Skills for the future The role of occupations in the skills supply and demand forecasts Vladimir...
-
Upload
philomena-nicholson -
Category
Documents
-
view
223 -
download
0
description
Transcript of Skills for the future The role of occupations in the skills supply and demand forecasts Vladimir...
Skills for the future
The role of occupations in the skills supply and demand forecasts
Vladimir KvetanCedefop
InGRID Expert workshop New skills new jobs: Tools for harmonising the measurement of occupationsAmsterdam, 10-12 February 2014
Skills for the future
Occupations in the forecasts
• Occupation as inputs
• Occupations as results
• Further focus on occupations
Skills for the future
NA vs. LFS
• Where do you work? / Where do you live?
• better fit in models / more details
• statistical reports / survey data
Skills for the future
NACE rev.2 and ISCO 08
• NACE – change in philosophy of sectors– new sectors (mainly 1 digit)– 2008 and 2009 data available for both
• ISCO– no time series intention– no transformation year (matrix)– timing of introduction
Skills for the future
ISCO 08 regrouping ISCO 1: Managers, etc. Inclusions ExclusionsHealth service managers Shopkeepers (to Service workers)Elderly care managers Agricultural managers (to Agricultural workers(from Professionals) Film, TV, stage Directors (to Professionals)
Construction supervisors (to Associateprofessionals)
ISCO 2 ProfessionalsInclusions ExclusionsDecorators+commercial designers Health service managersHealth technicians, medical assistants, opticians Nursing professionals (to Associate professionals)
Primary+pre-primary teachers Business service agents (to Associateprofessionals)
Other teaching associate professionalsFinance dealers Technical+commercial sales repsClowns, musicians,acrobats (all from Associateprofessionals)
Skills for the future
ISCO 08 regrouping (2)ISCO 8- Machine operators, assemblersInclusions Exclusions
Photographic machine operatorsManufacturing supervisors (to Associateprofessionals)
Weaving machine operators (from Skilled manual) Process controllers (to Associate professionals)
Print machine operatorsBook-binding machine operators (to Skilledmanual)Wood machine operators (to Skilled manual)
ISCO 9 – Elementary occupationsInclusions ExclusionsGardeners, nursery workers (from Agriculturalworkers)
Door-to-door+telephone sales persons,
Fast food preparers (from Service workers)Security guards (both to Sales and serviceworkers)
Skills for the future
Employment shares by occupation
EU-27 (% total), 2008-2011
Source: Eurostat, ELFS
Skills for the future
Employment shares for ISCO 1 by country
Source: Eurostat, ELFS
Skills for the future
Two solutions
• Constant share of ISCO 08– relatively easy– not reflecting reality – constant shares in sectors
• Past trends continue– difficult task– trends and changing occupational structure– additional inputs from countries
Skills for the future
Occupations as results• ISCO 08 • 30 countries, sectors, qualifications• Net change + replacement demand• Available online
– www.cedefop.europa.eu– main results and detailed data
Skills for the future
Occupations as results
Skills for the future
Occupation skills profiles• Coordination characteristics
– level of qualification requirement– field of study
• Main characteristics– knowledge– skills – competences
• Supplementary characteristics– occupaitonal interests– working values
Skills for the future
Qualifications cross sectors
Source: Cedefop, OSP workbooks (2014)
Skills for the future
Qualifications in jobs
Source: Cedefop, OSP workbooks (2014)
Skills for the future
Thank you for your attentionVladimir Kvetan
More information:www.cedefop.europa.eu