SiS Energy Sources And The Climate Change Nexus Brockway 2007
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Transcript of SiS Energy Sources And The Climate Change Nexus Brockway 2007
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The Energy – Climate Change Nexus
Dr David BrockwayCHIEF CSIRO Energy Technology25 October 2007
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CSIRO.
Energy & Society
Australia & Asia
Energy Security
Wealth Creation
Clean Energy
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CSIRO.
Global Temperature Rise(Temperature Anomalies from 1961 – 1990 Mean)
Data supplied: NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
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CSIRO.
Modern lifestyles are energy demanding
Energy consumption per person
Energy consumption per dollar of GDP
150
100
50
Index
1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 2001-02 2008-09 2019-20
Historical Medium term
Longer term
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CSIRO.Source: AGO (2002) National Greenhouse Gas Inventory
25
6
38
OtherNat Gas
Petroleum
Coal
5250
40
30
20
10
0
14
18
7
3 32
Perc
ent
Stat
iona
ry
Ener
gy
(Ele
ctric
ity)
Tran
spor
t
Agr
icul
ture
Land
Use
, Fo
rest
ry
Was
te
Oth
er
Indu
stria
l
GHG Emissions Sources 2000
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CSIRO.
CSIRO R&D Priority Outcomes
Cut emissions from energy generation and use
Increase Australia’s transport fuel self-sufficiency
Enhance the value of Australia’s energy endowment
Australia & Asia
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CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
50% Reduction in Greenhouse Gas Emissions
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CSIRO.
Distributed Generation and Energy Management
Two way power flowSmart meters
Intelligent agentsPower arbitrage
-Base load power generation ~ 600 MW
Commercial building
Hospital / shopping complex
Apartment block
transmission lines
Commercial building
House / residential
suburb
Industrial complex / factory
Hospital / shopping complex
Apartment block
transmission lines
Wind
Solar cells
Wind
Solar cells
Wind
Solar cells
Wind farm
Solar cells
2 way grid
The future distributed power
system
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CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Energy Efficiency and Energy Management
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CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Distributed generationSmart house
Distributed Generation
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CSIRO.
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CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Distributed generationSmart house
Solar thermal demonstration
Renewables
Role of Renewables
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CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Distributed generationSmart house
Solar thermal demonstration
Renewables
Nuclear
The Entry of Nuclear
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CSIRO.
Thermal efficiency 28 - 33%CO2 emissions <100 kg/MWh
Coal
Generator
ElectricityLow CO2 flue gas
Flyash
Boiler
Reboiler
C.W.
Absorber
Flue gaspretreatme
nt
CO2
Stripper
Flue Gas
Cleaner Fossil Fuel Power Plants
Liquid CO2
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CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Fossil
Capturing and long term storage of CO2
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Distributed generationSmart house
Solar thermal demonstration
Renewables
Nuclear
The Major Role of Cleaner Fossil Energy
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CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Fossil
Capturing and long term storage of CO2
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Distributed generationSmart house
Solar thermal demonstration
Renewables
Nuclear
Alternative fuels & vehicles
Ultrabattery deployment
Synthetic fuels gaining market share
Reduced travel
More Efficient Transport
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CSIRO.
Achievements
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CSIRO.
Australian R&D Capability is Under Threat