservables which affect the expenses, a majorfactor will be selection and moral hazard.People do not utilize insurance because their expenses are not so high.People who use insurance will receive more healthcare service as the costsare discounted.

    Motivation and Research Question Data Empirical Results on Insurance Utilization Conclusion

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    . . . . . . . . . . . . .The magnitude of the effect of insurance nonuntilization

    Impact of Insurance Nonutilization on Healthcare Expenditure

    Columns (1) and (2) use the self-reported healthcare expenditure (In

    total, how much did you pay for this visit?).Columns (3) and (4) use a second outcome variable which is obtained

    by subtracting the amount of health insurance reimbursement elicited by

    the question How much were you paid by health insurance in total at

    that time?.

    The true value of the effect of the health insurance nonutilization should

    be somewhere between Columns (1) or (2) and Columns (3) or (4).

    The estimated effect of insurance nonutilization on the healthcare

    expenses is around 0.9-1.1 million VND, which is about 1.5 times higher

    than the average of the healthcare expenses.

    Table : Health care expenses for the visit

    (1) (2) (3) (4)NNM Reg Adj PSW NNM Reg Adj PSW

    HI nonutilization 843084.5*** 1084540* 974463.9*** 1181121*(198194.2) (571180.2) (187435.4) (659005.8)

    Observations 549 124 549 124

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    Conclusion

    Though many has been attempting to expand the coverage of the health

    insurance, it may not be sufficient for protecting people fromhealth-related financial shocks. If insurance is not utilized or claims are

    not admitted, having health insurance will be of no use.In Vietnam, insurance nonutilization is actually an issue. The likelihood ofinsurance utilization is significantly and substantially lower at the publiccentral hospital, which in turn discourages people from visiting there.

    Probably due to the lack in incentives in overcrowded public hospitals?

    In private facilities, they will concern attracting many patients to raise profit,and ensuring insurance utilization will help them increase the number ofpatients by providing discount for the medical fees.Staff in public facilities may not care for attracting more patients as it will notincrease their income. Further, more patients mean more work given thesame salary, and administrative works for insurance utilization put additionalworks. In crowded public facility, staff are already faced with a heavy

    workload and thus tend to discriminate the insurees.The average effect of insurance nonutilization on the healthcare

    expenses per visit is around 1 million VND, which is 1.5 times larger than

    the average healthcare expenses per visit of our sample.

    Barriers to insurance utilization may partly explain the mixed results of

    health insurance on healthcare utilization and OOP payment across

    countries.Self-tar etin ?? Tar et for those whose time costs are low.