SIO Conference 2013

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SIO Conference 2013 MARTIN GROSSKOPF VICE-PRESIDENT AND PORTFOLIO MANAGER DIRECTOR, SUSTAINABILITY RESEARCH ACUITY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC. June 2013

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SIO Conference 2013. MARTIN GROSSKOPF VICE-PRESIDENT AND PORTFOLIO MANAGER DIRECTOR, SUSTAINABILITY RESEARCH ACUITY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC. June 2013. Income Inequality and the Market. Is there a cause for concern? . The land of “unequal opportunity?”. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of SIO Conference 2013

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SIO Conference 2013

MARTIN GROSSKOPFVICE-PRESIDENT AND PORTFOLIO MANAGERDIRECTOR, SUSTAINABILITY RESEARCHACUITY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC.June 2013

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Income Inequality and the MarketIs there a cause for concern?

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The land of “unequal opportunity?”

Source: BCA Research, as of May 31, 2013

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Denmark

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Austria

Sweden

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Hunga

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Mexico

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0.25

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0.35

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0.45

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Gini coefficient ( )↗ S90/S10 income decile share (right scale)

Gin

i coe

ffici

ent

S90/S

10 income decile share

Considerable global variation

Notes: See notes to Figure 1. Information on data for Israel: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888932315602Source: OECD Income Distribution Database (www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)

Gini coefficient of household disposable income and gap between richest and poorest 10%, 2010

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More Context

Source: Martin H. Barnes, Chief Economist, BCA Research, Key Issues in the Economic and Financial Outlook, May 2012

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0

0Market income inequality ( )↗ Disposable income inequality

Source: OECD Income Distribution Database (www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)

Negative impact of the financial crisis

Percentage point change in the Gini coefficient of household market and disposable incomes between 2007 and 2010

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Positive effects of redistribution

Source: Barry Bannister, Economic Outlook, 2013

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Negative impact of the financial crisis

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Positive aspects of recovery

Source: Ned Davies, US Economic Outlook, June 13, 2013

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Negative: wage growth at a 25yr low

Source: FactSet, Bureau of Labour Statistics, Macquarie Research, June 2013

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Positive: Corporate Profit Margins & Unit Labour Costs (ULC)

Source: Ned Davis Research, 2012

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Positive: S&P Stock Index & Non-farm Unit Labour Cost (ULC)

Source: Ned Davis Research, 2012

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Going forward: factors of production respond differently

• In 3 deepest recession since 1970 one factor always lagged

Source: Barry Bannister, Economic Outlook, 2013

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Going forward: offshore unit labour benefit is dissipating

Source: BCA Research, as of December 31, 2012

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