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SIV Management Presentation 2010
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Transcript of SIV Management Presentation 2010
www.ebtpelletfuel.com1 January 2010
S.I.V. Holdings Ltd (hereafter referred to as the “Company”
or “SIV”) currently operates one plant with 2 Mt/hour
production capacity in Ivano-Frankivsk region
The Company has already chosen four additional locations
for production sites and have preliminary agreements with
local authorities to secure long-term development. Each
location has a sufficient raw material base (one in Rivne
and three in Ivano-Frankivsk region)
SIV benefits from the following advantages:
Excellent location: close proximity to European Union
(EU) – the largest and most prospective market for SIV
products
Potential sales agreements directly with power
producers
Availability of detailed and comprehensive financial
model and business plan, highlighting clear vision and
distinct focus on future operations of the Company
Strong management team in place with well-developed
political and financial connections, which is fully
qualified to lead the Company to the next stage of its
development
Ongoing discussions about private placement with
several potential Strategic Investors
SIV production location
Management:
Strong management team in place with well-developed political
and financial connections
Production:
Existing production – 2 Mt/hour;
All four additional locations for future production sites have
preliminary agreements with local authorities already in place
Procurement:
Harvested lumber in 2008:
Ivano-Frankivsk – 865 ths. m3(Source: Appendix 1)
Rivne– 1,321 ths. m3(Source: Appendix 1)
Project descriptionOverview of the Company
2
Demand
Currently, the market for pellets is moving through its
growth phase, supported by Europe, which has evolved
into the largest consumer of wood pellets in the world.
Consumption in 2008 is estimated to be over 8 million
tons, with Sweden, Denmark, the Netherlands, Belgium
and Italy being the largest consumers on the continent
Geographical location of Ukraine is one of the major
factors, which contributes to business development with
EU
It is estimated that production as well as demand will
double over the next 4-5 years and some industry experts
forecast an annual growth of 25-30% globally over the
next ten years
Supply
Currently there is a clear playing field for pellet production
in Ukraine. According to some market experts, there are
no more than 15 wood pellets production plants in Ukraine
at this moment. Annual pellets production output in
Ukraine is estimated to range from 20,000 to 200,000
tones, but is highly fragmented, poorly financed, and
mostly relying on outdated technology
EU production vs. demand projections (mln tons)
Overview of all EU pellet production plans
32009 S.I.V. Holdings Ltd. A Company incorporated under the Cyprus law. All rights reserved. Printed in Ukraine
Project descriptionOverview of the Industry
Source: www.pelletsatlas.info
5.5 6.08.0
10.0
12.5
15.6
19.5
24.4
4.5 5.06.6
8.310.3
12.9
16.1
20.2
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E
Demand
Production
Source: Market experts’ estimate
SIV aims to harness the vast amount of Ukrainian-based
waste, and steward this renewable asset in a
sustainable, and environmentally friendly way to provide
for a cleaner and safer world
The Project further stipulates an increase in the
Company‟s production capacity to 40 plants by
construction of additional 39 plants
The development plan envisions an increase in the total
quantity of plants by nine units over the first 24 month
period. As soon as the Company operates ten plants, it will
generate surplus cash that can be reinvested to meet
future investment costs
The Company‟s management also looks for further
opportunities to merge with a well-managed, Ukrainian
Agricultural Company in order to safeguard and diversify
its raw material resource base for its growing production
5. IPO in 2011 - 2014
1. Attract Strategic / Financial Investor
3.Merge with Agricultural Company (to safeguard resource base)
4. Begin Production of MBP 1
4
Project descriptionOverview of the Strategy
2. Further production expansion
6.Bio Energy sector leader
Note 1: MBP - Mixed biomass pellets are a newcomer on the pellet market. Due to low production costs this biofuel
became very attractive. MBP can be produced from straw, grains, various types of grass, leguminous
plants, flowers, fruit and a mixture of these materials (with some wood added).
STRATEGY
The strategic goal of the Company is to become the leading Bio Energy Company
in Eastern Europe
5
The source of raw materials for pellet production in
Ukraine is closely connected with wood-working and
agricultural industries
Wood-working output and waste in Ukraine
Experts agree that throughout the different stages of
production process in the timber and wood-working
industry, wood waste may comprise up to 50% of the
output
Based on wood industry experts representation there were
approximately 15 million cubic meters of liquid lumber
harvested in 2008 (see Appendix for details). If
smaller, „mom & pop‟, sawmill operations are taken into
account, this figure doubles
Wood-working output and wood waste in Ukraine
5,200
6,727
8,303
9,180
10,670
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
th m
3
Wood products
Wood waste
Source: Ukrainian Statistics & Management’s estimate
Project descriptionRaw material base (Wood waste)
6
Agricultural Production output and agricultural
residues in Ukraine
Based on experts‟ representation, there is 1.5-2.0 tonnes
of straw, on average, for each tonne of cereal and oilseed
crop produced. Based on USDA data the crop production
for 2009 is 39 million tonnes which produced from 65 to 77
million tonnes of straw, the majority of which was either
shredded behind combines or burned in the field
An Agricultural Company harvesting 30 thousand
hectares, with an average yield of 3 tonnes per hectare will
potentially produce enough straw for producing
approximately 90 thousand tonnes of pellets and leave
one tonne of straw per hectare for soil conservation and
replenishment
Thus, in a further measure to sustainably „backup‟ the
company with straw required for production of up to
500,000 tonnes of pellets, SIV would require Agriculturally
cropped land of circa 160,000 hectares, which represents
less than 0.5% of Ukraine‟s arable land
Cropping and Residues 2007- 2009
Source: USDA Data, Management’s estimate
Project descriptionRaw material base (Residues)
29
52
39
48
87
6557
104
77
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2007 2008 2009E
mln
. to
nn
es.
Crop Production
straw min
straw max
7
Financial statements track record
The Company implemented International Financial
Reporting Standards (IFRS) and has track record of
preparing financial statements under IFRS for the year
ended 31 December 2009 and 31 December 20098
Extract of Balance sheet and profit and loss is shown
below
Full set of the financial statements is available upon
request
FinancialsFinancial statements (IFRS)
Balance sheet as at 31Dec09, 08 and 1Jan08(in UAH thousands) 31Dec09 31Dec08 1Jan08
Assets
Non-current assetsProperty, plant and equipment 4,341 4,697 735
Current assetsInventories 569 363 119Trade and other receivables 130 37 4Cash and cash equivalents 2 - -
701 400 123Total assets 5,042 5,097 858
Equity and liabilities
EquityStatutory fund 1,645 42 42Reserves 4,040 4,040 -Retained earnings (781) (222) -
4,904 3,860 42Non-current liabilitiesLong-term loans and borrowings 41 52 64
Current liabilitiesShort-term loans and borrowings 11 899 712Trade and other payables 86 286 40
97 1,185 752Equity and liabilities 5,042 5,097 858
Profit & loss for the year ended 31Dec09 and 08
(in UAH thousands) 2009 2008
Revenues 230 71Cost of revenues (828) (290)
Gross profit (598) (219)Administrative, selling and
distribution expenses (10) (3)Financial income 49 -
Profit before tax (559) (222)Income tax expenses - -
Net income (559) (222)Source: IFRS financial statements
Source: IFRS financial statements
Indicators of investment attractiveness:
Taking into account that the Ukrainian government has
moved to support energy saving projects realized in
Ukraine by income tax exemption for 2009-2013, of which
SIV is party to we have also performed of two scenarios:
Scenario 1 – not tax for 5 years (most probable)
Scenario 2 – normal tax
EBITDA (EURmln) & net profit margin (%)
Based on the above scenarios financial indicators are as
follows:
Project‟s net present value amounts to EUR70 to 76.1million (real discount rate 14.00%)
Enterprise value, when the Company will reach its
target production capacity is circa EUR136 million
Project payback period is 4.0 – 5.2 years
Discounted Project payback period is 4.8 – 5.6 years
ROI
8
EconomicsValuation summary
Source: Management’s estimateSource: Management’s estimate
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
ROI - Scenario 1 ROI - Scenario 2
3.86
9.27
14.15
19.05
24.64 24.64
30%
43% 44% 46%
35% 35%
22%
32% 32% 33%
-
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015FEBITDA Net Profit Margin - Scenario 1
Net Profit Margin - Scenario 2
Project financing
It has been assumed that the ten production plants would
be built over a two-year period, with a total capital
requirement of circa EUR10.7 – 14.5 million. In
practice, because the plants function independently, the
rate at which they are constructed can be easily adjusted
according to the available funding
The plan is to finance the project with a combination of
equity 30% and debt 70% as shown in the tables on the
right
SIV project gives investors a very attractive internal rate
of return (IRR) 51% for 5 calculated based on 5 year
period and 94% - 10 year period
Interest rate for the debt financing was assumed to be
12.5% in 2010 with decrease down to 10% starting from
2011
Use of funds and financing sources (scenario – NO TAX)
in EUR '000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015Working capital 410 1,101 1,133 1,132 1,274 -
CAPEX 9,964 10,020 11,377 11,391 12,804 169Sawmill waste line 9,401 9,401 10,744 10,744 12,087 -Other CAPEX 563 619 633 647 717 169
Total
External financing 7,200 2,436 - 9,636Equity 2,160 731 - 2,891Loan 5,040 1,705 - 6,745
Self financed 3,174 8,685 12,510 12,523 14,078 169
9
EconomicsFinancing requironments
Source: Management’s estimate
Source: Management’s estimate
Use of funds and financing sources(scenario – NORMAL TAX)
in EUR '000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015Working capital 410 1,101 1,133 1,132 1,274 -
CAPEX 9,964 10,020 11,377 11,391 12,804 169Sawmill waste line 9,401 9,401 10,744 10,744 12,087 -Other CAPEX 563 619 633 647 717 169
Total
External financing 7,864 4,380 2,142 14,386Equity 2,359 1,314 643 4,316Loan 5,505 3,066 1,500 10,070
Self financed 2,510 6,741 10,368 12,523 14,078 169
IRR for equity participants
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Average
IRR 5 years 69% 33% 51%
IRR 10 years 105% 84% 94%
10
OrganizationCompany’s Management
Director Chris Chatterton, has extensive experience in building large-scale energy businesses in challenging
environments, and in very pioneering roles, in the CIS and Asia, in an executive capacity, to include The
AES Corporation, D1 Oils PLC, and Yukos Oil. Most recently, Chris was instrumental in raising initial
funding for Landkom Ukraine, and also one of the founding shareholders in Landkom International PLC
Financial
Director
Vladimir Vasyuta is a skilled and qualified financial and business leader uniquely experienced in emerging
market sectors. Vladimir has significant experience in fields of business valuations and audit of large
Ukrainian enterprises with one of the „Big 4‟ companies. He has extensive experience in consulting
companies in agriculture, telecommunication, chemical, metallurgical and trading sectors
Company
Secretary
BohdanChomiak, is an experienced Canadian farmer with over 12 years experience in the Ukrainian
Agricultural sector as Director for USAID‟s Agriculture Division. In this role, Mr. Chomiak was very
influential in policy creation and implementation, and in advising and consulting both governments and
private companies in the acquisition of Ukrainian farmland
OrganizationLegal and ownership structure
11
EkoBio-Top,
Ukraine
Lapersa Enterprises Ltd,
Cyprus
S.I.V. Holdings Ltd,
Cyprus
100%
Revane Ltd.
BVI
OperatingFACTORIES (40)
OperatingFACTORY (1)
Ownership Structure
Alexander Trager,
private individual
Roman Mazhak,
private individual
24% 15%31% 30%+1
Note: All shareholders are founding shareholders except for Revane Ltd
This document is provided on the basis that it is kept
CONFIDENTIAL and its circulation and use are
RESTRICTED. It should not be copied or sent to any other
person/party without the express permission of S.I.V.
Holdings Ltd
This document has been prepared because S.I.V.
Holdings Ltd intends to raise funds to execute its business
plan, which may include bank loans, merging with a
strategic partner to form a joint company, or the sale of a
significant equity stake
This document includes the basic information, estimates
and forecasts, which have been prepared by S.I.V.
Holdings Ltd. This document is provided exclusively to
assist interested parties in making decisions on the
advisability of further study of the investment opportunity.
Any recipient of this material should conduct its own
analysis of the potential investment, and understand that
the receipt of this material from S.I.V. Holdings Ltd in no
way signifies confirmation that the Transaction is justified
S.I.V. Holdings Ltd will not be liable in any way for any
representations or warranties directly or indirectly
contained/arising from this material
In providing this document, S.I.V. Holdings Ltd. reserves
the right at any time to make changes or fully replace it.
Nothing in this document may and should be deemed to
be or interpreted as an obligation or promise regarding the
future
For any information relating to this opportunity, please,
contact:
Disclaimer and Contact details
12
BohdanChomiak
Corporate Secretary
S.I.V Holdings Ltd.
Tel: +380 67 4030258
13
Appendix 1Harvest liquid lumber, 2008